NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, November 13th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Washington won its last three games with the Kings; home side won seven of last nine series games. Kings are 0-4 vs spread in last four games in this arena. Sacramento lost eight of last ten games; they’re 1-4-1 as a road underdog. Over is 4-1 in their last five road games. Wizards won three of their last four games; they’re 2-5 as home favorites. Last three Washington home games stayed under total.
Cavaliers won nine of last ten games with New York, covered five of last six; loss was 15 days ago in Cleveland, 114-95. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Cavaliers are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to Manhattan. Cavs lost six of last nine games; they’re 1-2 as a road favorite. Five of their last six games went over total. Knicks won won seven of last nine games; they’re 6-2 vs spread at home, 2-2 as home dogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Home side won last seven Memphis-Milwaukee games; Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Milwaukee. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Memphis lost four of last six games; they’re 3-1 as road underdogs. Over is 4-2 in Grizzlies’ road games. Bucks lost four of their last six games, but won last two; under is 3-1 in their last four games. Milwaukee is 2-2-1 as a home favorite.
Hawks won three of last four games with New Orleans; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Last three series games stayed under total. Atlanta lost nine of its last ten games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Hawks are 3-5-1 as a road underdog. New Orleans won four of its last five games; they’re 1-2 as a home favorite. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total.
Jazz won six of last eight games with Minnesota; under is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Wolves are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to SLC. Minnesota lost its last two games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread on road, 0-1-1 as road favorites. Over is 5-2 in their road games. Utah lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-4 vs spread at home, 1-0 as a home underdog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Lakers/Phoenix split their last eight games; LA won first meeting this year 132-130. Lakers are 2-4 vs spread in last six visits here. Last six series games went over the total. Lakers lost their last three games, all of which stayed under; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs. Phoenix lost five of its last six games; they’re 0-2 as a home favorite. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
Portland won eight of last ten games with Denver; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five. Nuggets are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Over is 8-1 in last nine series games. Denver won five of its last six games, all at home; they’re 1-4 vs spread on road, 0-1 as a road underdog. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Portland lost four of its last six games; they’re 1-6 as a home favorite. Last three Trailblazer games stayed under.
JJ Redick vs his old teammates. Clippers won nine of last ten games with Philly; 76ers covered last three, are 1-4 vs spread in last five series games played here. Over is 4-2 in last six series games. 76ers won five of last seven games, but lost last two; they’re 4-2 as road underdogs. Over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Clippers lost their last five games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. LA is 4-3 as a home favorite.
Golden State won its last eight games with Orlando (6-2 vs spread); Magic is 3-2 vs spread in tis last five visits to Oakland. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Orlando won three of its last four road games; they’re 3-3 as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Golden State won/covered its last six games; they’re 3-4 as a home favorite. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Armadillosports.com
Kings face Wizards in DC
By: Sam Chase
StatFox.com
John Wall and De'Aaron Fox, perhaps the league's two fastest players, square off on Monday.
As is the case every year, Kings fans in 2017 are stuck watching for signs of development from their young players more so than they are rooting for wins. Of course, there is occasionally great reward to be found in doing this. Take, for example, Thursday night, when rookie PG De'Aaron Fox hit a jumper with 13 seconds left to give the Kings their second straight victory—these are the moments Sacramento fans are living for right now. After a seven-game losing streak, the two consecutive victories are a welcome reward. Fox, the NBA's newest speedster, will take on blazing veteran PG John Wall and the Wizards on Monday night in D.C. Despite being one of the most talented teams in the Eastern Conference—perhaps even the most talented, as the Cavs languish without Isaiah Thomas—Washington has been unable to separate itself from the pack in the early going.
There's no real No. 1 option in Sacramento. Entering the weekend, no King was averaging 30 minutes per game nor 14 points per game. Most interesting in Sactown is the point guard position, for reasons both good and bad. On the good side of that equation is Fox, who has looked promising in the early going. Essentially all areas of his game need refinement: His decision-making and his jump-shooting, in particular. But the talent and effort is there, and his leadership figures to bring about a culture shift in the locker room. Now the bad side: PG George Hill, who signed a three-year, $57 million deal in the offseason, has been horrendous. After averaging a career-high 16.9 PPG as a member of the Jazz last season, Hill is in the single-digits this year for scoring. Two lowlights in particular came this past week, when he scored one point in 24 minutes against the Thunder, and two points in 19 minutes against the 76ers. He's taking shots infrequently, and shooting poorly when he does. He opened the season with scoring outings of 16 and 21 points; hopefully he can get his confidence back and hit that level again. PF Zach Randolph is back in a starting lineup after coming off the bench in Memphis last year, and he's the team's leading scorer in Sacramento. SG Buddy Hield, ostensibly a sharpshooter, has been merely average from the outside thus far in his second year. C Willie Cauley-Stein is one of the few regular members of the rotation with a PER above 15.0.
As a product of Lonzo-mania, the Wizards have gotten their most headlines this season in the two games that they've played the Los Angeles Lakers. After plenty of trash talk, they embarrassed themselves with a loss in the first one. In the rematch on Thursday night, though, they got their revenge with a 111-95 win. PG John Wall was electric, putting up 23 points, eight rebounds, five assists, two steals and three highlight blocks. A left-handed dunk on Lakers center Brook Lopez set the tone in the first quarter. The box score numbers from the Wizards' starting lineup looked pretty much what the team would ideally want in that game: SG Bradley Beal had 22 points and SF Otto Porter had 20 to go with Wall's 23. Beal and Porter each got big contracts within the last two seasons to be Washington's second and third options, respectively, and each is living up to his role. And after missing the start of the year due to legal issues, PF Markieff Morris had the best outing yet of his first four games: 16 points and five rebounds in only 17 minutes. His return his huge for a team with a notoriously shallow bench. SG Kelly Oubre Jr. was beginning to breakout as a shooter in the starting lineup, but has had more trouble when forced to find his own shot with the second unit. He shot a combined 4-of-19 against Dallas and the Lakers this past week. C Marcin Gortat looks to be the same solid interior presence he has been in Washington for years now.
Monday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Game of the Night: Magic at Warriors
A battle of division leaders takes place at Oracle Arena although only one of these teams were predicted to be atop their division at this point. We know what Golden State (10-3 SU, 7-6 ATS) is all about and its credentials, but Orlando (8-5, 7-6 ATS) is playing well through the first month and hope to keep it up on this road trip.
The Magic disappeared on Saturday in a 125-107 setback at Denver as nine-point underdogs, snapping a short two-game winning streak. Frank Vogel’s team began the season with an impressive 6-2 record, including underdog victories over Cleveland, San Antonio, and Memphis. However, Orlando is 2-3 the last five games, including ugly home double-digit losses to Chicago and Boston. The Magic rank fifth in the NBA in points per game at 110.5, while owning the best three-point defense by limiting opponents to 31.5% shooting per contest.
The Warriors are rolling right now by winning and covering six consecutive games, with all six victories coming by 17 points or more. The most recent triumph came over upstart Philadelphia on Saturday, 135-114 as 13½-point favorites, led by Kevin Durant’s 29 points as the defending champions shot 58.5% from the floor.
Since 2013, the Warriors have captured eight straight meetings with the Magic, while covering both times last season as hefty 14-point favorites.
Stumbling Home
The Clippers (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS) have dropped seven of eight games since a 4-0 start to the season, capped off by an 0-3 road trip at San Antonio, Oklahoma City, and New Orleans. Los Angeles hosts Philadelphia tonight, as the 76ers (6-6 SU, 8-4 ATS) look to snap a two-game skid on their five-game road swing. Philadelphia was riding a five-game winning streak prior to back-to-back defeats at Sacramento and Golden State, while eclipsing the OVER in six of the past seven contests.
Returning to Staples Center isn’t exactly the formula for a win for Doc Rivers’ squad, who lost four of five on its most recent homestand. The defense was torched on this three-game road swing, allowing at least 111 points in each defeat, while not covering in a loss yet this season. The Clippers have defeated the 76ers five straight times at home, but this is the shortest spread since 2011, when Philadelphia knocked off L.A., 104-94.
Hitting their Stride
The Nuggets (8-5 SU, 5-8 ATS) had their expectations raised in the offseason following the pick-up of free agent forward Paul Millsap, but Denver started 1-3. Denver has rebounded lately by winning seven of nine games, including a 5-1 mark on its most recent homestand with the lone loss coming to Golden State. Mike Malone’s team travels to Portland before taking three days off prior to a home game with New Orleans on Friday.
The Blazers (6-6 SU, 4-7-1 ATS) look to snap a two-game skid after dropping a pair of close home decisions to the Grizzlies and Nets by a combined four points. Portland is on the worst ATS run in the league right now at 1-7 ATS following a 3-0-1 ATS start to the season. Last season, the Blazers grabbed three of four meetings from the Nuggets, including both matchups at the Moda Center as Portland has beaten Denver eight straight times at home.
Sounds of Silence
The Jazz (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS) snapped a four-game skid in Saturday’s 114-107 home victory over the Nets as six-point favorites. However, center Rudy Gobert will be sidelined for four weeks after suffering a bone bruise in his right knee against Miami last Friday. Utah hosts Minnesota to close out a four-game homestand before the Jazz venture out east for a four-game road trip starting Wednesday in New York.
The Wolves (7-5 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) knocked off the Jazz in the first meeting this season at Target Center on October 20 by a 100-97 count, but Utah cashed as 4½-point underdogs. Minnesota is winless on its current three-game road swing following losses at Golden State and Phoenix, as the Wolves were tripped up by the Suns as 10-point favorites on Saturday, 118-110.
Broadway LeBron
The Cavaliers (6-7 SU, 4-8-1 ATS) are looking to reach the .500 mark for the first time since sitting at 3-3 on October 28. Cleveland travels to New York trying to avenge a 114-95 home setback to the Knicks as 10½-point favorites October 29. Since LeBron James returned to the Cavaliers in 2014, Cleveland owns a perfect 6-0 record at Madison Square Garden, including covers in each of the past three visits to New York.
The Knicks (7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS) have taken care of their home business this season with a 6-2 record at the Garden, while scoring at least 108 points in each of their past four home victories. Since starting the campaign at 0-3 SU/ATS, New York has covered seven of its previous nine games, while snapping a nine-game skid to Cleveland in the victory at Quicken Loans Arena last month.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Sacramento has dropped six straight road games as the Kings continue their three-game road swing at Washington. The Wizards wasted the Kings in their last matchup on October 29 as 7½-point favorites, 110-83. Washington has won four consecutive home meetings with Sacramento since 2014.
The home team has captured the last six matchups between the Bucks and Grizzlies, who meet in Milwaukee tonight. The Bucks have limited the Grizzlies to 96 points or less in their past four home meetings with Memphis. The Grizzlies finish off a five-game road trip following Saturday’s loss at Houston, while the Bucks are seeking their third straight win.
The road squad won the two meetings between the Hawks and Pelicans last season, as Atlanta heads to the Big Easy. The Hawks are riding a three-game skid, while allowing at least 110 points in seven consecutive contests. New Orleans has won four of its past five, while covering each time during this stretch.
The Lakers outlasted the Suns, 132-130 last month in Phoenix as the two Pacific division rivals hook up again in the Valley. Los Angeles has dropped the first three contests of a four-game away swing, while scoring 96 points or less each time. The previous six meetings between the Lakers and Suns have sailed OVER the total, while Phoenix is 4-2 in the last six home matchups with Los Angeles.
NBA Pick 'n' Roll: Monday's Picks and Analysis
Covers.com
Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Clippers (-2, 218.5)
Things went south for the Clippers faster than Michael Douglas in Basic Instinct. Los Angeles started the post Chris Paul era off by winning and covering in each of its first four games, but a series of injuries to the backcourt is torpedoing the club.
Point guard Patrick Beverly is out with a banged up right knee and his backup Milos Teodosic is out long-term with plantar fascia. The Clippers have been forced to get creative with their guard rotation with Beverly and Teodosic out of the picture. Austin Rivers and Sindarius Thornwell – a rookie second round pick – are starting with Lou Williams coming off the bench playing starter minutes.
Saturday’s loss to the New Orleans Pelicans was the Clippers’ fifth straight defeat and frustrations boiled over with Austin Rivers and coaches Sam Cassell and Doc Rivers all picking up technical fouls in the second half.
Pick: 76ers +2
Cleveland Cavaliers at New York Knicks (+5, 218.5)
One of the many things to love about LeBron James is that he holds grudges. About a year ago James let it be known he was not happy about a comment Phil Jackson made his inner circle. Jackson used the term “posse” when referring to James’ entourage – a term LBJ thought was coded language.
Flash forward to Saturday night. The Cavs beat the Mavericks in Dallas and after the game James was asked about Mavs rookie point guard Dennis Smith Jr.
“The Knicks passed on a really good one, and Dallas got the diamond in the rough,” James told reporters. “[Smith] should be a Knick.”
The Knicks, of course, took French point guard Frank Ntilikina with the eighth pick and Dallas took Smith Jr. with the ninth pick. Ntilikina was the last big roster decision made by Jackson before he and the Knicks parted ways.
Smith is enjoying a strong start to his first season while Ntilikina is looking pretty good in a more limited role with New York. Knicks big man Enes Kanter took to Twitter in response to LeBron’s comment:
We expect New York to respond on the court as well.
Pick: Knicks +5
Yesterday’s picks: 0-2
Season record: 24-28
Total Streaks
*The under is 4-0 in the Wizards’ last four games overall.
*The over is 6-1 in Atlanta’s last seven games.
*The under is 5-0 in Minnesota’s last five games.
*The over is 6-1 in the 76ers’ last seven games.
*The over is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Lakers and Suns.
Injury to Watch
Golden Start point guard Steph Curry is questionable to play Monday night against the Orland Magic because of a thigh contusion. The Warriors are still 13-point favorites. The Dubs went 2-1 straight up and 1-2 against the spread without the two-time MVP in the lineup last season.
Trends
*The Kings are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six road games.
*The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.
*The Blazers’ are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.
*The Warriors are 6-0 ATS in their last six games.
*The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
Ref to Watch
The 76ers are 0-10 straight up and 2-8 against the spread in the last 10 games worked by NBA ref Zach Zarba. He’s the head official in tonight’s crew working the 76ers-Clippers game.
Consensus
Close to 75 percent of players like the Portland Trail Blazers to cover as 1-point home underdogs tonight against the Denver Nuggets.