NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Friday, November 3rd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Cleveland lost its last four games, all as a favorite; they’re 0-7 as a favorite this season. Over is 4-4 in their games. Wizards lost three of their last four games; they’re 2-1 at home (over 3-0). Cavaliers won three of last four games with Washington; road team won five of last seven series games. Cleveland is 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to this building. Over is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Bulls won three of last four games with Orlando; home team won seven of their last eight games. Chicago is 1-5 vs spread in last six visits to Orlando. Bulls are 1-5 to start season but 2-1 vs spread as a road underdog- their last three games stayed under the total. Orlando won five of its last six games; underdogs covered six of their eight games. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.
Bucks won their last three games with Detroit, by 25-13-3 points; under is 4-2 in last six series games. Milwaukee is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Detroit. Bucks lost three of last four games; they won two of three road games- over is 5-3 in their games. Pistons won three of last four games; they’re 2-1 as a home favorite. Over is 4-4 in Detroit games this season.
Pacers won eight of last nine games (7-2 vs spread) with Philly; over is 4-1 in last five series games. Indiana covered four of last five games in this building. Pacers won their last three games, covered three of four on road; three of their last four games stayed under. 76ers won four of last five games; they’re 6-2 vs spread this season. Last three Philly games went over the total.
Hawks won their last seven games with Houston (6-1 vs spread); last three series games stayed under the total. Rockets are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits here. Houston is 6-3 to start season; they’re 3-3 vs spread on road. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Atlanta lost its last seven games (1-5-1 vs spread); they lost last two home games, by 5-11 points. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.
Suns won five of last seven games with New York; they’re 7-2-1 vs spread in last 10 series games. Phoenix covered four of last five visits to Manhattan. Suns won four of last five games since an 0-3 start (over 4-1), covering last three road games- they’re 5-2 as underdogs. New York won three of last four games; they’re 2-2 at home (over 3-1), 0-1 as a home favorite.
Spurs lost their last four games; they’re 2-1 at home, winning by 8-4 points. Under is 5-3 in their games. San Antonio won nine of last ten games with Charlotte (6-4 vs spread); under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Hornets are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Charlotte won its last three games (over 3-0); they’re 1-2 as a road underdog, losing by 9-12 points.
Home team won eight of last 10 New Orleans-Dallas games; teams split those games. Pelicans are 2-3 vs spread in last five games in this building. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. New Orleans is 3-5 to start season (over 4-4); favorites covered three of their four road games. Dallas lost its last four games, is 2-7 vs spread this season; over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
Toronto won seven of its last eight games (8-0 vs spread) with Utah; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Raptors covered their last four visits to SLC. Toronto covered three of last four games; they’re 4-3 to start season. Four of their last five games stayed under. Jazz won/covered all five of their home games (4-0 as a home favorite); under is 5-2-1 in their games this season.
Miami won four of its last five games with Denver; three of last four series games went over the total. Heat are 3-2 in last five visits to Denver. Miami lost its only road game so far, at Orlando by 7; they lost three of last four games- over is 4-3 in their games. Nuggets won three of last four games; they’re 2-1 as a home favorite. Last three Denver games went over the total.
Thunder won eight of last nine games with Boston (6-2-1 vs spread); over is 4-2 in last six series games. Celtics are 2-0-1 vs spread in last three visits to OKC. Boston won its last six games, is 4-0 vs spread on road, 3-0 as a road underdog. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Oklahoma City won three of last four games; they’re 2-1 as a home favorite. Under is 5-2 in their games.
Lakers won three of last four games with Brooklyn (under 3-1); Nets are 3-2-2 vs spread in last seven series games. Nets lost their last three games, are 1-2 as a road underdog, with road losses by 21-4-9 points. Over is 5-2-1 in their games. LA is 3-5 to start season, 2-3 at home- this is first tine they’ve been favored this season. Four of last five Laker games stayed under the total. Larry Nance Jr broke his hand last night, is out here.
Armadillosports.com
Friday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Game of the Night: Celtics at Thunder
Both Boston and Oklahoma City overhauled its rosters in the offseason looking to make that move towards the NBA Finals. The Celtics (6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS) suffered the devastating Gordon Hayward leg injury five minutes into the season-opening loss at Cleveland, followed by a home defeat to the Bucks. Boston hasn’t lost since, running off six consecutive wins and covers, while knocking off San Antonio and Sacramento by double-digits at home.
The Celtics have been excellent on the defensive end by limiting six straight opponents to 94 points or fewer, while going 4-0 to the UNDER in four games away from TD Garden. Second-year forward Jaylen Brown scored a total of 40 points in the last two home victories, but the former Cal Golden Bear has posted nine points or fewer in each of his past three road contests. Kyrie Irving has lived up to expectations so far by averaging 21.8 points per game for Boston, while scoring below 20 points only once this season (17 against Milwaukee on October 18).
Oklahoma City (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) returns home following a 2-1 road trip, capped off by a pair of blowouts over Chicago and Milwaukee. In Tuesday’s 110-91 rout of the Bucks, the Thunder built an 18-point halftime lead, while receiving balanced scoring from its stars (Paul George – 20, Carmelo Anthony – 17, Russell Westbrook – 12). OKC heads back on the highway following Friday’s contest for three on the road, starting on Sunday in Portland.
This series has been owned by the Thunder recently, who not only swept last season’s two-game series, but are 8-1 in the past nine matchups with the Celtics. In the matchup at Chesapeake Energy Arena last December, the Thunder edged the Celtics, 99-96 as Westbrook put up 37 points and pulled down 12 rebounds. However, OKC shot just 3-of-21 from long-distance and 14-of-27 from the foul line.
Nightmare Start
There is still a long way to go in the season, but the Cavaliers (3-5 SU, 1-7 ATS) have been a disaster of late. The defending Eastern Conference champions have dropped four straight games, coming off Wednesday’s 124-107 home setback to the Pacers as 10-point favorites. Cleveland last won on October 24 against Chicago, but the Cavs have covered just once, coming on October 20 at Milwaukee.
The Cavs head to Washington to face a Wizards’ (4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS) squad that has struggled since a 3-0 start by dropping three of four. Washington squandered a 22-point second quarter lead in Wednesday’s 122-116 home setback to Phoenix as 11-point favorites. Bradley Beal led the Wizards with 40 points, but Washington has allowed at least 111 points in four of seven games this season. The road team won all three meetings last season, including Cleveland’s epic 140-135 overtime victory in D.C. last February.
Square One Sixers
Philadelphia (4-4 SU, 6-2 ATS) reached the .500 mark with three consecutive high-scoring victories over Dallas, Houston, and Atlanta. The 76ers pulled away from the Hawks to cover as a home favorite on Wednesday, 119-109 as Ben Simmons finished one assist shy of his second career triple-double (19 points, 13 rebounds, nine assists). Philadelphia has covered five straight games, as the Sixers play its final home game before hitting the road for the next five contests, starting Tuesday at Utah.
The Pacers (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) travel to Philadelphia coming off three straight wins, including upsets of the Spurs and Cavaliers as an underdog. Indiana has covered three of four road contests this season, while looking to beat Philadelphia for the eighth time in the last nine matchups dating back to February 2015.
Bucking Up
Milwaukee (4-4 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) will look to get on track after dropping both games of a back-to-back set against Oklahoma City and Charlotte. The Bucks have eclipsed the OVER in all three road games as they face the Pistons at Little Caesars Arena. Milwaukee dropped the first matchup with Detroit last season before capturing the final three meetings, as the Bucks held the Pistons to below 100 points three times. Detroit (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) returns home after a successful 2-1 California road trip, highlighted by underdog victories over the Clippers and Warriors. The trip ended on a sour note with a 20-point defeat to the Lakers on Tuesday, marking the second ATS loss of the season. Detroit begins a five-game homestand with only one team (Pacers) visiting the Motor City owning an over .500 record.
Rap it Up
Following Wednesday’s 129-111 blowout loss at Denver, the Raptors (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) finish their six-game road swing in Utah. Toronto put together terrific defensive performances in wins over the Lakers (101-92) and the Blazers (99-85), but the Nuggets shot 53% from the floor, including knocking down 16 three-pointers as Denver led by 32 points after three quarters. The Raptors swept the Jazz last season, while owning a 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS record in the past eight meetings with Utah.
The Jazz (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS) seek their fourth win on their four-game homestand before a quick trip to Houston on Sunday. Utah has scored below 100 points in regulation in six of the past seven games, but busted out in overtime in Wednesday’s 112-103 victory over Portland to cash as 3½-point favorites. Ricky Rubio paced the Jazz with 30 points, while rookie standout Donovan Mitchell posted 28 points as Utah owns the best home record in the league at 5-0.
Suns Rising
Since an 0-3 start and firing their head coach, the Suns (4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS) have caught fire by winning five of their last six games. Phoenix is riding a 5-0 ATS streak, capped off by an incredible comeback in Wednesday’s 122-116 upset of Washington as 11-point underdogs. T.J. Warren burned the Wizards for 40 points, while the Suns have won each of their four games in the ‘dog role. Phoenix continues its road swing in New York as the Suns swept the Knicks last season with both victories coming by two points apiece.
The Knicks (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) saw their three-game winning streak come to a halt in Wednesday’s 119-97 home setback to the Rockets as 5½-point underdogs. New York dropped to 0-3 when scoring below 100 points, while losing each of those games by 20 points or more. The Knicks closed last season by going 0-6 ATS in their last six opportunities as a favorite, but covered in their only chance as chalk this season against the Nets, 107-86.
Head-to-Head Matchups
The Bulls continue their trek through the Sunshine State following Wednesday’s six-point setback at Miami as Chicago heads to Orlando. The Magic have won five of their last six games, including underdog victories at New Orleans and Memphis this week. Chicago captured three of four meetings last season, but the Magic are 4-1 in the past five home matchups against the Bulls.
The Rockets snapped a two-game skid in Wednesday’s 119-97 blowout of the Knicks as Houston finishes up its two-game away swing in Atlanta. The Hawks have dropped seven straight games since beating Dallas on opening night, but Atlanta is 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS the last seven meetings with Houston since 2014.
The Pelicans hit the road following home setbacks to the Magic and Wolves as New Orleans goes to Dallas to face the 1-8 Mavericks. The home team went 4-0 last season between these Southwest squads, as the Mavericks covered in three of four games, including twice as a home underdog.
San Antonio finishes up a back-to-back home set against Charlotte, looking to beat the Hornets at home for the 11th straight time. The Hornets have never scored more than 98 points in 13 trips to San Antonio since entering the league in 2004. Charlotte is riding a three-game winning streak, but has lost two of three games away from home.
The Heat embark on a six-game road swing with the first five games coming against Western Conference opponents. Miami is the only team in the league that has failed to cover a game, entering Friday’s action at Denver with an 0-5-2 ATS record. The road team won each meeting last season as the Heat knocked off the Nuggets in Denver, 106-98, while Miami is 4-1 in its last five trips to Pepsi Center.
The Nets also head out west for five games starting in Los Angeles against the unrested Lakers. Brooklyn and L.A. split a pair of meetings last season with the home team winning each time. The Nets have yet to win a game away from Barclays Center this season, while losing 19 of their last 24 road contests since January.