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NBA Betting News and Notes Monday 1/16

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(@blade)
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Monday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com

Portland Trail Blazers at New Orleans Hornets (-5.5, 181.5)

One thing is certain: a team will leave New Orleans Arena on Monday evening with a four-game losing streak.
The Portland Trail Blazers have gone from the darlings of the Western Conference to a team with several question marks over the last week, especially at the defensive end. The Blazers have allowed an average of 104.3 points in the last three games and have gotten inconsistent production from the backcourt combination of Raymond Felton and Jamal Crawford.

The New Orleans Hornets, who host Portland on Monday, have more problems at the offensive end, where they put up just 87.5 points.

The Hornets broke out for a season-high 99 points on Saturday but could not keep up with the Memphis Grizzlies in a 108-99 setback. It was just the second time all season that New Orleans had allowed a team to reach the century mark.

Pick: Under

Oklahoma City Thunder at Boston Celtics (2.5, 187)

The Oklahoma City Thunder seek to continue their impressive winning streak and the Boston Celtics aim to end a dubious losing skid when the teams meet Monday in Boston.

Oklahoma City has won six consecutive games and has the second-best record in the NBA behind the Chicago Bulls. The Thunder defeated the New York Knicks 104-92 on Saturday in a contest nowhere near as close as the final score.

Oklahoma City called off the assault in the third quarter while leading by 30 points. Star forward Kevin Durant scored 30 or more points in each of Oklahoma City’s first four games and hasn’t reached it since. However, he has made 70 percent of his field-goal attempts the last two games while scoring 29 against the New Orleans Hornets on Wednesday and 28 against the Knicks.

Boston fell 97-83 to the Indiana Pacers on Saturday for its fourth straight loss and continues to play like an aged squad. The Celtics have lost three straight home games and are 4 1/2 games behind the first-place Philadelphia 76ers in the Atlantic Division.

Pick: Thunder

 
Posted : January 15, 2012 11:52 pm
(@blade)
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ORLANDO (8 - 3) at NEW YORK (6 - 6)

Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CHICAGO (12 - 2) at MEMPHIS (5 - 6)

Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 63-36 ATS (+23.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
CHICAGO is 65-46 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MILWAUKEE (4 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 3)

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

HOUSTON (5 - 7) at WASHINGTON (1 - 11)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 234-182 ATS (+33.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 82-39 ATS (+39.1 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
HOUSTON is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 27-51 ATS (-29.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 268-333 ATS (-98.3 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 86-116 ATS (-41.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 65-97 ATS (-41.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND (5 - 6) at CHARLOTTE (3 - 10)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PORTLAND (7 - 5) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 9)

Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) after a division game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NEW JERSEY (3 - 10) at LA CLIPPERS (6 - 3)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

TORONTO (4 - 9) at ATLANTA (9 - 4)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SACRAMENTO (4 - 9) at MINNESOTA (4 - 8)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 10-26 ATS (-18.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 2) at BOSTON (4 - 7)

Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DALLAS (8 - 5) at LA LAKERS (9 - 5)

Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 70-44 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 43-21 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : January 16, 2012 11:25 am
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Posts: 318493
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ORLANDO vs. NEW YORK
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home

CHICAGO vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

CLEVELAND vs. CHARLOTTE
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Charlotte is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Charlotte is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Cleveland

HOUSTON vs. WASHINGTON
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

MILWAUKEE vs. PHILADELPHIA
Milwaukee is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games

PORTLAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
Portland is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

NEW JERSEY vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
LA Clippers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey

TORONTO vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Toronto's last 25 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

OKLAHOMA CITY vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

SACRAMENTO vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

DALLAS vs. LA LAKERS

Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 6-19 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Dallas
LA Lakers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Dallas

 
Posted : January 16, 2012 11:26 am
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ORLANDO at NEW YORK
ORLANDO: 9-0 Under after game where both teams scored 105+ pts
NEW YORK: 19-3 ATS off BB double digit road losses by 10+

CHICAGO at MEMPHIS
CHICAGO: 23-11 Under playing their 3rd game in 4 days
MEMPHIS: 23-9 ATS with same season revenge

MILWAUKEE at PHILADELPHIA
MILWAUKEE: 16-3 Under playing w/ 2 days rest
PHILADELPHIA: 9-1 ATS as favorite

HOUSTON at WASHINGTON
HOUSTON: 82-39 ATS Away after allowing 105+ pts last game
WASHINGTON: 25-5 Under off 3 straight losses

CLEVELAND at CHARLOTTE
CLEVELAND: 5-1 Under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points
CHARLOTTE: 17-6 ATS at home off home win

PORTLAND at NEW ORLEANS
PORTLAND: 27-10 ATS if road favorite last game
NEW ORLEANS: 31-19 Under in home games

NEW JERSEY at LA CLIPPERS
NEW JERSEY: 31-53 ATS off double digit loss
LA CLIPPERS: 9-2 Over off a division win

TORONTO at ATLANTA
TORONTO: 29-17 ATS off BB losses
ATLANTA: 9-22 ATS off BB ATS wins

SACRAMENTO at MINNESOTA
SACRAMENTO: 25-12 Under off double digit road loss
MINNESOTA: 14-35 ATS off road loss by 3pts or less

OKLAHOMA CITY at BOSTON
OKLAHOMA CITY: 31-16 ATS Away off an Under
BOSTON: 26-42 ATS vs. Western Conference

DALLAS at LA LAKERS
DALLAS: 24-8 ATS as road underdog
LA LAKERS: 21-33 ATS as home favorite

 
Posted : January 16, 2012 11:28 am
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Hot Teams
-- Orlando won/covered four of its last five games.
-- Chicago won its last five games (4-3 as road favorite). Memphis won four of its last five home games.
-- 76ers won/covered eight of their last nine games.
-- Rockets covered last five games (3-1 last four SU); favorites covered six of their seven road games (1-0 as AF).
-- Clippers won/covered four of last five home games. Nets covered four of last six games (5-4 as road underdog).
-- Hawks won five of their six home games (2-3 as home favorite).
-- Oklahoma City won its last six games (5-1 vs spread).
-- Mavericks won/covered their last five games. Lakers won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost last two games, by 11-12 points; they're 1-4 vs spread at home this season.
-- Bucks are 0-7 on the road (1-4 as road underdog).
-- Wizards are 1-11, 1-3 as home underdogs.
-- Charlotte lost six of its last seven games. Cavaliers lost three of last four games (5-3 as road underdog).
-- New Orleans lost its last five home games. Trailblazers lost four of their five road games.
-- Raptors lost last four games, but are 4-3 as a road underdog.
-- Minnesota lost its last three home games. Sacramento is 1-6 as a road underdog.
-- Boston lost its last four games, scoring 80.3 ppg.

Totals
-- Knicks' last six games stayed under the total. Last three Orlando games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Chicago games stayed under.
-- Three of Bucks' last four games went over.
-- Five of last six Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven Charlotte home games went over the total.
-- Four of five Portland road games stayed under the total.
-- Nets' last four road games went over the total.
-- Six of seven Toronto road games stayed under the total.
-- Kings' last five road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of Thunder's six road games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last nine Dallas games stayed under the total.

Wear and Tear
-- Magic: Had last three days off. Knicks: 4th game/6 days.
-- Bulls: 6th game/8 days. Grizzlies: 3rd game/5 days.
-- Bucks: Had last two days off. 76ers: 8th game/11 days.
-- Rockets: 5th game/7 days. Wizards: 5th game/7 days.
-- Cavaliers: Had last two days off. Bobcats: 10th game/14 days.
-- Trailblazers: 5th game/7 nites. Hornets: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Nets: 4th game/6 nites. Clippers: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- Raptors: 6th game/8 nites. Hawks: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Kings: 5th game/7 nites. T'wolves: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Thunder: 2nd game/5 nites. Celtics: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Mavericks: 5th game/7 nites. Lakers: 5th game/7 nites.

 
Posted : January 16, 2012 12:00 pm
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Hoop Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Raptors are 11-0 ATS (8.3 ppg) since November 25, 2005 on the road with at most one day of rest after a road loss in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Magic are 0-11 OU (-12.5 ppg) since April 26, 2009 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.

PLAYER BASED TREND OF THE DAY:

The Bulls are 11-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since December 15, 2010 on the road after a win at home in which Joakim Noah took fewer than 10 shots.

CHOICE TREND:

The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since January 07, 2011 at home after a loss in which Wesley Johnson shot worse than 33% from the field.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

The Kings are 9-0 ATS (7.0 ppg) since November 24, 1995 on the road with at least one day of rest after a road loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists.

 
Posted : January 16, 2012 1:09 pm
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