Monday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets (-5.5, 200)
Denver was clinging to a lead over the Los Angeles Lakers on New Year’s Eve but couldn’t close the deal in the fourth quarter, falling 92-89. Denver’s leading scorer on the year, Ty Lawson, was held to just nine points.
He rebounded to score 10 by halftime Sunday against the Lakers and finished with 17 points and 10 assists in Denver's 99-90 win.
The Nuggets covered the 5.5-point spread to improve to 4-1 against the spread on the year. Denver is also on a 11-3-2 run against the number at home, and they’ll need to keep that going this season.
"We're all coming to the realization that it's going to be a quick year, kind of a wild-and-crazy year," Nuggets coach George Karl said of the schedule. "Our job is to find out how to continue to be a very good basketball team, with the normal NBA season probably not going to exist."
Karl will have his team ready to ride the momentum of Sunday's win.
Pick: Nuggets
New Orleans Hornets at Utah Jazz (-6.5, 182.5)
The Utah Jazz were hammered 104-89 at San Antonio Saturday night after trailing by as many as 27 points in the fourth quarter. It was the club’s third blowout loss in four games and the Jazz are starting to get worried.
“We’re a different team on the road. It’s obvious, for whatever reason,” Earl Watson told reporters. “But you can’t sit there and look for the reason why. You have to look for the reason how to win on the road. First, we’ve got to start getting close.”
Utah’s lone win this season was a 102-99 home win over Philadelphia but the Jazz are still only 7-19 against the spread in their last 26 home games.
The Jazz look to have more issues than just their play on the road.
Pick: Hornets
GOLDEN STATE (2 - 2) at PHOENIX (1 - 3)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO (1 - 2) at NEW YORK (2 - 2)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (3 - 1) at MIAMI (4 - 0)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 131-168 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
MIAMI is 70-99 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA (3 - 1) at NEW JERSEY (1 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 72-95 ATS (-32.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-0 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON (0 - 3) at BOSTON (1 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO (3 - 1) at DETROIT (1 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 39-52 ATS (-18.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 86-129 ATS (-55.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO (3 - 1) at MINNESOTA (0 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 553-480 ATS (+25.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY (5 - 0) at DALLAS (1 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 63-42 ATS (+16.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 42-20 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-5 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE (2 - 1) at DENVER (2 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 96-74 ATS (+14.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS (2 - 1) at UTAH (1 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 36-49 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Golden State
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Atlanta's last 19 games when playing Miami
Atlanta is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
ORLANDO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
TORONTO vs. NEW YORK
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 13 games
WASHINGTON vs. BOSTON
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
INDIANA vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
New Jersey is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
New Jersey is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
SAN ANTONIO vs. MINNESOTA
San Antonio is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DALLAS
Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Oklahoma City is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
MILWAUKEE vs. DENVER
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Milwaukee is 6-18-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Denver
Denver is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
NEW ORLEANS vs. UTAH
New Orleans is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Utah
New Orleans is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
Hoop Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Nets are 0-12-1 ATS (-10.0 ppg) since November 06, 2004 as a home dog with at most one day of rest after a game in which they had more turnovers than assists.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Nets are 11-0 OU (12.6 ppg) since December 06, 2000 at home with at most one day of rest after a double digit road loss in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.
PLAYER BASED TREND OF THE DAY:
The Mavericks are 7-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since November 25, 2009 with no rest after a loss in which Dirk Nowitzki was the Mavericks’ high scorer.
CHOICE TREND:
The Spurs are 0-7 OU (-11.9 ppg) since May 19, 2008 after a win at home in which Manu Ginobili made at least 5 threes.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS (13.4 ppg) since November 11, 2004 as a dog after a double digit loss in which their DPS was minus 15 points or less.
GOLDEN STATE at PHOENIX
GOLDEN STATE: 1-5 ATS after scoring 85 points or less
PHOENIX: 26-19 ATS off a road loss
TORONTO at NEW YORK
TORONTO: 22-37 ATS off a road loss
NEW YORK: 21-9 ATS off a road win
ATLANTA at MIAMI
ATLANTA: 19-4 UNDER vs. division opponents
MIAMI: 21-5 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more
INDIANA at NEW JERSEY
INDIANA: 24-11 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points
NEW JERSEY: 12-26 ATS after scoring 85 points or less
WASHINGTON at BOSTON
WASHINGTON: 21-4 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive losses
BOSTON: 28-11 UNDER in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite
ORLANDO at DETROIT
ORLANDO: 30-47 ATS after playing a game as favorite
DETROIT: 26-14 ATS after playing a home game
SAN ANTONIO at MINNESOTA
SAN ANTONIO: 14-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders
MINNESOTA: 34-55 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
OKLAHOMA CITY at DALLAS
OKLAHOMA CITY: 16-6 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite
DALLAS: 15-35 ATS after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more
MILWAUKEE at DENVER
MILWAUKEE: 19-7 ATS in road games off a home win
DENVER: 67-42 UNDER in home games in January games
NEW ORLEANS at UTAH
NEW ORLEANS: 25-11 UNDER against Northwest division opponents
UTAH: 77-49 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread