Monday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
San Antonio Spurs at Memphis Grizzlies (-6, 189)
One thing the San Antonio Spurs will not have to worry about Monday is whether its starters got enough rest.
Trailing by 18 points in the third quarter at Dallas on Sunday, coach Gregg Popovich pulled all his starters and watched as the bench scored the final 51 points and forced overtime. The reserves ended up falling just short in the 101-100 setback, dropping the Spurs to 2-8 on the road.
Where San Antonio really seems to struggle away from home is on defense, where it has surrendered an average of 102.3 points versus 89.5 at home. The Spurs will try to correct that discrepancy Monday.
The Grizzlies looked like they were on their way to realizing their preseason potential with a seven-game winning streak earlier this month, but a three-game slide has raised more questions.
Pick: Grizzlies
Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks (-7, 180.5)
No Andrew Bogut, no problem. The Milwaukee Bucks shocked the Los Angeles Lakers 100-89 on Saturday without their starting center in the lineup.
The Bucks will be without Bogut for at least three months after he suffered a broken ankle against the Houston Rockets on Wednesday. Drew Gooden stepped into the starting lineup and scored 23 points against Los Angeles.
The Detroit Pistons play the second of a four-game road trip in Milwaukee on Monday. Detroit is 1-9 on the road, including a 95-74 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Saturday.
The Pistons are the worst offensive team in the NBA and are scoring only 81.4 points per road game this season. Detroit is 2-6 in its last eight games.
Milwaukee beat visiting Detroit 102-93 on Jan. 12. The teams have split their last 10 meetings.
Pick: Under
Hot Teams
-- Bulls covered eight of their last ten road games. Washington won two of three games since they changed coaches.
-- 76ers won/covered nine of their last 11 home games.
-- Miami won seven of last eight games, but is 0-4 vs spread in its last four home games.
-- Bucks are 5-2 at home (2-1 as home favorites).
-- Rockets won nine of eleven home games (8-2-1 vs spread). Minnesota covered four of its last five road games.
-- Mavericks won five of their last six games.
-- Thunder won 11 of last 12 games, covered five of last six on the road. Clippers won seven of their last ten games.
Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost five of its last seven games; they were outscored by 76 points in their last ten quarters.
-- New Orleans lost 10 of last 11 games, but covered five of last six.
-- Pistons are 1-8-1 vs spread as a road underdog.
-- Memphis lost its last three games, scoring 86.3 ppg. Spurs lost eight of ten road games (2-2-1 as road dog).
-- Portland lost six of its last eight road games. Utah covered once in its last four home games.
-- Suns lost eight of their last eleven games.
Totals
-- Six of last eight Chicago games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Orlando road games went over the total. Philly's last five home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Miami home games stayed under total.
-- Eight of ten Detroit road games stayed under the total. Milwaukee's last four games all went over.
-- Seven of last nine San Antonio road games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Portland games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Clipper games went over the total.
Wear and Tear
-- Bulls: 3rd game/4 nites. Wizards: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Magic: 6th game/8 nites. 76ers: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Hornets: 4th game/6 nites. Heat: 7th game/10 nites.
-- Pistons: 4th game/6 nites. Bucks: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Spurs: 4th game/6 nites. Grizzlies: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Wolves: 4th game/6 nites. Rockets: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Blazers: Had last two nites off. Jazz: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Mavericks: 4th game/6 nites. Suns: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Thunder: Had last two nites off. Clippers:
ORLANDO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games at home
CHICAGO vs. WASHINGTON
Chicago is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Washington
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home
NEW ORLEANS vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Orleans's last 14 games
New Orleans is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
DETROIT vs. MILWAUKEE
Detroit is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing Milwaukee
Detroit is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
SAN ANTONIO vs. MEMPHIS
San Antonio is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Memphis
San Antonio is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Memphis is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
MINNESOTA vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
PORTLAND vs. UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games when playing Utah
Portland is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games when playing Portland
Utah is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Portland
DALLAS vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Phoenix is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA CLIPPERS
Oklahoma City is 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games when playing LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 10 games at home
CHICAGO (17 - 5) at WASHINGTON (4 - 16) - 1/30/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 69-50 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-63 ATS (-30.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 271-335 ATS (-97.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 55-75 ATS (-27.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ORLANDO (12 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (14 - 6) - 1/30/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 46-61 ATS (-21.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in January games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 65-96 ATS (-40.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 7-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ORLEANS (4 - 16) at MIAMI (15 - 5) - 1/30/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 116-160 ATS (-60.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 152-110 ATS (+31.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (4 - 17) at MILWAUKEE (8 - 11) - 1/30/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 104-82 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN ANTONIO (12 - 9) at MEMPHIS (10 - 9) - 1/30/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 11-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-7 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (9 - 11) at HOUSTON (12 - 8) - 1/30/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PORTLAND (12 - 8) at UTAH (11 - 7) - 1/30/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
UTAH is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (13 - 8) at PHOENIX (7 - 12) - 1/30/2012, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 3) at LA CLIPPERS (11 - 6) - 1/30/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 113-90 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 60-42 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 382-454 ATS (-117.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 170-233 ATS (-86.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Hoop Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Suns are 10-0 ATS (7.2 ppg) since November 25, 2009 when playing the second game of a two game homestand after winning the first.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Pistons are 10-0 OU (12.8 ppg) since November 21, 2009 with at least one day of rest after a road loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.
PLAYER BASED TREND OF THE DAY:
The Grizzlies are 10-0 ATS (7.0 ppg) since November 30, 2010 after losing the previous matchup on the road in which Oj Mayo scored fewer than 10 points.
CHOICE TREND:
The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS (-6.5 ppg) since April 12, 2010 when facing a team that covered by double digits against them in their previous same-season meeting.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Mavericks are 10-0 ATS (6.9 ppg) since April 25, 2009 after winning the previous matchup at home in which Jason Kidd had more rebounds than points.
CHICAGO at WASHINGTON
CHICAGO: 42-23 Under if underdog last game
WASHINGTON: 5-21 ATS off SU win
ORLANDO at PHILADELPHIA
ORLANDO: 7-21 ATS Away off BB double digit losses
PHILADELPHIA: 14-3 ATS as favorite
NEW ORLEANS at MIAMI
NEW ORLEANS: 17-4 ATS vs. Southeast Division
MIAMI: 10-1 Over as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points
DETROIT at MILWAUKEE
DETROIT: 4-13 ATS Away off BB losses
MILWAUKEE: 22-8 Under as home favorite
SAN ANTONIO at MEMPHIS
SAN ANTONIO: 18-6 Over as underdog
MEMPHIS: 13-1 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games
MINNESOTA at HOUSTON
MINNESOTA: 5-1 ATS off home loss
HOUSTON: 6-2 Over vs. Minnesota
PORTLAND at UTAH
PORTLAND: 5-15 ATS as road dog of 6 pts or less
UTAH: 29-11 Over vs. division
DALLAS at PHOENIX
DALLAS: 6-1 ATS off ATS loss
PHOENIX: 1-6 ATS revenging road loss
OKLAHOMA CITY at LA CLIPPERS
OKLAHOMA CITY: 18-7 ATS Away if road favorite last game
LA CLIPPERS: 12-26 ATS after scoring 105+ pts