Monday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Detroit Pistons at Utah Jazz (-7.5, 190.5)
The Detroit Pistons have pulled themselves back into the playoff race. Now we’ll really see what they’re made of over the next 19 days.
The Pistons play 10 games in 10 different cities during that stretch and begin a five-game road trek Monday in Utah.
If Rodney Stuckey can keep up his torrid pace, the Pistons may be able to get through this grind with their heads above water. Stuckey is averaging 22.8 points over his last five games.
"We've been playing really good basketball. We've got to continue to keep playing like that," Stuckey told the team's official website after dropping 20 points in Saturday’s win over Toronto. "It'll be a test, but I think we're up for the challenge."
This game could set the tone for the next couple of weeks as Detroit has just three road wins on the season.
Utah has lost three straight against the number, so the Pistons could be catching the Jazz at the right time.
Pick: Pistons
Charlotte Bobcats at New Orleans Hornets (-7, 184)
The New Orleans Hornets might never have a better opportunity to earn their 11th win than Monday, when they host the NBA-worst Charlotte Bobcats.
The Hornets have the worst record in the Western Conference but finally reached double figures in wins on Saturday, when they took out the depleted Minnesota Timberwolves to snap a four-game slide.
The Bobcats are the only team in the league averaging fewer points than New Orleans and had their most recent losing streak hit three games over the weekend.
New Orleans is searching for hope for the future as well, while looking forward to Thursday’s trade deadline. The Hornets have had center Chris Kaman on the block off and on since acquiring the big man as part of the Chris Paul trade in December.
Kaman has done nothing to diminish his value and was the star of Saturday’s win at Minnesota, putting up 20 points and six rebounds in the 95-89 triumph. New Orleans will play six of its next seven at home, where it is just 4-16.
Pick: Hornets
Hot Teams
-- Bucks won three of last four games, covered six of last seven.
-- Bulls won eight of last ten home games (4-5-1 vs spread).
-- Pistons won four of their last five games. Utah won six of its last nine home games.
-- Suns won/covered seven of their last eight home games. Minnesota is 12-6 against the spread on the road this season.
Cold Teams
-- Nets are 1-6-1 vs spread in their last eight home games.
-- Knicks lost last five games (0-6 vs spread last six on road).
-- New Orleans lost eight of its last ten home games. Bobcats lost last four road games (0-4 against spread).
-- San Antonio lost four of its last seven games. Wizards lost eight of last ten games (1-3 vs spread last four on road).
-- Celtics lost seven of their last eight road games. Clippers lost four of their last six home games (1-5 vs spread).
Wear-and-Tear
-- Bucks: 3rd game/4 nites. Nets: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Knicks: 5th game/7 nites. Bulls: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Bobcats: 5th game/7 nites. Hornets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Wizards: 2nd game/3 nites. Spurs: Last two nites off.
-- Pistons: 3rd game/4 nites. Jazz: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- T'wolves: 3rd game/4 nites. Suns: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Celtics: 5th game/7 nites. Clippers: 3rd game/4 nites.
Totals
-- Last nine Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Five of last six New York games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Charlotte road games went over total.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in Washington's last six home games.
-- Seven of last eight Detroit road games went over total.
-- Five of last six Phoenix games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Boston games went over the total.
Back-to-Back
-- Milwaukee is 3-9-1 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Knicks are 2-4 vs spread if they lost the day/nite before.
-- Clippers are 4-1 vs spread at home if they played the night before. Boston is 0-6 vs spread on road if it played the day/nite before.
Armadillosports.com
MILWAUKEE (17 - 24) at NEW JERSEY (14 - 28) - 3/12/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-0 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW YORK (18 - 23) at CHICAGO (34 - 9) - 3/12/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHARLOTTE (5 - 34) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 31) - 3/12/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) in March games since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (9 - 30) at SAN ANTONIO (26 - 13) - 3/12/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 171-212 ATS (-62.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 565-492 ATS (+23.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 369-312 ATS (+25.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 150-113 ATS (+25.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 106-74 ATS (+24.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DETROIT (15 - 26) at UTAH (19 - 21) - 3/12/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 101-71 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
UTAH is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MINNESOTA (21 - 21) at PHOENIX (19 - 21) - 3/12/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 35-52 ATS (-22.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BOSTON (21 - 19) at LA CLIPPERS (23 - 16) - 3/12/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 257-308 ATS (-81.8 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 70-102 ATS (-42.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE vs. NEW JERSEY
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
New Jersey is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games
CHARLOTTE vs. NEW ORLEANS
Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games at home
New Orleans is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
NEW YORK vs. CHICAGO
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New York is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
Chicago is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing New York
WASHINGTON vs. SAN ANTONIO
Washington is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
San Antonio is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
DETROIT vs. UTAH
Detroit is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Utah
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Utah's last 11 games when playing Detroit
MINNESOTA vs. PHOENIX
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
BOSTON vs. LA CLIPPERS
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games at home
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games at home
MILWAUKEE at NEW JERSEY
MILWAUKEE: 5-1 Over in March
NEW JERSEY: 0-8 ATS vs. Milwaukee
NEW YORK at CHICAGO
NEW YORK: 10-3 Under playing on back to back days
CHICAGO: 10-2 ATS off non-conf game
CHARLOTTE at NEW ORLEANS
CHARLOTTE: 31-14 Under off road loss
NEW ORLEANS: 0-5 ATS as a favorite
WASHINGTON at SAN ANTONIO
WASHINGTON: 8-0 Under Away if home dog L2 games
SAN ANTONIO: 11-1 ATS at home vs. Southeast Division
DETROIT at UTAH
DETROIT: 14-4 ATS 2nd half of season
UTAH: 3-16 ATS off BB non-conf games
MINNESOTA at PHOENIX
MINNESOTA: 17-7 ATS as a dog
PHOENIX: 15-3 Under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points
BOSTON at LA CLIPPERS
BOSTON: 8-22 ATS playing on back to back days
LA CLIPPERS: 4-0 ATS vs. Boston
Hoop Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Hornets are 0-11 ATS (-10.9 ppg) since April 08, 2009 at home with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Suns are 0-10 OU (-18.3 ppg) since December 31, 2010 with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Timberwolves are 0-9 ATS (-5.6 ppg) since November 19, 2010 as a dog after losing the previous matchup on the road in which Kevin Love was the Timberwolves’ high scorer.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Clippers are 9-0 ATS (4.6 ppg) since January 29, 2011 at home after a loss in which Blake Griffin had a double double.The Suns are 9-0-2 ATS (6.0 ppg) since March 04, 2011 after winning the previous matchup in which Steve Nash had at least 10 assists.
CHOICE TREND:
The Wizards are 0-12 OU (-11.5 ppg) since January 02, 2010 after a double digit loss in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was at least eight.