Monday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets (-4, 201.5)
The Dallas Mavericks snapped a five-game skid against the number with Saturday’s 106-99 win over San Antonio.
Dirk Nowitzki paced the attack with 27 points, while adding six rebounds and four assists. Veteran point guard also had a solid night with 14 points and 10 assists.
“We were to be aggressive, penetrate, make the extra pass, and guys were knocking down shots,” Kidd told reporters. “As the season is getting closer to the end, we’ve got to play better basketball. Tonight is a perfect example of that.”
Dallas has won and covered in each of the last two meetings between these two teams and the Nuggets have a hard time cashing in at home. They are only 4-12 against the spread in their last 16 home dates.
Pick: Mavericks
Philadelphia 76ers at Charlotte Bobcats (N/A)
It’s been a tough year for D.J. Augustin. He missed almost a month of action with a toe injury and had cracked 20 points just once in 14 games before one of his best performances of the season Saturday against Toronto.
He finished with 23 points and 11 assists to help the Bobcats secure a 107-103 victory as 1-point underdogs.
"He [assistant coach Stephen Silas] wants me to come off picks trying to attack," Augustin told reporters after the game. "I come off a lot of times looking to pass or hit the roll man, but he wants me to attack a little more. I was just feeling it tonight, and I came out aggressive. We played a good game as a team. We've got to do that more often."
The Bobcats have now covered in six of their last nine and host a Philadelphia club that has dropped three straight against the spread.
Pick: Bobcats
Hot Teams
-- Hawks won four of their last five home games.
-- Orlando won/covered its last four home games. Bulls won nine of their last ten road games.
-- Mavericks won last three games, all at home; they lost their last seven road games (1-6 vs spread). Denver won seven of last ten games.
Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost 15 of last 18 home games, but covered three of last four. 76ers lost last three games, by 17-6-9 points.
-- Celtics lost nine of their last twelve road games, but covered three of last four as a road underdog.
-- New Jersey lost four of its last five games. Cavaliers lost their last three games, by 8-10-16 points.
-- Warriors lost last three games, by 2-22-6ot points. Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
Wear-and-Tear
-- 76ers: 4th game/6 nites. Bobcats: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Celtics: 6th game/9 nites. Hawks: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Cavaliers: 2nd nite in row, after three off. Nets: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Bulls: 4th game/6 nites. Magic: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Mavericks: 3rd game/5 nites. Nuggets: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- T'wolves: 4th game/5 nites. Warriors: 7th game/10 nites.
Totals
-- Four of last five Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in Boston's last twelve away games.
-- Five of Nets' last six home games went over total.
-- Seven of Chicago's last ten games went over the total.
-- Last five Dallas games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota road games went over.
Back-to-Back
-- Hawks are 6-0 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 2-4 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Magic is 1-3 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Minnesota is 3-1 vs spread on road if they lost night before.
Armadillosports.com
PHILADELPHIA (25 - 20) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 36) - 3/19/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON (23 - 21) at ATLANTA (26 - 19) - 3/19/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 58-73 ATS (-22.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CLEVELAND (16 - 26) at NEW JERSEY (15 - 31) - 3/19/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 56-70 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in home games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 6-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 6-4 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHICAGO (37 - 10) at ORLANDO (29 - 17) - 3/19/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (26 - 20) at DENVER (25 - 20) - 3/19/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 72-57 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 83-63 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 51-28 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (22 - 24) at GOLDEN STATE (18 - 24) - 3/19/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHARLOTTE
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
CLEVELAND vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 14 games when playing New Jersey
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games at home
CHICAGO vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Orlando
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing Chicago
DALLAS vs. DENVER
Dallas is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Denver is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Dallas
MINNESOTA vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
PHILADELPHIA at CHARLOTTE
PHILADELPHIA: 1-5 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread
CHARLOTTE: 9-21 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent
BOSTON at ATLANTA
BOSTON: 1-10 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread
ATLANTA: 12-2 ATS in home games after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread
CLEVELAND at NEW JERSEY
CLEVELAND: 8-19 ATS after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers
NEW JERSEY: 2-13 ATS in home games against Central division opponents
CHICAGO at ORLANDO
CHICAGO: 5-0 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent
ORLANDO: 2-8 ATS after scoring 90 points or less 2 straight games
DALLAS at DENVER
DALLAS: 45-21 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins
DENVER: 2-12 ATS in home games against Southwest division opponents
MINNESOTA at GOLDEN STATE
MINNESOTA: 22-37 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
GOLDEN STATE: 46-29 ATS off a road loss
Hoop Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Bobcats are 13-0 ATS (11.4 ppg) since March 07, 2008 at home off a win in which they trailed by 10+ points.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Nuggets are 10-0-1 OU (18.5 ppg) since January 06, 2006 at home with at most one day of rest after a win in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four.
PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Hawks are 0-10 OU (-12.3 ppg) since February 28, 2011 after a win on the road in which Josh Smith was not the Hawks’ high scorer.
CHOICE TREND:
The Celtics are 0-12-1 ATS (-6.7 ppg) since November 21, 2010 with at most one day of rest after a loss in which they had five or fewer offensive rebounds.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Celtics are 0-9 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since April 11, 2011 on the road after a loss in which Rajon Rondo was not the Celtics’ high scorer.The Warriors are 8-0 ATS (12.4 ppg) since May 11, 2007 as a favorite off an overtime game.