Monday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Golden State Warriors at Washington Wizards (NA)
The end of the Warriors’ five-game road trip can’t come soon enough. The Warriors have been without guard Stephen Curry due to a foot injury in the last four and have had trouble putting points on the board. Usually one of the highest-scoring teams in the NBA, the Warriors have been held to 80.3 over the past four. The low point came on Sunday, when Golden State shot 36 percent in an 83-75 loss at Toronto.
The Washington Wizards represent the last stop on the trip. The Wizards rank 29th in the NBA in scoring defense and have surrendered at least 98 points in each of their last eight games. But Washington snapped a six-game slide with a 101-98 victory over Cleveland on Saturday.
Washington has played hard recently, coming up just short in losses to Sacramento, Milwaukee and Orlando sandwiched around the All-Star Break. The Wizards finally broke through on Saturday, grabbing a fourth-quarter lead and hanging on until the finish. The backcourt duo of John Wall and Jordan Crawford handled the bulk of the scoring against the Cavaliers. Wall is averaging 24.3 points over the last four games and has cut his turnovers down in the last two as well.
Andray Blatche returned to the lineup for the first time since Jan. 28 on Saturday and chipped in nine rebounds.
Washington is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
Pick: Wizards
Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder (-7, 195)
If the Thunder are going to become the best in the West, they’ll need to go through the reigning NBA champion first. Oklahoma City has gone 2-1 in its three meetings with Dallas this season, most recently taking a 95-86 road victory on Feb. 1.
Dallas' ongoing drama with reserve forward Lamar Odom is over – for now. After leaving the team for undisclosed personal reasons on Feb. 22 and being threatened with a demotion to the D-League, Odom returned to the team Saturday and issued an apology for his abrupt departure.
The best news for the Mavs was the eruption by Dirk Nowitzki, who scored a season-high 40 points in Saturday's win over Utah.
OKC point guard Russell Westbrook looked mostly healthy in the team's loss to Atlanta, scoring 25 points despite an ankle injury. But he grabbed no rebounds and had just four assists. The Thunder could not overcome 21 turnovers.
Dallas is 12-3-1 in its last 16 visits to Oklahoma City.
Pick: Mavericks
Hot Teams
-- Toronto is 6-1-1 vs spread in its last eight home games. Magic won five of its last seven road games.
-- Minnesota won last three home games, but is 0-5-1 vs spread in their last six home games.
-- Pacers/Bulls both won their last six games, Indiana won last five by 9+ points- Chicago covered four of its last five.
-- Thunder won its last 12 home games (8-4 vs spread).
-- Denver is 3-0 since All-Star break, winning by 9-12-5 points.
-- New Orleans covered its last six road games.
Cold Teams
-- Jazz lost its last six road games (2-4 vs spread). Cleveland lost its last five games, covered one of last six at home.
-- Washington lost six of its last seven games. Warriors are 1-3 on this road trip, losing by 24-22-8 points.
-- Clippers lost four of their last seven games.
-- Milwaukee lost six of its last seven home games. 76ers lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Mavericks lost four of last five games (0-5 vs spread).
-- Kings lost eight of last nine road games, but covered nine of last 12.
-- Portland lost six of its last eight home games.
Back-to-Back
-- Toronto is 6-4 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Warriors are 5-2 when they played the night before.
-- Clippers are 6-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- 76ers are 7-3 vs spread if they played night before, 4-3 on road.
-- Chicago is 7-4-1 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Denver is 3-7-2 vs spread if it played the night before. Kings are 5-4 vs spread if they lost night before.
Wear-and-Tear
-- Jazz: 5th game/7 nites. Cavaliers: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Magic: 4th game/6 nites. Raptors: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Warriors: 5th game/7 nites. Wizards: 2nd game/3 nites.
-- Clippers: 4th game/5 nites. T'wolves: 5th game/7 nites.
-- 76ers: 5th game/7 nites. Bucks: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Pacers: 2nd game/ 3 nites. Bulls: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Mavericks: 5th game/7 nites. Thunder: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Kings: 5th game/7 nites. Nuggets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Hornets: 5th game/7 nites. Blazers: 4th game/6 nites.
Totals
-- Five of last seven Utah road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Orlando games went over the total.
-- Last four Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Clipper games went over the total.
-- Bucks' last five games all went over the total. Seven of last eight Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Chicago games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Thunder games stayed under.
-- Three of Kings' last four road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven New Orleans games went over the total.
Armadillosports.com
UTAH (17 - 19) at CLEVELAND (13 - 22) - 3/5/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ORLANDO (24 - 14) at TORONTO (12 - 25) - 3/5/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GOLDEN STATE (14 - 20) at WASHINGTON (8 - 28) - 3/5/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA CLIPPERS (22 - 13) at MINNESOTA (19 - 19) - 3/5/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 385-455 ATS (-115.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 255-306 ATS (-81.6 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (22 - 16) at MILWAUKEE (14 - 23) - 3/5/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-54 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (23 - 12) at CHICAGO (31 - 8) - 3/5/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 80-53 ATS (+21.7 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
CHICAGO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-6 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (22 - 16) at OKLAHOMA CITY (29 - 8) - 3/5/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 123-98 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 80-58 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 136-102 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-7 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-6 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SACRAMENTO (12 - 25) at DENVER (21 - 17) - 3/5/2012, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ORLEANS (9 - 28) at PORTLAND (18 - 19) - 3/5/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 157-115 ATS (+30.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
GOLDEN STATE vs. WASHINGTON
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Golden State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Washington is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
UTAH vs. CLEVELAND
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Utah
Cleveland is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
PHILADELPHIA vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
DALLAS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Dallas's last 16 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Dallas is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Dallas
LA CLIPPERS vs. MINNESOTA
LA Clippers are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games on the road
LA Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
INDIANA vs. CHICAGO
Indiana is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana
SACRAMENTO vs. DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 10 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home
NEW ORLEANS vs. PORTLAND
New Orleans is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
New Orleans is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
UTAH at CLEVELAND
UTAH: 43-25 ATS in non-conference games
CLEVELAND: 1-11 ATS against Northwest division opponents
ORLANDO at TORONTO
ORLANDO: 63-45 ATS after playing a home game
TORONTO: 28-44 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent
GOLDEN STATE at WASHINGTON
GOLDEN STATE: 2-8 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games
WASHINGTON: 1-6 ATS after playing a game as favorite
LA CLIPPERS at MINNESOTA
LA CLIPPERS: 33-18 OVER in road games revenging a loss vs opponen
MINNESOTA: 33-21 OVER after playing a game as a road underdog
PHILADELPHIA at MILWAUKEE
PHILADELPHIA: 17-6 ATS off a home loss
MILWAUKEE: 0-9 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent
INDIANA at CHICAGO
INDIANA: 8-24 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points
CHICAGO: 18-9 ATS when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points
DALLAS at OKLAHOMA CITY
DALLAS: 29-14 ATS as an underdog
OKLAHOMA CITY: 20-9 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points
SACRAMENTO at DENVER
SACRAMENTO: 8-1 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses
DENVER: 8-2 ATS off a road win
NEW ORLEANS at PORTLAND
NEW ORLEANS: 12-4 ATS as a road underdog
PORTLAND: 1-10 ATS when playing 5 or less games in 14 day
Hoop Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Raptors are 0-15 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since March 19, 2000 with at most one day of rest after a home win in which they shot less than 40% from the field.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Cavaliers are 0-12 OU (-14.2 ppg) since March 06, 2011 at home when facing a team they lost to on the road in their previous same-season match-up.
PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Mavericks are 12-0 ATS (8.6 ppg) since February 26, 2010 on the road after a win in which Dirk Nowitzki scored at least 30 points.
CHOICE TREND:
The Trailblazers are 0-10 ATS (-13.2 ppg) since April 20, 2010 after a game in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Thunder are 13-0 OU (17.4 ppg) since April 14, 2010 at home after Kevin Durant scored at least 30 points the last two.