Monday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Atlanta Hawks at Toronto Raptors (4.5, 182.5)
Hawks star Joe Johnson didn't show up for Sunday's shocking 102-86 loss to Toronto, going 2 for 12 for seven points.
Atlanta was embarrassed by a cast of castoffs that included Alan Anderson (16 points), Ben Uzoh (10 points, 3 assists) and Justin Dentmon (10 points, 4 assists). All three of those Raptors are on 10-day contracts.
“Guys are just playing the right way, playing together, playing with a purpose,” Toronto coach Dwane Casey said. “You’ve got guys who don’t want to go down without a fight. Atlanta’s one of the top teams in the NBA and they came out and performed.”
Atlanta (35-25) should respond in a big way on the back end of this home-and-home.
The Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings with the Raptors, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven visits to Toronto.
Pick: Hawks
Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz (NA)
The Jazz has no margin for error as it hosts the Mavericks on Monday. Utah has lost back-to-back games and sits in 10th place in the Western Conference, 1 1/2 games behind the eighth and final playoff position with only five games left.
Utah has blown fourth-quarter leads in devastating losses to the New Orleans Hornets and Memphis Grizzlies. Coach Tyrone Corbin has elected to sell the losses as a time to learn. “We aren’t out it by any stretch of the imagination,” Corbin said. “Plus, we want to continue to grow as a team. These experiences this time of year are invaluable to us.”
Dallas lost in overtime to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday but remains in sixth place.
Forward Dirk Nowitzki is in a shooting slump as the season winds down. Nowitzki hit just 9 of 28 shots in the 112-108 loss to the Lakers and is shooting 37.9 percent (36 of 95) over the last five games. Nowitzki still managed 24 points and 14 rebounds against Los Angeles but was unhappy with his performance. “I just have to make some shots,” Nowitzki said. “I was more of a volume shooter and that’s not the way I want to play. I want to be an efficient scorer. I’ve got some work to do.”
The Mavs are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.
Pick: Mavericks
Hot Teams
-- Hornets won four of last five games (5-0 vs spread), all at home.
-- Pacers won their last four games, covered their last three.
-- 76ers covered seven of last ten games as a road favorite.
-- Hawks covered their last four away games. Toronto won its last two games, allowing 79-86 points.
-- Miami won last two games, allowing 82-85 points, but they're 4-8 in their last dozen road games.
-- Bulls covered four of last five home games; they won their last two games in overtime. Washington is 7-5 vs spread in its last 12 road games.
-- Suns won/covered ten of their last twelve home games.
-- Mavericks won three of their last four games.
-- Spurs won five of their last six games.
-- Clippers won five of last six games; they're 5-3 vs spread in last eight home games. Thunder won four of their last five games.
Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost their last 15 games (4-11 vs spread).
-- Minnesota lost its last nine games (2-7 vs spread).
-- Magic lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Nets are 1-4-1 vs spread in last six games as a home underdog.
-- Houston lost its last three games, by 12-7-15 points. Nuggets lost last three road games, by 2-15-6 points.
-- Portland lost four of last five games, but covered four of last five on the road.
-- Jazz lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Golden State lost its last four games (1-3 vs spread).
Wear-and-Tear
-- Hornets: 3rd game/4 nites. Bobcats: 10th game/14 nites.
-- Wolves: 4th game/6 nites. Pacers: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- 76ers: Last two nites off. Magic: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Hawks: 3rd game/4 nites. Raptors: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Heat: 4th game/5 nites. Nets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Wizards: 3rd game/4 nites. Bulls: 2nd in row after 2 nites off.
-- Nuggets: 3rd game/4 nites. Rockets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Blazers: 3rd game/4 nites. Suns: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Mavericks: 4th game/5 nites. Jazz: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Spurs: 6th game/9 nites. Warriors: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Thunder: 3rd game/4 nites. Lakers: 4th game/6 nites.
Totals
-- Four of last five New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Indiana's last eleven home games.
-- Four of last five Orlando home games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Washington road games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Portland road games went over the total.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Dallas games.
-- Over is 11-3 in an Antonio's last 14 away games.
-- Under is 6-3 in Oklahoma City's last nine road games.
Back-to-Back
-- Hornets are 7-4 vs spread on road if they played nite before. Bobcats are 6-15 vs spread if they played night before, 2-5 at home.
-- Magic is 1-5 vs spread at home if it played the night before.
-- Hawks are 6-2-1 vs spread on road if they played nite before. Raptors are 0-3 vs spread at home if they played on road night before.
-- Heat are 1-4 vs spread when playing second nite in row on road.
-- Bulls are 2-4-1 vs spread at home if they played on road nite before.
-- Nuggets are 0-4 vs spread on road if they played at home night before. Rockets are 8-0 vs spread at home if they played the night before.
-- Trailblazers are 2-4 vs spread when playing second night in a row on the road.
-- Mavericks are 5-2 vs spread when playing second night in a row on the road.
Armadillosports.com
NEW ORLEANS (18 - 42) at CHARLOTTE (7 - 52) - 4/16/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-51 ATS (-28.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 39-58 ATS (-24.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
CHARLOTTE is 25-48 ATS (-27.8 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) after scoring 85 points or less this season.
CHARLOTTE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MINNESOTA (25 - 36) at INDIANA (38 - 22) - 4/16/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-43 ATS (-17.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 151-191 ATS (-59.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
INDIANA is 122-86 ATS (+27.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PHILADELPHIA (31 - 28) at ORLANDO (35 - 25) - 4/16/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 9-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 9-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ATLANTA (35 - 25) at TORONTO (22 - 39) - 4/16/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MIAMI (42 - 17) at NEW JERSEY (22 - 39) - 4/16/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 63-78 ATS (-22.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 84-105 ATS (-31.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (14 - 46) at CHICAGO (46 - 14) - 4/16/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 69-90 ATS (-30.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 35-25 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 82-55 ATS (+21.5 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DENVER (33 - 27) at HOUSTON (32 - 28) - 4/16/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 128-177 ATS (-66.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
HOUSTON is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days this season.
HOUSTON is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PORTLAND (28 - 33) at PHOENIX (31 - 29) - 4/16/2012, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 8-6 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-7 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DALLAS (34 - 27) at UTAH (31 - 30) - 4/16/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 90-71 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAN ANTONIO (42 - 16) at GOLDEN STATE (22 - 37) - 4/16/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 295-245 ATS (+25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 16) at LA CLIPPERS (37 - 23) - 4/16/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 135-109 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 70-51 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 389-458 ATS (-114.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 267-319 ATS (-83.9 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 27-49 ATS (-26.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 131-182 ATS (-69.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS vs. CHARLOTTE
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing New Orleans
MINNESOTA vs. INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
PHILADELPHIA vs. ORLANDO
Philadelphia is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
ATLANTA vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
MIAMI vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
New Jersey is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New Jersey is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games at home
WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
DENVER vs. HOUSTON
Denver is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
DALLAS vs. UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Dallas's last 20 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Dallas
PORTLAND vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Phoenix is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. LA CLIPPERS
Oklahoma City is 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games at home
LA Clippers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
SAN ANTONIO vs. GOLDEN STATE
San Antonio is 13-4-2 ATS in its last 19 games
San Antonio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Golden State is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
Golden State is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
New Orleans at Charlotte
New Orleans: 28-14 ATS away after playing as an underdog
Charlotte: 2-12 ATS at home in April
Minnesota at Indiana
Minnesota: 17-8 Over as a road underdog
Indiana: 7-21 ATS off BB ATS wins
Philadelphia at Orlando
Philadelphia: 22-11 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Orlando: 10-24 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
Atlanta at Toronto
Atlanta: 1-9 ATS off a loss by 10+ points as a favorite
Toronto: 22-9 ATS after losing 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Miami at New Jersey
Miami: 12-2 ATS away after allowing 85 points or less
New Jersey: 4-12 ATS as a home underdog
Washington at Chicago
Washington: 7-18 ATS playing their third game in four days
Chicago: 21-10 ATS off an Over
Denver at Houston
Denver: 9-18 ATS after playing as a home favorite
Houston: 8-1 ATS at home off a road loss
Portland at Phoenix
Portland: 11-3 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Phoenix: 4-14 ATS revenging a road loss
Dallas at Utah
Dallas: 32-14 ATS as a road underdog
Utah: 10-22 ATS off BB road games
San Antonio at Golden State,
San Antonio: 25-9 ATS in the second half of the season
Golden State: 2-10 ATS at home off an Over
Oklahoma City at LA Clippers
Oklahoma City: 13-2 ATS away playing with same-season revenge
LA Clippers: 4-15 ATS after scoring 110+ points
Hoop Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Pacers are 15-0 ATS (11.8 ppg) since April 07, 1999 as a favorite after a road win in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Pacers are 0-16 OU (-13.0 ppg) since January 24, 2003 as a home favorite with at least one day of rest after a win in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.
PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Hawks are 0-10 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since February 28, 2007 on the road after losing the previous matchup at home in which Joe Johnson shot worse than 33% from the field.
CHOICE TREND:
The 76ers are 0-10 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since November 28, 2008 on the road after a home loss in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Hornets are 0-9 ATS (-9.7 ppg) since December 28, 2008 as a favorite when they held their opponent to fewer than 80 points in their last game.
The Spurs are 0-11 ATS (-5.4 ppg) since January 15, 2007 on the road off a home win in which their leading scorer for that game had fewer than 20 points.
The League is 0-12 OU (-11.4 ppg) since December 06, 2010 after a double digit win in which less than 40% of their baskets were assisted. Active on Toronto.