Monday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Detroit Pistons at Indiana Pacers (-9.5, 193)
This is the time of year when most playoff-bound teams are resting their starters but the Indiana Pacers are still working in a new one. Darren Collison started 56 of 57 games for the Pacers. Then he got hurt, and backup point guard George Hill led the team to its longest winning streak of the season.
Now coach Frank Vogel says Hill will keep the starting job even when Collison returns from injury.
“The way (the team is) rolling right now, I don’t think you mess with that chemistry,” Vogel told the Indy Star. “You keep it, you stay the course and that’s the plan.”
The Pacers are 7-1 straight up and 5-3 ATS with Hill at the helm.
Pick: Pacers
Cleveland Cavaliers at Memphis Grizzlies (-13, 191)
The Grizzlies franchise hasn’t seen a lot of the postseason in its 17-year history, but for a second straight season Memphis is heading to the playoffs.
The Grizz are winning games and improving their position in the Western Conference but they aren’t covering the large spreads oddsmakers are giving them. Lionel Hollins’ ballers are 5-1 in their last six but just 1-5 ATS.
The Cavs are coming off a big win over the Knicks and are happy to have Kyrie Irving back in the lineup. The soon-to-be Rookie of the Year scored 21 points in 25 minutes against New York.
“I wish we would’ve been consistent throughout the season,” Irving told the Akron Beacon Journal. “We’ve beaten good teams throughout the season and we’ve shown we can play with the good teams.”
Expect the Cavs to keep this one close.
Pick: Cavs
Hot Teams
-- Indiana won seven of its last eight games, covered six of seven.
-- Wizards won three of their last four games.
-- 76ers won four of their last five road games.
-- Memphis won its last nine home games (5-3 vs spread last eight).
-- Toronto covered five of its last seven road games.
-- Spurs won/covered their last seven games.
Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost five of their last six road games.
-- Bobcats have somehow lost 20 games in a row (5-15 vs spread).
-- Nets lost their last four home games (1-3 vs spread).
-- Cleveland won/covered once in their last five games.
-- Bucks lost five of their last seven games.
-- Trailblazers lost seven of their last eight games.
Wear-and-Tear
-- Pistons: 5th game/7 nites. Pacers: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Bobcats: 3rd game/4 nites. Wizards: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- 76ers: 2nd game/5 nites. Nets: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- Cavaliers: 10th game/14 nites. Grizzlies: 9th game/13 nites.
-- Raptors: 2nd in row, after 3 nites off. Bucks: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Blazers: 2nd game/5 nites. Spurs: 6th game/8 nites.
Totals
-- Four of last five Detroit road games went over total.
-- Five of last six Charlotte games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Philly road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Toronto's last eleven games.
-- Six of last eight Portland road games went over the total.
Back-to-Back
-- Pistons are 3-6-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Bobcats are 4-10 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Cavaliers are 3-1 vs spread when playing on road 2nd nite in row.
-- Raptors are 5-2 vs spread when playing on road 2nd nite in row.
-- Spurs are 4-1 vs spread at home if they played night before.
Armadillosports.com/
DETROIT (24 - 40) at INDIANA (41 - 23) - 4/23/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHARLOTTE (7 - 56) at WASHINGTON (17 - 46) - 4/23/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
CHARLOTTE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 11-33 ATS (-25.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
CHARLOTTE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 46-66 ATS (-26.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 132-176 ATS (-61.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-5 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (33 - 30) at NEW JERSEY (22 - 42) - 4/23/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 64-80 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 85-107 ATS (-32.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CLEVELAND (21 - 42) at MEMPHIS (39 - 25) - 4/23/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 89-68 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (22 - 42) at MILWAUKEE (30 - 33) - 4/23/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 141-181 ATS (-58.1 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 45-68 ATS (-29.8 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PORTLAND (28 - 36) at SAN ANTONIO (47 - 16) - 4/23/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 29-9 ATS (+19.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 297-245 ATS (+27.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT vs. INDIANA
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Indiana's last 14 games
CHARLOTTE vs. WASHINGTON
Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
PHILADELPHIA vs. NEW JERSEY
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
New Jersey is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
New Jersey is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
TORONTO vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 12 games
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
CLEVELAND vs. MEMPHIS
Cleveland is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Memphis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
Portland is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 11-1-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home
San Antonio is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Portland
New York at Atlanta
Detroit: 7-1 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Indiana: 1-7 ATS off BB home games
Charlotte at Washington
Charlotte: 6-22 ATS playing with same-season revenge
Washington: 10-1 Under off a division game
Philadelphia at New Jersey
Philadelphia: 12-2 Over away off a road win
New Jersey: 1-10 ATS at home with a total of 180 to 189.5 points
Cleveland at Memphis
Cleveland: 29-11 Under after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Memphis: 7-0 ATS off BB games allowing 90 points or less
Toronto at Milwaukee
Toronto: 19-6 ATS after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Milwaukee: 14-33 ATS as a favorite of 10+ points
Portland at San Antonio
Portland: 1-8 ATS away off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
San Antonio: 14-3 ATS with a total of 200+ points
Hoop Trends - Monday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Nets are 0-16-1 ATS (-8.1 ppg) since April 14, 1996 as a home dog with at least one day of rest after a loss in which they made more baskets than their opponent.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Raptors are 12-0-1 OU (13.5 ppg) since March 12, 2003 as a dog with no rest after a game on the road in which they shot less than 40% from the field.
PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Spurs are 12-0 OU (12.5 ppg) since March 21, 2010 after a win in which Manu Ginobili shot better than 66% from the field.
CHOICE TREND:
The Grizzlies are 12-0 ATS (7.2 ppg) since January 17, 2005 as a home favorite on Monday after playing on Friday and Saturday.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Wizards are 0-10 ATS (-12.2 ppg) since November 28, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.
The 76ers are 10-0 OU (10.9 ppg) since November 10, 2010 on the road with at least a day of rest after a win on the road in which Jodie Meeks was not the 76ers’ high scorer.