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NBA Betting News and Notes Monday, April 3rd, 2017

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(@blade)
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NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, April 3rd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : April 3, 2017 9:05 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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NBA Knowledge

Portland won six of last seven games with Minnesota; they won last three visits to Twin Cities, by 5-6-6 points. Last four series games stayed under total. Trailblazers won/covered its last six games; five of their last seven games stayed under total. Portland is 6-1 vs spread in las seven road games. Minnesota lost seven of last nine games, is 5-2 vs spread in last seven home tilts. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : April 3, 2017 9:06 am
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PORTLAND (38 - 38 ) at MINNESOTA (30 - 45) - 4/3/2017, 7:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 49-69 ATS (-26.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PORTLAND vs. MINNESOTA
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Portland

StatFox Super Situations

PORTLAND at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Home favorites (MINNESOTA) after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more 50-21 since 1997. ( 70.4% | 26.9 units ) 15-10 this year. ( 60.0% | 4.0 units )

PORTLAND at MINNESOTA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game 39-13 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.0% | 23.6 units ) 4-3 this year. ( 57.1% | 1.0 units )

PORTLAND at MINNESOTA
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games 82-43 since 1997. ( 65.6% | 34.7 units ) 21-13 this year. ( 61.8% | 6.7 units )

 
Posted : April 3, 2017 9:36 am
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Blazers face Timberwolves
By: StatFox.com

The Blazers and Timberwolves meet in Minnesota for a game that was supposed to be played on Mar. 6.

Portland and Minnesota were supposed to clash at Target Center on Mar. 6, but the game was postponed to Monday. This was supposed to be a night that was free of NBA games, as the attention is supposed to be on the NCAA Championship Game. That wasn’t how it worked out, though. The playing conditions on the Target Center floor were not safe on that March day, and now both of these teams will be missing that college showdown. Fortunately, only one player that will be in this game is an alumni of any of the Final Four teams. That would be Ed Davis, who went to North Carolina back in the day. As for this matchup, the Blazers are going to be the more confident team on Monday. Portland has gotten hot recently, and the team is currently holding on to the eighth seed in the Western Conference Playoffs. The Blazers also happen to be 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS when facing the Timberwolves on Apr. 8, 2015. It also helps that they’re set to be at full strength on Monday, yet Minnesota is without SG Zach LaVine (Knee) for the remainder of the season.

The Blazers have beaten the Timberwolves twice this season, and it’s hard not to think about the play of SG C.J. McCollum (23.3 PPG) in those games. In two meetings with Minnesota this season, McCollum is averaging a ridiculous 37.5 PPG in 34.5 MPG. He shot 71.1% from the floor and 63.6% from three in those games, and he’ll hope to get hot once again on Monday. One thing that should help him do that is the attention that PG Damian Lillard (26.8 PPG, 5.9 APG, 4.9 RPG) will be drawing. Lillard is scorching hot coming into this contest, so defenses will have to be honest with both of them. Don’t be surprised if both of them put up 30, as they’re facing a Timberwolves team that has struggled to defend the perimeter throughout the course of the season. This team will, however, be without C Jusuf Nurkic in this one. Nurkic has been great since getting to Portland, so it will be a big loss for the Blazers. They’ll need somebody like C Meyers Leonard (5.3 PPG, 3.1 RPG) to step it up in this one.

When the Timberwolves faced the Blazers on Mar. 25, SF Andrew Wiggins (23.2 PPG) and PF Karl-Anthony Towns (24.7 PPG, 12.1 RPG, 1.3 BPG) combined to score just 36 points. That is not a good enough number for this duo, and each of them will need to hit the 20-point mark in order to win this game on Monday. They both will also need to be a lot better on the glass, as Wiggins has zero rebounds in that game and Towns had just five. The Timberwolves will also need some solid play out of both PGs Ricky Rubio (10.9 PPG, 9.0 APG, 1.8 SPG) and Kris Dunn (3.9 PPG, 1.0 SPG) on Monday. Both players are playing very well heading into this game, and they both bring tenacity on the defensive end. If they can somehow limit the scoring of Lillard and McCollum then things would be a lot easier for Minnesota on Monday. They cannot; however, both struggle from the field at the same tiem. One of these guys needs to provide a lift on offense, and that just might be Dunn. The rookie had 17 points against the Blazers on Mar. 25, and he might be confident going against smaller guards like Portland has.

 
Posted : April 3, 2017 9:40 am
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