NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, November 21st, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Phoenix lost four of last five games; they’re 5-3 as road underdogs. Over is 10-1 in Suns’ last 11 games, 8-1 in their road games. Wizards lost four of last five games, are 3-3 at home, 3-2 as home favorites. Last four Washington games went over total. Washington is 5-3 in its last eight games with Phoenix; under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Suns won three of their last five visits here.
Warriors won their last seven games, are 4-4 as road favorites. Five of last six Golden State games went over. Pacers won in OT at OKC last night; they won three of last four games, are 6-2 at home, 1-1 as home underdogs. Four of last five Indiana games stayed under. Golden State won four of last five games with Indiana; over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Warriors lost three of last five visits here.
Heat won its last two games, covered its last four; they’re 2-3 on road, 0-0 as road favorites. Under is 6-2 in last eight Miami games. Philly won its last three home games; they’re 6-2 as home underdogs. Over is 8-3 in Sixers’ last 11 games. Miami won its last five games with the 76ers (2-2-1 vs spread); last three series games here went over the total. Heat won last four visits here, by 10-4-18-15 points.
Charlotte is off to an 8-4 start; they’re 4-2 at home, 4-0 as home favorites. Memphis won/covered its last four games; they’re 3-3 on road, 2-3 as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over total. Hornets won last two games with Memphis after losing six of previous seven meetings; over is 4-2 in last six series games. Charlotte covered last three series games; teams split last seven meetings here.
Detroit lost three in row, six of last eight games; they’re 5-1 SU at home, 0-0 as home dogs. Under is 7-2 in Pistons’ last nine games. Rockets won three of last four games, are 4-4 on road (1-1 as road favorites). Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Pistons won three of last four games with Houston; five of last six series games went over the total. Rockets lost by 13-11 points in last two visits here.
Orlando won three of its last four games; they’re 3-3 as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under. Milwaukee lost five of last six games; they’re 4-3 at home, 2-2 as home favorites. Over is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Home side won eight of last ten Orlando-Milwaukee games; Magic lost five of last six visits to Milwaukee (3-4 vs spread). Over is 3-1 in last four series games.
Boston won four of its last six games; they’re 2-4 on road, 2-1 as road favorites. Last six Celtic games stayed under the total. Minnesota is 3-3 at home, 0-2 as home underdogs; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Home side won last eight Boston-Minnesota games; last three series games went over total. Celtics lost last four visits here, by 18-10-2-12 points.
Dallas lost its last five games (0-5 vs spread); under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Mavericks are 2-5 as road underdogs. San Antonio is 3-3 at home, 2-4 as home favorite; four of their last six games stayed under the total. Spurs won their last five games with Dallas (4-1 vs spread); seven of last eight series games stayed under. Mavericks lost last five visits to Alamo (2-3 vs spread).
Toronto lost tough game in Sacramento last night; they’ve lost three of last four games, are 4-2 on road, 3-0 as road underdogs. Six of their last seven games went over total. Clippers are 0-3 vs spread in last three games; they’re 6-2 as home favorites; five of their last six games went over total. Clippers lost their last four games with Toronto (under 3-1); Raptors won by 12-11 in last two visits here.
Armadillosports.com
NBA: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Clippers
'Under' has been the right choice when these two clash in Los Angeles. However, Clippers dropping 110.5 per 100 possessions, Raptors with its defensive woes allowing 104.9 per 100 possessions there is an 'Over'-Whelming change this one busts 'Over' the 211 total offered at Bet365.com. Raptors have played 'Over in seven of eight road games when giving up 100 or more points, seven straight 'Over' after running the hardwood vs Kings, 7-1 'Over' after a loss, 13-5 'Over' playing without rest. Clippers on a 5-1 'Over' stretch, 4-0 'Over' with extra shut-eye the numbers point to 'Over' .
Monday's NBA Essentials
By Tony Mejia
VegasInsider.com
Game of the Night - Toronto at L.A. Clippers
The Raptors were set to play an extra five minutes in Sacramento on Sunday night after Terrence Ross rose up and fired an improbable 3-pointer before the clock expired, tying the Kings at 102, but a review showed the clock didn’t start immediately when DeMarcus Cousins managed to get a hand on the inbounds pass. It started nearly immediately, but not at the moment he tipped it, so the NBA’s replay center deemed that .4 on the clock that were left when he got his shot off would’ve expired had things started on time. Predictably, head coach Dwane Casey lost it, throwing his clipboard on the floor as he headed towards the locker room feeling his team was robbed. Dave Joerger already had his Kings in their quarters, hurrying them off the court before anyone changed their minds.
Count on an unhappy Raptors (8-5 SU, 7-5-1 ATS) team taking the floor at Staples Center for this meeting with the Clippers (12-2 SU, 9-5 ATS), who enter the week with the NBA’s best record. Toronto suffered through consecutive losses for the first time this season last week, falling to last year’s NBA Finals participants. The Raps rallied to beat Denver to start their current five-game road trip, but fell last night and are hoping to avoid losses in four of five, something that didn’t happen to them all last season.
Compton native DeMar DeRozan returns to Southern California as the NBA’s third-leading scorer (31.4) after being held to just 12 points by Rudy Gay’s great defense on a night where he missed 12 shots and had no rhythm. He’ll look to bounce back against Luc Mbah a Moute, whose defense has played a key role in L.A.’s first start. The Raptors are an 8-to-8.5-point underdog, getting more points than they have all season after being just 6-point dogs against the Cavs and Warriors. Toronto is 1-3 (2-1-1) as a ‘dog this season and 1-1 (1-0-1 ATS) on the second night of back-to-backs.
The Clippers have won three of the last five meetings between these teams and have bounced back with consecutive wins over the Kings and Bulls since being upset at home by Memphis last Wednesday. Chris Paul and Blake Griffin are playing at extremely high levels. Reserve wing Wesley Johnson is out with a heel injury, while Toronto’s DeMarre Carroll hasn’t played in back-to-backs all season and seems unlikely to participate.
Big Dog's Boy's Big Chance
Pacers forward Glenn Robinson III started against the Thunder last night with Paul George and CJ Miles sidelined and played a huge role in a 115-111 OT win with 16 points and 11 rebounds while playing a team-high 45 minutes. George (ankle) and Miles (knee) aren’t playing on Monday either, so Robinson and Thaddeus Young will have to contend with Kevin Durant and Draymond Green as Golden State (11-2 SU, 5-7-1 ATS) comes into Indiana (7-7 SU, 5-9 ATS) on a seven-game winning streak.
The 22-year-old Robinson has never played more than 30 minutes in consecutive games as a pro, much less the 40 he’s likely to play tonight if he can avoid foul trouble. He’s coming off career-highs in points, boards and minutes played, so when you throw in defending a pair of All-Stars, concerns over his energy level must come into play.
Durant is averaging 27.9 points and comes off a 33-point game in Oklahoma City’s 124-121 win in Milwaukee. He’s shot 31-for-51 (60.7 pct) through the first three games of this four-game road swing that ends tonight, hitting half his 3-pointers (9-for-18). Stephen Curry opened the trip with a 35-point game, but has shot just 6-for-30 (20 pct) from beyond the arc.
Golden State won 131-123 in Indy last season and is 7-1 on the road, but is just 2-5-1 attempting to cover large numbers. Tonight’s 13.5-point spread is the most they’ve been favored outside Oracle Arena to date as the Pacers back-to-back and George’s absence are being factored in heavily. Indiana is 0-2 SU/ATS on the second night of back-to-backs and is 0-1 SU/ATS as a home underdog.
Notable Head-to-Head Trends
The 76ers are looking to win consecutive games for the first time since March '15 but have dominated games against Saturday's victim, Phoenix, but have lost five straight against the Heat. Joel Embiid should play, making for a nice matchup against Hassan Whiteside. The Heat may be thin on the wing since Justise Winslow has been ruled out and Dion Waiters is dealing with a groin injury that may keep him sidelined.
The Hornets swept Memphis last season, ending a run that had seen them lose six of seven in the series. Injury concerns to be aware of tonight involve Chandler Parsons still being questionable while Hornets center Cody Zeller will miss another game with a shoulder injury.
The Pistons had been perfect at home before a 94-92 loss to the Celtics on Saturday night, so they'll be looking to bounce back in a contest that opened as a pick'em but has seen the Rockets bet into a favorite's role, laying a bucket. The Pistons swept last year's games and have won three of four in the series, although Stan Van Gundy will be running into Mike D'Antoni for the first time since 2011-12.
The home team in the Orlando-Milwaukee series has won in eight of the last 10, including four straight.
Ties That Bind
Following his acrimonious departure from Phoenix via trade demand, it was no surprise to see Markieff Morris enjoy one of his best games as a Wizard when he went for 21 points and nine rebounds in his April 1 return. His old teammates visit him in D.C. this time, and even though he left Saturday's game with an ankle injury, it's no surprise that he intends to suit up. Morris is averaging 13.7 points and 6.5 boards for Washington (3-9 SU, 4-8 ATS), which has been one of the NBA's biggest disappointments. Phoenix (4-10 SU, 8-6 ATS) is on the fifth leg of a six-game Eastern swing and fell 120-105 in the last stop at Philadelphia on Saturday. Starters T.J. Warren (illness) and Tyson Chandler (personal) are questionable.
Even with Kevin Garnett retired, the Celtics (7-6 SU/ATS) and Timberwolves (4-8 SU/ATS) still have connections since Connecticut native and Providence product Kris Dunn was passed on by Boston in this past draft and Karl-Anthony Towns is also from the Northeast. New head coach Tom Thibodeau, also a Connecticut native, helped the Celtics win a title as Doc Rivers' defensive coordinator. Minnesota has struggled to get going under his watch. According to Comcast Northeast, Minnesota averages 29.2 points in the first quarter and 29.8 in the second quarter to ranks second and third in the NBA, but average a league-worst 19.8 in the third quarter. This will be a fun matchup against Brad Stevens, who has his Celtics back at full strength after Al Horford (concussion) and Jae Crowder (ankle) returned for Saturday's 94-92 win at Detroit. These teams have split their meetings each of the past two years. Boston is 2-1 SU/ATS as a road favorite.
Tonight's NBA TV game features Dallas (2-10 SU, 3-9 ATS) and San Antonio (10-3, 8-5 ATS) renewing acquaintances at the AT&T Center. The Mavs have fallen off this season with Dirk Nowitzki dealing with injuries and Harrison Barnes getting acclimated to a huge role, but they've got more talent than their record indicates. Gregg Popovich and Rick Carlisle are unquestionably two of the top coaches in the game, but Pop has won the last five meetings since the Spurs haven't lost in this series since securing the services of Dallas native LaMarcus Aldridge.