Saturday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Chicago Bulls at Atlanta Hawks (3.5, 177)
The Hawks will be playing for the third straight night. It’s their fifth game in six days.
Chicago is playing for the fourth time in five days.
When these clubs met Tuesday in Chicago, the Bulls rallied from a 19-point deficit to win 76-74. Atlanta shot 35 percent, Chicago 33.8 percent. The teams combined to hit 8 of 32 from beyond the arc.
Look for another grind-it-out affair.
Pick: Under
Milwaukee Bucks at Los Angeles Clippers (-9.5, 194)
The Bucks are still without center Andrew Bogut, who is back in Australia tending to an undisclosed personal matter.
This will be the third straight game he’s missed. Without him on Thursday, the Bucks fell 103-100 in Sacramento in the debut of Kings coach Keith Smart.
Drew Gooden has played well in Bogut’s absence, with 42 points and 21 rebounds in two games. But he’s nowhere near Bogut’s level on defense.
L.A. is getting contributions throughout the lineup, though Blake Griffin and Chris Paul garner most of the attention. Chauncey Billups, DeAndre Jordan, Caron Butler and Randy Foye all came up big in the Clippers’ 117-89 win over Houston on Wednesday.
The Bucks are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games against the Clippers.
Pick: Clippers
CHARLOTTE (2 - 5) at INDIANA (5 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO (7 - 1) at ATLANTA (5 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 61-44 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-7 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 8-6 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK (3 - 4) at DETROIT (2 - 5)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (7 - 1) at NEW JERSEY (2 - 6)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO (3 - 4) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY (6 - 2) at HOUSTON (2 - 5)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DENVER (6 - 2) at SAN ANTONIO (5 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 124-169 ATS (-61.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 554-482 ATS (+23.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS (2 - 5) at DALLAS (3 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE (2 - 4) at LA CLIPPERS (3 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 16-2 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 101-71 ATS (+22.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH (4 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (2 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 41-69 ATS (-34.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
UTAH is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE vs. INDIANA
Charlotte is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
CHICAGO vs. ATLANTA
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
MIAMI vs. NEW JERSEY
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Miami's last 20 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 9 games
NEW YORK vs. DETROIT
New York is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
New York is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
Detroit is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against New York
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. HOUSTON
Oklahoma City is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
Oklahoma City is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Houston
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
TORONTO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Toronto is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Toronto is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games
Philadelphia is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toronto
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
DENVER vs. SAN ANTONIO
Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
NEW ORLEANS vs. DALLAS
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
MILWAUKEE vs. LA CLIPPERS
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
LA Clippers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games at home
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
UTAH vs. GOLDEN STATE
Utah is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Golden State
Utah is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Utah
Golden State is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
CHARLOTTE at INDIANA
CHARLOTTE: 96-61 ATS (+28.9 Units) after playing a game as a home underdog
INDIANA: 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back day
CHICAGO at ATLANTA
CHICAGO: 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) after playing a game as favorite
ATLANTA: 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite
NEW YORK at DETROIT
NEW YORK: 21-9 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite
DETROIT: 14-17 ATS after scoring 85 points or less
MIAMI at NEW JERSEY
MIAMI: 15-5 UNDER off an upset win as a road underdog
NEW JERSEY: 8-2 UNDER off a road win
TORONTO at PHILADELPHIA
TORONTO: 24-9 OVER (+14.1 Units) after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds
PHILADELPHIA: 30-14 OVER (+14.6 Units) off a home blowout win by 20 points or more
OKLAHOMA CITY at HOUSTON
OKLAHOMA CITY: 55-40 ATS in road games
HOUSTON: 11-3 ATS off 3 or more consecutive road losses
DENVER at SAN ANTONIO
DENVER: 37-22 UNDER as an underdog
SAN ANTONIO: 57-40 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite
NEW ORLEANS at DALLAS
NEW ORLEANS: 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) off a home loss
DALLAS: 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games
MILWAUKEE at LA CLIPPERS
MILWAUKEE: 101-71 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses
LA CLIPPERS: 47-74 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite
UTAH at GOLDEN STATE
UTAH: 58-37 OVER in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins
GOLDEN STATE: 14-4 OVER in January games
Hot Teams
-- Pacers are 5-2, 2-0 at home, winning by 12-7 points.
-- Bulls won their last six games (5-1 vs spread).
-- Miami is 7-1; they're 3-4 as favorite, 1-2 on road.
-- 76ers won/covered five of first six games. Raptors covered three of four as a road underdog.
-- Thunder are 6-2 this season, 3-5 vs spread as a favorite.
-- San Antonio is 5-0 at home (4-1 vs spread). Nuggets won their last four games (3-0-1 vs spread).
-- Mavericks won last three home games, by 13-13-9 points.
-- Clippers covered three of four as a favorite this year.
Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost five of their last six games.
-- Hawks are 2-3 in last five games; they played triple OT Thursday and one OT last night.
--- New York lost four of last six games, are 1-3 vs spread on road. Pistons lost five of their first seven games.
-- Nets lost six of last seven games (0-2 as home dog).
-- Rockets are 2-5, but home side won/covered all seven games. Houston won its two home games by 20-11 points.
-- Hornets lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Milwaukee is 0-4 on the road (0-3-1 vs spread).
-- Jazz is 0-3 on road, losing by 25-17-15 points; home team is 6-1 in Utah games this year. Warriors lost last four games, by 28-11-6-7 pts.
Totals
-- Six of seven Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Last four Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games stayed under total.
-- Three of four Miami road games went over total.
-- Five of seven Toronto games stayed under total.
-- All three Oklahoma City road games stayed under total.
-- Last five Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Four of six Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- All four Golden State home games stayed under.
Wear and Tear
-- Bobcats: 5th game/7 nights. Pacers: 3rd game/4 nights.
-- Bulls: 5th game/7 nights. Hawks: 9th game/12 nites, 3rd nite in row.
-- Knicks: 3rd game/ 4 nights. Pistons: 3rd game/4 nights.
-- Heat: 5th game/7 nights. Nets: 5th game/7 nights.
-- Raptors: 5th game/7 nights. 76ers: 3rd game/4 nights.
-- Thunder: 9th game/14 nights. Rockets: 3rd game/4 nights.
-- Nuggets: 6th game/8 nights. Spurs: 3rd game/4 nights.
-- Hornets: 5th game/7 nights. Mavericks: 7th game/10 nights.
-- Bucks: 4th game/6 nights. Clippers: 2nd game/6 nights.
-- Jazz: 6th game/9 nights. Warriors: 3rd game/4 nights.