Saturday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers (-3, 200)
Denver isn’t guarding anyone these days. The Nuggets have lost five straight, the latest a 109-101 home loss to Golden State in which the Warriors shot 51.9 percent overall and made 13 of 25 3-pointers.
The “D” was so non-existent that during the game, a fan tweeted: “Enver Nuggets!”
Indiana ranked ninth in 3-point shooting (37.1 percent) entering Friday’s visit to Memphis.
The last three times Indiana faced Denver, the teams combined for at least 228 points. The over is 6-2 in the last eight Pacers-Nuggets games, and 7-2 in Denver’s last nine road games.
Pick: Over
Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings (-2.5, 196.5)
The Kings surprised the Thunder on Thursday thanks to clutch shooting from Marcus Thornton, who buried back-to-back 3-pointers with less than three minutes left.
"Players have the ability to lock into a moment, to be in a zone, to make a shot that has to go down,” coach Ketih Smart said of Thornton, who began 3 of 12 but made 3 of his last 4 shots. “And he has the ability to do that."
Sacramento has won four of five. In three of those wins, the Kings trailed by at least seven points in the second half. Sacramento is a young team that feeds off its home crowd.
Phoenix went the final six minutes of Thursday’s home loss to Houston with one field goal, by Steve Nash. The Suns were destroyed on the boards, and five Rockets reserves scored in double figures.
The Kings are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games.
Pick: Kings
Hot Teams
-- Clippers won five of their last six road games; homecoming for Paul, who went to Wake Forest.
-- 76ers are 4-1 as road favorite; this is only their second road game in last three weeks (lost last two at home).
-- Knicks won last four games, covered last seven.
-- Spurs won/covered their last six games.
-- Mavericks won five of their last six road games.
-- Sacramento won its last three home games, covered last seven games overall. Suns won three of their last four road games.
Cold Teams
-- Bobcats covered once in their last nine home games.
-- Indiana lost three of last four games, failed to cover last four at home. Nuggets lost five in row, seven of last eight games.
-- Cavaliers lost nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Minnesota is 2-6-1 vs spread as a home favorite.
-- Nets lost their last five games (0-4 vs spread last four).
-- Trailblazers covered once in six games as a road underdog.
-- Bucks are 3-4 in last seven home games (3-3 as home dog). Orlando is 4-6 in its last ten games (4-3 as road favorite).
Wear and Tear
-- Clippers: 3rd game/4 nites. Bobcats: 2nd nite in row after two off.
-- Nuggets: 7th game/10 nites. Pacers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- 76ers: 6th game/9 nites. Cavaliers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Knicks: 3rd game/4 nites. Wolves: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Spurs: Had last two nites off. Nets: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Blazers: 3rd game/4 nites. Mavericks: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Magic: 6th game/9 nites. Bucks: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Suns: 6th game/9 nites. Kings: 4th game/6 nites.
Totals
-- Four of last five Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Denver road games went over the total.
-- Four of Philly's last five road games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-2 in New York's road games this season.
-- Last four New Jersey home games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3 in Mavericks' last eleven home games.
-- Four of last five Orlando road games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento home games went over.
Armadillosports.com
LA CLIPPERS (16 - 8) at CHARLOTTE (3 - 23) - 2/11/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 75-113 ATS (-49.3 Units) in February games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DENVER (15 - 12) at INDIANA (17 - 9) - 2/11/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 118-83 ATS (+26.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
DENVER is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (18 - 9) at CLEVELAND (10 - 15) - 2/11/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW YORK (12 - 15) at MINNESOTA (13 - 14) - 2/11/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN ANTONIO (18 - 9) at NEW JERSEY (8 - 20) - 2/11/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 243-189 ATS (+35.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 82-108 ATS (-36.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PORTLAND (15 - 12) at DALLAS (16 - 11) - 2/11/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 77-51 ATS (+20.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 47-25 ATS (+19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-6 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-7 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ORLANDO (16 - 11) at MILWAUKEE (12 - 14) - 2/11/2012, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 50-64 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 40-55 ATS (-20.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 107-85 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHOENIX (11 - 15) at SACRAMENTO (10 - 16) - 2/11/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS vs. CHARLOTTE
LA Clippers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games
Charlotte is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Charlotte is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
DENVER vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 9 games on the road
Denver is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games
PHILADELPHIA vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Philadelphia's last 25 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Cleveland's last 25 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Cleveland is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
NEW YORK vs. MINNESOTA
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New York is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
SAN ANTONIO vs. NEW JERSEY
San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
San Antonio is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Jersey's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
PORTLAND vs. DALLAS
Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Dallas's last 16 games when playing at home against Portland
Dallas is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
ORLANDO vs. MILWAUKEE
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Orlando
PHOENIX vs. SACRAMENTO
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
Sacramento is 4-1 SU in its last 5 game
Hoop Trends - Saturday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Bucks are 13-0 ATS (8.5 ppg) since December 16, 2009 off an overtime game.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Spurs are 0-10 OU (-6.0 ppg) since December 05, 2010 as a favorite after a win in which they made fewer baskets than their opponent.
PLAYER BASED TREND OF THE DAY:
The Trailblazers are 0-10 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since March 27, 2011 on the road after a win in which Gerald Wallace was not the Trailblazers’ high scorer.
CHOICE TREND:
The Timberwolves are 10-0 ATS (10.2 ppg) since December 23, 1995 as a favorite with no rest after a game in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Suns are 0-11 OU (-18.6 ppg) since December 31, 2010 after a game at home in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.The Trailblazers are 0-12 OU (-13.1 ppg) since December 18, 2004 as a dog with no rest after a win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.
LA CLIPPERS at CHARLOTTE
LA CLIPPERS: 29-45 ATS second half of the season
CHARLOTTE: 12-2 ATS after a combined score of 160 points or less
DENVER at INDIANA
DENVER: 26-12 ATS in non-conference games
INDIANA: 9-19 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
PHILADELPHIA at CLEVELAND
PHILADELPHIA: 26-12 ATS after a non-conference game
CLEVELAND: 123-90 OVER on Saturday games
NEW YORK at MINNESOTA
NEW YORK: 29-11 ATS as a road underdog
MINNESOTA: 6-16 ATS in home games second half of the season
SAN ANTONIO at NEW JERSEY
SAN ANTONIO: 47-30 ATS after a win by 10 points or more
NEW JERSEY: 38-51 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
PORTLAND at DALLAS
PORTLAND: 0-7 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins
DALLAS: 25-14 ATS off a road win
ORLANDO at MILWAUKEE
ORLANDO: 40-55 ATS as a favorite
MILWAUKEE: 62-43 ATS after a game where they covered the spread
PHOENIX at SACRAMENTO
PHOENIX: 2-11 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite
SACRAMENTO: 12-4 UNDER when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points