Saturday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors (-2.5, 207)
It’s hard to find a bigger fan of the recent Golden State trades than guard Klay Thompson.
The Warriors rookie guard has blown up in the six games since the team shipped out Monta Ellis and opened a starting spot for him in the backcourt. Over that span, the first-year player from Washington State is averaging 20 points in 37 minutes as he is shooting 40.9 percent from the field. Not the highest percentage, but not bad for a player of his pedigree learning how to score in a variety of ways every night. In a 101-92 win over New Orleans this week, Thompson exploded for a career-high 27 points. Overall, he is averaging 9.6 points, 1.9 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game.
"He came into the league being able to get open off screens and get shots," Warriors coach Mark Jackson told reporters. "The thing that he's gotten better with doing from Day 1 is putting the ball on the floor. He was not able to do that the first time he stepped on an NBA court. Right now he's comfortable doing it, and he's going to continue to get better."
The Warriors are 5-0 ATS their past five against the Pacific Division.
Pick: Warriors
Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers (-3.5, 190.5)
It looks like Vinny Del Negro might want to start checking the real estate market.
"Vinny has lost the team," one source told ESPN.com. "They don't want to play hard for him."
Reports leaked late this week the Clippers coach was losing the locker room and the team was starting to revolt. Well, going 4-6 SU and 2-8 ATS the past 10 games certainly can’t help. Another big issue is the coach’s inability to establish a consistent rotation with a talented squad. Guard Eric Bledsoe has seen his minutes go from double-digits to a seat on the bench some nights and starter and team-favorite Randy Foye has gone from key cog to the pine after the team acquired streak-shooter Nick Young.
Del Negro also reportedly has refused to critize stars Blake Griffin and Chris Paul while trashing the team’s reserves.
"That's a big problem," one player told ESPN.com. "The best coaches jump on whoever deserves it, no matter who it is."
And even with the team’s struggles, Del Negro refuses to admit he is an anchor brining down the team.
"When you're losing games, everyone jumps on you. If you can't take the heat, you shouldn't do the job," Del Negro told the Los Angeles Times. "That's part of it. You have to win games. That's what you're measured on and we haven't played as well as I would like or anybody."
Did we mention the Clippers are 2-8 ATS the past 10 games?
Pick: Grizzlies
Hot Teams
-- Hawks won four of their last five games.
-- Knicks won five of their last six games.
-- Houston won/covered its last three home games.
-- Spurs won/covered five of last six games but they're 3-6 as road fave.
-- Bulls won six of last seven games, are 4-7-2 as double digit home fave.
-- Bucks won/covered seven of their last eight games.
Cold Teams
-- Clippers lost six of last nine games (1-8 vs spread). Memphis lost four of its last five games.
-- Washington is 3-10 vs spread at home if number is 6 or less points.
-- Detroit lost seven of last eight road games (4-12-1 as road underdog of 6+ points).
-- Bobcats covered twice in their last seven road games. Nets lost their last five games (0-5 vs spread).
-- Mavericks lost eight of last nine road games (2-7 vs spread).
-- Hornets lost five of their last six home games.
-- Toronto lost three of last four games but is 6-2 as a double digit dog.
-- Pacers lost four of their last five road games.
-- Kings lost nine of last ten on road, but covered five of last six. Golden State lost five of its last six games.
Wear-and-Tear
-- Grizzlies: 3rd game/5 nites. Clippers: 10th game/14 nites.
-- Hawks: 5th game/7 nites. Wizards: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Pistons: 3rd game/4 nites. Knicks: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Bobcats: 2nd nite in row, after three off. Nets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Mavericks: 3rd game/4 nites. Rockets: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Spurs: 3rd game/4 nites. Hornets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Raptors: 4th game/5 nites. Bulls: Had last two nites off.
-- Pacers: 3rd nite in row, 8th/12 days. Bucks: 3rd nite in row.
-- Kings: 3rd game/5 nites.Warriors: 3rd game/4 nites.
Totals
-- Last six Clipper home games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit road games went over the total.
-- Last five Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Dallas games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight San Antonio games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Indiana games went over the total.
-- Nine of last ten Sacramento games went over the total.
Back-to-Back
-- Hawks are 4-1-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Pistons are 6-5-1 vs spread if they lost night before. Knicks are 3-4 vs spread if they lost the night before.
-- Bobcats are 3-6 vs spread on road if they played night before. Nets are 2-7-1 vs spread at home if they played the night before.
-- Mavericks are 3-5 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Spurs are 2-5 vs spread if they won the night before.
-- Raptors are 2-3 vs spread if they won the night before.
-- Pacers are 3-5 vs spread on road if they played night before. Bucks are 2-10-1 vs spread if they played night before, 1-5 at home.
Armadillosports.com
MEMPHIS (25 - 20) at LA CLIPPERS (26 - 21) - 3/24/2012, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 80-58 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 127-180 ATS (-71.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ATLANTA (28 - 20) at WASHINGTON (11 - 35) - 3/24/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 50-82 ATS (-40.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
ATLANTA is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 40-65 ATS (-31.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-62 ATS (-25.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 90-128 ATS (-50.8 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 129-176 ATS (-64.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 65-86 ATS (-29.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-65 ATS (-28.5 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 9-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (16 - 31) at NEW YORK (23 - 25) - 3/24/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 7-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHARLOTTE (7 - 38) at NEW JERSEY (15 - 34) - 3/24/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in March games since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 33-51 ATS (-23.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 6-5 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (27 - 22) at HOUSTON (26 - 22) - 3/24/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 84-65 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 101-73 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN ANTONIO (31 - 14) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 35) - 3/24/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (16 - 32) at CHICAGO (39 - 10) - 3/24/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (27 - 19) at MILWAUKEE (22 - 25) - 3/24/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 118-95 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SACRAMENTO (17 - 30) at GOLDEN STATE (19 - 26) - 3/24/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS vs. LA CLIPPERS
Memphis is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
LA Clippers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games at home
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
DETROIT vs. NEW YORK
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
CHARLOTTE vs. NEW JERSEY
Charlotte is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games
DALLAS vs. HOUSTON
Dallas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
TORONTO vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
SAN ANTONIO vs. NEW ORLEANS
San Antonio is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Orleans
San Antonio is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Antonio
New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing San Antonio
INDIANA vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
Milwaukee is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
SACRAMENTO vs. GOLDEN STATE
Sacramento is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games at home
Golden State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
MEMPHIS at LA CLIPPERS
MEMPHIS: 1-8 ATS off BB road games
LA CLIPPERS: 13-5 Under as home favorite
ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
ATLANTA: 9-0 Under if home favorite L2 games
WASHINGTON: 18-5 Under as home dog of 3 pts or less
DETROIT at NEW YORK
DETROIT: 17-7 ATS second half of the season
NEW YORK: 12-4 Under playing on back to back days
CHARLOTTE at NEW JERSEY
CHARLOTTE: 4-12 ATS off home loss
NEW JERSEY: 2-10 ATS at home off road game
DALLAS at HOUSTON
DALLAS: 26-9 ATS as road dog of 6 pts or less
HOUSTON: 23-11 Under off BB ATS wins
SAN ANTONIO at NEW ORLEANS
SAN ANTONIO: 10-2 ATS off division game
NEW ORLEANS: 7-18 ATS in home games
TORONTO at CHICAGO
TORONTO: 0-10 ATS Away revenging two double digit losses
CHICAGO: 25-13 ATS off BB road games
INDIANA at MILWAUKEE
INDIANA: 11-26 ATS playing on back to back days
MILWAUKEE: 15-5 ATS after scoring 110+
SACRAMENTO at GOLDEN STATE
SACRAMENTO: 10-3 Over in March
GOLDEN STATE: 30-10 ATS off double digit road loss
Hoop Trends - Saturday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Spurs are 13-0 ATS (6.7 ppg) since January 30, 1998 as a road favorite with at most one day of rest after a win in which they controlled at least 60% of the available rebounds.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Knicks are 0-11 OU (-11.7 ppg) since April 17, 2006 at home with at most one day of rest after a loss in which they shot less than 60% from the free-throw line.
PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Pacers are 0-13 ATS (-10.3 ppg) since December 20, 2010 with no rest after a loss in which Roy Hibbert was not the Pacers’ high scorer.
CHOICE TREND:
The Clippers are 0-12 ATS (-8.1 ppg) since February 05, 2000 at home after a road loss in which they allowed a shooting percentage at least 10 percentage points higher than their season-to-date average.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Pistons are 0-10 ATS (-9.4 ppg) since April 09, 2008 as a road dog with at most one day of rest after a loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.The Wizards are 0-11-1 OU (-10.3 ppg) since December 16, 2003 as a home dog with at most one day of rest off a loss in which they led at the end of the third quarter.
NBA: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
The Chicago Bulls and the Toronto Raptors square-off Saturday night at the United Center. The Eastern Conference leading Bulls (39-10, 30-19 ATS) were last seen Wednesday in Toronto at the Air Canada Centre where they put on a forth quarter rally to defeat Raptors 94-82. The victory marked Chicago's third consecutive (1-2 ATS) win in the series and the sixth in seven encounters (4-3 ATS) with Raptors. The rematch on Chicago's home court where Bulls are a solid 19-4 (12-11 ATS) should end with the same results, a Chicago victory. However, Bulls covering the expected 13 point spot could be dicey at best. Bulls are a vig losing 6-6 ATS at home laying double digits this season. Raptors are just 15-32 heading into Friday night's game but Purple Dino's have done a decent job covering the number posting a 26-20-1 ATS mark including cashing six of eight tickets on the road this season taking double digits. Consider taking the points knowing Raptors are on an 8-2 ATS streak last ten visits to the 'Windy City', on an 8-1-1 ATS streak vs a team with a winning record and ridding a profitable 10-4 ATS stretch on the road vs a team with a winning home record.