NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Saturday, January 28th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Kings lost six of last eight games, losing in OT in Indiana last nite after blowing a 16-point lead. Sacramento is 8-2-1 in its last 11 games as a road underdog- their last three games went over. Charlotte lost its last three games, is 10-8 as a home favorite- under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Hornets won four of last six games with Sacramento; four of last five series games went over total. Teams split last six series games played in Charlotte- dogs covered four of last five series games.
Detroit won three of last four games, is 3-6 vs spread in its last nine road games. Last three Piston games went over. Miami won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); five of their last six games stayed under. Heat is 8-4 vs spread in its last 12 home games. Pistons won five of last seven games with Miami; four of last six series games stayed under. Teams split last four games played here.
Boston won its last two games but lost three of last our on road; they’re 12-5 vs spread in last 17 road games. Four of last five Celtic games went over. Milwaukee lost seven of last eight games, is 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Celtics won four of last five games with Milwaukee; five of last six series games went over the total. Teams split last six games played here- dogs covered six of last eight series games.
Warriors won eight of last nine games; they covered last three home games. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Clippers lost three of last four games, are 3-8 vs spread in last 11 road games. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Golden State won its last seven games with Clippers; six of last eight series games stayed under the total. LA lost its last four visits to Oakland (2-2 vs spread).
Brooklyn covered five of last six games, but they’ve won one of last 16 games- they’re 6-4 vs spread in last 10 road games. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Minnesota won three of last four games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as a home favorite. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Nets are 4-6 in last ten games with Minnesota; road team was 6-4 in those games. Teams split last four games played here. Three of last four series games went over.
Denver won three of last four rgames, covered seven of last eight; 10-7 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under. Phoenix lost four of last six games; they’re 2-5 as home favorites. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Nuggets won/covered their last five games with Phoenix; last three series games went over total. Denver won its last two games here, by 8-6 points.
Memphis lost four of last six games, is 7-8-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten road games. Jazz won seven of its last eight home games; they’re 7-12 as home favorites. Last three Utah games stayed under the total. Grizzlies won three of last four games with Utah; five of last six series games stayed under total. Memphis won three of its last five visits to Utah.
Armadillosports.com
Saturday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Game of the Night – Clippers at Warriors
Los Angeles (30-17 SU, 23-24 ATS) continues a five-game road swing as the Clippers return to the west coast following Tuesday’s meltdown in a 121-110 loss at Philadelphia. The Clippers squandered a 19-point lead as L.A. couldn’t capitalize off an impressive away victory the night before in Atlanta. Blake Griffin returned to the Clippers’ lineup on Tuesday after missing the previous 18 games with a knee injury. Griffin struggled from the floor by scoring 12 points on 3-of-11 shooting, but did pull down 11 rebounds.
Golden State (39-7 SU, 21-24-1 ATS) returns home following a four-game trip, capped off by 113-103 triumph at Charlotte as 9½-point favorites. The Warriors are riding an 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS run in the last nine contests, including four consecutive victories at Oracle Arena. Steve Kerr’s squad has stepped up defensively during this stretch by cashing the UNDER eight times, including holding four opponents to below 100 points.
This series has been owned by the Warriors recently with Golden State beating Los Angeles seven consecutive times. The last victory by the Clippers over the Warriors came at Staples Center on Christmas night in 2014, but Golden State captured the first meeting this season, 115-98 as four-point road favorites in December.
The Warriors jumped out to a 37-19 advantage after one quarter and never looked back as Klay Thompson led Golden State with 24 points. Stephen Curry chipped in 19 points for the Warriors, but last season’s MVP failed to hit a three-pointer in eight attempts.
The Clippers have covered in three of the past five trips to Oakland, but haven’t won at Golden State in the regular season since Christmas of 2011. Los Angeles continues to play without point guard Chris Paul, who is sidelined with a thumb injury. Austin Rivers has filled in nicely for Paul by putting up 27 points in Monday’s victory at Atlanta and 20 points in Tuesday’s defeat at Philadelphia.
Let’s Do It Again
The Nuggets held off the Suns on Thursday, 127-120 to barely cash as 6½-point home favorites. Forward Nikola Jokic led the way for Denver with 29 points and 14 rebounds, but suffered a hip injury and will not play on Saturday night. Denver heads to Phoenix looking for the four-game season sweep of the Suns, as the Nuggets have racked up at least 120 points in each of the first three victories over Phoenix. Mike Malone’s squad is currently on a 7-1 ATS run, although the Nuggets have dropped four of their past five road games.
The Suns had covered seven of nine games prior to Thursday’s defeat at Denver, as Phoenix tries to turn around its recent home woes. Earl Watson’s club has lost four straight games at Talking Stick Resort Arena, while each of those games sailed OVER the total.
Tired Legs
Both the Kings and Hornets blew fourth quarter leads on Friday as these two teams meet up in Charlotte. Sacramento squandered a 10-point advantage with six minutes remaining as Indiana rallied for a 115-111 home triumph in overtime, snapping the Kings’ modest two-game winning streak. The Kings have covered four straight contests on this eight-game road swing, as their longest ATS hot streak this season is five games, coming back in November.
The Hornets held a six-point advantage with five minutes left in regulation before falling short to the Knicks, 110-107. Charlotte has lost three straight since a three-game winning streak, as the Hornets try to end a two-game slide at home. Last season, the Kings and Hornets went to overtime in each of their two matchups with Charlotte winning each time, including erasing a 22-point deficit in a home win in November 2015.
Heating Up
Don’t look now, but Miami has won six consecutive games following Friday’s 100-88 triumph over scuffling Chicago as seven-point road underdogs. The Heat return home, where they have won each of their past four games to host the Pistons. Detroit was the last team to win at American Airlines Arena back on January 1 as the Pistons rallied from an eight-point halftime deficit for a 107-98 victory as 6½-point favorites.
The Pistons have been off since Monday’s 109-104 home defeat to the Kings, snapping a three-game winning streak. Stan Van Gundy’s squad has lost six of their past nine games away from the Palace of Auburn Hills, but Detroit is victorious in two of its last three visits to south Florida.
Buck Off
Milwaukee began 2017 in a prime position for a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, but the Bucks have slid off course recently. Jason Kidd’s team has dropped seven of their last eight games, including Friday’s 102-86 setback at Toronto, their third loss to the Raptors this season. The Bucks face another solid Atlantic division squad on Saturday as the Celtics invade BMO Harris Bradley Center.
Boston picked up its second consecutive victory by blowing out Orlando on Friday, 128-98, even though forward Al Horford sat out with a groin injury. Horford is expected back in the lineup on Saturday as the Celtics have lost three of their past four games away from TD Garden. Both the Celtics and Bucks have gone the opposite way this season with no rest as Boston owns a 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS mark, while Milwaukee has slumped to a 2-7 SU/ATS ledger on the second end of a back-to-back.
Head-to-Head Trends
Utah and Memphis hook up in a solid matchup of Western Conference teams with eyes on the postseason in Salt Lake City. The Jazz have struggled with the Grizzlies this season by losing two of three meetings, while the winner of the last two games has failed to bust the 88-point mark. Memphis has fared well with no rest following Friday’s game at Portland by compiling an 8-3 SU and 7-4 ATS mark on the second of a back-to-back set.
Brooklyn plays with no rest on Saturday at Minnesota after covering as 17-point underdogs in Friday’s 124-116 setback at Cleveland. The Nets go for the season sweep of the Wolves after knocking off Minnesota at Barclays Center in November, 119-110 as four-point underdogs. Minnesota is listed as a double-digit favorite for only the second time this season after blasting Philadelphia in the first time in this role in November.
Clippers, Warriors battle
By: Zach Cohen
StatFox.com
Blake Griffin and the Clippers will be looking to upset the Warriors in Oakland on Saturday.
The Clippers are coming off of a 121-110 loss as 4.5-point favorites in Philadelphia on Tuesday, and they have now lost three of their past four games both SU and ATS. One thing Los Angeles will have going for it on Saturday is that the team is playing on three days rest. In their only other game when playing with three or more days rest this season, the Clippers won-and-covered. It won’t be as easy against the Warriors, though. Golden State is coming off of a 113-103 victory as a 9.5-point favorite, and the team has now won eight of its past nine games. The Warriors have been outstanding offensively, as well. They have now shot 45.0% or better from the floor in 17 straight games, and that is not easy to do. The last time Los Angeles and Golden State met was on Dec. 7 and the Warriors won that game 115-98 as a four-point road favorite. It was Golden State’s seventh straight victory over Los Angeles, and it will be tough for the Clippers to snap that streak without PG Chris Paul (Out indefinitely – Hand). Golden State is a remarkable 20-3 SU when playing at home this season, and the team was favored in all of those contests. The Warriors are, however, just 12-11 ATS in those 23 games, so it’s not a forgone conclusion that they’ll blow out Los Angeles in this one.
The Clippers are playing without Paul, but they did get PF Blake Griffin (20.9 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 4.7 APG, 1.0 SPG) back last game. Griffin was solid for a guy that hadn’t played in 18 games, finishing with 12 points, 11 rebounds, five assists and a steal in 29 minutes of action. He should be able to play a bit more on Saturday, and it’s likely he’ll shoot better than the 3-for-11 he did against Philly. Griffin was definitely feeling some rust, and should be a lot sharper this weekend. He is, however, going to need to move things along rather quickly. With Paul out, Griffin becomes one of the team’s main distributors. If he does not play like his usual self then this will likely be a blowout. C DeAndre Jordan (12.5 PPG, 14.0 RPG, 1.8 BPG) is another excellent player in this frontcourt, but his productivity will ultimately be determined by his performance at the charity stripe. If Jordan is not making his free throws then the Warriors are going to hack him as often as they can. That would make him rather unusable for head coach Doc Rivers, so it’s interesting to see how that plays out. One guy to watch out for in this backcourt is SG Austin Rivers (11.9 PPG). Rivers has played very well in Paul’s absence and is now averaging 19.8 PPG and 4.4 APG over the past five contests. He’ll need to play well on Saturday, as the Clippers have to find a way to keep up with the Warriors’ backcourt.
The Warriors are coming off of a solid win in Charlotte and they will definitely be feeling great about their chances of beating the Paul-less Clippers on Saturday. With Paul out, PG Steph Curry (24.6 PPG, 6.2 APG, 4.2 RPG, 1.7 SPG) should be able to go off in this one. Curry had 28 points against Charlotte on Wednesday, and he is shooting 45.1% from the outside over the past five games. Look for him to keep it up this weekend, as Rivers is not capable of staying in front of him. SF Kevin Durant (26.2 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 4.7 APG, 1.7 BPG, 1.2 SPG) is another problem for the Clippers in this one. Los Angeles is weakest at the small forward position, so Durant should be in for a big game on Saturday. He had only 16 points the last time he played this team, but it’d be surprising if he didn’t get at least 30 this time around. SG Klay Thompson (21.1 PPG) and PF Draymond Green (10.7 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 7.5 APG, 1.9 SPG, 1.4 BPG) are also All-Stars, and they’ll make their presences felt in this one.