NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Saturday, March 11th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Utah won its last four games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Three of their last four games went over. Oklahoma City lost four of last five games overall but won/covered eight of last ten at home. Five of their last seven games went over. Thunder won eight of last ten games with Utah; eight of last ten series games stayed under the total. Jazz lost their last five visits to Oklahoma (2-3 vs spread).
76ers lost six of last seven games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six road games. Over is 9-4 in their last thirteen games. Clippers won three of last four games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 3-1-2 in their last six games. LA won nine of last ten games with Philly (8-2 vs spread); four of last five series games went over total. 76ers lost last four series games in Staples Center (0-4 vs spread).
Knicks lost three of last four games; they’re 6-9 vs spread in last fifteen road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Pistons won/covered 10 of last 12 home games; they won six of last nine games overall. Under is 8-4 in their last twelve games. Home side won last five New York-Detroit games; Knicks lost four of last five visits to Detroit (2-3 vs spread). Five of last seven series games went over total.
Pelicans lost six of last eight games, are 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 10-1 in their last eleven games. Hornets won three of last four games; they won/covered last two at home, after an 0-8 spread skid at home. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Home side won last seven New Orleans-Charlotte games; Pelicans lost last three visits here, by 3-4-9 points (0-2-1 vs spread). Eight of last nine series games went over total.
Cleveland lost its last three games; they’re 6-9 vs spread in last fifteen road games. Eight of their last nine games stayed under. Magic lost three of last four games; they’re 5-11 vs spread in last 16 home games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Cavaliers won their last ten games with Orlando (9-1 vs spread); they won their last five visits to Magic Kingdom (4-1 vs spread). Three of last four series games stayed under.
Raptors won seven of last nine games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games. Heat won 12 of last 13 home games, covering last four; over is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Toronto won five of its last seven games with Miami; home side won last five series games. Three of last four series games went over. Raptors lost last two visits to Miami, by 7-12 points.
Minnesota won six of last eight games; they won/covered four of last five home games. Eight of their last nine games stayed under. Milwaukee won/covered its last five games; they covered last four home games. Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight games. Bucks won four of last five games with Minnesota; six of last nine series games stayed under total. Wolves lost last two visits to Milwaukee, by 14-15 points.
Warriors are sitting bunch of good players tonight; be careful with this game. Golden State lost four of last six games; they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven road games. Seven of their last eight games stayed under total. San Antonio won nine of last ten games but is 0-6 vs spread in its last six. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Spurs won six of last ten games with Golden State (under 7-3). Warriors lost three of last four visits to Alamo (1-3 vs spread).
Suns lost their last six road games, covering one of last five. Five of last six Phoenix games went over total. Dallas won its last six home games (5-1 vs spread); they covered six of last seven games overall. Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Mavericks won five of last six games with Phoenix; three of last four series games stayed under total. Suns lost three of last four visits to Dallas, but covered four of last six.
Atlanta is 4-6 in its last ten games, 4-6 vs spread in its last ten road games. Four of their last five games went over total. Grizzlies lost their last four games (0-4 vs spread); they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Last five Memphis games went over the total. Hawks won three of last four games with Memphis; teams split last four meetings played here. Four of last five series games stayed under.
Wizards won six of last seven games; they’re 8-2-2 vs spread in last dozen road games. Last five Washington games went over total. Trailblazers won last four games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Last six Portland games went over total. Home side won six of last seven Washington-Portland games; Wizards lost last three visits to Portland, by 13-7-7 points. Five of last six series games went over total.
Nuggets won four of last six games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Sacramento lost its last seven games; they’re 1-3-1 vs spread in last five home games. Three of their last four games went over. Kings won five of last six games with Denver; eight of last ten series games went over the total. Nuggets lost three of last four visits to Sacramento (1-3 vs spread).
Armadillosports.com
NBA: Streaks, Tips, Note
Sportspic.com
Golden State at San Antonio
The eyes of most NBA basketball fans as well as those with a penchant towards sports gaming will be on Saturday night's monster clash between Spurs sporting the leagues best defensive efficiency metrics and Warriors carrying the leagues best offense efficiency rating into AT&T Center in San Antonio.
San Antonio off a a ten point loss at Oklahoma City snapping a nine game win streak enter 50-14 (33-30-1 ATS) on the campaign are 1.5 games behind Golden State in the Western Conference standings.
Spurs netting 109.7 in offensive efficiency metrics, 100.8 in defensive efficiency have not been kind to supporters of late dropping the cash in six consecutive games and in five of six in front of the home audience. Coach Popovich's troops are also 1-3 ATS off a road fave loss, 1-4 ATS slide at home vs winning team.
Golden State snipped 104-103 in Minnesota Friday as 5.5 point road chalk enter the contest 52-13 (28-35-2 ATS) overall putting 113.2 points per 100 possesions through the hoop while surrender 101.5 in defensive metrics. Away from Oakland the Warriors score 110.3 in offensive efficiency metrics, giving up 102.8. Like Spurs, the Warriors have not been good bets recently going 1-8 against the betting line, 1-5 ATS last six vs a team with a winning record and 1-8 ATS away off a loss.
Niether team a peg to hang your hopes on at the moment, might want to consider 'Under' in this matchup. Spurs have shown a habit of playing 'Under' recently vs a good offensive teams (0-5-1 O/U), vs a team with a winning record (0-4-1 O/U) and are 1-5-1 O/U L6 on home court. On the other side, Warriors have had the same 'Under' tendencies recently playing 'Under' in seven of eight, 1-5 O/U vs good defensive teams and are 1-8 O/U off a loss the previous effort.
Inside the Paint - Saturday
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com
It’s been a solid week of back-and-forth NBA action, especially for bettors. After watching the underdogs go 4-1 straight up and 5-0 against the spread on Thursday, we saw the favorites strike back on Friday with a 6-2 record while covering four of those games. Seven of the 16 teams in action last night were held under 100 points and that helped the ‘under’ go 6-2.
Bombs Away
If you’re looking for the hottest team in the league, then check out the Miami Heat (31-34 SU, 39-26 ATS). Since starting the season 11-30 and what looked like an automatic trip to the NBA Draft Lottery, the club has turned it around in emphatic fashion.
The Heat are 20-4 in their 24 games and the success has been directly attributed to shooting, in particular 3-point shooting. The club couldn’t buy a shot in the first-half of the season and was ranked 26th but they’re now 12th and if you look at the numbers since the aforementioned run, they’re the best 3-point shooting team at 40.8 percent. They’ve hit at least 17 bombs from 3-point land in each of their last three games, all victories.
What’s even more impressive is that Miami has gone 20-4 against the spread during this span. On Saturday, the club will host Toronto (38-27 SU, 35-29 ATS).
The Heat are listed as a five-point home favorite over Toronto. The Raptors come into this game without point guard Kyle Lowry and they’ll be playing on no rest. The club has gone 5-3 without Lowry and one of the losses came on Friday to Atlanta (105-99).
As a road underdog, Toronto has struggled to a 5-8 record. However, they’ve gone 9-4 ATS in those games and they’ve covered four of their last five in this role with the lone loser coming to Atlanta last night.
The Raptors defeated the Heat 96-87 on Nov. 4 as seven-point home favorites. These teams met in the playoffs last season and the home team went 5-2 in those games.
Western Showdown?
Saturday’s “Matchup of the Day” was expected to take place from the AT&T Center with San Antonio (50-14 SU, 34-20 ATS) and Golden State (52-13 SU, 29-34-2 ATS) squaring off in a key Western Conference affair. Unfortunately, the game is likely going to be a major disappointment since both clubs won’t be at full strength.
On Friday afternoon, Spurs All-Star Kawhi Leonard was put into the league’s concussion protocol and will be ‘out’ for this matchup. Then later that night, Golden State head coach Steve Kerr announced that Steph Curry, Draymond Green, Andre Iguodala and Klay Thompson will all rest and not play Saturday night at San Antonio.
While Kerr and the Warriors will take some heat from fans and ABC, the move is understood. Golden State is already dealing with the injury to Kevin Durant and its likely worn out after playing seven games in seven cities during the past 12 days.
Truth be told, it wouldn’t been tough making an argument for either team in this spot just based on their form.
Since the All-Star break, Golden State has gone 5-4 SU and 1-8 ATS. The Warriors have dropped two straight games and that includes a 103-102 loss at Minnesota last night. Since Durant went down in a 112-108 loss at Washington, the team has gone 2-3 and is only averaging 103.5 points per game. The ‘under’ has gone 4-1 in that span and is 8-2 in the last 10 for Golden State.
The Warriors remain the best ‘under’ bet on the road this season with a 24-11 (68.5%) record.
San Antonio also enters this game off a loss, which occurred on Thursday at Oklahoma City (102-90). The setback snapped a nine-game winning streak for the club. Despite the solid run, the Spurs have failed to cover the spread in six straight games.
Even with Leonard out of the lineup, the Spurs are much deeper than the Warriors and are deserving favorites in this matchup. This will be the first time that Golden State is listed as an underdog this season.
In the season opener on Oct. 25, San Antonio diced up Golden State 129-100 as an 8½-point road underdog. Another double-digit victory could be in hand Saturday and that will help the Spurs trim into the Warriors 1½-game lead for the No. 1 seed in the West.
The pair will meet one more time this season on Mar. 29 from San Antonio.
For those interested in futures, Golden State remains an odds-on 4/9 favorite (Bet $100 to win $44) to win the West at Sportsbook.ag while San Antonio is a 7/2 choice (Bet $100 to win $350).
ABC will provide national coverage of this matchup at 8:30 p.m. ET.
Total Notes
DeMarcus Cousins is a great talent but he’s one player and New Orleans is starting to find that out, especially on offense. Since they acquired the big man, they’ve been held under 100 points in five of eight games and one of offensive outbursts came when he was out with a suspension. The ‘under’ has gone 7-1 during this span.
Memphis is on a 5-0 run the ‘over’ and the defense has been a mess lately, surrendering 115 PPG in this span.
The Timberwolves have seen the ‘under’ cash in five straight and seven of their last eight games. Minnesota is allowing just 91.6 PPG in its last five and that includes a 103-102 stifling victory over Golden State on Friday.
Portland (6-0 L6) and Washington (5-0 L5) will meet tonight at the Moda Center and they both bring strong ‘over’ runs into this matchup. Five of the last six meetings between this pair have seen the high side cash.
Zero Days Rest
We had 16 teams play last night and 24 will be action on Saturday which means plenty of teams are playing on no rest.
Listed below are SU and ATS records for each clubs plus any notable trends to watch.
Orlando: 3-9 SU, 7-5 ATS (Magic have dropped four straight, allowing 112.8 PPG)
Charlotte: 4-8 SU, 4-7-1 ATS (Over has gone 8-4, which includes 4-1 in last five)
Minnesota: 4-5 SU, 6-3 ATS (Three of the four wins came on the road)
Milwaukee: 5-9 SU, 6-8 ATS (Since February, 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS)
Toronto: 6-8 SU, 7-6-1 ATS (Under 4-1 in last five, held under 100 in three of those games)
Golden State: 10-3 SU, 5-8 ATS (3-1 both SU and ATS last four. Over 3-1 as well)
Atlanta: 8-5 SU, 8-5 ATS (0-2 SU and ATS since the All-Star break)
Dallas: 2-11 SU, 6-7 ATS (After 0-10 start, Mavs 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS last three)
Washington: 5-7 SU, 7-5 ATS (Wizards 4-0 both SU/ATS last four, Over 10-2)
Denver: 3-10 SU, 5-7-1 ATS (2-0 both SU and ATS since the All-Star break)
Sacramento: 4-10 SU, 6-7-1 ATS (Under has hit in four straight games)