NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Saturday, March 4th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowlodge
Detroit split its last eight games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last ten road games. Six of their last eight games stayed under total. 76ers are 13-0 vs spread in last 13 home games; they lost four of last six games overall. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Pistons won four of last five games with Philly; they won by 14-12 points in last two visits here. Sixers are 2-4 vs spread if they won the night before. Three of last four series games stayed under.
Cavaliers are 0-7 vs spread on road if they played night before. Cleveland won six of last eight overall, is 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Heat won four of last six games, are 9-2 vs spread in last 11 home games- they’re 8-2-1 vs spread if they played night before. Home side won last eight Cleveland-Miami games; Cavaliers lost last four visits here (0-4 vs the spread). Three of last four series games stayed under.
Raptors won their last six games, are 5-6-1 vs spread if they played night before- they’re 6-11 vs spread in last 17 road games. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Milwaukee is 5-3 in its last eight games, 3-9 vs spread if they played night before. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Toronto won its last seven games against the Bucks (6-1 vs spread); they won/covered last four visits to Wisconsin. Seven of last nine series games stayed under total.
Clippers are 1-4 since All-Star break; they’re 5-7 vs spread if they played night before, 6-2 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Bulls won five of last six games, are 5-1 vs spread in last six home tilts. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Clippers won seven of last nine games with Chicago; they won three of last four visits to Windy City. Four of last five series games stayed under total.
Timberwolves won four of last five games, are 6-3 vs spread in last nine road games. Five of their last six games stayed under total. San Antonio won its last six games, is 4-6 vs spread in its last ten home games, 8-2 vs spread if they played night before. Under is 6-2 in Spurs’ last eight games. Spurs won their last nine games with Minnesota (7-2 vs spread); Wolves lost last four visits to the Alamo (2-2 vs spread). Seven of last nine series games went over.
Grizzlies are 5-6 in last 11 games, 2-4 vs spread in last six on road, 10-4 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Rockets won seven of last nine games; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Memphis is 5-3 in its last eight games with Houston; road teams won six of last nine games in series. Grizzlies won three of last four visits to Houston. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Charlotte lost seven of last nine games; they covered five of last seven on road. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Nuggets won three of last four games; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 home games. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Denver is 6-4 in its last ten games with Charlotte; nine of those ten games stayed under total. Hornets lost three of last five visits to Denver.
Brooklyn lost 17 of last 18 games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten road games, 6-3-1 vs spread if they played night before. Six of their last nine games went over the total. Trailblazers lost five of last seven games; they covered one of last four at home. Last three Portland games went over total. Nets lost six of last seven games with Portland; they lost four of last five visits to Oregon (2-3 vs spread). Last three series games went over the total.
Armadillosports.com
Inside the Paint - Saturday
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com
If you bet the NBA on a regular basis and lean to taking the points, then take a bow because your "Money Train" has arrived. Since Monday, underdogs have gone 21-16 straight up and 27-10 (73%) against the spread in the Association.
Eight more matchups on tap for Saturday and similar to last night, we’ve got plenty of home underdogs on the slate.
Game of the Night - L.A. Clippers at Chicago
Even though Los Angeles (36-25 SU, 30-31 ATS) has faced serious injuries this season, it’s fair to say the team has been a major disappointment especially when you look at their talent. Hoping for a deep playoff run is a serious reach and head coach Doc Rivers hasn’t been able to push the right buttons since the All-Star break.
Los Angeles dropped a 112-101 decision on Friday at Milwaukee and has now lost four of five in the second-half of the season and the lone win came in overtime to a struggling Charlotte squad at home.
Despite the struggles, the Clippers opened as 1½-point road favorites over the Bulls on Saturday.
Even though they lost to the Bucks last night, L.A. has gone 14-9 SU and 9-14 ATS versus the Eastern Conference but eight of the nine losses came on the road.
While the Clippers have been struggling, Chicago (31-30 SU, 31-30 ATS) has rediscovered itself with a 5-1 record in its last six games. On Thursday, the Bulls notched an impressive 94-87 win over the Warriors as seven-point home underdogs and that improved their record to 19-12 SU and 16-15 ATS at home this season.
As an underdog at the United Center, Fred Hoiberg’s team has gone 7-2 both SU and ATS this season with wins coming against quality opponents like the aforementioned Warriors, along with the Cavaliers and Spurs.
The Clippers have gotten the better of the Bulls recently, winning two straight and seven of the last 10 between the pair. In the first meeting this season on Nov. 19, Los Angeles captured a 102-95 win at the Staples Center but failed to cover as an eight-point favorite.
Chicago nipped Los Angeles 83-80 last season at home but the Clippers had won and covered their five previous trips to the “Windy City” prior to that setback. The ‘under’ is on a 4-1 run in this series.
The total opened 212 and the early betting trends show an ‘under’ lean and that shouldn’t be surprising with Chicago’s strong lean to the low side (37-24) this season.
Something could have to give here knowing the Clippers have been a very strong ‘over’ bet (21-11) away from home this season. Also, the defense for Los Angeles has been a mess lately with the club allowing 116.6 points per game during its recent five-game span.
East vs. West
Along with the above matchup, we have two other non-conference games on tap for Saturday, both taking place on the West Coast.
Charlotte (26-35 SU, 25-33-3 ATS) at Denver (28-33 SU, 32-28-1 ATS)
As bad as the Hornets (+5) have been in 2017, they’re still receiving respect from the oddsmakers and tonight’s line versus Denver will likely have bettors backing the host. Charlotte started the second-half of the season on the road and its gone 2-3 with victories coming against the Kings and Lakers. They were just run 120-103 at Phoenix on Thursday but the other setbacks both came in overtime.
Denver is currently in the eighth spot in the West and it enters this game with confidence after ripping the Bulls (125-107) and Bucks (110-98) by double digits on the road earlier this week.
Charlotte has had trouble on the road (10-22 SU, 13-16-3 ATS) this season and Denver has always been a tough out at the Pepsi Center but this year's mark isn’t exactly great at 16-14 SU and 15-14-1 ATS. Denver swept the regular season series last year versus Charlotte and both games went ‘under’ the number.
While the Nuggets appear to be a better lean tonight on paper, be aware that the club is just 5-5 at home versus Eastern Conference foes. Total bettors should note that the ‘over’ has gone 8-1-1 in those games and tonight's number is listed as high as 222.
Hornets forward Frank Kaminsky (shoulder) will miss this game and that hurts an already depleted frontcourt.
Brooklyn (10-50 SU, 26-32-2 ATS) at Portland (25-25 SU, 24-36 ATS)
The late-night tip from the Moda Center is setting up to be the “chase” or “press” game and I’m assuming most bettors will play the Trail Blazers (-11½) and the ‘over’ (226½). This is the first time this season that Portland is laying double digits while Brooklyn is very familiar with that role (2-20 SU, 12-10 ATS).
Portland notched a solid 114-109 win on Thursday over Oklahoma City as a one-point home ‘dog but it still remains the worst team in the league for bettors. They haven’t covered two straight games since January and as poor as the Nets look in the standings, the club has been competitive under rookie coach Kenny Atkinson.
This series has been all Portland recently, with the Blazers going 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in the last seven encounters versus the Nets. In the first matchup this season, Portland diced up Brooklyn 129-109 as a 4½-point road favorite.
Fatigue Factor
Saturday’s card will feature nine teams playing on no rest.
Listed below are SU and ATS records for each clubs plus any notable trends to watch.
76ers: 4-10 SU, 8-6 ATS (Started 0-4 ATS but have gone 8-2 since versus the number)
Cavaliers: 4-7 SU, 3-8 ATS (Cavs winless on the road, ‘under’ on a 4-1 run last five)
Heat: 4-7 SU, 9-2 ATS (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS at home, two losses by combined six points)
Raptors: 6-7 SU, 7-5-1 ATS (Three straight wins despite scoring 90 and 92 in two of them)
Bucks: 4-9 SU, 5-8 ATS (Rough start but 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS last three. Over on 7-1 run)
Grizzlies: 10-3 SU, 9-4 ATS (Started 8-0 but 2-3 in last five)
Spurs: 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS (Only one of the 10 occurred at home and they lost)
Clippers: 5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS (Started 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS but have dropped seven straight since then)
Nets: 0-10 SU, 5-4-1 ATS (Allowed 125, 129 and 112 to opponents from West)