Sunday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Milwaukee Bucks at Miami Heat
The Miami heat are simply a different team at home than they are on the road. As of Saturday evening, away they are a modest 5-3 but at home they are a borderline dominant 5-1 (4-2 ATS).
Never has the discrepancy been more obvious than in Miami's last five contests. LeBron James and company dropped three in a row on the road between January 10 and January 13, but they returned to South Beach and promptly destroyed superior competition (San Antonio and the Lakers).
Dwyane Wade missed both victories and was out again on Saturday against Milwaukee due to all kinds right leg issues (foot, ankle, and calf). It is unlikely he will be able to suit up for Sunday's clash against the Bucks.
It's only a small sample size and to say the Heat are better off without Wade is ridiculous, but they are 5-0 this season without him. A big reason is because LeBron steps up time in and time out. In the last two wins, LeBron averaged 32 points, nine assists, and 6.5 rebounds.
Pick: Heat
Indiana Pacers at Los Angeles Laker (-5.5, 178)
The Lakers are playing dismal basketball at the moment. They have lost three of their last four and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five overall. Their last two losses have come by double-digits and those games were not even as close as the scores indicated.
Mike Brown and Kobe Bryant admitted that the team is completely lost on offense. And just about everybody is admitting that the effort level isn't there, either.
"They played harder than we did tonight," Kobe said after getting manhandled at Miami on Thursday night.
"We usually bring a sense of energy and passion, but tonight it's not there," Derek Fisher added. "I can't enumerate the reasons why, but it wasn't there."
The Pacers, meanwhile, have won four of their last five and six of their last eight.
Pick: Pacers
BOSTON vs. WASHINGTON
Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
TORONTO vs. LA CLIPPERS
Toronto is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 8 games at home
MILWAUKEE vs. MIAMI
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
CHARLOTTE vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
INDIANA vs. LA LAKERS
Indiana is 1-14 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Indiana is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the LA Lakers last 11 games at home
LA Lakers are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games
BOSTON (5 - 9) at WASHINGTON (2 - 13)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO (4 - 12) at LA CLIPPERS (8 - 5)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE (5 - 9) at MIAMI (11 - 4)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE (3 - 13) at NEW JERSEY (4 - 12)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 77-102 ATS (-35.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 32-54 ATS (-27.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA (10 - 4) at LA LAKERS (10 - 7)
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 94-118 ATS (-35.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Hoop Trends - Sunday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Pacers are 10-0 ATS (10.3 ppg) since December 03, 1999 as a dog with at most one day of rest after a road win in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Bobcats are 0-10 OU (-11.8 ppg) since March 05, 2010 with at most one day of rest after a road loss in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.
PLAYER BASED TREND OF THE DAY:
The Bucks are 0-11 OU (-14.8 ppg) since December 06, 2010 after a win in which Andrew Bogut had more turnovers than assists.
CHOICE TREND:
The Nets are 0-10 ATS (-9.3 ppg) since November 18, 2009 after a game at home in which they had more turnovers than assists.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Celtics are 0-10 ATS (-11.3 ppg) since November 04, 2009 with at most one day of rest when they held their opponent to fewer than 80 points in their last game.
BOSTON at WASHINGTON
BOSTON: 152-114 ATS off a home loss
WASHINGTON: 29-52 ATS as an underdog
TORONTO at LA CLIPPERS
TORONTO: 14-25 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
LA CLIPPERS: 14-4 ATS in home games in January games
MILWAUKEE at MIAMI
MILWAUKEE: 30-18 UNDER after playing a game as an underdog
MIAMI: 23-6 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more
CHARLOTTE at NEW JERSEY
CHARLOTTE: 24-10 ATS in road games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days
NEW JERSEY: 13-27 ATS after scoring 85 points or less
INDIANA at LA LAKERS
INDIANA: 31-19 ATS after playing a road game
LA LAKERS: 15-30 ATS after scoring 80 points or less
Hot Teams
-- Clippers won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Miami won/covered its last four home games.
-- Lakers won nine of last ten games in Staples Center. Pacers won six of their last eight games.
Cold Teams
-- Washington lost five of last six games; they're 3-4 as a home underdog. Celtics lost six of their last seven games.
-- Raptors lost their last seven games; they're 5-4 as a road underdog.
-- Bucks lost three of last four games; they're 2-7 as a road underdog.
-- Nets lost five of their six home games. Bobcats are 1-7 on road but covered three of last four away games.
Totals
-- Last five Washington games went over total. Last seven Boston games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Toronto games.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Charlotte road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Indiana road games stayed under the total.
Wear and Tear
-- Celtics: 3rd game/5 days. Wizards: 3rd game/5 days.
-- Raptors: 3rd game/5 days. Clippers: 5th game/7 days.
-- Bucks: 2nd game/5 days. Heat: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Bobcats: 2nd game/6 nites. Nets: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- Pacers: 3rd game/5 nites. Lakers: 3rd game/4 nites.