MIAMI (80 - 22) at SAN ANTONIO (72 - 28) - 6/16/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 101-74 ATS (+19.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 57-32 ATS (+21.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 269-209 ATS (+39.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 115-80 ATS (+27.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 59-43 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 141-107 ATS (+23.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MIAMI is 57-45 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 51-43 ATS (+3.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Sunday games this season.
MIAMI is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 14 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Miami is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 14 games when playing at home against Miami
San Antonio is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami at San Antonio
Miami: 11-3 Under playing with two days rest
San Antonio: 7-0 ATS off a home loss
Heat at Spurs: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com
Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs (1.5, 188)
Best-of-seven series tied 2-2.
There has been only one dramatic contest in the NBA Finals, which is now a best-of-3 series when the San Antonio Spurs host the Miami Heat in Sunday’s Game 5. The Spurs won a close game in the opener and put a 36-point drubbing on the Heat in Game 3, while Miami’s two victories have been by 19 and 16 points. Tony Parker’s hamstring is an issue for the Spurs, while the Heat crave another big effort from Dwyane Wade.
Wade rediscovered his form with a spectacular performance (32 points, six steals) in Game 4 that was easily his best of a postseason in which he has been severely hampered by a knee injury. “He’s willing to go out there and compete for his teammates and open himself up for criticism with expectations of something bigger,” Miami coach Erik Spoelstra said. “He’s giving us everything he has, and (Thursday) he was able to dig deeper and go to another place that we needed.” Parker has a strained right hamstring and revealed Saturday that it could tear at any time and that he would be sidelined for about 10 days if it were the regular season. Parker is hopeful that the two full days off between games will allow him to play better on Sunday after he gave a substandard performance in Game 4.
ABOUT THE HEAT: Forward LeBron James had his best outing of the series with 33 points in Game 4 but his performance was just the third-most crucial behind those of Wade and center Chris Bosh. After a largely ineffective postseason, Bosh suddenly has three consecutive double-doubles and his 20 points matched his high of the postseason. He grabbed 13 rebounds and is averaging 14.3 points and 9.5 rebounds in the finals. “I don’t know really what the difference has been with Chris,” Spoelstra said. “All we know is we need it.” James was 15-of-25 from the field in Game 4 after going a combined 21-for-54 over the first three games.
ABOUT THE SPURS: Veteran guard Manu Ginobili is struggling through a woeful series. The 35-year-old Ginobili has scored seven or fewer points in each of the last three games and is averaging 7.5 points and shooting 34.5 percent from the field. “He’s having a tough playoffs, and hasn’t really found a rhythm or found his game yet,” San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich said. “I think that he’s obviously not as confident as usual, and he knows full well he hasn’t performed the way he would like and the way he’s used to.” Power forward Tim Duncan is doing his part with two 20-point scoring games and three double-digit performances and guard Danny Green is 19-for-28 from 3-point range while averaging 16.5 points.
TRENDS:
* Heat are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a win.
* Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a loss.
* Over is 4-1 in Heat’s last five road games.
* Over is 5-0 in Spurs’ last five home games.
BUZZER BEATERS
1. The NBA Finals has been tied at 2-2 on 27 previous occasions with the Game 5 winner claiming the title 20 times.
2. After matching the NBA Finals record with four turnovers in Game 1, San Antonio has committed 49 over the last three games.
3. Bosh was fined $5,000 for flopping in Game 4 after being lightly bumped by Duncan.
Heat at Spurs, Game 5
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com
With the NBA Finals knotted at 2-2, San Antonio (72-28 straight up, 51-47-2 against the spread) will play host to Miami in Sunday’s Game 5 at AT&T Center.
Most books are listing Miami (80-32 SU, 57-45 ATS) as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 188. The Spurs are +105 on the money line (risk $100 to won $105).
For first-half wagers, the Heat is favored by one-half point with a total of 93.5.
Miami pulled even by capturing a 109-93 win as a one-point ‘chalk’ in Thursday’s Game 4. Dwyane Wade exploded for a monster game with 32 points, six rebounds, six steals, four assists, one blocked shot and zero turnovers. Wade converted 14-of-25 shots from the field and made all four of his free-throw attempts.
LeBron James finished with a game-high 33 points, 11 rebounds, four assists, two steals, two blocked shots and only one turnover. Chris Bosh added 20 points and 13 boards, matching his highest scoring output of the postseason (Game 3 at Chicago in the East semifinals). Bosh had failed to hit his regular-season scoring average (16.6 points per game) in eight consecutive games.
Ray Allen continued to provide solid production off the bench in Game 4 with 14 points. Allen is averaging 11.0 PPG in the series, scoring 13 points or more in three of the four games.
In the losing effort, Tim Duncan scored a team-best 20 points. Tony Parker didn’t appear to be bothered by his strained hamstring, scoring 15 points and dishing out nine assists.
Gary Neal and Danny Green remained hot from 3-point land, but they didn’t get enough looks. Neal drained 3-of-4 from deep and scored 13 points, while Green made 3-of-5 treys and finished with 10 points.
Game 4 was decided by turnovers. San Antonio committed 18 and the Heat had just nine. Miami beat the Spurs 41-36 on the boards.
The ‘over’ has now cashed in back-to-back games. Game 4 was the highest scoring game of the series with the 202 combined points soaring above the 186-point total. The outputs for Games 1-3 were as follows: 180, 187 and 190.
For bettors who are extremely bullish on the side and/or total, there are adjusted lines available that pay better odds. For instance, if you want to back the Heat -4, you can garner a +140 return (risk $100 to win $140). You can also back Miami at -6.5 (+190) and -8.5 (+250).
For the Spurs, gamblers can support them at -2.5 (+150), -4 (+185) and -5.5 (+230). As for the total, the ‘over’ can be played at 189.5 (+115), 191.5 (+140) and 194.5 (+175). The ‘under’ can be had at 185.5 (+115), 182.5 (+155) and 180.5 (+175).
Sportsbook.ag has updated the series price with Miami returning to the ‘chalk’ role at -260. The Spurs can be had for a +210 payout (risk $100 to win $210).
The offshore website has fresh odds for whom will take Finals MVP honors. James remains the favorite at -240. The next-shortest odds belong to Parker (+300), Wade (+600), Duncan (+800), Green (10/1) and Bosh (75/1). The number for the field is 25/1.
Wade’s odds were at 25/1 before he erupted in Game 2, forcing oddsmakers to radically reduce his payout.
ABC will have the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.
2013 NBA Playoffs
Heat's spread results in last ten games are LWLWLWLWLW; Miami is now 0-7 vs spread in game following last seven wins. Heat is 4-23 in franchise history at this site, but 2-1 this season. James has still taken only ten foul shots in first four series games, but if Wade goes for 32 again, and Heat scored 60 points in a half, this series won't go seven. Five of last seven Miami games stayed under total; seven of Spurs' last eight home games went over. Spurs are 7-2 at home in playoffs; this is a much bigger game for Spurs, their last home game of the season. If Heat loses this game, all they need to do is hold serve at home for title.
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