NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, March 5th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Indiana lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Last six Pacer games stayed under. Atlanta lost four of its last six games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 4-1-2 in their last seven games. Hawks won six of last eight games with Indiana; four of last five series games stayed under the total. Pacers lost their last four visits to Atlanta (1-3 vs spread).
Warriors lost consecutive games for first time in two years; they’re 0-5 vs spread since All-Star break, 0-4 in last four road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. New York lost 8 of last 11 games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last 10 home tilts. Four of their last five games stayed under. Knicks lost their last five games with Golden State (2-3 vs spread); Warriors won their last three visits to Manhattan, by 23-14-21 points. Five of last six series games stayed under.
Orlando lost seven of last ten games, is 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Wizards won six of last nine games, are 7-4-2 vs spread in last 13 home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Washington won eight of its last ten games with Orlando; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Magic lost four of last five games here (2-3 vs spread).
Boston won three of last four games; they covered five of last seven road games. Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Phoenix won four of its last five home games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games overall. Five of their last six games went over. Celtics won last three games with the Suns; road teams won four of last five series games. Over is 3-1 in last four series games. Boston won three of last four games in the desert.
Utah won four of its last six games; they covered four of last six road games (over 5-1). Kings lost last three games, all at home; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five games. Since the Cousins trade, all seven Sacramento games stayed under the total. Jazz won five of last eight games with the Kings; teams split last four meetings played here. Last three series games stayed under total.
Oklahoma City lost its last six road games (1-5 vs spread); home side covered their last seven games. Eight of last nine Thunder games went over total. Mavericks won three of last four games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Thunder won nine of last ten games with Dallas; they won last four games in this building (3-1 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over.
Pelicans lost four of last five games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Seven of their last eight games stayed under total. Lakers lost their last six games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Lakers lost seven of last ten games with New Orleans; Pelicans won three of last four series games played here. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.
Armadillosports.com
NBA: Streaks, Tips, Note
Sportspic.com
Golden State at New York
It hasn't been a banner road swing for Golden State. It started with a grind out 119-108 victory over the Philadelphia 76ers laying a massive 14 points, then Kevin Durant hyperextended his left knee in a 112-108 loss to Washington handing Wizards 7 points of offense and finally on Thursday Warriors got upended 94-87 at the United Center as 7.5 point road chalk snapping an unbelievable 146 game streak without consecutive losses.
A Golden State bounce back in New York has promise. The Warriors have won five straight vs Knicks (3-2 ATS) and twelve of the last fifteen (11-4 ATS) including 5-1 SU/ATS last six trips into the Big Apple. However, trying to get back in handicappers good graces after having failed to cover in each of their last five games and in six of the last seven could be a challenge.
The Warriors have not responded against the betting line after a road loss (1-6 ATS), have struggled cashing recently stepped outside the world of the Western Conference (1-4-1 ATS) and have not been good bets running the hardwood against a team like Knicks with poor defensive efficiency metrics (=>105) posting a money-burning 1-8-1 record against the betting line.
Sunday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Game of the Night – Thunder at Mavericks
Oklahoma City closed out its four-game homestand at 4-0 to finish off February. March hasn’t been too kind to the Thunder (35-27 SU, 34-27-1 ATS), as Billy Donovan’s squad has lost each of its first two games at Portland and Phoenix. The Thunder couldn’t hold onto a fourth quarter lead in Thursday’s 114-109 setback to the Blazers, in spite of Russell Westbrook putting up 45 points for OKC. In Friday’s 118-111 defeat to the Suns, the Thunder received 48 points from Westbrook, but the All-Star guard shot 3-of-12 from three-point range.
Dallas (25-36 SU, 34-27 ATS) has been rolling at home the last few months by compiling a terrific 9-3 SU and 11-1 ATS mark the last 12 games at American Airlines Center. The latest victory came in Friday’s 104-100 triumph over the Grizzlies as 2½-point underdogs, as Dallas bounced back after getting limited to a season-low 64 points in the previous matchup against Memphis in November. Rick Carlisle’s club owns a fantastic 8-1 SU/ATS mark in the favorite role at home, as Dallas opened as one-point chalk.
Last season, the Thunder knocked out the Mavericks in five games of the first round in the postseason, including a pair of double-digit victories at American Airlines Center. This season, OKC won the opening matchup at Chesapeake Energy Arena, 109-98 in late January as 9½-point favorites. However, Dallas was without the services of Dirk Nowitzki, Wesley Matthews, and the now-departed Deron Williams.
OKC is currently riding an 8-1 run to the OVER, while allowing at least 114 points in its last three road contests (all OVERS). Prior to cashing an OVER on Friday against Memphis, the Mavericks finished UNDER the total in the previous five contests, while busting the 100-point mark for the first time in the last seven games.
Rising Suns
Phoenix may not be headed to the playoffs, but the Suns are turning heads of late by winning consecutive games as a home underdogs against the Hornets and Thunder. The task doesn’t get easier when the Celtics continue their five-game road trip in the Valley, as Boston is fresh off a 20-point blowout of the Lakers on Friday night.
Brad Stevens’ team has compiled a solid 14-4 SU and 13-5 ATS record in the role of a road favorite this season, while holding off the Suns last season as 8 ½-point road favorites, 102-99. Phoenix has yet to win three consecutive games this season, as the Suns are 4-15 SU and 8-11 ATS off a victory.
Waving the Wand
Don’t expect many magic tricks in D.C. when Washington plays host to Orlando. The Magic own a dreadful 1-11 record in the last 12 games off a win since December, coming off Friday’s home blowout of the Heat. Orlando goes for its third victory this season against Washington as the Magic won in its previous visit to Verizon Center in December, 124-116 as 2½-point underdogs.
The Wizards have lost two of their past three home contests following an incredible 19-1 run in their previous 20 games in the Nation’s Capital. Scott Brooks’ club has put together a 10-2 record in their past 12 contests off a loss, but the Wizards own a 1-3 ATS mark as a double-digit favorite this season. Meanwhile, Orlando has thrived when receiving 10 points or more by compiling a 5-3 ATS record, including outright victories at San Antonio and Toronto.
Thorn in the Throne
Sacramento came out like gang busters in its first game following the trade of DeMarcus Cousins to New Orleans as the Kings blew out the Nuggets, 116-100 as 6½-point underdogs. The Kings have gone backwards since that win by losing three straight games, including a deflating home defeat to the Nets on Wednesday as Brooklyn snapped its 16-game skid. The Kings welcome in the Jazz, looking to close out their five-game homestand with a victory.
Utah rebounded from a humiliating 27-point home loss to Minnesota to knock off Brooklyn on Friday, 112-97 as 13-point favorites. The Jazz have compiled a 6-3 record in their past nine road contests, but Quin Snyder’s squad owns a dreadful 4-9 ATS record in its past 13 games away from Salt Lake City. Utah is making its first trip to Golden 1 Center after splitting a pair of home contests with Sacramento in December.
Stapled Shut
The Lakers have lost any semblance of a home-court advantage recently by losing four straight games at Staples Center, including all three on their current homestand. Two of those defeats have come by at least 20 points, as Boston rolled Los Angeles on Friday as 7½-point favorites, 115-95. Since winning three consecutive games in early January at Staples, the Lakers have dropped seven of the past nine home contests as the Pelicans invade Los Angeles on Sunday.
The Pelicans have yet to win a game with DeMarcus Cousins in the lineup, dropping all four contests, including Friday’s 101-98 overtime setback to the Spurs. New Orleans owns a 1-4 record since the All-Star break, winning the lone game with Cousins suspended against Detroit last Wednesday, but are 0-2 on the road. The Pelicans and Lakers exchanged a pair of blowouts in New Orleans back in November, while the Pels have won in three of the past four visits to Staples Center.
Mavericks host Thunder
By: StatFox.com
The Mavericks will be looking to earn an impressive victory over Russell Westbrook and the Thunder on Sunday.
The Thunder defeated the Mavericks 109-98 in the most recent meeting between the two teams. That was on Jan. 26 and the Thunder were 9-point favorites in that one. Oklahoma City has been dominant in this head-to-head series recently, as the team is now 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS when facing Dallas in the past 10 meetings. It is, however, worth noting that the Thunder had Kevin Durant up until this year, and they are not the team they were when the superstar was still around. Another thing that needs to be pointed out is that the OVER has hit in seven of the past 10 games in this series. It has also come through on four straight occasions heading into this one. Both of these teams are good ATS, as both of them have records that place them in the top-10 in the league. The Mavericks are the home team, however, and that is extremely important when looking at this one. The Thunder have a losing record both SU and ATS when playing away from home, and the Mavericks are a very good team when playing in Dallas. They have a winning record SU at home and have also covered in just about 60% of their games in their arena. They’ll be hoping to notch another win-and-cover on Sunday.
PG Russell Westbrook put on a show the last time he faced the Mavericks, scoring 45 points with eight rebounds, three assists and two steals in 35 minutes of action. Westbrook was 16-for-29 from the floor, 4-for-8 from three and 9-for-11 from the line in that game. Oklahoma City will be hoping for yet another efficient performance like that one, but he should be able to do a better job of getting his teammates involved this time around. Westbrook is a triple-double machine, so it’d be surprising if he didn’t record at least eight assists in this one. Defensively, he’ll want to be as aggressive as possible in this game. He’s going up against a Dallas team that is small and weak at the point guard spot, so he should be able to cause some turnovers on Sunday. On the inside, both Cs Enes Kanter and Steven Adams should be able to have tremendous impacts here. Kanter is one of the best scorers in the league once he gets inside the paint, and Dallas doesn’t have anybody that can really cover him. Adams, meanwhile, will need to continue to do the dirty work for this team. He should have a nice game on the boards, and it wouldn’t be surprising if he had a double-double in this one.
When the Mavericks lost to the Thunder in January, SF Harrison Barnes had 31 points on 13-for-26 shooting from the floor. Barnes will need to come through with another big offensive performance in this one, and he should be able to do that in front of his own fans. Barnes will also need to be engaged defensively, and should spend plenty of time at the power forward position in this one. If he does then he will need to be ready to play tough, as Oklahoma City has a massive frontcourt. The same goes for PF Dirk Nowitzki, who could have trouble dealing with the size of guys like Kanter and Adams. Nowitzki could, however, force the Thunder to take those guys off the floor in this one. If he is hitting his threes then Oklahoma City will need to put somebody quicker on him. In the backcourt guys like PG Yogi Ferrell, SG Seth Curry and SG Wes Matthews will need to show up. The three of them have been taking turns on who gets going lately, but Curry is the one that can probably do the most damage here. He has been playing with a ton of confidence recently and should be able to knock down a few threes on Sunday.