NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, November 30th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Mavericks lost tough home game to Spurs last night; Dallas lost nine of last 10 games, is 1-9 on road, 3-7 as a road underdog. Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Jazz won/covered its last four games; they’re 3-3 as a home favorite. Three of last four Utah games went over. Dallas won three of last four games with Charlotte, winning by 27-11 points in last two visits here. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Milwaukee won three of last four games, is 2-4 on road, 1-0 as a road favorite; under is 4-2 in their road games. Brooklyn lost seven of last eight games, is 4-5 at home, 5-4 as a home dog. Over is 8-1 in Nets’ last nine games. Bucks won seven of last eight games with Brooklyn, beating Nets 110-108 at home Oct 29; Milwaukee won by 7-9 points in last two visits here. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.
Clippers lost in double OT to Nets Monday; they’re 5-3 in last eight games after a 10-1 start, losing two of last three on road. LA is 4-5 as a road favorite. Cavaliers won four of last five games; they’re 5-4-1 as a home favorite, covering last three at home. Last four Cleveland games went over. Clippers lost last four games with Cleveland (0-4 vs spread); they lost by 13-11-6 points in last three visits here. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Memphis got whacked in Toronto last night, lost three of last four games; they lost last two home games, are 1-3 as home favorites. Under is 6-1 in their last seven home tilts. Orlando lost four of last five games, is 5-3 as a road underdog. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Memphis PG Conley (back) is out 4-6 weeks. Grizzlies won nine of last ten games with Orlando (5-2 vs spread in last seven); Magic lost last six visits here, but are 3-3 vs spread in those games. Three of last four series games went over.
Miami won in Denver last nite, its second win in last six games; Heat covered three of last four as a road underdog. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Jazz won/covered last four games; they’re 3-3 as a home favorite. Three of last four Jazz games went over. Utah won three of last four games with Miami, covered six of last eight; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Heat lost four of last five visits to Utah (1-4 vs spread).
Rockets won five of last seven games, are 7-5 on road, 4-2 as a road underdog. Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Golden State won its last 12 games, is 3-5 as a home favorite. Over is 4-1 in Warriors’ last five home games. Warriors won eight of last nine games with Houston (7-2 vs spread); four of last five series games stayed under. Rockets lost last five visits to Oakland (1-4 vs spread).
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NBA: Streak, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Los Angeles Clippers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers taken behind the woodshed spanked 118-101 at Milwaukee are going to be in one foul mood when they return to Quicken Loans Arena to take on Los Angeles Clippers. King James and his Cavaliers 9-1 (4-5-1 ATS) in front of the home audience have a habit of responding at home following a loss. In the past eight such regular season situations the Cavaliers have reeled of a perfect 8-0 SU mark with a 6-2 record against the betting line.
On the other side, struggling Clippers dropping 3 of 4 on this current six game road swing, the most recent being a 127-122 loss at Brooklyn have been poor bets following a loss. In their last seven the result has been one cover, 6 non-cover.
Cleveland 10-3 SU/ATS overall vs Clippers, 7-1 SU/ATS as host in the series, 10-1 SU, 8-3 ATS at home during regular season vs WC Pacific opponents expect Cavaliers to bring their best effort covering the current -6.0 points being offered at BetOnline.ag
Inside the Paint - Thursday
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com
For the second straight night in the NBA, the underdogs showed their fight and posted a 5-4 straight up mark and even better 6-3 record against the spread. Bettors playing money-line tickets on Detroit (+240) and Miami (+210) were rewarded in their wins against Boston and Denver respectively but the big payout of the night came from the Lakers (+500), who knocked off the Bulls 96-90 at the United Center with a shorthanded squad. Including Tuesday’s results, underdogs are 10-5 SU and 11-4 ATS the last two nights.
Game to Watch- L.A. Clippers at Cleveland
The Cavaliers (13-3 SU, 6-9-1 ATS) opened as 4½-point home favorites over the Clippers (14-5 SU, 10-9 ATS) and the number has inched up to five at most betting shops as of Thursday morning.
According to the oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag, the Cavaliers (3/1) and Clippers (12/1) are in the same company with the Spurs (10/1) as the only three teams that have a serious chance to defeat this year’s favorite, Golden State (5/7).
Both clubs have shown they can dominate this season but they’ve been complacent as well.
Los Angeles started the season 14-2 but enters this game with three straight losses to inferior opponents in the Eastern Conference, which includes a 127-122 overtime setback at Brooklyn this past Tuesday. Cleveland also enters the game off a loss, an embarrassing 118-101 defeat at Milwaukee on Tuesday. The Cavaliers haven’t dropped back-to-back games yet in 2016 and they cruised to double-digit wins off their first two losses this season.
The Cavaliers haven’t battled any of the three other title contenders this season but they do own a pair of tight victories over Toronto, who many pundits believe will be Cleveland’s biggest challenge in the East. Los Angeles notched a home victory over Toronto as well in mid-November and it does have an impressive road win at San Antonio on its resume.
Cleveland has gone 3-0 (2-1 ATS) versus the West this season and it put a 131 PPG in those wins, which helped the ‘over’ cash in every game. L.A. was 4-0 versus the East this season before dropping three in a row this past week.
If L.A. really wants to cement itself as a contender, a win tonight would go a long way. Unfortunately for head coach Doc Rivers and company, the Clippers have dropped four straight both SU and ATS to the Cavaliers and the last two visits to Quicken Loans Arena were decided by 13 and 11 points.
East vs. West
Along with the Clippers-Cavaliers matchup, Thursday’s card has three more non-conference matchups and two of them appear to be one-sided.
Dallas at Charlotte: The Hornets have been installed as double-digit favorites (-10½) over the Mavericks and the number could be a tad inflated. Charlotte started the season strong with an 8-3 record but it’s just 2-5 over its last seven and the defense has allowed 100-plus points in all five losses. The Mavericks snapped an eight-game losing skid on Sunday with a 91-81 win over New Orleans but the losing started again last night as San Antonio beat them 94-87 at home. Not surprisingly, Dallas is 0-3 both SU and ATS in back-to-back spots this season and the ‘over’ has cashed in all three setbacks. Despite the poor season, the Mavericks have won three of their last four encounters against the Hornets and that includes two straight in Charlotte by double digits.
Orlando at Memphis: This matchup has “pass” written all over it but somebody jumped all over the visitor when the opening number was posted on Wednesday. The Grizzlies opened as short favorites (-2) but are now home ‘dogs (+1) as of Thursday morning. VI handicapper Kevin Rogers pointed out a crazy stat for me on Grizzlies point guard Mike Conley, who is ‘out’ with a back injury. Going back to last season, the Grizzlies are 1-16 SU and 5-12 ATS the last 17 games without the highest paid player in the league and that includes last night’s 120-105 loss at Toronto. Orlando does enter this game with confidence after snapping a four-game losing skid on Tuesday with a 95-83 win over San Antonio as a healthy 12½-point road underdog. Even with that win, it’s hard to back the Magic knowing that they have serious issues on offense (92.3 PPG). The Magic and Grizzlies split their two meetings last season with the home team earning wins and covers. Prior to those matchups, Memphis had won nine straight against Orlando.
Miami at Utah: The Jazz dropped the Heat 102-91 on Nov. 12 as a 1½-point road underdog and have now won three of their last four encounters versus Miami. The rematch takes place in Salt Lake City and the Heat enter this matchup with key injuries to the backcourt. Miami has had trouble scoring this season (96.1 PPG) and it’s hard to imagine them doing much against the league’s best defense in Utah (93.8 PPG). The Heat did kick off their road trip last night in Denver with a 106-98 win but going back to last season, Miami has dropped seven straight games when playing on no rest. Make a note that the Heat are 1-4 this season off a win.
Late-Night Shootout?
Houston at Golden State will meet for the first time this season after squaring off in last year’s playoffs and the rematch should be fun to watch in the nationally televised game on TNT. Oddsmakers sent out a total of 229 and that number is up to 230 at most betting shops.
It’s hard to argue for the ‘under’ in this game based on the pace and offensive firepower both clubs bring to the floor. Golden State (117.6 PPG) leads the league in scoring and Houston is right behind them (109.3 PPG) in fourth.
The Warriors are shooting a blistering 50.2 percent from the field, which is head and shoulders above every other team. The Rockets are ranked third at 46.5 percent and that’s an incredible number considering the team attempts 36.6 bombs from 3-point land a game. If those shots fall (and they do), Houston can beat anybody on any given night.
As far as total results goes, Golden State has leaned slightly to the ‘over’ (10-8 ) while Houston has seen a stalemate (9-9) thus far.
The Warriors enter Thursday on a 12-game winning streak (7-4-1 ATS) and while the offense garners all the attention in the Bay Area, the defense has only surrendered 95.2 PPG to their last five opponents.
Houston started its most recent five-game road trip with a pair of wins but its own style got the best of them on Tuesday as Utah ran the club out for a 120-101 loss in Salt Lake City. Despite the loss, the Rockets own a solid 7-5 SU and 9-3 ATS mark on the road.