NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Thursday, November 10th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Bucks won last two games with New Orleans, after losing previous six; Pelicans are 3-2 in last five visits to Milwaukee. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. New Orleans is 0-8, 1-3 as a road underdog, losing away games by 19-8-10-6 points- over is 5-3 in their games. Bucks won three of last four games; over is 5-2 in their last seven. Milwaukee is 1-1 as a home favorite.
Dwyane Wade returns to Miami here with Bulls, who lost last four games (0-4 vs spread) with Miami; seven of last nine series games stayed under total. Chicago lost by 18-8 points in last two visits here. Bulls lost in Atlanta last nite, their 4th loss in last five games; Chicago is 1-3 on road, 0-3 as a road underdog- four of their last five games stayed under. Heat lost four of last five games; favorites covered all three of their home games.
Golden State won four of last five games with Denver, but Nuggets are 5-1 vs spread in last six series games. Last six series games went over the total. Warriors won six of last seven games after crushing Dallas last nite; they’re 1-3 as a road favorite, winning away games by 23-6-8 points. Over is 4-3 in their games this season. Denver lost four of last six games; they lost only home game by hoop in OT to Portland. Over is 5-3 in their games.
Sacramento beat the Lakers seven games in a row (5-1-1 vs spread); LA lost its last five visits to the state capital, losing by 3-18-10-7-5 points (over 3-1 in last four). Lakers won three of last four games; they’re 3-1 as a road underdog- four of their last five games went over. Sacramento won its last two games after a 1-5 start; three of their last four games stayed under. Kings are 2-0 as a home favorite.
Armadillosports.com
Inside the Paint - Thursday
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com
It’s been a great back-and-forth week in the NBA betting market so far with favorites going 15-9 straight up since Monday. Along with pulling off some quality outright victories, the underdogs have managed to 13-11 against the spread over this span. Total bettors have watched the ‘over’ go 16-8 during this span.
Fast forward to Thursday’s action and all eyes will be on South Florida as Dwyane Wade returns to Miami as a member of the Chicago Bulls. Tony Mejia did a great job with the backstory on that situation and if emotions are involved in your handicapping, then be sure to check it out.
I was a little surprised to see Miami opened as a 1 ½-point home favorite over Chicago in this matchup, considering its form and overall talent. The Heat have started the season 2-4 both SU and ATS and victories have come against weaker foes in Orlando and Sacramento, the latter in overtime. From what we’ve seen from Miami, it just can’t shoot the ball and lacks anybody that can create offensively. The club is ranked both 28th in shooting percentage (41.8%) and scoring offense (96.3 PPG).
Fortunately for the franchise, they have a smart coach in Erik Spoelstra and he’s made them into a defensive team with big man Hassan Whiteside. They’re allowing 98 points per game and are ranked second in field goal defense (41.2%).
The club will be tested on Thursday against a Chicago team that has put up triple digits in seven of its first eight games. After starting the season 3-0, the Bulls have lost four of five and that includes last night’s 115-107 loss at Atlanta. Chicago has played once this season with no rest and it was run 111-94 at Indiana on Nov. 5.
Due to all the new faces on each roster, past history between the pair could be overlooked but make a note that Miami won and covered all three encounters against Chicago last season with two of the three decisions coming by double digits.
TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.
We have three other games on tap for Thursday and below is my quick handicap.
New Orleans at Milwaukee: I’m impressed with the Bucks team and you have to applaud head coach Jason Kidd for their effort despite their lack of talent. They enter Thursday’s game with wins in three of their last four and that includes a 117-113 win at New Orleans on Nov. 1 as 3½-point road underdogs. The Pelicans (0-8 SU, 2-6 ATS) remain winless and outside of All-Star Anthony Davis, the team doesn’t have much left in the tank. I expected Milwaukee (-4½) to be listed a tad higher since it hasn’t played since Sunday and New Orleans is out of sorts right now. Plus, the Bucks have won three straight at home and the last two wins came by double digits against better opponents than the Pelicans. The ‘over’ (204½) was never in doubt in their recent meeting but was helped with a combined 51 made free throws and 19 bombs from 3-point land.
Golden State at Denver: The Warriors opened as 6½-point road favorites at CRIS and the number has dropped to five on Thursday morning due to the status of Golden State point guard Stephen Curry, who is ‘questionable’ with an ankle injury. The Warriors are also playing on no rest after running past Dallas 116-95 on Wednesday as 18-point home favorites. Despite its 3-4 record, Denver has been very competitive and three of its four losses came by three points or less. The Nuggets have gone 5-2 ATS but will also be playing the first game at home after a five-game roadie and that’s never an easy spot. However, the fans should be juiced up for this matchup since it will be just the second home game of the season for Denver. Golden State has won six of the past eight in this series but Denver has been very competitive and managed to produce a 5-2-1 ATS mark during this span. The two wins by the Nuggets both occurred at the Pepsi Center in Colorado.
L.A. Lakers at Sacramento: The late-night tip from the Golden 1 Center could be a tough handicap for some, especially if you aren’t familiar with the new-look Kings. Sacramento has become defensive-minded under new head coach Dave Joerger and when the unit is successful, they win. The Kings are 4-5 and they’ve allowed 95.5 PPG in the wins and 107 PPG in their losses. Lakers head coach Luke Walton has taken a different approach and has installed an up-tempo style in Los Angeles. The club is 4-4 through eight games (6-2 ATS) and they’ve averaged 119.8 PPG in their wins and just 97.5 PPG in their losses. So do you back Los Angeles and its offense or Sacramento’s defense? The Kings have won seven straight and eight of the last 10 encounters against the Lakers. These teams combined for 246 and 233 points in the two games played at Sacramento last season, which helped the ‘over’ easily go 2-0.
Steve's Screenshot
By Steve Merril
Bulls at Heat (-2, 200)
Dwyane Wade returns to Miami tonight to face his former team. Both teams are struggling, going 1-4 SU/ATS in their past five games. The Bulls have played high-scoring games this season, but it is a bit misleading as Chicago has played strong offensive teams and weak defensive teams. Overall, the Bulls are averaging 107.2 points per game on 45.6% FG shooting, but they have faced weak defenses that allow 109.0 ppg and 45.9% FG.
Miami has been a weak offensive team this season, averaging just 96.3 points per game on 41.8% FG shooting, despite facing defenses that allow 99.5 ppg and 44.3% FG. Chicago is the better offensive team, but Miami holds a substantial defensive edge tonight. The Heat are allowing just 98.0 points and 41.2% FG shooting this season, while the Bulls permit 102.2 ppg and 46.7% FG.