Tuesday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors (-7.5, 199)
The Golden State Warriors have not had the quick turnaround that Mark Jackson was looking for when he took over behind the bench.
Now that Jackson has had three full days off to practice, maybe the Warriors will have more of an identity offensively and defensively when they host the Sacramento Kings on Tuesday.
The Kings, who are one of the few teams in the NBA surrendering more points than the Warriors, will not provide the perfect test case, as their offense has not been a great challenge to defenses of late.
In fact, Golden State might have to fight the urge to simply out-score Sacramento, which has allowed an average of 111.8 points in losing its last four games.
The Kings’ big problem is in the paint, where they have regularly been beaten up despite the presence of rising star DeMarcus Cousins, but Sacto was much better in tough loss at Utah.
Pick: Kings
New Jersey Nets at Indiana Pacers (-9.5, 190)
After a three-game road trip, the Indiana Pacers are home for a one-game stay against the New Jersey Nets on Tuesday before heading out for two more on the road.
Indiana has lived out of its suitcase for the past two weeks and will have played eight of its last 10 games on the road by the time it wraps up in Dallas on Friday. While the Pacers are holding their own as guests, they are 5-1 as hosts.
The Nets are happy to get away from the Garden State after the effort they gave fans Sunday. The Nets lacked energy on both ends of the floor and fell 94-73 to Toronto. It marked the fifth time New Jersey has scored in the 70s this season and came on the heels of an offensive explosion, in which the team averaged 98 points over a three-game road trip.
Indiana won at New Jersey 108-94 on Jan. 2, its eighth straight victory both outright and against the spread over the Nets.
Pick: Pacers
Tuesday's NBA Tips
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
The Tuesday NBA card involves seven games, but only one matchup with both squads owning records above .500. The Nuggets head to FedEx Forum to battle the Grizzlies, as Memphis will be playing with no rest. We'll start in Cleveland with the surprising Cavaliers looking to shock Boston for the second time in three days.
Celtics at Cavaliers
These two old playoff rivals haven't had a lot of meaningful basketball to play since LeBron James left Cleveland before last season. However, the new savior for the Cavs' franchise led an impressive rally in Sunday night's comeback victory at TD Garden. Kyrie Irving's layup in the closing seconds lifted Cleveland to an 88-87 triumph as 6½-point underdogs, while capping a late 12-0 run.
The loss by the Celtics snapped a four-game winning streak, which included a pair of victories over the struggling Magic. Rajon Rondo has missed the last six games with a wrist injury, as the Celtics' point guard looks to take the floor on Tuesday. Ray Allen returned from a three-game absence in Sunday's loss with a game-high 22 points, while the C's shot 52% from the field. With the defeat, Boston fell to 2-5 ATS the last seven games as a home favorite.
The Cavs were the laughing-stock of the NBA last season with a 19-63 record, but Byron Scott's club owns an 8-11 mark through 19 games. Cleveland has seen its ups and downs this season by posting a pair of losses by 27 points, while going 8-4 ATS as a road underdog. At Quicken Loans Arena, the Cavs are just 3-4 ATS, including a win as a home 'dog over the Knicks last week.
Nuggets at Grizzlies
Memphis started the season behind the eight-ball with a 3-6 record, but bounced back by putting together a seven-game winning streak. The Grizzlies took a step backwards with three consecutive losses to end a four-game West Coast swing. Now, Memphis plays with no rest following Monday's home game against San Antonio as Denver heads to FedEx Forum.
The Nuggets were tripped up at home on Sunday night by the Clippers in the final minutes, 109-105 as 5½-point 'chalk.' Denver still remains one of the top ATS teams in the league at 14-6 ATS, including an 8-2 ATS ledger away from the Pepsi Center. George Karl's team pulled off a clean sweep of their latest road trip by winning all five games, including overtime victories at Philadelphia and New York.
The Grizzlies have been held below 100 points in six of the last seven games, while cashing the 'under' five times. Memphis is playing with no rest at home for only the second time this season, as the Grizzlies dominated the Kings in a January 21 blowout, 128-95. The total has eclipsed the 'over' in each of the previous five meetings, while Denver owns a 9-1 record the last 10 games against Memphis.
Bobcats at Lakers
Charlotte owns the worst record in the league at 3-18, while playing without point guard D.J. Augustin, who is out with an inflamed toe. The Bobcats begin a four-game road swing at Staples Center against the Lakers, as Los Angeles goes for its first two-game winning streak since mid-January.
The Lakers staved off a furious Minnesota rally for just their second road victory of the season on Sunday, 106-101 as two-point underdogs. Mike Brown's team hasn't helped backers with a dreadful 2-7 ATS record the last nine games, including a 1-3 ATS mark at home. The purple and gold broke the 100-point barrier for only the second time in 21 games on Sunday, while facing a Bobcats' squad that has been limited to below 100 points in eight consecutive contests.
There aren't many glowing reviews for the Bobcats at this point, as Paul Silas' club is 1-14 SU and 3-12 ATS the last 15 games. Amazingly, Charlotte owns a 5-3 ATS record as a double-digit 'dog this season, including covers at Chicago and Orlando. The Bobcats are 9-1 ATS the last 10 meetings against the Lakers, while cashing each of the previous five times at Staples Center (all as 10+ 'dogs or more).
Hot Teams
-- Pacers won five of six home games, covering three of last four. Nets are 5-3 vs spread in last eight games as road underdog.
-- Celtics won four of their last five games.
-- Hawks won eight of their last ten games.
-- Nuggets won six of their last seven games.
-- Lakers won 10 of last 12 home games (6-5 as HF, 1-3 in last four).
Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers lost three of their last four home games.
-- Raptors lost four of their last five home games.
-- New York lost last four home games, is 1-8 against spread at home. Pistons are 1-9-1 vs spread as a road underdog.
-- Memphis lost its last four games, scoring 83 ppg.
-- Warriors lost four of their last five games.
-- Bobcats lost their last eight games (2-6 vs spread).
Wear and Tear
-- Nets: 3rd game/5 nites. Pacers: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Celtics: 4th game/6 nites. Cavaliers: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Hawks: 3rd game/5 nites. Raptors: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Pistons: 5th game/7 nites. Knicks: Had last two nites off.
-- Nuggets: 3rd game/5 nites. Grizzlies: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Kings: Had last two nites off. Warriors: Had last three nites off.
-- Bobcats: Had last two nites off. Lakers: 3rd game/4 nites.
Totals
-- Six of last eight New Jersey road games went over the total.
-- Under is 11-2 in Boston's last thirteen games.
-- Five of seven Toronto home games stayed under.
-- Eight of eleven Detroit road games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Denver games went over the total. Six of Memphis' last seven games stayed under.
-- Nine of last ten Sacramento road games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Charlotte games stayed under the total.
NEW JERSEY (7 - 14) at INDIANA (13 - 6) - 1/31/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 80-104 ATS (-34.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 34-54 ATS (-25.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-0 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON (9 - 10) at CLEVELAND (8 - 11) - 1/31/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-6 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-6 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ATLANTA (15 - 6) at TORONTO (7 - 14) - 1/31/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 85-115 ATS (-41.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game since 1996.
TORONTO is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 46-66 ATS (-26.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (4 - 18) at NEW YORK (7 - 13) - 1/31/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DENVER (14 - 6) at MEMPHIS (10 - 10) - 1/31/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SACRAMENTO (6 - 14) at GOLDEN STATE (6 - 12) - 1/31/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHARLOTTE (3 - 18) at LA LAKERS (12 - 9) - 1/31/2012, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 2-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA vs. TORONTO
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
BOSTON vs. CLEVELAND
Boston is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
NEW JERSEY vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Jersey's last 13 games when playing on the road against Indiana
New Jersey is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
DETROIT vs. NEW YORK
Detroit is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New York's last 17 games when playing Detroit
DENVER vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games
Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games at home
CHARLOTTE vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games when playing Charlotte
LA Lakers are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games at home
SACRAMENTO vs. GOLDEN STATE
Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
Sacramento is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
Golden State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento
NEW JERSEY at INDIANA
NEW JERSEY: 1-9 ATS Away off home loss by 10+
INDIANA: 15-5 Under at home off road win
BOSTON at CLEVELAND
BOSTON: 6-0 Under revenging SU loss as favorite
CLEVELAND: 9-15 ATS off win by 6 pts or less
ATLANTA at TORONTO
ATLANTA: 10-25 ATS off BB wins
TORONTO: 30-18 Under off ATS win
DETROIT at NEW YORK
DETROIT: 12-3 Under Away playing on back to back days
NEW YORK: 0-8 ATS at home off loss by 10+ pts
DENVER at MEMPHIS
DENVER: 14-6 ATS this season
MEMPHIS: 8-0 Over as home dog of 3 pts or less
SACRAMENTO at GOLDEN STATE
SACRAMENTO: 17-34 ATS Away off loss by 3 pts or less
GOLDEN STATE: 35-21 ATS off double digit loss
CHARLOTTE at LA LAKERS
CHARLOTTE: 13-3 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
LA LAKERS: 3-13 ATS as home favorite of 12.5 or more points
Hoop Trends - Tuesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Nets are 0-13 ATS (-7.4 ppg) since April 16, 2003 as a dog after a double digit home loss in which their DPS was minus 15 points or less.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Celtics are 0-10 OU (-12.7 ppg) since March 19, 2010 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game at home in which they shot at least 50% from the field.
PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Lakers are 0-6 ATS (-10.3 ppg) since March 10, 2011 after a win on the road in which Kobe Bryant was the Lakers’ high scorer.
CHOICE TREND:
The Kings are 10-0 OU (9.9 ppg) since March 19, 2005 as a road dog off a loss of four points or fewer as an away dog in which they trailed by double digits.