Tuesday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat (-13, 196.5)
The Cleveland Cavaliers thought they might have Daniel Gibson back on the floor for Tuesday’s game against Miami, but it looks as though he’ll be out a while longer.
Gibson practiced Monday, but did not travel with the team to Miami. He will miss his fifth straight game with a neck infection and the Cavs could have used him.
Starting shooting guard Anthony Parker has been ruled out of his fourth straight game with a back issues and rookie power forward Tristan Thompson will also sit with a sprained ankle.
But even with the injuries, the Cavs have covered the number in three of the last four – twice against Boston, while giving the Mavericks a scare in a 91-88 loss on Saturday.
Cleveland has also had a great recent history against the Heat. The Cavs have covered the number in eight of the last 10 meetings against Miami, which is just 2-7 against the spread in its last nine games overall.
We like Cleveland to hang around again.
Pick: Cavaliers
Charlotte Bobcats at Boston Celtics (-14, 177)
After the Boston Celtics dropped eight of their first 12 games, some people were wondering if the club would be able to keep up in this condensed schedule with an aging roster.
Paul Pierce didn’t see it that way.
"I think a lot of it has to do with us getting healthy," Pierce told reporters. "We were just a rusty group at the beginning of the year. ... We probably used those first eight to 10 games as a tune up, but I think now we've finally flipped the switch where we're playing more consistent ball."
Especially on defense. The Celtics are giving up just 81.2 points per game over their last nine, helping them to eight outright wins while covering the number six times.
With this much chalk on the home team, we feel more comfortable with the under.
Pick: Under
Hot Teams
-- Pacers won four of their last five games.
-- Miami won last five home games, but covered just one of last six at home. Cavaliers covered five of their last seven road games.
-- Celtics won last four games, but are 3-6 vs spread in last nine games as a home favorite.
-- Minnesota won three of last four games, but is 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight games as a home favorite. Sacramento won its last three games, and covered its last five.
-- Suns won three of last four games; are 4-3 in last seven on the road. Milwaukee won/covered three of its last four home games.
-- Golden State won three of last four home games; they're 3-4-1 as a home underdog. Thunder won eight of their last eleven road games.
Cold Teams
-- Jazz covered twice in eight games as a road underdog.
-- Bobcats are 5-9 as road underdogs, covering one of last six.
Wear and Tear
-- Jazz: 5th game/7 nites. Pacers: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Cavaliers: Had last two nites off. Heat: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Bobcats: Had last two nites off. Celtics: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Kings: 3rd game/4 nites. Wolves: Had last two nites off.
-- Suns: 5th game/7 nites. Bucks: Had last two nites off.
-- Thunder: 5th game/7 nites. Warriors: Had last two nites off.
Here are teams' records who had last 2+ nites off:
Home favorites: 11-4 vs spread
Home underdogs: 3-5 vs spread
Road underdogs: 9-12 vs spread
Totals
-- Seven of last nine Indiana games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Miami home games stayed under total.
-- Last eight Charlotte road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games went over total. Ten of last twelve Sacramento road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee games went over the total. Under is 8-3 in last eleven Phoenix road games.
-- Six of last sevenThunder games went over the total.
UTAH (13 - 10) at INDIANA (16 - 7) - 2/7/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 118-82 ATS (+27.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
UTAH is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CLEVELAND (9 - 13) at MIAMI (18 - 6) - 2/7/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHARLOTTE (3 - 21) at BOSTON (13 - 10) - 2/7/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
CHARLOTTE is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game since 1996.
BOSTON is 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SACRAMENTO (9 - 15) at MINNESOTA (12 - 12) - 2/7/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHOENIX (10 - 14) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 13) - 2/7/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 106-84 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OKLAHOMA CITY (19 - 5) at GOLDEN STATE (8 - 13) - 2/7/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 115-93 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH vs. INDIANA
Utah is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Utah's last 14 games on the road
Indiana is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing at home against Utah
CHARLOTTE vs. BOSTON
Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Boston is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Charlotte
CLEVELAND vs. MIAMI
Cleveland is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Miami
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Miami is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
PHOENIX vs. MILWAUKEE
Phoenix is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Phoenix's last 11 games on the road
Milwaukee is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games
SACRAMENTO vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Sacramento's last 15 games
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Sacramento
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. GOLDEN STATE
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Golden State's last 18 games at home
Golden State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
UTAH at INDIANA
UTAH: 12-23 ATS after a non-conference game
INDIANA: 8-1 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread
CLEVELAND at MIAMI
CLEVELAND: 17-6 OVER in February games
MIAMI: 11-2 OVER as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points
CHARLOTTE at BOSTON
CHARLOTTE: 5-15 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less
BOSTON: 17-6 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more
SACRAMENTO at MINNESOTA
SACRAMENTO: 6-1 UNDER against Northwest division opponents
MINNESOTA: 9-18 ATS off a home win
PHOENIX at MILWAUKEE
PHOENIX: 10-25 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days
MILWAUKEE: 54-36 ATS after playing a home game
OKLAHOMA CITY at GOLDEN STATE
OKLAHOMA CITY: 15-4 ATS in road games on Tuesday nights
GOLDEN STATE: 15-4 UNDER after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better
Hoop Trends - Tuesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Celtics are 0-12 ATS (-7.2 ppg) since November 01, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a game in which more than 75% of their baskets were assisted.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Cavaliers are 10-0 OU (11.6 ppg) since December 21, 2004 as a dog after a game at home in which they had at least ten more assists than in the game before.
PLAYER BASED TREND OF THE DAY:
The Suns are 15-0 OU (13.8 ppg) since January 29, 2009 after a win in which Grant Hill had more rebounds than points.
CHOICE TREND:
The Celtics are 0-11 ATS (-11.8 ppg) since May 24, 2010 with at most one day of rest after a home win in which they allowed less than 40% from the field.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Warriors are 0-7 OU (-16.5 ppg) since March 18, 2011 after losing the previous matchup in which Stephen Curry was not the Warriors’ high scorer.