NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, January 17th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Nets lost their last nine games (2-7 vs spread); they’re 9-9 as home underdogs. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Toronto won five of last six home games, covered four of last five. Last five Raptor games went over total. Raptors won their last six games with Brooklyn; they drilled the Nets 132-113 at home four nights ago. Raptors won by 17-7 points in last two visits here. Three of last four series games stayed under total.
Houston won 10 of its last 12 games, is 10-5 vs spread as a road favorite. Their last five games went over the total. Miami lost nine of last ten games; they’re 3-7 as home underdogs. Three of their last four home games went over. Home side won six of last seven Houston-Miami games; Rockets lost five of last six visits to South Beach (3-3 vs spread). Three of last four series games stayed under.
Dallas is 4-3 in its last seven road games (5-2 vs spread); they’re 7-7 overall in last 14 games. Four of Mavericks’ last five games stayed under. Bulls won last two games by 8-4 points; they won five of last seven home games, are 6-10 as home favorites. Four of their last five home games went over. Dallas won six of last eight games with Chicago; Mavericks won last three visits to Windy City by 22-3-6 points. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.
Minnesota won three of last four games, covered four of last five, but they’ve lost last five on road (1-4 vs spread). Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. San Antonio lost two of last three games after an 11-2 run; they’re 10-8 as home favorites. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Spurs won their last eight games with Minnesota, which lost last four visits to Alamo (1-3 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over total.
Nuggets lost six of their last eight true road games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog. Last seven Denver games went over total. Lakers lost their last four games (1-3 vs spread); they’re 3-4-1 vs spread as home favorites. Denver won eight of its last ten games with the Lakers, winning last five games played here; last five series games went over the total.
Armadillosports.com
NBA: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Minnesota at San Antonio
The San Antonio Spurs dropping a 108-105 decision to the Phonix Suns in Mexico City Saturday as -12.0 point favorite return to the comfort of AT&T Center where they'll host Minnesota Timberwolves. The best thing San Antonio supporters can do after the upset loss is "fuhgeddaboudit". That's because, Spurs will put that defeat behind them and get back to their winning ways. Spurs have shown a habit of recovering cash for supporters after a loss. In eight losses prior to the defeat in Mexico City the Spurs rebounded the next effort winning seven of those games with a profitable 6-2 record against the betting line.
Additionally, some teams just have another teams number and that is the case with Spurs when it comes to Twolves. The Spurs have won eight consecutive in the series (7-1 ATS) and twenty of twenty-one (13-8 ATS) vs Twolves in front of the home audience. Twolves not a peg to hang your hopes on when travelling (5-14, 7-12 ATS) is just another nod towards San Antonio bouncing back.
Struggling Heat host Rockets
By: StatFox.com
The Heat will be looking to avoid a five-game losing streak when they host the Rockets on Tuesday.
Houston has been one of the best stories of the season, as head coach Mike D’Antoni has this team playing like a serious contender. The Rockets lost Dwight Howard in the offseason and signed SG Eric Gordon (17.9 PPG) and PF Ryan Anderson (14.0 PPG, 5.2 RPG). Those are not the types of moves that tend to move the needle, but D’Antoni’s system has proven to be perfect for SG James Harden (28.4 PPG, 11.7 APG, 8.2 RPG, 1.4 SPG). The Rockets are averaging 114.9 PPG (2nd in NBA), and their 25.7 APG (2nd in NBA) certainly helps. Houston will be hoping to make this game against Miami an up-tempo one, but the Heat might have other plans. They are averaging only 98.3 PPG this season (29th in NBA), and they allow only 102.8 PPG (9th in NBA). Miami will do its best to slow this game down, but that has not been a successful tactic against Houston this season. These two teams met twice last season, and each team won-and-covered when playing at home. The Rockets are, however, 3-1 both SU and ATS when facing the Heat over the past three seasons. Houston is also an impressive 15-4 ATS in road games where the total is greater than or equal to 210 under D’Antoni.
As previously mentioned, the Rockets offense is as potent as any in the league and James Harden is a huge reason for that. While people might argue differently, he is the only guy that should be in the MVP conversation right now. The Rockets are near the top of the Western Conference, and they are doing that with way less talent than some of their competition. Harden is a threat to put up a triple-double on any given night, and he does it way more efficiently than Russell Westbrook, who leads the league in triple-doubles. Harden is still as dangerous a scorer as ever, shooting 44.3% from the floor and 35.0% from three. His percentage from the outside is a bit down, but he is making a career high in threes per game. Harden should be in for another huge night on Tuesday, as nobody on the Heat is capable of really shutting him down. Gordon is another guy that Miami will likely have trouble with. He has been fantastic off the bench this season, knocking down 41.1% of his 9.0 threes attempted per game. Harden knows exactly where to find him and Gordon is playing with new confidence in Houston. Another guy to watch out for in this one is PF Montrezl Harrell (9.8 PPG, 4.0 RPG). Harrell has seen increased minutes in Clint Capela’s absence, and he is averaging 15.4 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 1.2 BPG and 1.2 SPG over the past five contests. He’ll need to be incredibly active in this one or Hassan Whiteside will dominate. Capela could, however, return in this game, as he is listed as questionable after a 15-game absence.
If the Heat are going to have any chance of beating the Rockets on Tuesday then both PG Goran Dragic (19.0 PPG, 6.4 APG, 3.8 RPG) and C Hassan Whiteside (17.5 PPG, 14.3 RPG, 2.2 BPG) will need to be on their games. Dragic will likely get up for this one, as he is going up against his former team. This is also exactly the type of game that fits his style, as Dragic loves to get down the floor in a hurry. It wouldn’t be surprising to see him score at least 25 on Tuesday. Whiteside, meanwhile, is not the type of guy that thrives in a game like this. He could, however, still dominate, as his size is unmatched by anybody on Houston’s roster. Whiteside should be able to use his body to get some easy buckets at the rim, and he could also give Harden some problems when driving. Another player that could help Miami pull off this upset is SG Tyler Johnson (13.9 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 3.2 APG, 1.2 SPG). Over the past five games, Johnson is averaging 15.6 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 1.2 BPG and 1.2 SPG for Miami. He is a very athletic player that rarely takes bad shots, and he could bother the Rockets’ guards in this one. It’d be big if he can knock down a few triples.
Tuesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
The MLK Day basketball board saw eight of nine favorites win outright, including the Warriors routing the Cavaliers in an NBA Finals rematch, 126-91. Golden State easily cashed as nine-point favorites, while snapping a four-game skid to Cleveland that stretched back to Game 5 of the NBA Finals last June.
The only underdog to win outright was Philadelphia, who rallied past Milwaukee, 113-104 as 8½-point ‘dogs to improve to 7-1 ATS the last eight games. The Pelicans, Knicks, and Suns all covered in losses, while the Clippers, Wizards, Nuggets, and Celtics all won by double-digits in the home favorite role.
Game of the Night – Nuggets at Lakers (-1½, 228 )
On a night with only five contests and four involving total mismatches, this matchup at Staples Center looks to be the most competitive, at least on paper. Denver (16-23 SU, 19-20 ATS) heads to Los Angeles with no rest following Monday’s 125-112 victory over Orlando as 5½-point home favorites. The Nuggets dominated in the paint as Nikola Jokic and Kenneth Faried combined to score 50 points, while Denver picked up its second consecutive win.
The Lakers (15-30 SU, 19-25-1 ATS) have dropped four consecutive games after Sunday’s 102-97 setback to the Pistons as two-point underdogs. Los Angeles squandered an early double-digit lead as the Lakers’ starters put up only 40 points. The offense has faltered recently by scoring 97 points or less in each of the past four losses, while the UNDER has hit in four of the last five games. The Lakers own a 3-5 ATS record as a favorite this season, as Luke Walton’s team has won and covered in each of its past two favorite opportunities against the Heat and Magic.
The Nuggets and Lakers have not hooked up this season as Denver captured three of four matchups last season from Los Angeles. Denver has owned Los Angeles at Staples Center over the last few seasons by winning and covering six straight matchups in southern California since January 2013. However, the Nuggets own a dreadful 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS record with no rest this season, while Denver is riding a seven-game streak to the OVER.
Raptor Domination
Toronto has won six consecutive matchups with Brooklyn since January 2016, including a pair of home victories over the last month. The Raptors pulled away from the Nets on Friday, 132-113 as Toronto outscored Brooklyn in the fourth quarter, 42-24 to cash as 15½-point favorites. Toronto begins a three-game road swing at Barclays Center as the Raps are coming off a three-game winning streak following Sunday’s triumph over New York.
It’s been a rough stretch for Brooklyn, who has lost 10 consecutive contests and 15 of the past 16 games. The Nets allowed a season-high 132 points to the Raptors on Friday, but then gave up a new season-high in points two nights later in Sunday’s 137-112 home blowout to the Rockets. Brooklyn may own one of the worst defenses ever as this team has given up at least 100 points in 16 straight games, but the UNDER is 6-4 in the past 10 games.
Heat Homecoming
Miami is back at home following a 1-5 road swing as things don’t get easier tonight with a visit from Houston. The Heat beat Sacramento on January 4, but lost the final four games, including three defeats by double-digits. Over the last month, Miami has dropped 13 of the past 15 contests, as the Heat look to improve on a 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS record the last six games at American Airlines Arena.
The Rockets rebounded from a brief two-game skid by pounding the Nets on Sunday by 25 points, as Houston knocked down 21 three-pointers. Since the start of December, Houston has won nine of its past 11 games away from Toyota Center, while covering in eight of those victories. The Rockets have lost six of the last seven visits to Miami, including a 109-89 setback in November 2015 as the Heat outscored Houston in the second half, 65-36.
Revenge of the Bulls
The last time Dallas and Chicago hooked up at American Airlines Center on December 3, the Mavericks routed the Bulls, 107-82 as four-point home underdogs. Wesley Matthews drilled seven three-pointers as Dallas led from start to finish, while the Bulls played with no rest following a home underdog victory over the Cavaliers the night before. Both teams are rested heading into tonight’s matchup at the United Center as each squad is riding a two-game winning streak.
Chicago is fresh off victories over New Orleans and Memphis, as the Bulls held off the Grizzlies as 8½-point road underdogs, 108-104 on Sunday night. The Bulls have won five of the last seven games at the United Center, but Chicago owns a 2-4 home record against Western Conference foes. The Mavericks pulled away from the Timberwolves on Sunday, 98-87, while Dallas has won four of its past seven road games since a 1-13 start on the highway.
Alamo Bounce Back
The Spurs have lost consecutive games only once this season, coming off Saturday’s 108-105 setback to the Suns in Mexico as 12½-point favorites. San Antonio owns a 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS record off a defeat as the Spurs return home to entertain the Timberwolves tonight. The Spurs have won 10 of the past 11 games against Minnesota since the start of the 2014-15 season, including five straight victories over the Wolves at the AT&T Center.
Minnesota had its three-game winning streak snapped in Sunday’s loss at Dallas, as the Wolves look to snap a five-game skid away from the Target Center. The Wolves have covered once in the last five road losses, as the last away victory for Minnesota came in Atlanta on December 21. In spite of the road woes lately, the Wolves have put together a 4-1 ATS record in its last five games, while trying to avenge a 105-91 home setback to the Spurs in December.