NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, March 21st, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Chicago lost seven of last nine games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Raptors won three of last four games, are 4-1 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 11-5 in their last sixteen home games. Bulls won/covered last ten games with Toronto, winning last four visits to Canada, by 13-7-2-2 points. Eight of last nine series games went over total.
Detroit lost three of last four games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Five of their last six games stayed under total. Nets lost three of last four games, are 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Eight of their last ten games went over. Home side won six of last seven Detroit-Brooklyn games, with Pistons winning three of last four; Detroit lost four of last five games (0-5 vs spread) in Barclays Center. Last three series games went overt total.
Phoenix lost its last four games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Suns’ last five games stayed under the total. Heat won six of its last eight games; they’re 9-2 vs spread in last 11 home games. Last three Miami games went over total. Miami won eight of last nine games with Phoenix; Suns lost last five visits to Miami (1-4 vs spread). Six of last eight games stayed under total.
Grizzlies won/covered last four games; they’re 7-5 vs spread in last 12 road games. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Pelicans won four of last five games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Four of last five New Orleans games went over. Memphis won seven of last eight games with New Orleans; Grizzlies won/covered last three visits to Bourbon Street. Five of last seven series games went over.
Golden State is 4-9 vs spread on road if they played night before; Warriors won last four games, are 2-7 vs spread in last nine road games. Last seven Warrior games stayed under. Mavericks won six of last nine games, are 7-3 vs spread in last 10 games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Golden State won nine of last ten games with Dallas (7-3 vs spread); Warriors won/covered three of last four games in Dallas. Four of last five series games went over.
San Antonio split its last six games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three road games. Six of their last eight games went over. Timberwolves lost four of last five games; they’re 4-0 vs spread in last four home games. Wolves’ last four games went over total. Spurs won their last ten games with Minnesota (7-3 vs spread, 2-3 last five); they won last five visits to Twin Cities (5-0 vs spread). Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.
Milwaukee won eight of last ten games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road tilts. Under is 11-1-1 in their last thirteen games. Portland won four of last five games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Home side won last six Milwaukee-Portland games; Bucks lost last three visits to Portland by 5-7-12 points. Six of last eight series games stayed under total.
Clippers split their last eight games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight games at Staples. Under is 6-4-2 in their last twelve games. Lakers lost five in row, 13 of last 14 games; six of their last eight games went over total. Clippers won nine of last ten games with Lakers, but Lakers covered five of last seven. Eight of last nine series games stayed under total. Obviously, this is both teams’ home court.
Armadillosports.com
NBA: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Chicago Bulls at Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors off back-2-back victories hope to make it three in-a-row when they host Chicago Bulls at the Air Canada Center north of the border.
Raptors have had good success on home court going 23-12 (19-15-1 ATS) netting 113.4 in offensive efficiency metrics while allowing 104.6 per opponent 100 possesions. On the other side, the road has not been kind for Chicago as Bulls are just 13-22 (17-18 ATS) on the campaign dropping 103.3 per 100 possesions while giving up 106.6 in defensive efficiency metrics.
Despite home/road splits and overall extended metrics favoring Toronto there is one dressing thought for Raptor supporters. And, that's the fact Chicago has had Toronto's number. The Bulls have won eleven straight meetings (11-0 ATS) including five consecutive running the hardwood vs Raptors north of the border.
Taking that into account, there are still two more facts that will ratchet up tension for Toronto supporters. The Raptors are on 0-3, 1-3 ATS skids as home chalk off a 20 or more point win the previous effort, 1-5 ATS slide as faves vs a Central opponent.
Inside the Paint - Tuesday
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com
Four teams are laying points as visitors on Tuesday and all of them own winning straight up records in this role, but their numbers against the spread haven’t been as good.
Detroit (6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS) – The Pistons have been surprisingly good in this role and two of the four losses came to very hot teams in Miami and Washington. The club has won and covered three of their last four as road favorites but one of the other losses did come against Brooklyn, who is tonight’s opponent. The ‘over’ has gone 8-2 when Detroit is a road favorite and the Nets have had no issues pushing the pace at home.
Opening Line: Pistons -4½
Golden State (27-9 SU, 15-20-1 ATS) – It’s truly amazing that the Warriors have been road favorites in all but one of their away games and the one instance occurred when they rested players. Dallas will get the shot to knock off Golden State tonight and it has gone 10-13 SU and 13-10 ATS in this role at home. Make a note that most of those losses came earlier in the season when the Mavericks were dealing with injuries and they enter this matchup with a 7-1 ATS run in their last eight as home pups.
Opening Line: Warriors -3½
San Antonio (23-7 SU, 15-14-1 ATS) – Similar to the Warriors, it’s very common to see the Spurs laying points on the road and they’ve been a better investment for gamblers. However, Pop’s club is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS in their last three away games and they’ll be facing a Minnesota team that has gone 9-1 ATS (6-4 SU) in its last 10 as a home underdog on Tuesday. Before you run to the counter and back the Timberwolves, make a note that San Antonio has won 10 straight (7-3 ATS) in this series and that includes five consecutive wins at the Target Center by double digits.
Opening Line: Spurs -5
L.A. Clippers (12-9 SU, 8-13 ATS) – Tuesday’s matchup versus the Lakers isn’t your typical road game and the Clippers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 when laying points away. In the last 20 encounters, the Clippers have gone 16-4 versus the Lakers and they’ve covered 11 of those games. The Lakers defeated the Clippers 111-102 on Christmas but Chris Paul and Blake Griffin were both out.
Opening Line: Clippers -8
Non-Conference Action
Phoenix (22-48 SU, 34-34-2 ATS) at Miami (34-36 SU, 43-27 ATS)
The Heat (-12) are laying a heavy price for this game but the number is deserving. Despite losing a 115-104 decision to Portland on Sunday at home, Miami is 15-2 both SU and ATS in its last 17 from American Airlines Arena.
Phoenix has decided to go with a youth movement down the stretch and they enter this game on a four-game losing streak, both SU and ATS. The offense has lacked any pop (100 PPG) during this span and it will be facing a Heat team that has been shooting lights out at home this season.
Laying double digits is new territory for the Heat but they’ve owned the Suns at home in recent seasons, winning six straight (5-1 ATS) and five of the victories have come by double digits.
Phoenix has gone 4-6 SU and 6-4 ATS on the road this season versus Eastern Conference opponents.
Milwaukee (34-35 SU, 30-39 ATS) at Portland (32-37 SU, 30-39 ATS)
Tough game to handicap when you look at the overall ATS records for both clubs, but if your handicapping leans to form then Portland (-5) would certainly be a look over Milwaukee.
The Trail Blazers just wrapped a five-game road trip and produced a solid 4-1 record both SU and ATS. With Denver losing last night, Portland is only a half game out of the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Blazers have gone 2-1 versus the Nuggets this season and face them one more time on Mar. 28 from the Moda Center.
Milwaukee is also in the middle of the playoff hunt and currently sits in seventh place in the Eastern Conference. The Bucks got drilled on Saturday at Golden State 117-92 but that was just their second loss in their last 10 games.
Jason Kidd’s team has been respectable versus the West this season with a 13-13 ledger but the road numbers (5-7 SU, 4-8 ATS) haven’t helped that cause. Portland’s inability to rack up wins versus the East (12-16) has hurt their postseason chances and going 6-7 both SU and ATS at home doesn’t provide much confidence for bettors.
Zero Days Rest
Only two teams playing back-to-back spots on Tuesday and below is their records and notable trends to watch.
Golden State (10-4 SU, 5-9 ATS) – You don’t want to make excuses for the Warriors but their record has been solid in back-to-back spots. They got caught early in the season to the Lakers (117-97), which could be the biggest surprise outcome of the season. Then, they lost on a buzzer beater to Miami and their rally versus the Wizards came up short in the game Kevin Durant got injured. The last setback was at San Antonio when Steve Kerr decided to not play his top four guys.
L.A. Clippers (7-8 SU, 7-8 ATS) – After dropping seven straight on no rest, Doc’s team has won and covered two of their last three on no rest.
Total Notes
Chicago has seen the ‘under’ go 44-26 this season, the best in the NBA, and the low side has posted identical 22-13 marks both at home and on the road.
Golden State has watched the ‘under’ cash in seven straight games and the low side has connected in 12 of the last 13.
The Warriors remain the best ‘under’ team in the NBA with a 26-11 (70%) record.
Phoenix has watched the ‘under’ go 5-0 in its last five.
The ‘over’ has gone 4-0 in the last four for San Antonio.
The Lakers have seen the ‘over’ go 6-1 in their last seven.
The ‘under’ has cashed in nine straight meetings between the Lakers and Clippers.
Milwaukee has watched the ‘under’ go 11-3 since the All-Star break.
Bucks, Blazers meet in Portland
By: Zach Cohen
StatFox.com
Both the Bucks and Blazers will be hoping to help their playoff chances with a win on Tuesday night.
Milwaukee lost 117-92 as a 10.5-point underdog in Golden State on Saturday, but the Bucks are still playing extremely well lately. Milwaukee has won eight of its past 10 games, and the team covered in seven of those contests. Where the Bucks have been playing well is on the offensive end, where they have shot 45.0% or better from the floor in four of their past six games. They’ll need to keep that up on Tuesday, as they can’t afford to struggle in this one. The Blazers are one of the best teams in the league offensively, and Milwaukee must hang with them on that end. The Blazers are going to be a hungry team on Tuesday, though. Portland is currently fighting for the eighth seed in the Western Conference, and the team can’t afford to lose many more games moving forward. The Blazer are, however, hot coming into this one. They have won-and-covered in three straight games and four of their past five, and all of those games were on the road. One trend that bodes well for the Blazers is that they are 3-0 ATS after a road blowout loss of 20 points or more this season. They could, however, be without SF Giannis Antetokounmpo (Ankle), who is listed as questionable for this one.
The Bucks are currently battling for a spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs, and they will really need SF Giannis Antetokounmpo (22.9 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 5.4 APG, 1.9 BPG, 1.7 SPG) to get healthy fast. If he can play in this one then that would be big for Milwaukee, as nobody on the Blazers has the combination of size and speed to really stop Antetokounmpo. He’d almost definitely find a way to score 30 in this one, and he’d also be a threat to post a triple-double. Whether or not he can go, SG Khris Middleton (14.9 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.2 SPG) is going to need to step it up. Middleton has looked good since returning from injury, and it’s possible that he’ll be a go-to guy for the Bucks in this one. McCollum’ll likely guard him, so Middleton would be wise to spend some time in the post in this one. He has the height and length to shoot right over the top of McCollum and needs to realize that early. Two other guys that will be relied on to raise their games are C Greg Monroe (11.8 PPG, 6.6 RPG, 1.2 SPG) and SG Malcolm Brogdon (10.0 PPG, 4.1 APG, 1.2 SPG). Monroe can give the team some instant offense, and Brogdon is a floor general that can defend and knock down the three (41% 3PT).
The Blazers are hot right now and PG Damian Lillard (26.8 PPG, 5.8 APG, 4.8 RPG) is playing some of the best basketball of his career recently. Over the past 10 games, Lillard is averaging 31.1 PPG and 5.3 APG on 48.6% shooting from the floor. He erupted against Miami on Sunday, going for 49 points and five assists on 14-for-21 shooting from the floor and 9-for-12 shooting from three. He was also a perfect 12-for-12 from the line, and he hasn’t missed a free throw in a game since Mar. 11. That might not seem like anything too crazy, but he has taken 45 free throws in the past five games. Look for him to continue to play well on Tuesday, as there is nobody on Milwaukee that can handle his quickness. SG C.J. McCollum (23.2 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 3.6 APG, 1.0 SPG) should also play well on the offensive end in this one. He is crafty and quick enough to get by Khris Middleton, but he will need to really dig in on the defensive end. If he can’t stop Middleton then Portland will likely lose this one. C Jusuf Nurkic (9.5 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.1 BPG) is another player to keep an eye on. The big man has revived his career in Portland, averaging 14.4 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 3.5 APG, 2.1 BPG, and 1.4 SPG in 29.9 MPG over the past 14 games. He should have no trouble dominating the paint on Tuesday.
Tuesday's NBA Game of the Day: Clippers At Lakers
By Covers.com
Los Angeles Clippers At Los Angeles Lakers (+9, 219.5)
The Los Angeles Clippers are closing in on the fourth-place Utah Jazz in the Western Conference playoff chase and look to create more pressure on Utah when they play the host Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. The Clippers are just one game behind Utah after posting back-to-back victories and have a crucial contest against the Jazz on Saturday.
The Clippers received 30 points from power forward Blake Griffin while posting a 114-105 victory over the New York Knicks on Monday. Griffin is averaging 26.5 points over the past two games and he is physically strong after dealing with injuries earlier in the season. The Lakers have lost five straight games during their fourth consecutive 50-loss campaign as they limp to the finish line. D'Angelo Russell started at shooting guard Sunday for the first time and poured in a career-best 40 points in Sunday's 125-120 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers.
LINE HISTORY: The "road team" Clippers opened the betting as 8-point favorites over the Lakers and that spread has been bumped up to 9 points at most shops. The total hit the board at 221 and has been dropped to 219.5 as of Tuesday afternoon. Check out the complete line history here.
INJURY REPORT:
Clippers - C D. Stone (Out Indefinitely, knee).
Lakers - SG N. Young (Probable Tuesday, flu), PG T. Ennis (Questionable Tuesday, shoulder), SF L. Deng (Out For Season, coach's decision), C T. Mozgov (Out For Season, coach's decision).
POWER RANKINGS: Clippers (-6.1) - Lakers (4.3) + home court (-3) = Clippers -7.4
ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (42-29 SU, 34-37 ATS, 38-32-1 O/U): Numerous players were able to draw rest in the final quarter after the Clippers led the Knicks by 25 points through three quarters, a situation Griffin found pleasing. "I'd like to see us execute like this in a little more stressful environment on the road, different situations," Griffin told reporters. "It's always nice to have a game where most everybody's under 30 minutes. You get to rest in the fourth quarter and get ready for the Lakers." Point guard Chris Paul recorded 13 points and 13 assists after having poor shooting performances — 0-of-8 and 2-of-10 — in two of the previous three games.
ABOUT THE LAKERS (20-50 SU, 30-38-2 ATS, 39-30-1 O/U): Russell started at shooting guard due to Nick Young's illness and he took a much more aggressive approach while making 14-of-22 shots, including 7-of-12 from 3-point range. "I feel like when you're playing shooting guard, you've got to score the ball or make plays for your teammates," Russell told reporters. "Playing the point guard, it's harder to do that, be aggressive, try to score the ball every time, because you've got to make at least one pass. But figuring it out, whatever position I'm in, I'm going to try to make the best of it." Russell recently was demoted as the starting point guard and coach Luke Walton is employing Jordan Clarkson as the starter at that position.
TRENDS:
* Clippers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
* Lakers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Under is 8-1 in Clippers last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
* Under is 9-1 in Lakers last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.
CONSENSUS: 60 percent are taking chalk with the road favorite Clippers and Over is picking up 61 percent of the totals wagers.