NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, November 29th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
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4th game in five nights for Charlotte, who won by 19 in Memphis last nite. Hornets won last two games after an 0-4 skid; they’re 5-4 at home, 4-2 as home favorites. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight home games. Detroit is 1-8 on road, 1-6 as a road underdog; they lost five of last seven overall. Under is 12-5 in their last 17 games. Home side won last five Detroit-Charlotte games; Pistons lost last three visits here, by 24-20-15 points. Over is 6-3-1 in last ten series games.
Clippers won five of last six games, are 2-4 in last six games as a road favorite. Over is 9-1 in their last ten games. Brooklyn lost its last seven games (0-6-1 vs spread); they’re 4-4 as home dogs, but 0-3 in last three home games. Over is 7-1 in their last eight games. Clippers won six of last eight games with Brooklyn, but Nets covered eight of last ten in series. LA lost four of last five visits to Brooklyn- they won by 5 here LY. Three of last four series games stayed under total.
Cleveland won seven of last eight games, is 2-3 as road favorite, with road wins by 3-1-11-4 points- their last three games went over total. Bucks are 5-4 at home, 2-2 as home underdogs. Under is 4-2 in Milwaukee’s last six games. Cavaliers won five of last six games with Milwaukee; over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Cavs won three of last four visits here, with wins by 29-5-18 points.
Lakers lost four of last six games, are 3-5 on road, 5-3 as road underdogs. Three of last four LA games stayed under total. Pelicans won/covered last four home games, are 1-4 as home favorites. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five home tilts. Lakers won three of last four games with New Orleans, after Pelicans had won five in row before that; over is 6-4 in last ten series games, 3-2 in last five played here. LA lost three of last four visits here, with losses by 8-16-7 points.
San Antonio won its last nine games; they’re 4-3 at home, 2-5 vs spread as a home favorite. Last six Spurs games went over total. Orlando lost its last four games, is 4-3 as a road underdog. Six of last seven Magic games stayed under. Spurs won their last ten games with Orlando but Magic covered four of last five; last three series games stayed under total. Magic lost its last five visits to Alamo but covered last three, losing by 9-7-15 points.
Houston won five of last six games, is 7-4 on road, covering last four tries as a road favorite. Over is 4-1-1 in Rockets’ last six games. Jazz won/covered last three games; they’re 4-3 at home, 0-1 as a home underdog. Under is 6-1 in Utah home games. Rockets won seven of last ten games with Utah, splitting last four games played here; over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Home side won six of last eight series games.
Armadillosports.com
Inside the Paint - Tuesday
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com
In mid-October, the Houston Rockets (11-6 straight up, 12-5 against the spread) were listed as a 100/1 betting choice to win the 2016-17 NBA Finals and a 60/1 to capture the Western Conference at Sportsbook.ag. As we approach the quarter pole of the regular season, the Rockets have seen their odds shrink to 50/1 and 35/1 respectively.
When you’re playing in the same conference as Golden State and San Antonio, investing a future ticket on Houston doesn’t appear to be a sound bet. However, it’s hard to ignore the early production from the club under new head coach Mike D’Antoni.
The Rockets look just like the Phoenix teams that he coached from 2004 through 2008 and you can argue that this Houston team is more talented. The Rockets' defense has always been questionable but new assistant coach Jeff Bzdelik has slightly improved the numbers even with the loss of big man Dwight Howard.
For our purposes, Houston has been the best bet (12-5 ATS) in the league this year and it’s been better on the road versus the number (7-4 SU, 9-2 ATS). Realizing that Houston has only played six home games makes those numbers even more impressive.
On Tuesday, the Rockets will be playing the middle game of a five-game road trip against Utah (10-8 SU, 9-9 ATS). Houston opened up as a two-point road favorite and the number has been pushed to 2½ as of Tuesday morning.
This is your classic offense vs. defense matchup and the Jazz have the best overall defensive unit (93.4 PPG) in the league. Utah also has the slowest pace in the league, attempting 78.7 shots per game and that’s the main reason why tonight’s total (203) doesn’t seem high compared to other Houston games but it is the highest total that Utah has seen this season.
The Jazz enter this game with three straight wins and covers after they defeated Minnesota 112-103 last night as a three-point road favorite. Playing on no rest hasn’t been issue for Utah this season with the club posting a 3-1 record both SU and ATS in back-to-back situations.
These teams met recently in Houston on Nov. 19 and the Rockets ran past the Jazz 111-102 as 6½-point home favorites. Houston is 1-1 in its last two trips to Salt Lake City and the two games were decided by a total of five points (117-114, 93-91).
Along with this matchup, we have five other games on tap for Tuesday.
Keep in mind that favorites went 7-0 SU on Monday and Golden State (-13½) was the lone ‘chalk’ to win but not cover the number in its 105-100 home win over Atlanta. The ‘under’ went 4-3 last night.
Detroit at Charlotte: The Hornets opened as three-point home favorites over the Pistons and I thought this line would be a little higher. Charlotte is coming off a 104-85 road win over Memphis last night and it hasn’t been a great bet this season (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) when playing on no rest. Detroit got diced up at Oklahoma City 106-88 on Saturday, which dropped its road record to 1-8 both SU and ATS. If you’re leaning to the Pistons in this matchup, you better hope they score. In seven of its eight wins this season, Detroit has scored 100 or more points. Make a note that Charlotte has been worse defensively (103.3 PPG) at home than on the road (101. PPG).
L.A. Clippers at Brooklyn: After showing fight the first few weeks of the season (4-5 SU, 7-2 ATS), the Nets are starting to live up to their meek expectations. Brooklyn has dropped seven straight (0-6-1 ATS) and the smallest margin during this skid was seven points. Los Angeles (-12½) has had a bit of a holiday hangover, dropping two straight and Sunday’s 91-70 loss at Indiana was the worst performance of the season. The Clippers blasted the Nets 127-95 on Nov. 14 as 14½-point home favorites and if Los Angeles come to play Tuesday, a similar effort would be expected. Possible look-ahead spot for the Clippers on tap with a road matchup at Cleveland on Thursday. High total (217) posted for this matchup and both the Nets (11-5) and Clippers (11-7) have been solid ‘over’ leans this season, especially L.A. on the road (7-2).
Cleveland at Milwaukee: Tough game to handicap here because it’s tough to figure out which Cavaliers (-6½) team is going to show up on a night-to-night basis. Cleveland only has two losses this season, one was by four points and the LeBron James sat out the other. The Bucks (+6½) have gone 5-4 at home but that includes a 1-3 (2-2 ATS) record as underdogs and two losses came in tight fashion to top contenders in the Warriors (124-121) and Raptors (105-99). The ‘over’ (212½) might be worth a look on Monday knowing Milwaukee has lit it up in Wisconsin (108 PPG) compared to dismal road numbers (92 PPG). The Cavs went 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS in the four regular season meetings between the pair last season and the ‘over’ cashed in three of the four.
L.A. Lakers at New Orleans: The Pelicans (-5) will be looking to avoid a three-game losing skid on Tuesday and they’ll also be looking for revenge against the Lakers. Los Angeles ripped New Orleans 126-99 on Nov. 12 as a one-point road favorite behind some ridiculous shooting from 3-point land (16-of-30). Including that win, the Lakers have won three of the last four from the Pelicans. Los Angeles has gone 3-5 on the road but helped bettors with a 5-3 ATS mark. New Orleans has hit its mark offensively (110.7 PPG) at home this season, which has led to a 7-2 ‘over’ record. The Lakers have been a strong ‘over’ team (11-6-1) this season and the aforementioned meeting this season saw the high side cash.
Orlando at San Antonio: I’m not a big fan of laying points with a home favorite playing in their first game back from a long road trip but sometimes you have to ignore that angle based on the matchup. Case in point with Toronto running out Philadelphia last night at home. San Antonio (-14) just completed a perfect three-game road trip (2-1 ATS) and has now won nine games overall coming into Tuesday. The Spurs haven’t played since Saturday and it’s hard to ignore the fact that they’ve beaten Orlando in 11 straight games. However, the Magic have covered four of the last five encounters versus the Spurs. Orlando enters this game with a four-game losing skid and the offense (92.1 PPG) continues to be a major issue for Frank Vogel’s team this season. The total (197) is low due to the Magic’s inept attack but make a note that the Spurs are on a 6-0 ‘over’ run.