Wednesday's Best NBA Bets
By Covers.com
Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors (-1, 189)
Just when everybody was ready to write the aging Boston Celtics off into the sunset, they have crawled back to respectability.
Boston has won seven of its last nine and has covered the number in six of its last seven. The Celtics got 21 points and eight rebounds from Kevin Garnett en route to a 94-85 win over Atlanta as 5.5-point underdogs on Monday.
"It was a game of runs really. It started with our defense,” coach Doc Rivers told reporters. “We were angry last night because we lost the game (to the Lakers) because we didn't get any stops down the stretch. We talked about it, if we're going to be a defensive team, you've got to get stops down the stretch of the game—and we did that. And offensively, we just executed our stuff."
The Celtics have their work cut out for them Wednesday. Golden State is coming off a couple of nice wins over the Clippers and Mavericks while Boston has struggled on the road all year.
Still, it's hard to know how the Warriors will react after sending Monta Ellis, power forward Ekpe Udoh and Kwame Brown to the Bucks for Andrew Bogut and forward Stephen Jackson.
Pick: Celtics
Utah Jazz at Phoenix Suns (4.5, 198)
It’s been an interesting week for the Utah Jazz, but so far at least, they’ve handled everything like pros.
Raja Bell was back in the starting lineup Monday after being sent home from the team’s recent road trip for clashing with coach Tyrone Corbin and while he managed just one point in 27 minutes of work in a win over Detroit, it seems as though he and Corbin have turned the page.
"He’s been around this league long enough and he’s been through enough ups and downs and tough situations to know when the game’s on you play," Corbin told reporters.
Meanwhile, Al Jefferson went off for 33 points and 12 rebounds and drilled the first trey of his career at the final buzzer, just hours after learning his 82-year-old grandmother had died unexpectedly.
Utah has now played over in four of its last five while Phoenix just dropped 124 points in a loss to Minnesota.
Pick: Over
Hot Teams
-- 76ers won/covered last three games.
-- Toronto covered five of its last six road games.
-- Lakers won last three games, by 3-3-5 points.
-- Milwaukee won four of its last five games (5-0 vs spread). Cavaliers won/covered three of their last four games.
-- Bulls won ten of their last eleven games.
-- Orlando won five of last six games, covered last three.
-- Celtics won seven of last nine games, covered six of last seven. Golden State won three of its last four games.
-- Atlanta won five of last seven games, covered five of last six.
-- Phoenix won/covered seven of last nine home games.
Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost four of their last five games.
-- Nets are 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine home games.
-- New York lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread). Trailblazers covered once in last six road games.
-- New Orleans covered twice in its last eight home games.
-- Houston lost six of its last eight games. Bobcats covered once in their last six road games.
-- Miami lost its last three road games, by 1-10-6 points.
-- Spurs are 2-6 vs spread in game after their last eight wins.
-- Sacramento lost six of its last eight games. Pistons lost last four road games, failed to cover last three.
-- Clippers lost four of last five home games (0-5 vs spread).
-- Jazz lost eight of their last ten road games (0-3 vs spread/last three).
Wear-and-Tear
-- 76ers: Last two nites off. Pacers: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Raptors: 4th game/5 nites. Nets: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Blazers: 4th game/6 nites. Knicks: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Lakers: 6th game/9 nites. Hornets: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Bobcats: 6th game/9 nites. Rockets: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Cavaliers: 3rd game/4 nites. Bucks: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Heat: 2nd nite in row after two off. Bulls: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- Magic: 3rd game/4 nites. Spurs: 2nd game/5 nites.
-- Pistons: 4th game/6 nites. Kings: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Celtics: 6th game/9 nites. Warriors: 4th game/5 nites.
-- Hawks: 6th game/9 nites. Clippers: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Jazz: 4th game/6 nites. Suns: 3rd game/5 nites.
Totals
-- Four of last five Philly games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-4 in Toronto's last twelve games.
-- Five of last seven Portland games went over the total.
-- Last four Laker games went over the total.
-- Last seven Houston games went over the total.
-- Last ten Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Miami games stayed under the total. Six of last seven Chicago games went over.
-- Six of last eight Orlando games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Detroit road games went over.
-- Six of last eight Boston games went over the total.
-- Three of Clippers' last four home games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Phoenix games stayed under total.
Back-to-Back
-- Pacers are 5-8 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Toronto is 4-0 vs spread when playing second nite in row on road.
-- Portland is 4-2 vs spread when it lost the night before.
-- Lakers are 3-6 vs spread on road when they played night before.
-- Rockets are 7-0 vs spread at home if they played night before.
-- Cavs are 1-3 vs spread on road if they played at home night before.
-- Miami is 4-8 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Orlando is 6-4-1 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Kings are 7-5 vs spread if they played night before, 2-0 at home.
-- Golden State is 7-2 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Hawks are 4-1-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
Armadillosports.com
PHILADELPHIA (25 - 17) at INDIANA (24 - 16) - 3/14/2012, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-55 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 102-74 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
INDIANA is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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TORONTO (14 - 28) at NEW JERSEY (14 - 29) - 3/14/2012, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PORTLAND (20 - 22) at NEW YORK (18 - 24) - 3/14/2012, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 108-143 ATS (-49.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 2-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (26 - 16) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 32) - 3/14/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 106-130 ATS (-37.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games this season.
LA LAKERS are 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=91 points/game since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-6 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 10-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHARLOTTE (6 - 34) at HOUSTON (23 - 20) - 3/14/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days this season.
HOUSTON is 239-187 ATS (+33.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in March games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CLEVELAND (16 - 24) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 24) - 3/14/2012, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 41-70 ATS (-36.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (31 - 10) at CHICAGO (35 - 9) - 3/14/2012, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 82-59 ATS (+17.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-5 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ORLANDO (28 - 15) at SAN ANTONIO (27 - 13) - 3/14/2012, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 566-492 ATS (+24.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 370-312 ATS (+26.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 137-104 ATS (+22.6 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 246-192 ATS (+34.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (15 - 27) at SACRAMENTO (14 - 28) - 3/14/2012, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON (22 - 19) at GOLDEN STATE (18 - 21) - 3/14/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 185 and 189.5 points since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ATLANTA (24 - 18) at LA CLIPPERS (23 - 17) - 3/14/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ATLANTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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UTAH (20 - 21) at PHOENIX (19 - 22) - 3/14/2012, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA vs. INDIANA
Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 12 games
Indiana is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
TORONTO vs. NEW JERSEY
Toronto is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Toronto is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing New Jersey
New Jersey is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games
PORTLAND vs. NEW YORK
Portland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games when playing Portland
New York is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
CHARLOTTE vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 24 games at home
LA LAKERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
New Orleans is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
CLEVELAND vs. MILWAUKEE
Cleveland is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland's last 19 games
Milwaukee is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
ORLANDO vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Antonio's last 14 games at home
San Antonio is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games
MIAMI vs. CHICAGO
Miami is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Miami's last 19 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 19 games when playing Miami
DETROIT vs. SACRAMENTO
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
UTAH vs. PHOENIX
Utah is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Utah is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games
BOSTON vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
Boston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games
ATLANTA vs. LA CLIPPERS
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games
LA Clippers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
PHILADELPHIA at INDIANA
PHILADELPHIA: 15-6 ATS when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points
INDIANA: 10-24 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
TORONTO at NEW JERSEY
TORONTO: 15-5 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
NEW JERSEY: 3-10 ATS as a home underdog
PORTLAND at NEW YORK
PORTLAND: 63-41 ATS after playing a road game
NEW YORK: 1-10 ATS when the total is greater than or equal to 200
LA LAKERS at NEW ORLEANS
LA LAKERS: 18-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs
NEW ORLEANS: 16-30 ATS off a home loss
CHARLOTTE at HOUSTON
CHARLOTTE: 12-25 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
HOUSTON: 17-7 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight game
CLEVELAND at MILWAUKEE
CLEVELAND: 57-83 ATS in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread
MILWAUKEE: 26-11 ATS after scoring 105 points or more
MIAMI at CHICAGO
MIAMI: 4-17 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less
CHICAGO: 17-7 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
ORLANDO at SAN ANTONIO
ORLANDO: 13-24 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games
SAN ANTONIO: 26-13 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more
DETROIT at SACRAMENTO
DETROIT: 27-15 ATS after a non-conference game
SACRAMENTO: 10-30 ATS when playing 9 or more games in 14 days
BOSTON at GOLDEN STATE
BOSTON: 31-47 ATS in non-conference games
GOLDEN STATE: 31-16 ATS in home games after scoring 105 points or more
ATLANTA at LA CLIPPERS
ATLANTA: 9-1 ATS when playing on back-to-back days
LA CLIPPERS: 49-83 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite
UTAH at PHOENIX
UTAH: 4-16 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games
PHOENIX: 63-40 ATS after allowing 105 points or more
Hoop Trends - Wednesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com
SU TREND OF THE DAY:
The Bulls are 10-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since November 18, 2008 after a game at home in which they had at least 10 shots blocked.
OU TREND OF THE DAY:
The 76ers are 0-13 OU (-16.3 ppg) since March 14, 2004 as a dog when they have won and covered their last three games.
PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:
The Pistons are 12-0 OU (12.5 ppg) since January 09, 2010 after a loss on the road in which Tayshaun Prince took fewer than 10 shots.
CHOICE TREND:
The Hornets are 0-11 ATS (-10.6 ppg) since April 04, 2008 with at least one day of rest when they held their opponent to fewer than 80 points in their last game.
TODAY’S TRENDS:
The Trailblazers are 13-0 ATS (8.0 ppg) since January 27, 2007 after a road loss in which their DPS was -15 points or less.
The Warriors are 10-0 ATS (10.4 ppg) since February 26, 2003 as a favorite off a win in which their leading scorer for that game had fewer than 20 points.
NCAA TOURNAMENT TREND:
Davidson is 10-0 ATS (4.6 ppg) in database history as at least a 6.5 point dog when the line of their last game was not less than five points for either team.