NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, December 7th, 2016 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Detroit won four of last five games; they covered last three tries as a road underdog. Piston’s last three road games went over total. Charlotte won four of last six games; they’re 0-6 vs spread (2-4 SU) in last six home games. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Favorites covered six of last seven Piston-Hornet games; Detroit won last two, by 7-23 points. Pistons lost four of last six visits here. Last three series games went over.
Celtics won/covered five of last six road games; they’re 4-3 as road favorites. Four of last six Boston games went over. Orlando is off a 4-1 road trip; they lost last three home games, are 0-3 as home underdogs. Under is 8-3 in Magic’s last eleven games. Home side won last ten Boston-Orlando games; Celtics lost last five visits here, by 2-5-5-19-5 points. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.
Denver lost five of last seven games but is 8-2 vs spread on road, 2-0 when favored. Over is 5-0-1 in Nuggets’ last six games. Brooklyn lost 10 of last 11 games; they’re 6-5 as home underdogs. Over is 9-3 in last dozen Brooklyn games. Nets won their last five games with Denver, winning last two by a point each; Nuggets lost four of last five visits to Brooklyn. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Heat lost five of last eight games but won three of last four on road; Miami covered five of last six tries as a road underdog. Over is 4-1-1 in last six Heat games. Hawks lost their last seven games (1-6 vs spread); they’re 6-4 as home favorites. Under is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Miami won three of last four games with Atlanta, winning by 12-4 points in last two visits here. Six of last seven series games stayed under.
Lakers lost eight of last 11 games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as a road underdog. Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Rockets won five of last six games; they’re 3-3 as home favorites. Five of last six Houston games went over the total. Lakers lost eight of last ten games with Houston, losing last two visits here by 29-20 points. Four of last five series games went over total.
Cleveland snapped 3-game skid with win in Toronto Monday; they’re 2-5 vs spread as a road favorite. Six of Cavs’ last seven games went over total. New York won/covered its last four games; they’re 2-1 as a home underdog. Over is 4-2-1 in Knicks’ last seven games. Knicks lost their last seven games with Cleveland; Cavaliers won last five visits to Manhattan by 14-6-18-3-5 points. Last eight series games stayed under total.
Portland won/covered four of last five games; they’re 2-4 as road underdogs. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Milwaukee won four of last five games; they’re 2-4 as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Home side won last five Portland Milwaukee games; Trailblazers lost four of last five visits to Milwaukee, losing last two by 2-7 points. Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.
Sacramento lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-8 on road, 1-0 as road favorites. Kings’ last three games stayed under the total. Mavericks lost 11 of last 13 games but covered four of last five; under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Kings won three of last four games with Dallas; Sacramento is 8-2 vs spread in last ten series games, but they’ve lost four of last five visits to Dallas. Under is 8-2 in last ten series games.
Indiana is 2-7 on the road, 0-3 as a road favorite; four of last five Pacer games went over the total. Phoenix lost four of last five games; they’re 4-2 as home underdogs. Suns’ last four games went over the total. Suns won five of last seven games with Indiana; they covered nine of last ten series games. Teams split last four series games played here. Four of last six series games stayed under the total.
Golden State won 14 of its last 15 games; they’re 9-1 on road, 6-4 as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over total. Clippers lost four of last six games, are 7-3 at home, all as favorites. Over is 11-3 in their last fourteen games. Clippers lost their last six games with Golden State (3-3 vs spread); Warriors won last three visits here, by 3-7-4 points. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
Armadillosports.com
Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Since Monday night, underdogs have fared well in the NBA by covering in 10 of 17 games, including a 3-2-1 ATS mark on Tuesday. A pair of short ‘dogs won outright as Orlando was victorious at Washington, while New York rallied to top Miami. The Spurs improved to 13-0 on the road by knocking off the Timberwolves, as two of San Antonio’s main rivals in the Western Conference meet for a crucial battle tonight.
Game of the Night – Warriors (-4½, 224½) at Clippers
Over the last two runs to the NBA Finals, Golden State never had to face Los Angeles in the playoffs as there is hope that these two division rivals will hook up in the 2017 postseason. The Warriors (18-3 SU, 10-10-1 ATS) have won nine of 10 games away from Oracle Arena this season as they embark on a five-game road trip that continues to Utah on Thursday. Golden State closed out a five-game homestand at 4-1 SU and 2-3 ATS, while Klay Thompson dropped a career-high 60 points in Monday’s 142-106 blowout of Indiana as 15-point favorites.
The Clippers (16-6 SU, 12-10 ATS) suffered the obvious letdown following a six-game road trip in Sunday’s 111-102 setback to the Pacers as 11½-point home favorites. From November 4 through November 23, Los Angeles put together an incredible 11-1 run, but Doc Rivers’ club has dropped four of its past six contests. The Clippers lost three times as a double-digit favorite, including a shocking loss at Brooklyn on November 29. However, Los Angeles routed Cleveland last Thursday to improve to 2-0 SU/ATS as an underdog this season.
The Warriors owned the Clippers last season by winning all four matchups, including erasing a 23-point deficit in a 124-117 victory at Staples Center last November as 5½-point favorites. Since the Clippers knocked the Warriors out of the 2014 playoffs, Golden State has captured seven of the last eight meetings with Los Angeles, including a 3-1 mark in Los Angeles.
Quick Revenge
The Pistons and Hornets are meeting for the second time in eight days as Detroit routed Charlotte on November 29 by a 112-89 count as 3½-point underdogs. The Pistons go for their fourth consecutive road victory, while knocking off the Bulls at home last night as 5½-point favorites, 102-91. Charlotte remains atop the Southeast division in spite of losing six of its past 10 games, while failing to cover in its last five opportunities as a home favorite.
Hot in Houston
The Rockets have heated up recently by winning eight of their last 10 contests, including holding off the Celtics on Monday, 107-106. Houston failed to cover as 5½-point favorites, but the Rockets own a perfect 6-0 ATS record off an ATS loss this season. The Lakers invade Toyota Center tonight as Los Angeles has dropped six of its past eight games, including four of its past five away from Staples Center. However, the Lakers go for their second victory over the Rockets this season after beating Houston on opening night, 120-114 as six-point underdogs.
Meeting in Manhattan
Another opening night rematch takes place at Madison Square Garden as the Cavaliers and Knicks hook up. Cleveland dominated New York in the opener, 117-88 as 9½-point favorites to win its seventh straight over the Knicks since December 2014. The Knicks return home with no rest after rallying past the Heat on Tuesday, 114-103 to win their fourth consecutive game. New York has been money in the bank recently by posting an 8-1 ATS record the last nine trips to the court, while owning a 9-3 ATS mark at the Garden this season. LeBron James and the Cavs snapped a three-game skid in Monday’s 116-112 triumph at Toronto, but Cleveland has cashed in only one of its last five opportunities as a road favorite.
Sun Setting?
Phoenix is a young squad that will be a threat in the Western Conference. Just not this season, as the Suns have started 6-15 and are coming off a seven-point loss at Utah on Tuesday. Phoenix returns home with no rest to host Indiana, as the Pacers are finally healthy following a rash of injuries through the first month. The Suns have cashed as a home underdog by going 4-1 ATS when receiving points in the Valley, including outright victories over Atlanta, Detroit, and Portland. The Pacers look to avenge a 116-96 home loss to the Suns last month as Paul George sat out that defeat due to injury.
Head-to-head stats
The home team has won the last 10 matchups between the Celtics and Magic, who meet up in Orlando tonight. The two teams split four meetings last season, as Orlando won each home matchup in the role of an underdog.
Brooklyn has captured the previous five meetings with Denver, including a season sweep in 2015-16. The Nets have covered in each of these wins, including a pair of one-point triumphs last season.
The Heat won three of four meetings with the Hawks last season, but Atlanta grabbed the first game against Miami last month, 93-90. Miami cashed as 6 ½-point home underdogs, riding a 4-0 ATS streak in its last four games against Atlanta.
The Blazers and Bucks have split their season series each of the past two years with the home team winning each time. Six of the last seven meetings have finished UNDER the total, including four consecutive UNDERS when the teams hook up in Milwaukee.
The Kings took care of the Mavericks last season by winning three of four matchups, while covering in all four games. Last season, Sacramento snapped a 22-game losing streak in Dallas with a 104-101 victory, while the Kings are listed as a road favorite at Dallas for the first time since 2000.
Wednesday’s NBA Game of the Day: Warriors at Clippers
By Covers.com
Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Clippers (+4.5, 224.5)
The Los Angeles Clippers told people they were contenders to the Golden State Warriors in the Pacific Division and the Western Conference the previous two seasons, they just failed to prove it on the court. The Los Angeles Clippers will take their first shot of 2016-17 at the two-time defending West champs when they host Wednesday's game against the Golden State Warriors, who just found Klay Thompson's shooting stroke.
Los Angeles dropped three in a row on the road but seemed to right the ship with impressive wins at Cleveland and New Orleans before stumbling in its return home with a 111-102 loss to the Indiana Pacers on Sunday. Two straight springs the Clippers bowed out of the playoffs one round before a planned meeting with Golden State, and random letdowns like the four losses in the last six games are starting to make the 2016-17 edition of Los Angeles look just like the last several. Thompson went 4-of-20 from the floor in a loss to Houston on Thursday but started to pick things up against Phoenix on Saturday and ended the homestand by pouring in a career-high 60 points on 21-of-33 shooting in 29 minutes during Monday's 142-106 demolition of the Indiana Pacers. "Think it started for me when I got a few layups in the beginning," Thompson told reporters. "That really opened up my game. Whenever I'm active off the ball, that's when I'm at my best."
LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as 3.5-point favorites, but after their impressive/entertaining victory over the Indiana Pacers on Monday night the public is pounding the Dubs in any situation - even on the road against the Clippers. The opening number of 3.5 has been pushed up to 4.5 as of Wednesday morning. The total opened at 223.5 and currently sits at 224. Check out the complete line history here.
INJURY REPORT:
Warriors - No injuries to report.
Clippers - PF B. Johnson (Out indefinitely, back).
POWER RANKINGS: Warriors (-16.1) - Clippers (-12.7) + home court (-3) = Warriors -0.4
ABOUT THE WARRIORS (18-3 SU, 10-10-1 ATS, 13-8 O/U): Thompson became the first Golden State player to reach 60 points since Rick Barry totaled 64 on March 26, 1974, and didn't even play the fourth quarter with the Warriors owning a big lead. "I felt like every shot I took was a good shot," Thompson told reporters. "It's the way I was playing off my teammates, too. It's easy to get open looks when you're running off Zaza (Pachulia) and Draymond (Green) all night." Thompson averaged 26.3 points while burying 53.8 percent of his 3-point attempts in four games against Los Angeles last season.
ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (16-6 SU, 12-10 ATS, 14-8 O/U): Los Angeles recorded more turnovers (20) than assists (19) in the loss to the Pacers and was outscored 35-17 in the third quarter. "We played very poorly, especially in the third quarter," All-Star forward Blake Griffin told reporters. "I just didn't think we had it tonight, and you could tell by the types of shots we were missing and the turnovers we had." Griffin was the bright spot with 24 points and 16 rebounds and is enjoying a string of three straight double-doubles - one points-assists and two points-rebounds.
TRENDS:
* Warriors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
* Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
* Over is 9-2 in Warriors' last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Under is 8-1 in Clippers last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
CONSENSUS: The road favorite Warriors are picking up 66 percent of the point spread action and Over is grabbing 72 percent of the totals wagers.