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NBA Betting News and Notes Wednesday, February 15th, 2017

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(@blade)
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NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, February 15th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : February 15, 2017 8:52 am
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NBA Knowledge

Indiana lost its last four games after a 7-game win streak; they’re 3-0-1 vs spread in last four road games. Last four Pacer games went over total. Cleveland won six of last seven games; they covered their last three home games. Last seven Cavalier games went over. Home side won eight of last ten Indiana-Cleveland games; Pacers lost last four visits to Lake Erie, but covered last three. Four of last six series games went over total.

San Antonio won six of last eight games, is 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Magic lost six of last eight games, is 2-7 vs spread in last nine road tilts. Three of last four Orlando games went over. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Orlando but Magic covered five of last six, upsetting San Antonio 95-83 in Alamo back in November. Spurs covered three of last four visits here. Last four series games stayed under total.

Dallas won six of last nine games overall, four of last seven on road; they’re 8-5 vs spread in last 13 road games. Three of their last four games went over. Pistons won seven of last nine home games, covering four of last five. Five of last six Detroit games stayed under. Road team won last six Dallas-Detroit games; Mavericks won their last five visits to Motor City (4-1 vs spread). Last four series games stayed under total.

Bucks won three of last five games, winning last two on road after an 0-7 road skid. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Brooklyn lost its last 13 games but covered three of last four; they’re 4-9 vs spread in last 13 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Milwaukee won its last seven games with the Nets (5-2 vs spread), winning last three visits to Brooklyn by 7-9-18 points. Over is 4-1 in last five series games played here.

76ers won last three games, covered last four; they won last two road tilts after a 1-6 road skid. Over is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Boston won 10 of last 11 games but are 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. Last three Celtic games went over the total. Celtics won last ten games with Philly (7-3 vs spread) but 76ers covered last two; Sixers lost last five games here (2-3 vs spread). Six of last eight series games went over.

Charlotte lost its last three games overall and last 10 road games (3-7 vs spread); they’re 1-10 vs spread in last 11 games overall. Last three Hornet games stayed under. Raptors lost last three games, are 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Five of their last seven games stayed under total. Toronto won five of its last seven games with Charlotte; over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Hornets lost by 5-10-6 points in last three visits to Canada.

Miami lost its last two games after a 13-game win streak; Heat covered four of its last five road games. Five of their last seven games went over. Rockets won their last four games, covering last three; they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven at home. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won seven of last eight Miami-Houston games; Heat lost last three visits here (0-3 vs spread). Four of last five series games stayed under total.

New Orleans won three of last five games, is 8-5 vs spread in its last 13 road games. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Grizzlies won six of last nine games, but are 1-4 vs spread in last five at home. Eight of their last ten games went over. Memphis won its last seven games with New Orleans (6-1 vs spread); Pelicans lost their last five visits here (1-4 vs spread). Five of last six series games went over total.

Minnesota lost six of last eight games, is 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Wolves’ last 12 games went over total. Nuggets won/covered seven of last eight home games; they’re 4-5 in last nine games overall. Last four Denver games went over. Denver won five of last six games with Minnesota; six of last eight series games stayed under the total. Timberwolves lost last two games in Denver by total of five points.

Los Angeles covered six of its last seven road games; they’re 6-6 vs spread if they played night before (3-1 in last four such games). Over is 4-1 in Lakers’ last five road games. Phoenix lost five of last six games, is 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Lakers lost eight of last ten games with Phoenix; they they lost last three games in desert by 15-19-12 points. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten series games.

Trailblazers lost four of last five games, are 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 7-5 in their last 12 games. Jazz lost its last three games, is 2-5 vs spread in its last seven home tilts. Five of their last six games went over the total. Portland won seven of last ten games with Utah, covering last three; they won three of last five games in SLC. Eight of last ten series games went over the total.

New York lost four of last five games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six road games (this is their first road game in 2 weeks), Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Oklahoma City lost three of last four games, is 8-3 vs spread in last 11 home games. Five of their last seven games went over. Thunder won seven of last ten games with New York, but Knicks covered three of last four; Four of last five series games stayed under. Teams split last four series games played here.

Atlanta is 5-3 in its last eight games; they’re 11-5 vs spread in last 16 road games. Three of last four Hawk games went over total. Clippers won last three games of their road trip; they’re 0-2 at home since Paul got hurt. Over is 7-3 in last ten Clipper games. Road team won last four Hawk-Clipper games; Atlanta won by 9-10 points in last two series games played here. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

Sacramento is 6-5 vs spread if they played night before; they’re 7-3-1 in last 12 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Warriors won eight of last ten games; they covered their last six home games. Last three Golden State games went over the total. Kings beat Golden State in OT four days ago, snapping long series skid; Sacramento lost last four visits to Oakland (0-4 vs spread), with all four games going over total.

Armadillosports.com

 
Posted : February 15, 2017 8:53 am
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NBA: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com

Milwaukee Bucks at Brooklyn Nets

The Home team is considered to have a significant advantage over the visitors a result of playing in familiar facilities and in front of supportive fans.

However, it does not seem to apply to the Brooklyn Nets who are the leagues worst home team at 7-23 (11-19 ATS) and currently ridding a 0-15 (2-13 ATS) skid on home court.

Nets will be hard pressed reversing the ugly trend. Nets have not only lost all three meetings vs Bucks this season (2-1 ATS), they're a woefull 1-9 (2-7-1 ATS) the past ten meetings including 1-4 (0-4-1 ATS) last five hosting Bucks.

Bucks, entering this affair off a recent home court thrashing of Pistons (102-89) and rout of Pacers (116-100) on the road have opened 5.5 point road favorites at Sports Interaction

 
Posted : February 15, 2017 9:14 am
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Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com

Game of the Night – Hawks at Clippers (-2½, 212½)

Los Angeles has spent most of the last month away from Staples Center by playing 10 of its past 11 games on the highway. The Clippers return home from their Grammy road trip to host the Hawks in each team’s final game prior to the All-Star break. Atlanta wraps up a brief three-game west coast swing looking to avenge an ugly home performance against Los Angeles last month.

The Hawks (34-21 SU, 28-27 ATS) begin tonight’s action sitting in fourth place of the Eastern Conference playoff standings, fresh off Monday’s overtime triumph at Portland, 109-104. Atlanta knocked down 37 free throws in the victory, while forward Paul Millsap overcame a 4-of-12 night from the floor to hit the game-tying layup towards the end of regulation.

The Clippers (34-21 SU, 28-27 ATS) started their five-game road trip with consecutive losses at Boston and Toronto, but L.A. closed the swing with three straight victories. Doc Rivers’ squad put together one of its best defensive performances of the season in Monday’s 88-72 blowout of the Jazz as eight-point underdogs by limiting Utah to 32% shooting from the field. Blake Griffin continues to play well after missing 18 games with a knee injury as the Clippers’ star forward posted three double-doubles in the last four contests.

The last time these teams hooked up at Philips Arena on January 23 (the last game without Griffin), the Clippers rolled past the Hawks, 115-105 as 7½-point underdogs. Austin Rivers led Los Angeles with 27 points, while Jamal Crawford tossed in 19 points off the bench as the Clippers drilled 14-of-24 attempts from three-point range. The Hawks have performed well in their last two visits to Staples Center against the Clippers by beating L.A. each of the past two seasons in the role of a road underdog.

Let’s Do It Again

The Cavaliers cruised past the Pacers last Wednesday in Indianapolis, 132-117 as 3½-point road favorites as the two Central rivals meet tonight in Cleveland. LeBron James and the defending champions return to Quicken Loans Arena after holding off the Timberwolves on Tuesday, 116-108 to cash as four-point favorites to improve to 6-1 SU/ATS in February. In all seven games this month, the Cavs have eclipsed the OVER, as Cleveland has topped the 111-point mark in all six victories.

The Pacers are going backwards following a seven-game winning streak as Indiana has dropped four straight contests. In the last four games of the hot streak, Indiana’s defense allowed 97 points or fewer. During this cold stretch, the Pacers have given up 110 points or more, including in recent home losses to the Bucks and Spurs. However, Indiana has covered four consecutive games away from Bankers Life Fieldhouse and is 3-0 ATS in the last three visits to Cleveland.

Cooling Off

The Heat put together an amazing 13-game winning streak that started with a 109-103 upset of the Rockets last month as seven-point home underdogs. Miami has since lost twice off this hot stretch to Philadelphia and Orlando, as the Heat head to Houston looking to close the first half on a solid note. Erik Spoelstra’s club owns a 4-1 ATS mark in its last five tries in the role of a road underdog, while frustrating the free-shooting Rockets in their previous meeting by holding Houston to 9-of-29 shooting from downtown.

The Rockets are playing solid basketball to close the first half by winning four straight games, coming off Saturday’s 133-102 blowout of the Suns. Interestingly, Houston owns an 0-5 ATS mark in its last five opportunities as a home favorite of 7 to 9½ points, as the Rockets are currently 9½-point favorites.

Do the Impossible?

It’s not often that the Spurs get swept in a regular season series, but that can happen tonight in Orlando. The Magic cruised past San Antonio at AT&T Center in late November, 95-83 as 12 ½-point underdogs, as Orlando’s defense limited the Spurs’ starting backcourt of Tony Parker and Danny Green to four points on 1-of-10 shooting. Orlando is actually looking for consecutive victories for the first time since late December after outlasting Miami on Monday, 116-107 as 7½-point underdogs.

San Antonio continues its annual Rodeo Trip as the Spurs rallied past the Pacers on Monday, 110-106 to improve to 3-2 on this swing. However, Gregg Popovich’s team has covered only once in the first five contests, while compiling a dreadful 3-7 ATS mark in its last 10 opportunities as a road favorite. The Spurs have won in each of their past five visits to Orlando, while limiting the Magic to 96 points in each of those victories.

Slump Busters

Both the Raptors and Hornets are playoff teams from a year ago but each squad is trending backwards at the moment. Toronto will return to the postseason in 2017, but the Raptors have lost three straight games, coming off Tuesday’s 105-94 setback at Chicago as four-point favorites. Dwane Casey’s club owns a horrendous 4-11 record in the last 15 games to fall 4½ games behind the Celtics in the Atlantic division.

The Raptors welcome a Hornets’ squad to the Air Canada Center that has lost 10 of its past 12 games with the only two victories coming over the worst team in basketball – the Nets. In fact, the last time Charlotte covered in a victory, the Hornets rolled the Raptors, 113-78 as a 1½-point favorites on January 20. Charlotte has limped to a 1-10-1 ATS mark in the last 12 games, while dropping 10 consecutive games away from Spectrum Center.

Silent Nights

The Jazz were one of the top stories from the first half of the season by leading the Northwest division. However, Utah has slipped up lately by losing three straight games, including home defeats to the Celtics and Clippers. The Jazz host the Blazers in a division showdown tonight as the teams are meeting for the first time since Portland topped Utah on opening night at the Moda Center, 113-104 as six-point home favorites.

Portland hits the highway following consecutive home losses to Boston and Atlanta, while the Blazers have failed to cover in five straight games. The Blazers have cashed in only three of the past nine opportunities in the role of a road underdog, but have covered in two of their last three trips to Salt Lake City.

Head-to-Head Trends

The 76ers have given the Celtics plenty of fits in two meetings this season by covering as double-digit underdogs in a pair of losses by a combined five points. Philadelphia travels to Boston looking to beat the Celtics for the first time in 11 tries, while attempting to win at TD Garden for the first time since April 2014.

Milwaukee goes for the season sweep of Brooklyn, while winning the last seven games in the series since 2015. The Nets have covered in two of the first three meetings, but the Bucks dominated Brooklyn at Barclays Center in December, 111-93 as Milwaukee looks to close the first half with three straight victories.

The road team has won the past six meetings between the Mavericks and Pistons as the two teams hook up at the Palace of Auburn Hills. Detroit rallied past Dallas in its last matchup in December, but the Mavs have captured the past five visits to the Motor City.

The Grizzlies and Pelicans can’t decide a winner through 48 minutes as both matchups this season have gone to overtime. Memphis captured each of those victories, including a front-door cover as 5½-point favorites in November, 89-83. The Grizzlies have won seven straight in the series, while covering six times.

The Wolves hit the road after losing at home to Cleveland on Tuesday as Minnesota faces Denver for the final time in the regular season. The Nuggets own a 2-1 record against the Wolves this season, but all three games have been decided by three points or less.

The two worst teams in the Western Conference meet in Phoenix as the Suns host the Lakers. Los Angeles lost in the final seconds to Sacramento last night, but the Lakers own a 6-1 ATS record in the last seven road games. The Lakers and Suns have split a pair of matchups this season as both games sailed OVER the total.

The Thunder look to put an end to a two-game slide as Oklahoma City hosts New York. OKC outlasted the Knicks in their last matchup at Madison Square Garden, 112-103 in November to win its seventh game against New York in the previous 10 meetings.

The Kings attempt to win their fifth consecutive contest tonight with a short trip to Oakland to face the Warriors. Sacramento has covered in each of the two meetings with Golden State this season, including as 14½-point home underdogs in a 109-106 overtime triumph at Golden 1 Center earlier this month.

 
Posted : February 15, 2017 11:14 am
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Wednesday NBA Betting Preview
By Sportsbook.ag

Sacramento vs. Golden State

Sportsbook.ag Odds: Golden State (-18); Total set at 225.5

It's been over two years since Golden State lost consecutive regular season games and judging by tonight's point spread that streak will stay in tact.

The Warriors were absolutely blitzed at their own game on Monday night as the Denver Nuggets hit a NBA-record 24 three pointers to basically win wire to wire over the Warriors in blowout fashion.

The loss in the thin air capped off an intense three games in four nights road trip for Golden State who have to be happy to be back at home for one game before the extended All Star break hits.

After their eight previous losses this year, the Warriors have responded with a 4-4 ATS record while going 4-4 O/U. With no decided edge either way there, bettors are going to have to uncover different angles to find an edge on tonight's game.

They can start with the fact that it was at the beginning of this month when Golden State and Sacramento met in Sacramento with the Kings coming away with a 109-106 OT win.

Of the teams that have beaten the Warriors this year, only one (Memphis) was able to beat them the next time around, with the Warriors posting a perfect 3-0 ATS mark in the next meeting against those squads. Eighteen points is a lot of chalk to swallow, but it may be the only way to go tonight.

Sacramento held on to a one-point win over the Lakers last night as it was basically the DeMarcus Cousins show from start to finish. Cousins finished with 40 points, 12 rebounds, and 8 assists for the Kings and the next leading scorer for them came up with just 13 points.

Cousins is going to need a lot more help if Sacramento is going to even have a chance at keeping this one close tonight and with an extended vacation looming for the majority of those guys, you've got to wonder if Sacramento won't pack it in and call it a day if things get out of hand early.

The Warriors will not be taking anything lightly this evening with them coming off a loss and having fallen to Sacramento in their last meeting, so this game does have blowout written all over it.

Sacramento is just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against the Warriors and that includes part of a 0-5-1 ATS run in their last six trips to Oakland. The Warriors meanwhile are on a 6-2 ATS run in division games and have gone 5-0-1 ATS in their last six at home.

18 points is a lot to lay and according to VegasInsider.com' betting percentage numbers only about 45% of bettors so far are willing to do so.

But the Warriors off a loss are not typically a team you'd want to go against, especially with basically their whole squad not too concerned about family vacations etc over the next few days as nearly all of them will be at All-Star weekend.

The mental fragility of the Kings has always been a downfall of this team during the Cousins era and once Golden State gets on one of those obliterating runs, this game should be a 20+ point win for the Warriors.

 
Posted : February 15, 2017 4:15 pm
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