NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, January 25th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Sacramento lost five of last six games, is 6-2 in its last eight games as a road underdog. Three of its last four games stayed under total. Cleveland lost five of last six games, is 9-6-2 in its last 17 games as a home favorite. Four of their last five games went over. Cavaliers won/covered their last four games with Sacramento; last three series games went over the total. Kings lost last three visits here, by 10-11-20 points.
Rockets are 3-5 in last eight games, 11-7 vs spread as a road favorite. Four of their last five games stayed under. Boston lost its last three games, is 1-2 vs spread as a home underdog. Last three Celtic games went over total. Celtics lost six of last seven games with Houston; last nine series games stayed under total. Rockets won their last three visits to Boston, by 12-6-4 points.
Heat won/covered their last four games, all at home; they lost five of last six road games (2-4 vs spread)- they’re 0-1 as a road favorite. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Nets lost 13 of last 14 games, are 10-10 as home dogs. Four of last six Brooklyn games went over. Miami won nine of last ten games with Brooklyn (8-2 vs spread); Heat won/covered last five games in Barclays Center. Four of last five series games went over total.
76ers won nine of last 12 games, are 3-3 in last six road games, 8-4 in last 12 games as a road dog, 3-6 if they played night before. Milwaukee lost five of last six games, is 7-8 as a home favorite. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Bucks won nine of last ten games wth Philly but 76ers covered three of last four; Sixers lost five of last six games in this building (2-4 vs spread). Five of last six series games went over.
Atlanta won 11 of last 14 games, one of last 11 road games; they’re 4-6 as road favorites. Five of their last six games went over. Bulls won four of last six games, are 4-0 as home underdogs. Last three Chicago games stayed under the total. Hawks won six in row, eight of last nine games with Chicago; four of last five series games stayed under total. Atlanta won three of last four visits to Windy City.
Raptors lost their last four games, are 5-2-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under. Memphis lost three of last four games, is 5-3 vs spread in last eight games as a home favorite. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Toronto won six of last seven games with the Grizzlies, going 3-2 in last five visits here. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.
Golden State won seven of last eight games, is 10-10 as a road favorite, 3-3 in game following a loss. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Hornets won three of last four overall; they’re 9-2 in last 11 home games, 0-3 as a home underdog. Last six Charlotte games stayed under. Warriors won last four games with Charlotte, winning by 5-17 points in last two visits here, which is also Steph Curry’s hometown. Over is 4-1 in last five series games played here.
Oklahoma City lost three of last five games, is 4-6 vs spread in its last ten road games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Pelicans lost three of last five games but covered five of last seven; last three New Orleans games went over the total. Thunder won four of last five games with New Orleans; over is 5-2 in last seven series games. OKC lost three of last five visits to Bourbon Street.
New York lost seven of last ten games, is 10-4 in last 14 games as a road underdog. Six of their last nine games stayed under total. Mavericks won four of last six games, are 2-1 as road favorites. Six of their last nine games stayed under the total. Knicks lost five of last six games with Dallas, lost four of last five visits here, but covering last three. Three of last four series games stayed under total.
Lakers lost six of last seven games, are 4-11 in last 15 games as a road underdog. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Portland lost four of last five games, is 9-5 as a home favorite. Under is 8-2 in their last ten home games. Lakers lost their last ten games with Portland (1-9 vs spread); they lost last five games here, by 9-18-12-16-4 points (0-4 vs spread in last four). Three of last four series games went over total.
Armadillosports.com
NBA: Streaks, Tips, Notes
Sportspic.com
Golden State Warriors at Cleveland Cavaliers
Tonight, Cleveland and Golden State the top two teams in the Association will be looking to rebound off aggravating losses to inferior teams.
Cavaliers (30-13, 18-23-2 ATS) nipped 124-122 as 10.0 point road favorites by Pelicans in the last effort will come out looking to make a statement when they host Sacramento Kings (17-27, 22-21-1 ATS). Warriors laying 11.5 points running into some hot Heat in Miami Monday dropping a 105-102 decision will certainly do their outmost to avoid being stung when they visit Hornets (23-22, 21-23-1 ATS).
Sports Interaction currently has Cavaliers laying 11.5 (-$1.10) and Bodog.eu has Warriors 9.5 (-$1.15) point faves.
At first glance each looks to be an easy choice. However, Buyer Beware - Cavaliers haven't consistently come up on the right side of the scoreboard after a loss (8-4 SU) and certainly haven't been automatic money off a defeat going 5-6-1 ATS. Although, Golden State has shown a propency to bounce back after a loss (6-0 SU), a word of caution - Warriors are just 2-4 against the betting line in the situation.
Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
There were several high-scoring affairs in the NBA on Tuesday as the OVER cashed in four of six contests. The most impressive victory of the night came by the suddenly streaking 76ers, who erased a 19-point third quarter deficit to stun the Clippers, 121-110 to win their sixth consecutive home game. The Spurs edged the Raptors, 108-106 as 2½-point road underdogs as Kawhi Leonard sat out for San Antonio. Favorites posted a 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS record, as the only ‘dog to cash in a loss was Phoenix in a one-point setback to Minnesota.
Game of the Night – Warriors (-9½, 222) at Hornets
Golden State (38-7 SU, 20-24-1 ATS) had its seven-game winning streak disappear on Dion Waiters’ three-pointer in the final seconds of its loss at Miami on Monday, 105-102 as 11-point favorites. The Warriors struggled from downtown by hitting only 8-of-30 attempts, including a 1-of-8 effort from Kevin Durant, who scored a team-high 27 points. Steve Kerr’s squad cashed the UNDER for the fifth straight game, while posting their lowest point total since getting held to 89 points at Memphis on December 10.
Charlotte (23-22 SU, 21-23-1 ATS) also saw its hot streak end, albeit at only three games in Monday’s 109-99 setback to Washington as 6½-point favorites. The Hornets were held to 39% shooting from the floor, as Kemba Walker and Nicolas Batum combined to shoot 9-of-33 from the floor for 25 points. Charlotte wraps up a five-game homestand as the Hornets are seeking their first victory in the home underdog role by posting an 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS mark.
The Warriors have captured each of the past four meetings with the Hornets since 2014, including a pair of victories at Spectrum Center. Charlotte’s last home victory over Golden State came in December 2013, even though Stephen Curry lit up the Hornets for 43 points.
Not So Lucky
The Celtics began January by winning six of their first seven games, but Boston has gone backwards of late by losing three consecutive contests. Boston’s defense has fallen apart during this losing streak by allowing 117, 127 (overtime), and 123 points, while giving up 58% shooting to Washington in last night’s 15-point defeat. The Celtics have yielded at least 100 points in 16 of the last 17 games, while cashing the OVER 15 times in this stretch.
Boston returns home and things don’t ease up tonight against a high-powered Houston offense. The Rockets have alternated wins and losses in each of the past seven games, coming off a 127-114 defeat at Milwaukee on Monday as 4½-point favorites. Tonight’s total opened at 230, as Houston is 3-2 to the OVER on totals at 230 or higher, including a 2-0 OVER mark on the road in this situation. In their last meeting in Houston in early December, the Rockets edged the Celtics, 107-106 as 5½-point favorites.
Phantastic Philly
The 76ers are no joke anymore, as Philadelphia has won nine of its past 12 games, including Tuesday’s comeback victory over the Clippers. To put things in perspective, Philadelphia grabbed only 10 victories all of last season, as the 76ers travel to Milwaukee tonight. The Sixers have covered 11 of their previous 13 contests, including a 6-2 ATS mark in their last eight games away from Wells Fargo Center.
One of those wins came at Milwaukee on January 16 as the Sixers topped the Bucks, 113-104 as 8½-point underdogs. However, Philadelphia has struggled on the road with no rest by posting a 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS record, while coming off recent losses by 16 and 17 points. Center Joel Embiid will sit out tonight for Philadelphia, as the 76ers have compiled a 3-10 SU and 6-7 ATS record with the former Kansas star sidelined. The Bucks snapped a five-game skid in Monday’s 127-114 underdog victory over the Rockets, but Milwaukee owns a 1-6 ATS record in its last seven in the favorite role as it opened as 11-point chalk tonight.
Pelican Power
New Orleans has seen both sides of the spectrum over the last few days by allowing 143 points to Brooklyn, who owns the worst record in the NBA, while defeating Cleveland (the top team in the East) without its best player, Anthony Davis, in Monday’s 124-122 upset as 9½-point underdogs. Terrence Jones and Jrue Holiday combined to torch Cleveland for 69 points, while New Orleans drilled 16 three-pointers.
Davis is probable tonight against the Thunder, who wrap up a six-game road swing. Oklahoma City bounced back from a pair of blowout losses by edging Utah on Monday, 97-95 on Russell Westbrook’s jumper in the final seconds. The Thunder have captured each of the first two matchups with the Pelicans this season, including a 121-110 victory in New Orleans last month as two-point favorites.
Toronto Troubles
The Raptors suffered their fourth consecutive setback in last night’s 108-106 defeat to the Spurs, as Toronto continues to play without leading scorer DeMar DeRozan. The shooting guard will sit out again tonight at Memphis with a sprained ankle, suffered in Sunday’s loss in Phoenix. The Raptors have allowed at least 100 points in nine of the past 10 games, while dropping six of the previous eight contests away from Air Canada Center.
The Grizzlies have lost three of their past four games, coming off Saturday’s 119-95 home blowout loss to the Rockets. Memphis has cashed the UNDER in six of the last seven contests, including four of the past five at FedEx Forum. The Grizzlies have struggled with the Raptors the last few seasons by losing six of the previous seven meetings, including a 120-105 setback in Toronto in late November.
Bull Busters
The Hawks have won six consecutive meetings with the Bulls, including a pair of victories at Philips Arena earlier this season. Atlanta looks to bounce back following a 10-point defeat to the Clippers on Monday as the Hawks have won seven straight off a loss since early December. The Bulls are looking to build on a two-game winning streak after Tuesday’s 100-92 victory at Orlando, the fourth straight UNDER cashed by Chicago.
Head-to-Head Trends
Cleveland has won four straight matchups with Sacramento, as the Cavaliers have scored exactly 120 points in each of the last three meetings. The Cavs have covered in all four of these wins, including as six-point road favorites earlier this month, 120-108.
The Heat and Nets are meeting for the first time this season, as Miami captured three of four matchups last season. Miami has had its way at Barclays Center recently by winning and covering the last five visits to Brooklyn, but the Heat are currently on a 1-12 stretch on the road.
Dallas entered this season with five consecutive wins over New York before the Knicks dominated the Mavericks in mid-November, 93-77. The teams meet at American Airlines Center tonight as the Knicks have covered in each of their past three trips to Dallas, despite losing by two points in Texas last season.
The Lakers are coming off their worst loss in franchise history, falling to the Mavericks on Sunday, 122-73. Los Angeles will try to turn things around tonight at Portland against a Blazers’ squad that has beaten the Lakers twice this season. Portland has won 10 consecutive meetings with Los Angeles, while covering eight times in this stretch, including four straight covers at Moda Center.
Lakers, Blazers meet in Portland
By: Sam Chase
StatFox.com
The Blazers will be looking to pick up an easy home win over a struggling Lakers team on Wednesday.
On the 11-year anniversary of franchise legend Kobe Bryant’s 81-point game, the 2017 team failed to reaching that scoring total as a team on Sunday in an embarrassing 122-73 loss at Dallas (DAL -6). The 49-point loss was the worst in team history, and was made all the worse by the fact that it came against a Mavericks team that entered the matchup with more than twice as many losses on the year as wins. Los Angeles is now tied for last place in the Western Conference and has the fourth-worst record in the NBA at 16-32 (20-27-1 ATS), but is also only five games out of a playoff spot in the West. Their Wednesday night opponent, the Portland Trail Blazers, have a more realistic shot at that No. 8 seed, but their recent play has not been encouraging. Portland has lost four of its last five, but did close a four-game East Coast road trip with a 127-123 win over a strong Celtics team (POR +8 ). At 19-27 (19-27 ATS), the Blazers are one game back of the Nuggets for that aforementioned last playoff spot, although it’s questionable whether giving up a lottery pick would be in the best interest of a team that has a talented core but clearly cannot make a run at a title as currently constituted. Since 1996, teams coming off a win of six points or fewer (POR) are 56-100 ATS after 42+ games in matchups in which both teams allow at least 102 points per game. In the last five seasons (after 42+ games), matchups involving two teams scoring at least 102 points per game and one team that has scored at least 55 points in the first half of two straight games are 106-58 Over against the total. Lakers PG D’Angelo Russell is in the midst of sitting out 1-2 weeks with a knee injury, while Portland PF Ed Davis is doubtful for Wednesday night with a wrist injury.
As their record suggests, the Lakers’ performance on both offense and defense is mediocre at best. They have the 11th-worst offensive efficiency rating in the league at 106.4 points scored per 100 possessions and the absolute worst defensive efficiency rating, as they allow 112.9 points per 100 possessions. On the bright side, they have escaped Byron Scott’s restrictive coaching and play at a pace of 97.8 possessions per 48 minutes under new head coach Luke Walton, seventh-most in the NBA. Russell (14.3 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 4.4 APG, 1.2 SPG) is a talented young player and sports the team’s second-highest usage rate at 27.2%, but his 15.4 PER suggests his absence won’t have a huge impact on the team’s short-term ability to win. (Although perhaps the 49-point loss to Dallas suggests otherwise.) The Lakers have plenty of guards ready to step in and take more minutes, with the veteran of the group being SG Lou Williams (17.9 PPG, 3.0 APG, 1.1 SPG). He is taking a career-high 12.6 field goal attempts while maintaining his best field goal percentage since the 2009-10 season (43.2%) and the best three-point percentage of his career (37.2%). Before a 15-point day against the Mavericks, he had scored at least 24 points in three straight games. PG Jordan Clarkson (13.9 PPG, 1.3 SPG) and SG Nick Young (13.7 PPG) should also see more time. Spindly rookie SF Brandon Ingram (8.3 PPG, 4.1 RPG) has shown tangible improvement lately, and Walton experimented with playing him at point guard against the Mavericks. He had zero assists in 36 minutes, so let’s just say he remains a work in progress. PF Julius Randle (13.2 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 3.9 APG) is another key component of the Lakers’ young core.
The Trail Blazers are an above-average team on offense, ranking 11th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency rating of 109.3 points scored per 100 possessions. Their problem comes on defense, where they perform better than only the Lakers in allowing 112.3 points per 100 possessions. They play the 13th-fastest pace in the league at 97.1 possessions per 48 minutes. Both of Portland’s stars reside in the backcourt, and some have raised questions in recent weeks about whether the team’s best way forward might be to trade one of them. If they do so, it probably won’t be PG Damian Lillard (26.2 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 5.9 APG), who has been positioned as the face of the franchise. Lillard is seventh in the league in scoring, and he has proven that he can come up huge when the team does put itself into the playoffs. This year, however, he has progressively cooled off as the year has gone along: He averaged 27.0 PPG in November, 25.1 in December and is putting up 23.3 thus far in January. He did, however, put up 28 against the Celtics and 30 in the team’s previous game. His partner in crime is SG C.J. McCollum (23.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.2 SPG), a similar player who continues to improve at the age of 25. Despite sharing the same backcourt, they nearly both rank in the top 20 in the league in usage rate—Lillard is seventh, McCollum is 21st—so it’s a good bet that any given Blazers possession will end with one of them. McCollum absolutely torched the Celtics with a 26-point first half and 35 points on the night. Quite a few guys get significant minutes at the wing for Portland, including SF Maurice Harkless (11.0 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 1.1 SPG), SG Allen Crabbe (10.4 PPG), SG Evan Turner (9.3 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 3.3 APG) and SF Al-Farouq Aminu (7.4 PPG, 7.1 RPG, 1.0 SPG). C Mason Plumlee (10.9 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 4.3 APG, 1.2 BPG) has become both a strong rim defender and passer from the interior, and PF Meyers Leonard (5.7 PPG, 3.2 RPG) showed some fire with a couple forceful dunks against Boston.
DO U EVER POST THE GOLD SHEET BASKETBALL RECORD PUBLICATION?
Once SB is over I will have Newsletter thread in this section.
http://forum.thespread.com/football-discussion/99066-football-and-basketball-newsletters