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NBA Betting News and Trends For Tuesday 5/1/18

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday 5/1/18 from various handicappers and websites.

 
Posted : May 1, 2018 8:35 am
(@shazman)
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NBA playoffs
Cavaliers @ Raptors (0-0)

Cavaliers won Game 7 vs Toronto Sunday; quick turnaround here on road vs Toronto team they beat two of three this year, with home side winning all three games. Cavaliers lost by 33 in Toronto Jan 11, then won pair of home games vs Raptors by 3-6 points after that. Cleveland is 3-4 in its last seven road games; six of their last eight games stayed under the total. Toronto beat the Wizards in six games; their last game was Friday. Raptors won last seven home games, are 5-0-1 vs spread in last six. Last three Toronto games stayed under the total.

Pelicans @ Warriors (1-0)
Warriors cruised by 22 in Game 1; they led 76-55 at the half, after a 35-34 first quarter- they took 32 FT’s, Pelicans only 11. Golden State won 10 of last 11 games with New Orleans; Pelicans are 5-4 vs spread in last nine series games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six visits to Oakland. Over is 9-2 in last 11 series games. New Orleans won/covered nine of their last ten games, six of which were on road; they’re 3-1 in last four games as road underdogs. Warriors are 4-0 at home in playoffs, winning home tilts by 8-15-21-22 points. Under is 4-3-1 in their last eight games.

 
Posted : May 1, 2018 8:52 am
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Preview: Cavaliers at Raptors
Gracenote
Apr 30, 2018

The Cleveland Cavaliers have knocked the Toronto Raptors out of the playoffs the last two years but the Raptors are finally the favored team and hope to play like it when the teams begin their Eastern Conference semifinals matchup Tuesday night with Game 1 in Toronto. The Cavaliers won the conference final in six games over the Raptors in 2016 and swept a semifinals meeting last season en route to their third consecutive conference crown.

LeBron James averaged 36 points in that sweep for Cleveland and carried his squad through a seven-game battle with the Indiana Pacers in the first round by pouring in 34.4 per game, including 45 in the 105-101 clincher Sunday. "This is a different year," James told ESPN. "It's going to be challenging for us. So that's our first challenge. We'll see what happens." Toronto, the top seed in the East, took six games to get rid of the Washington Wizards in the opening round led by DeMar DeRozan, who averaged 26.7 points and feels that his team is finally ready to topple Cleveland, even if the roster is roughly the same. "Sometimes you have to keep it together, because there's nobody better than the guys you've failed with," DeRozan told reporters. "You might not have accomplished the goal, you do understand how to regroup."

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, TSN (Toronto)

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS: James played 41.2 minutes per game in the series with Indiana after playing all 82 games during the regular season, and remarkably he is showing no ill effects of the heavy workload. "That's why you play the minutes throughout the course of the season the way he does: When these types of situations happen, you're prepared for them," coach Tyronn Lue told the media. "So he's used to playing 41, 42 minutes and being able to take it with his body and still be able to produce. A lot of guys, they get in the playoffs, they're not used to playing that many minutes, and then it being a high-intensity atmosphere, it's kind of hard for those guys to perform." James, who admitted after Sunday's win that he was "burnt right now," produced 29.3 points, eight assists and 6.7 rebounds in three matchups with the Raptors during the regular season.

ABOUT THE RAPTORS: Toronto figures to have a big advantage when the teams go to their benches, and the Raptors' reserves were given a big boost with the return of guard Fred VanVleet for Game 6 against Washington. "He just keeps us all calm out there, even when things are not going right," fellow reserve Pascal Siakam told reporters of VanVleet, who missed four games in the series due to a shoulder injury. "He just controls the tempo. We just have a cool factor when he's there." Cleveland knows all about VanVleet's ability to provide a spark, as the second-year pro averaged 15.7 points and five assists in 25.3 minutes off the bench against the Cavaliers this season.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The Cavaliers won two regular-season matchups with the Raptors at home by a total of nine points and lost in their one visit to Toronto by 34.

2. C Kevin Love (11.4) was the only other Cleveland player to average in double digits in scoring in the first round, but he shot 33 percent from the floor.

3. Raptors PG Kyle Lowry averaged 19.8 points on 50.9 percent shooting - including 15-of-27 from 3-point range - over the final four games of the series with Washington.

PREDICTION: Raptors 111, Cavaliers 104
__________________

ATS Trends
Cleveland

Cavaliers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games.
Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.
Cavaliers are 17-35-1 ATS in their last 53 games following a ATS loss.
Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Cavaliers are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Cavaliers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Cavaliers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Cavaliers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.

Toronto

Raptors are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Raptors are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Raptors are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference.
Raptors are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 Tuesday games.
Raptors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games.

OU Trends
Cleveland

Under is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 overall.
Under is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Over is 8-3 in Cavaliers last 11 Tuesday games.
Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Under is 7-3 in Cavaliers last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
Under is 14-6 in Cavaliers last 20 games following a straight up win.
Over is 7-3 in Cavaliers last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Toronto

Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Over is 6-1 in Raptors last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 vs. NBA Central.
Over is 4-1 in Raptors last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 8-3 in Raptors last 11 Tuesday games.
Over is 8-3 in Raptors last 11 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

Head to Head

Home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Cavaliers are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Cavaliers are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
Under is 21-8 in the last 29 meetings in Toronto.
Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

 
Posted : May 1, 2018 9:34 am
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Preview: Pelicans at Warriors
Gracenote
Apr 30, 2018

It appears Golden State star guard Stephen Curry will be back in action on Tuesday when the Warriors host the New Orleans Pelicans in Game 2 of the Western Conference semifinals. Curry hasn't played since spraining the MCL in his left knee on March 23 but coach Steve Kerr classified him as probable after Monday's practice.

Curry participated in a lengthy scrimmage on Sunday and had no issues during Monday's practice, which prompted Kerr to say, "I'd be very surprised if he didn't play." Curry wasn't made available to reporters after the session but did outline his thoughts about his return in an interview with The Undefeated. "If I do get the green light, just play my game," Curry said. "Do what I do on both ends of the court to help the team. There is nothing special about it. Just try to use my energy as a spark." New Orleans will be looking for some ignition of its own as it was walloped 123-101 in the series opener despite the absence of Curry.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

ABOUT THE PELICANS: New Orleans posted a four-game sweep of the Portland Trail Blazers in its first postseason series but never found a groove or clicked on all cylinders during the Game 1 loss to the Warriors. "It's one game," Pelicans coach Alvin Gentry told reporters. "At the end of the day, it's one game, and you know, we've been playing great basketball, and I'm not so sure if the week off helped us, really. I thought we lost a little bit of our rhythm." Star power forward Anthony Davis had 21 points and 10 rebounds in Game 1 but was just 9-of-20 shooting while guard Jrue Holiday had only 11 points on 4-of-14 shooting.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS: Kerr said there wouldn't be a minutes restriction placed on Curry and standout forward Kevin Durant is expecting Curry to play at his typical "elite" level. "When somebody is as consistent as he is, no matter if you miss time, between games when he was hurt he was putting in major work," Durant told reporters after Monday's practice. "When great players leave like this with an injury and come back, I expect him to be who he is." Shooting guard Klay Thompson scored 27 points in the opener and Durant added 26 as Golden State didn't lack for firepower with Curry seated on the bench in street clothes.

BUZZER BEATERS

1. The Warriors have won a franchise-record 13 straight home postseason games.

2. The Pelicans have won just one of their past 12 regular-season or postseason games in Oakland and that victory occurred on April 7.

3. Golden State PF Draymond Green had 16 points, 15 rebounds and 11 assists in the opener for his fourth playoff triple-double, snapping a tie with Hall of Famer Tom Gola for the franchise record.

PREDICTION: Warriors 125, Pelicans 110
__________________

ATS Trends
New Orleans

Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Pelicans are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Pelicans are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.
Pelicans are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Pelicans are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 vs. Western Conference.
Pelicans are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Pelicans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games.

Golden State

Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Warriors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 Conference Semifinals games.
Warriors are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Warriors are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Warriors are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Warriors are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Warriors are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 Tuesday games.
Warriors are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.
Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.

OU Trends
New Orleans

Over is 4-0 in Pelicans last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 8-2 in Pelicans last 10 vs. NBA Pacific.
Under is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 Conference Semifinals games.
Over is 8-2 in Pelicans last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
Over is 8-2 in Pelicans last 10 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
Over is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Pelicans last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Pelicans last 9 Tuesday games.
Under is 6-2 in Pelicans last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Under is 6-2 in Pelicans last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-2 in Pelicans last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Over is 7-3 in Pelicans last 10 overall.
Under is 7-3 in Pelicans last 10 road games.
Over is 7-3 in Pelicans last 10 vs. Western Conference.

Golden State

Under is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 Tuesday games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Warriors last 7 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Over is 6-2 in Warriors last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
Over is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 19-7-1 in Warriors last 27 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 games following a ATS win.

Head to Head

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Golden State.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.

 
Posted : May 1, 2018 9:34 am
(@shazman)
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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, May 1

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (54 - 35) at TORONTO (63 - 25) - 5/1/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 48-40 ATS (+4.0 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
TORONTO is 199-249 ATS (-74.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 12-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 14-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
12 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (52 - 35) at GOLDEN STATE (63 - 25) - 5/1/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 102-74 ATS (+20.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 62-35 ATS (+23.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 49-37 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-48 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-5 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : May 1, 2018 1:11 pm
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NBA

Tuesday, May 1

Trend Report

Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Cleveland is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Cleveland's last 25 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Toronto is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Toronto is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Toronto's last 25 games when playing at home against Cleveland

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
New Orleans is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
New Orleans is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Golden State
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
New Orleans is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Golden State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games at home
Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Golden State is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Golden State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

 
Posted : May 1, 2018 1:12 pm
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Current NBA Playoffs betting stats heading into Tuesday's Round 2 action:

Home Teams:
37-11 Straight Up
30-17-1 ATS (63.83%)

Favorites:
39-9 Straight Up
31-16-1 ATS (65.96 %)

Over-Under: 24-24

 
Posted : May 1, 2018 1:13 pm
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