NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, November 15th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NBA Knowledge
Miami won its last five games with Washington (4-1 vs spread); over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Wizards are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Miami. Washington won four of its last five games; they’re 4-1 vs spread on road, 3-0 as a road underdog- their last five games stayed under the total. Heat are off a 3-3 road trip; they’re 0-2-1 as a home favorite. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Utah won five of last six games with the Knicks, who are 7-3 vs spread in last ten series games, last three of which went over the total. Jazz lost five of their last six games; they’re 1-2 as a road underdog. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. New York won seven of its last ten games; they’re 7-2 vs spread at home, 3-0 as a home favorite. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.
Kings/Hawks are a combined 5-22. Home side won five of last six King-Hawk games, with Sacramento going 0-5 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 3-1 in last four series games. Kings lost eight of their last ten games; they’re 1-5-1 as a road underdog. Four of their last six games went over total. Atlanta lost four in row, nine of last ten games; they’re favored here for first time this year. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Spurs won their last ten games with Minnesota (7-3 vs spread); they’re 5-0 vs spread in last five visits to the Twin Cities. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games. San Antonio won five of their last six games; they’re 0-2 vs spread as an underdog this year. This is Spurs’ first road game this month- under is 3-2 in their road tilts. Minnesota won six of last eight games; they’re 2-2 as a home favorite. Wolves’ last six games stayed under the total.
Cavaliers won their last six games with Charlotte (5-0-1 vs spread); they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 6-1 in last seven series games. Cleveland won three of last four games; they’re 0-3-1 as a road favorite. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Hornets lost their last four games; they’re 3-5-1 as an underdog, 1-1 as a home dog. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Toronto won its last five games with New Orleans (4-1 vs spread); three of last four series games went over. Raptors are 3-1 vs spread in last four series games. Toronto won three of last four games; they’re 4-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Pelicans won five of their last six games; they’re 1-3 as home favorites. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
Road team won last four Chicago-Oklahoma City games; under is 4-1 in last five series games. Bulls are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Chicago lost their last four games; they’re 4-2 as a road underdog. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Thunder won three of their last four home games; they’re 4-2 vs spread as a home favorite. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.
Memphis won/covered six of its last seven games with Indiana; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Pacers are 0-4 vs spread in last five visits here. Indiana lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-3 vs spread as a road underdog. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games. Grizzlies lost five of their last seven games; they’re 2-3 as a home favorite. Three of their last four home games stayed under the total.
Home side won eight of last ten Detroit-Milwaukee games; Pistons are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Wisconsin. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Detroit won five in row, eight of last nine games; they’re 3-0 vs spread as a road underdog. Pistons’ last four games went over total. Milwaukee won/covered its last three games; they’re 3-2-1 as home favorites. Under is 4-1 in their last five home games.
Orlando-Portland split their last ten games; home side won eight of the ten games. Magic is 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Orlando lost four of its last six games; they’re 4-3 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Portland is 3-2 in its last five games, all at home; they’re 2-6 as home favorites. Blazers’ last four games stayed under the total.
Lakers won five of last seven games with 76ers; under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Sixers are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games played here. Philly won six of its last eight games; they’re 1-1 as a road favorite this season. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Lakers are off a 1-3 road trip; they’re 3-3 vs spread as a home underdog. LA’s last four games stayed under the total.
Armadillosports.com
Wednesday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Game of the Night: 76ers at Lakers
Four players selected in the top three of the NBA draft over the last three years take the court at Staples Center on Wednesday. Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid have helped lead the 76ers (7-6 SU, 9-4 ATS) to victories in six of their past eight games, including a 109-105 triumph over the Clippers on Monday. Embiid is averaging 20.9 points and 10.8 rebounds per game, while Simmons is close to averaging a double-double with 17.8 ppg and 9.2 rpg.
Embiid and Simmons each posted double-doubles against the Clippers on Monday, while Robert Covington put together a 31-point effort on 9-of-12 shooting to send Los Angeles to a sixth straight loss. The 76ers have compiled a solid 6-3 ATS record away from Wells Fargo Center, as this is the final game of a five-game road swing before returning home on Saturday to host Golden State.
The Lakers (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS) wrapped up their four-game road trip with a victory at Phoenix on Monday, 100-93 to bust the 100-point mark (barely) for the first time in five games. Rookie guard Lonzo Ball struggled again from the floor by scoring seven points on 3-of-10 shooting, while Brandon Ingram made only 2-of-9 shots from the field for six points. The Lakers have started to heat up at home recently by winning three straight at Staples Center, including outright underdog victories over the Pistons and Grizzlies.
Piston Power
Detroit (10-3 SU, 9-3-1 ATS) has sprinted out to a 7-1 mark at home after sweeping a five-game homestand, capped off by Sunday’s 112-103 triumph over Miami. Now, the Pistons have to show their meddle on the highway, where they have already knocked off the Warriors and Clippers. Detroit travels to Milwaukee looking to knock off the Bucks for the second time this season after beating Jason Kidd’s squad, 105-96 on November 3.
The Bucks (7-5 SU, 6-5-2 ATS) have suddenly won three straight after a four-game losing streak, topped off by Monday’s 110-103 home victory over the Grizzlies. Milwaukee has had its way with Detroit at home the last few seasons by beating the Pistons in four of the past five meetings at BMO Harris Bradley Center.
Silent Road
The highway hasn’t been kind to the Jazz (6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS), who are the only team in the league without an away victory. Utah travels to the Big Apple to face New York following Monday’s dreadful effort in a 109-98 home defeat to Minnesota as three-point underdogs. The Jazz have lost five of their last six games, while center Rudy Gobert remains sidelined due to a bone bruise in his right knee. Utah hopes to continue its recent domination of New York by winning five of the past six meetings, including a sweep last season.
The Knicks (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS) squandered a 23-point lead in Monday’s three-point setback to the Cavaliers, but New York cashed as five-point ‘dogs to improve to 6-2 ATS in the last eight home contests. Since beginning the season at 0-3 ATS, Jeff Hornacek’s club has cashed tickets in eight of the past 10 games, while not losing consecutive games since the 0-3 start. The Knicks are perfect as a home favorite this season at 3-0 SU/ATS, while scoring at least 107 points in each of those wins.
Welcome Back
The Heat (6-7 SU, 4-7-2 ATS) return to the American Airlines Arena following a 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS road swing. Miami lost the finale at Detroit, but pulled off underdog victories over the Clippers and Jazz to improve to 3-4 on the highway. The Heat host the Southeast division-leading Wizards as part of a home-and-home set that concludes in Washington on Friday. Miami swept the four-game series from Washington last season, as three of those wins came in the underdog role.
The Wizards (6-7 SU, 4-7-2 ATS) rebounded from a shocking home loss to the Mavericks last week to win three straight games over the Lakers, Hawks, and Kings by double-digits apiece. Washington is riding a five-game UNDER streak, as Scott Brooks’ squad has limited four of the past five opponents to 96 points or less. The Wizards are 4-1 to the UNDER away from Capital One Arena, but both matchups at Miami last season sailed OVER the total.
Big Easy Rematch
For the second time in less than a week, the Pelicans and Raptors are hooking up. In the first matchup at Air Canada Center last Thursday, Toronto outlasted New Orleans, 122-118, but failed to cash as five-point favorites. The Pelicans lost in spite of shooting 53.7% from the field, but DeMarcus Cousins brought down that number by hitting only 8-of-24 shots. The Raptors have won five consecutive meetings with the Pelicans since 2015, while limiting the Pelicans to 91 points or less in the last two matchups at Smoothie King Center.
Silver Streak
The Spurs (8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS) have owned Minnesota over the years by winning 12 straight meetings since November 2014, including a 107-99 triumph in the season opener. San Antonio travels to the Target Center following a 4-2 homestand, capped off by a 133-94 blowout of Chicago on Saturday. Gregg Popovich’s team has struggled on the road recently by dropping three straight, while getting limited to 94 points or fewer in each of those defeats.
The Wolves (8-5 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) bounced back from losses at Golden State and Phoenix to beat Utah on Monday to avoid a winless road trip. Minnesota in the midst of a six-game UNDER streak, while seeking its fourth consecutive home win after topping the 112-point mark in each of its last three wins at the Target Center.
Nic of Time
The Hornets (5-7 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) are back at home after losing all four contests on its recent road swing, including a pair of setbacks by five points or less in the final two at New York and Boston. Charlotte welcomes back swingman Nicolas Batum (15.1 ppg last season), who makes his season debut after suffering an elbow injury in the preseason. The Hornets host the Cavaliers, who swept Charlotte last season by capturing all four games, while cashing the OVER three times.
Cleveland (7-7 SU, 4-9-1 ATS) failed to cover in Monday’s 104-101 comeback victory at New York as five-point favorites after erasing a 23-point deficit. Following a five-game OVER streak, the Cavs have finished UNDER the total in the last two contests, while allowing at least 100 points in 12 straight games.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Sacramento and Atlanta have combined for a 5-22 record so far as the two teams hook up at Philips Arena. The Kings and Hawks split their two-game series last season with the home squad winning each time, while Atlanta has won 10 consecutive home meetings with Sacramento dating back to 2007.
Indiana has lost five of six as the Pacers head to Memphis to face a Grizzlies’ club returning home from a 2-3 road trip. Memphis owns a 6-1 record in the last seven matchups with Indiana since 2014, including four double-digit wins at FedEx Forum.
If the Thunder can face solely Eastern Conference opponents, they would be just fine. Oklahoma City has compiled a 4-1 SU/ATS record against the East, including a 101-69 annihilation of Chicago at the United Center last month. The Bulls visit OKC on Wednesday as Chicago has won in its past two matchups at Chesapeake Energy Arena.
The Magic finish up a four-game western swing at Portland, trying to rebound from losses at Denver and Golden State. The road team won each meeting last season, as Orlando snapped a four-game losing streak at the Moda Center that dated back to 2013.
NBA Pick 'n' Roll: Wednesday's Picks and Analysis
Covers.com
Orlando Magic at Portland Trail Blazers (-5.5, 210)
There was a lot to like about how the Orlando Magic played on Monday night against the Golden State Warriors. Orlando pushed the pace early, got easy baskets on the break and knocked down its open looks from distance.
The Magic didn’t have an answer for the Dubs' surge in the third quarter and the defending champs held onto the lead from there. Orlando is a better team when Shelvin Mack isn’t part of its rotation but the fringe NBA player will keep getting minutes until D.J. Augustin makes his return.
The Magic play at the sixth fastest pace in the league and there’s been an extra pickup in their step since starting point guard Elfrid Payton returned. Payton can’t shoot a lick but he’s always looking for the lead pass and has a knack for helping his team pick up transition buckets that wouldn’t be there if he weren’t on the court.
Pick: Over 210
Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5, 208)
The early returns on the trade that brought point guard Eric Bledsoe to Milwaukee have been good for Bucks backers. The Deer are 3-0 SU and ATS with wins over the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies since Bledsoe suited up for his new team.
Bledsoe brings depth to the Bucks backcourt but the squad is thin on bodies to bang with opposing big men. That’s why Detroit could spell trouble for Milwaukee on Wednesday. Neither Thon Maker nor John Henson will be able to keep Pistons center Andre Drummond off the glass.
Pick: Pistons +3.5
Yesterday’s picks: 1-1
Season record: 27-29
Total Streaks
*The under is 5-0 in Wizards’ last five overall.
*The under is 8-3-1 in Utah’s last 12 road games.
*The over is 6-1 in the last seven games between the Cavaliers and Hornets.
*The over is 14-3 in Pacers’ last 17 road games.
*The over is 4-0 in Pistons’ last four overall.
Injury to Watch
The Hornets are happy to welcome back Nic Batum in time for Wednesday night’s home game on ESPN against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Batum missed Charlotte’s first 12 games while the club went 5-7 straight up and 5-6-1 against the spread. Head coach Steve Clifford says Batum will start at shooting guard which likely moves Jeremy Lamb into a bench role.
Batum was the Hornets’ second leading scorer in each of the last two seasons and led the club in assists a year ago at 5.9 per game. His ball handling skills should help Charlotte’s depleted depth at point guard behind starter Kemba Walker.
Ref to Watch
Leon Wood is one of the best under referees in the Association this season. The under is 8-1 in the name games he’s officiated this year and he’s part of the three-man crew working tonight’s Wizards-Heat game. The total opened at 212.5 and has dropped two points to rest at 210.5.
Trends
*The Kings are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
*The Kings are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
*The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
*The Heat are 0-9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
*The Jazz are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
*The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
Consensus
Nearly 75 percent of players like the Memphis Grizzlies to cover as 4-point home chalk against the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday.