Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 1/24/19
Warriors won their last eight games (6-2 vs spread), are 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Eight of their last ten games went over. Wizards won four of their last five games; they covered their last five home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Golden State won eight of last nine games with Washington, but Wizards covered four of last six; Warriors are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Three of last four series games went over.
Davis-less New Orleans lost four of its last six games; they covered their last four home games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Oklahoma City won/covered its last three games; they are 3-4 vs spread in last seven home games. Seven of their last eight games went over. Thunder won six of last nine games with the Pelicans; three of last four series games stayed under. New Orleans is 1-3 vs spread in its last four visits to Oklahoma.
Trailblazers won nine of their last 13 games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six road games. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Phoenix lost its last five games; they’re 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Portland won its last eight games with the Suns; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the desert (under 4-1).
Minnesota is 4-3 since the coaching change; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 14-4 in their last 18 games. Lakers are 4-6 in their last ten games, 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. LA’s last three games went over. Home side won eight of last ten Timberwolves-Laker games; Minnesota covered six of last seven series games, with three of last four staying under the total.
January 24, 2019
By Chris David
The point-spread is in place for a reason and last night it played a major factor in the Association as underdogs went 8-2 against the spread. Of those eight covers, only four of those pups managed to win outright on Wednesday as the favorites produced a 6-4 straight up record. The spread was single digits in nine of the 10 games with Boston (-15) being the lone exception and it ran past Cleveland 123-103 at home. Total players saw a stalemate (5-5) in the 10-game card and bettors had to put in a full 48-minute workout for a couple of those tickets.
Thursday’s card has four games on tap, including a nationally televised double-header on TNT.
(Straight Up – SU, Against the Spread – ATS)
Golden State (33-14 SU, 21-25-1 ATS) at Washington (20-26 SU, 20-26 ATS)
The Warriors will be looking to win their ninth straight game on Thursday against Washington when they pay a visit to the nation’s capital and the opener of Golden State -9 seems a little short to me.
During its current eight-game winning streak, Golden State has gone 5-2-1 ATS while averaging 130.6 points per game. Six of the wins came by 10-plus points and they’ve covered three times as double-digit favorites. If the Warriors role out a full squad and don’t rest anybody, I would expect this line to close at -10 or higher and while some bettors might be shy to lay the wood with the Warriors, they’ve been unreal as double-digit favorites (17-0 SU,13-4 ATS) this season. One of those wins for Golden State came at home on Oct. 24 versus Washington, a 144-122 decision as a 10-point favorite.
Another reason to back Golden State, the club has gone 12-4 SU and 10-6 ATS against the Eastern Conference this season. Sticking with the possible double-digit favorite angle, the Warriors are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS while averaging 128.8 points per game versus teams from the East and the ‘over’ has gone 6-2 in those games.
Lastly, the team is 2-0 both SU and ATS since DeMarcus Cousins joined the Warriors lineup and one site noted that the Golden State “Death Lineup” of all five All-Stars has a point differential of +35 in just 18 minutes per game with Cousins.
All those facts give you plenty of reason to run to the window and bet the ‘chalk’ but we all know it’s never that easy. Especially since Washington (15-8 SU, 14-9 ATS) hasn’t been a pushover at home and the team has gone 7-4 since point guard John Wall (heel) went down with a season-ending injury. Also, the Wizards have won four of their last five at home, which includes quality wins over the 76ers and Bucks. Plus, the lone loss came to the Raptors and that was only a two-point setback (140-138). Golden State is certainly on a different level but with the postseason likely not in the cards for Washington, the fans should be amped for this game tonight.
Including the aforementioned win in October, the Warriors have won four straight and eight of their last nine games against the Wizards. They’ve gone 5-4 ATS during this span.
TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.
New Orleans (22-25 SU, 21-25-1 ATS) at Oklahoma City (29-18 SU, 26-21 ATS)
After suffering through a 1-4 skid a couple weeks ago, the Thunder have rallied to win and cover three straight games which includes a 123-114 win over Portland on Tuesday as four-point favorite. OKC has been solid at home this season (15-7 SU, 12-0 ATS) but it hasn’t won back-to-back games at Chesapeake Energy Arena since mid-December. The Thunder opened as an 11 ½-point favorite for this game and they’ve dropped their last two in this role at home, most recently to the LeBron-less L.A. Lakers (138-128) on Jan. 17. Overall, the team is 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS as double-double digit favorites at home while the ‘over’ has gone 5-2 in those games.
The Pelicans will be playing on no rest tonight after losing 98-94 to Detroit on Wednesday as a five-point home favorite. New Orleans was playing without All-Star Anthony Davis for the second straight game and it won without him on Monday albeit it came against a struggling Memphis squad (105-85). Including last night’s loss, the Pelicans are now 2-5 without Davis in the line up this season.
New Orleans has gone 1-6 both SU and ATS in back-to-back spots this season and the defense has been grinded for 121.8 PPG, which has led to a 5-2 ‘over’ mark. The pair have played twice already this season and they’ve gone 1-1 versus one another with the home team winning each game. The total went 1-1 despite the pair combining for 232 and 238 points. Oddsmakers are expecting another shootout tonight with the opening total hovering between 237 and 238 points.
Portland (29-20 SU, 26-23 ATS) at Phoenix (11-38 SU, 22-27 ATS)
No overnight line was posted on this game due to the ‘questionable’ injury status of Portland point guard Damian Lillard (hand), plus the Suns won’t have center DeAndre Ayton (ankle) available. The Trail Blazers will be road favorites for this matchup and they’ve won eight straight games against the Suns but have only covered four of those wins. The pair met on Dec. 6 from the Moda Center and Portland captured a 108-86 win as a 12 ½-point home favorite.
As a road favorite this season, Portland has gone 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. The Blazers have brought their offense in those situations (119.2 PPG) and that’s helped produce a 4-1 ‘over’ mark.
Phoenix has been more successful at home (7-18 SU, 11-14 ATS) but that’s not saying much considering it only has 11 wins on the season. They’re coming off a 118-91 blowout loss to Minnesota in the desert on Tuesday as a four-point underdog and that dropped them to 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS in their last eight games from Talking Stick Resort Arena.
Minnesota (23-24 SU, 24-23 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (25-23 SU, 20-26-2 ATS)
The Timberwolves and Lakers will meet for the fourth and final time on Thursday and TNT will provide national coverage at 10:35 p.m. ET. Minnesota captured two of the first three encounters, both wins coming at home and while they lost 114-110 at the Staples Center on Nov. 7 they did manage to cover as a 5 ½-point underdog. LeBron James played in that game for the Lakers but he missed the most recent meeting on Jan. 6 from the Target Center when the T-Wolves ran the Purple and Gold by 20 points (106-86).
Since LeBron went down, the club has gone 5-9 in his absence and that includes a 2-5 mark at the Staples Center. On Monday, the club was blasted 130-111 by Golden State and that outcome came after they put up a solid effort in a 138-134 road loss to Houston last Saturday. James (groin) has been ruled ‘out’ for Thursday and his return to the team remains uncertain. Lonzo Ball (ankle) recently joined the injury list for Los Angeles and now the club has no true point guard, since Rajon Rondo (hand) hasn’t played since Christmas.
Minnesota has had a drama-filled season but the club has moved on from trading Jimmy Butler and firing head coach Tom Thibodeau. Since they shipped Butler to Philadelphia, the T-Wolves have gone 19-15 and they own a 4-3 record since ‘Tibs’ was replaced by Ryan Saunders. Coincidentally, Thibodeau was canned after the T-Wolves beat the Lakers at home on Jan. 6.
The Timberwolves remain 2 ½ games out of the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They enter this game off back-to-back wins, both coming against the cellar dweller Suns. This line opened short (-1 ½) and Minnesota has gone 4-3 both SU and ATS this season when listed as a road favorite. The ‘under’ has gone 5-2 in those games and outside of two poor outings to Sacramento (121, 141), the defense (97.8 PPG) has stepped up.
24th Jan 2019
Admir Aljic
NBA – TRENDS OF THE DAY
There are only four games in the Association on today’s schedule, but the small market is always good for the bettors. Hereof, we bring you all need-to-know betting trends and notes for all four matchups to help you find the best wagers.
Featured game: Golden State Warriors vs. Washington Wizards
The Golden State Warriors (33-14; 21-25-1 ATS) are riding an eight-game winning streak following a 130-111 victory at the Los Angeles Lakers on MLK Day, still topping the Western Conference one game ahead of the Denver Nuggets. The Warriors are 7-0 straight up and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on the road, while the reigning champions are 6-2 straight up and ATS in their eight road meetings with the Eastern Conference this season.
On the other side, the Washington Wizards (20-26; 20-26 ATS) have won two games in a row, beating New York 101-100 and Detroit 101-87. The Wizards are 7-3 straight up and 8-2 ATS in their previous ten games overall, and are 6-1 straight up and ATS in their last seven showings on the home court. Also, the Wizards are 5-2 straight up and 4-3 ATS in their seven home meetings with the Western Conference this season, and the over is 7-0 during that span.
The Warriors opened as strong 9-point favorites here with the total at 234.5 points and the Wizards at +350 money line odds, while 80.0% of wagers are on the visitors to cover and 70.0% of bets are on the under on the totals. The Warriors have won four straight meetings with the Wizards including a 144-122 hammering at home in the previous duel this season. Golden State is 8-1 straight up and 5-4 ATS in its last nine meetings with Washington and is 7-1 straight up and 5-3 ATS in the previous eight H2H duels at Capital One Arena.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
The New Orleans Pelicans (22-25; 21-25-1 ATS) are coming off a 105-85 win at the Memphis Grizzlies to end up their two-game skid away from home. The Pelicans are just 3-9 straight up and 4-7-1 ATS in their previous 12 games on the road, while they are 0-6 straight up and 1-5 ATS in their last six road meetings with the Northwest Division. The Oklahoma City Thunder (29-18; 26-21 ATS) is on a three-game winning streak following a 123-114 win to the Portland Trail Blazers this past Tuesday. The Thunder is 5-5 straight up and ATS in its last ten outings, and is 3-4 straight up and ATS in its last five games at home, while OKC is 6-0 straight up and 5-1 ATS in its previous six home meetings with the Southwest Division.
Oklahoma City opened as a massive 11.5-point favorite on this one with the total at whopping 237.5 points and the Pelicans at +600 money line odds, as the visitors will be without Anthony Davis. After a couple of head-to-head duels this season, the series is tied as both teams have won and covered at home. The Thunder is 6-3 straight up and ATS in its last nine meetings with the Pelicans, and the over is 5-4 in that span, while OKC is 5-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS in the previous six H2H meetings in Oklahoma. The Thunder is just 4-4 straight up and 3-5 ATS in its eight showings as a double-digit fave this season, while the Pelicans are listed as double-digit dogs for the first time this term and are 0-5 straight up and 3-2 ATS in the last five outings as double-digit underdogs.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Phoenix Suns
The Portland Trail Blazers (29-20; 26-23 ATS) are coming off a 123-114 defeat at Oklahoma City to end up their three-game winning streak. They are 7-3 straight up and ATS in the last ten games overall, while the Blazers are 4-6 straight up and 5-5 ATS in their previous ten showings on the road. The Phoenix Suns (11-38; 22-27 ATS) are on a five-game losing streak following a 118-91 defeat to the Minnesota Timberwolves. They are only 2-12 straight up and 6-8 ATS over their last 14 games overall, while the Suns are 3-7 straight up and 4-6 ATS in their previous ten showings at home.
The Blazers opened as strong 8.5-point favorites here with the total at 218.5 points and the Suns at +300 money line odds. This will be their second head-to-head duel of the season, and the Blazers have beaten the Suns 108-86 in Oregon. Portland is 8-0 straight up and 4-4 ATS in its last eight meetings with Phoenix, and is 4-1 straight up and 3-2 ATS in the previous five H2H duels in Arizona. The Blazers are 3-1 straight up and ATS in their last four road meetings with the Pacific Division, while the Suns are 2-3 straight up and 3-2 ATS in their last five home meetings with the Northwest Division.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Los Angeles Lakers
The Minnesota Timberwolves (23-24; 24-23 ATS) and the Los Angeles Lakers (25-23; 21-26-1 ATS) will face off against each other for the fourth time this season. The Timberwolves lead the series 2-1 with a couple of home wins, while the Lakers have won the previous duel at Staples Center 114-110 as 5.5-point favorites. The Timberwolves opened as 1.5-point favorites on this one with the total at 229.5 points and the Lakers at +100 money line odds. Minnesota is 6-1 straight up and ATS in its last seven meetings with the Lakers, while the Timberwolves are 2-4 straight up and 3-3 ATS in the previous six H2H duels at Staples Center.
Minnesota is coming off back-to-back victories over the Phoenix Suns and is 6-3 straight up and 5-4 ATS in its previous nine games overall. The Timberwolves are 5-3 straight up and ATS in their last eight showings on the road, while they are 4-3 straight up and ATS in seven road games this season when listed as favorites. On the other side, the Lakers are 4-4 straight up and 4-3-1 ATS in their last eight games overall, and are just 3-5 straight up and 2-5-1 ATS in the previous eight outings at home. Also, the Lakers are 1-7 straight up and 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games when listed as underdogs.
NBA
Long Sheet
Thursday, January 24
GOLDEN STATE (33 - 14) at WASHINGTON (20 - 26) - 1/24/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-80 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-43 ATS (+25.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 57-74 ATS (-24.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW ORLEANS (22 - 26) at OKLAHOMA CITY (29 - 18) - 1/24/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 75-46 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-61 ATS (-22.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PORTLAND (29 - 20) at PHOENIX (11 - 38) - 1/24/2019, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (23 - 24) at LA LAKERS (25 - 23) - 1/24/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 140-99 ATS (+31.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Thursday, January 24
Trend Report
Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
New Orleans is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oklahoma City
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Portland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Portland is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Portland is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games on the road
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Portland's last 15 games when playing Phoenix
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Portland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 15 games when playing Portland
Phoenix is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Portland
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 18 games
Minnesota is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Minnesota is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 9 games
LA Lakers is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Lakers is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of LA Lakers's last 22 games at home
LA Lakers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
LA Lakers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 15 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
LA Lakers is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
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