Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 9/2/20
NBA public betting, line movement September 2
Patrick Everson
James Harden and the Rockets get a second shot to knock out the Thunder when the Western Conference foes collide in Game 7 Wednesday. The SuperBook has the Rockets 5.5-point favorites.
NBA betting odds are on the board and getting attention for Wednesday’s pair of playoff games. The marquee matchup is Game 7 between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets in first-round play, preceded by Game 2 between the Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks in a second-round series.
The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday's matchups.
NBA line movement
Oklahoma City dodged elimination with a 104-100 Game 6 victory as a 5.5-point underdog Monday night. The SuperBook opened the Rockets -4.5 on Tuesday morning, and by Tuesday afternoon, the line was up a point to -5.5 for this 9 p.m. ET tipoff.
Top-seeded Milwaukee was a 5-point Game 1 favorite against No. 5 Miami, but lost 115-104 Monday night. The Bucks opened -4.5 for Game 2, and The SuperBook moved to -5 by Tuesday night.
NBA public betting
The Consensus is often indicative of the public mindset, and that mindset is showing a notable if not overwhelming lean to Wednesday’s favorites. As of late Tuesday, the Rockets were landing 61 percent of Consensus picks, and the Bucks were drawing 66 percent of early picks.
729MIAMI -730 MILWAUKEE
MIAMI is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
731OKLAHOMA CITY -732 HOUSTON
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.
NBA
Long Sheet
Wednesday, September 2
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MIAMI (49 - 29) vs. MILWAUKEE (60 - 19) - 9/2/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 98-74 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 82-62 ATS (+13.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 87-65 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 79-60 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 77-59 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 223-272 ATS (-76.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OKLAHOMA CITY (47 - 31) vs. HOUSTON (47 - 31) - 9/2/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 113-75 ATS (+30.5 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-6 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Wednesday, September 2
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Trend Report
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Miami @ Milwaukee
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City @ Houston
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games at home
Houston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
NBA
Dunkel
Wednesday, September 2
Miami @ Milwaukee
Game 729-730
September 2, 2020 @ 6:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Miami
117.665
Milwaukee
125.149
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 6 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 5
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-5); Over
Oklahoma City @ Houston
Game 731-732
September 2, 2020 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
113.982
Houston
116.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6
218
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+6); Over