Friday's NBA Tip Sheet
By Brad Young
**Heat at Spurs**
-Las Vegas Sports Consultants installed San Antonio as a seven-point home ‘chalk’ over Miami, with the total set at 186. ESPN will provide coverage of this contest beginning at 8:05 p.m. ET.
-Miami (2-2 straight up and against the spread) begin a brief two-game road trip searching for its first victory away from home. The Heat are 0-2 SU and ATS on the road, but returned home to throttle Philadelphia Wednesday as a three-point underdog, 106-83. The combined 189 points failed to eclipse the 190-point closing total, helping the ‘under’ cash the third consecutive contest.
-Miami was outrebounded by the 76ers, 44-41, but prevailed by shooting 47 percent (39-of-83) from the field. Dwyane Wade paced the offense with 29 points and seven rebounds, while forward Michael Beasley accounted for 17 and nine.
-The Heat have been dropping their road endeavors, 110-101, and wrap up their brief trip with Saturday’s game at New Orleans.
-San Antonio (1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS) finally got into the win column with Wednesday’s double overtime victory over Minnesota as a 4½-point road favorite, 129-125. The combined 254 points soared past the 181½-point closing total, helping the ‘over’ improve to 3-1.
-The Spurs finished the game by connecting at an incredible 52-percent clip (50-of-97) from the field. Guard Tony Parker netted 55 points on 22-of-36 shooting while dishing out 10 assists, and forward Tim Duncan added 30 and 16 rebounds.
-San Antonio is still searching for its first home win of the year after losing its first two outings SU and ATS. The Spurs have been dropping their home endeavors by an average score of 101-90.
-Miami is 1-2 SU and 3-0 ATS the past three meetings with San Antonio, while the ‘under’ has cashed each time. The Heat fell to the Spurs last year as an 11 ½-point road underdog, 88-78, and as a 9 ½-point home ‘dog, 90-89.
**Suns at Bulls**
-LVSC opened Phoenix as a 4½-point road favorite over Chicago, with the total set at 205. This game is scheduled to tipoff at 8:35 p.m. ET.
-Phoenix (4-1 SU and ATS) recorded its third consecutive victory after running past Indiana Wednesday as a three-point road ‘chalk,’ 113-103. The combined 216 points eclipsed the 206½-point closing total, helping the ‘over’ improve to 4-1.
-Forward Amare Stoudemire stepped up with 49 points on 17-of-21 shooting with 11 rebounds, while Boris Diaw added 14 and five off the bench. The Suns outrebounded the Pacers, 43-36, while shooting 56 percent (43-of-77) from the field.
-Phoenix is 3-0 SU and ATS on the road, with the ‘over’ going 2-1. The Suns have been winning those contests by an average score of 110-96. Phoenix wraps up its three-game road trip with Saturday’s game at Milwaukee.
-Chicago (2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS) is currently mired in a two-game SU losing skid after Wednesday’s setback to Cleveland as an 8½-point road underdog, 107-93. The combined 200 points went ‘over’ the 186 ½-point closing total, ending a string of three straight ‘under’ outings.
-The Bulls were beat up on the boards, 46-35, while shooting 39 percent (31-of-79) from the field. Rookie point guard Derrick Rose had 20 points and seven assists in the setback, while forward Luol Deng added 18 and seven rebounds.
-Chicago is 2-0 SU and ATS at home, winning those affairs by an average score of 102-91.
-Phoenix beat Chicago twice last season SU and ATS, winning as a nine-point home favorite, 112-102, and as an eight-point road ‘chalk,’ 88-77.
**Mavericks at Nuggets**
-LVSC lists the Dallas-Denver contest as a ‘pick,’ with the total set at 204½. ESPN will start its coverage of this contest at 10:35 p.m. ET.
-Dallas (2-2 SU and ATS) is coming off Tuesday’s triumph over San Antonio as a 4 ½-point road underdog, 98-81. The combined 179 points failed to topple the 187 ½-point closing total, helping the ‘under’ cash the third consecutive contest.
-The Mavericks controlled the boards, 45-34, while connecting at a 53-percent clip (43-of-81). Dirk Nowitzki led the offense with 30 points and seven rebounds, while Jason Terry added 29 and six assists.
-Dallas sports a 2-0 SU and ATS road record, with the ‘under’ going 2-0. The Mavs have been winning those matchups by an average score of 97-83.
-Denver (1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS) should finally have the services of guard Chauncey Billups who the team recently traded for. Billups went to the University of Colorado, and figures to help balance the Nuggets offense.
-Denver has dropped its last two games SU after falling to Golden State Wednesday as a 3 ½-point road underdog, 111-101. The combined 212 points went ‘over’ the 208-point closing total.
-Forward Carmelo Anthony had 28 points and eight rebounds, while Nene contributed 19 and 15 in the victory. The Nuggets shot 44 percent (39-of-88) from the field, but just 13 percent (2-of-15) from behind the arc.
-Denver is 0-1 SU and 1-0 ATS on its home court, with the ‘under’ going 1-0. The Nuggets follow this contest with a home game against Memphis before embarking on a three-game road trip.
-Denver is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS the past four matchups with Dallas, winning last season by scores of 118-105 and 122-109 while losing 90-85.
vegasinsider.com.
Toronto (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) at Atlanta (3-0 SU and ATS)
Two teams off to surprisingly hot starts this season square off in Atlanta when the Hawks host the Raptors in an Eastern Conference matchup.
The Hawks have opened with three straight wins for the first time in 11 years, with two of the victories coming on the highway. On Wednesday, Atlanta went to New Orleans and upset the Hornets 87-79 as 8 ½-point underdogs. The Hawks’ lone home game was a 95-88 victory Saturday over the Sixers as 2½-point favorites. Defense has been the key for Atlanta, limiting the opposition to 84 points a game and 39.9 percent shooting from the field.
The Raptors opened the season with three straight wins before falling to Detroit 100-93 on Wednesday as a 3½-point home chalk. Toronto is 2-0 SU and ATS on the road so far, including a 91-87 win in Milwaukee on Saturday as a one-point ‘dog. The Raptors are shooting 47.1 percent from the floor this season and 50.8 percent from the three-point line.
Toronto took two of three from the Hawks last season (2-1 ATS) but Atlanta won a shootout at home on April 2, winning 127-120 in overtime as a 1½-point favorite. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 6-4 SU and ATS in the last 10. The straight-up winner is a perfect 10-0 ATS in this series dating back to 2005.
Going back to last season the Raptors are 38-18-2 ATS in their last 58 against Southeast Division teams, but they are on ATS slides of 11-24 overall, 7-19 after a day of rest, 4-11 on the road and 1-10 in Friday contests. Meanwhile the Hawks are on ATS streaks of 4-0 at home and 5-2 against teams from the Eastern Conference.
For Toronto, the under is on runs of 11-4-1 overall, 6-2 on the road, 5-1 against the Eastern Conference, 10-3-1 after a straight-up loss and 5-2 against Southeast Division foes. Atlanta has stayed under the total in its last four overall and five of their last seven after a spread-cover, but the over is on streaks of 9-2 at home, 10-1 after getting a day off and 5-0 on Fridays. In head-to-head meetings, the over is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings, including 6-1 in the last seven in Atlanta.
ATS ADVANTAGE: ATLANTA
Miami (2-2 SU and ATS) at San Antonio (1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS)
The Spurs finally got in the win column on Wednesday and now look to make it two in a row when they host the Heat.
San Antonio opened the campaign with three straight losses (0-3 ATS), including two at home, but it gutted out a 129-125 overtime win in Minnesota two nights ago. Tony Parker was a one-man wrecking crew against the T’Wolves, putting up 55 points, 10 assists and seven rebounds, but the Spurs still came up short as a 4 ½-point favorite.
Dating back to the playoffs last season, the Spurs had dropped five straight games before Wednesday and they remain in an 0-6 ATS funk.
Miami has alternated wins and losses this season and comes into this one off a 106-83 win over the Sixers on Wednesday as three-point ‘dogs. Dwyane Wade put up 29 points and pulled in seven rebounds to lead Miami to the win against Philadelphia.
The Spurs have won five of the last six meetings against Miami (3-3 ATS) and eight of the last 10 (4-5-1 ATS) dating back to 2003. San Antonio won both matchups last season but failed to cash in either one. The Spurs got an 88-78 home win as 11 ½-point favorites and scored a 90-89 road win as a 9 ½-point chalk. The home team is 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the straight-up winner is 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10 series clashes.
The Heat are on ATS slides of 2-5 against Southwest Division teams and 7-20-1 following a straight-up win, but they are on ATS streaks of 7-2 overall, 4-1 on Fridays, 4-1 after a spread-cover and 4-0 when getting a day off. Meanwhile the Spurs are riding ATS slides of 0-4 after a non-cover and 1-4 after a day off, but they are 4-0 ATS in their last four against the Southeast Division.
For Miami, the under is on streaks of 19-7 overall, 19-7 after a spread-cover, 4-0 against the Western Conference and 4-1 against the Southwest Division. It’s been all unders for San Antonio as well, including 9-3 overall, 7-1 on a day of rest, 4-1 at home and 5-0-1 after a straight-up win. When these two meet, the under is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings, including 7-1 in Texas.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Dallas (2-2 SU and ATS) at Denver (1-3 SU, 3-1 ATS)
The Nuggets are scheduled to finally trot out their two new acquisitions tonight when the Mavericks visit the Mile High City in a Western Conference matchup.
Denver made an early-season blockbuster trade this week, sending Allen Iverson to Detroit for Chauncey Billups and Antonio McDyess. The trade comes on the heels of consecutive losses for the Nuggets, including a 104-97 home setback to the Lakers as 8½-point ‘dogs on Saturday then a 111-101 loss at Golden State Wednesday with an undermanned roster as 3 ½-point underdogs.
The Mavericks, who have alternated wins and losses this season, come into this one off Wednesday’s 98-81 road win in San Antonio as 4½-point underdogs. Dallas is 2-0 (SU and ATS) on the road this season, holding the opposition to 83 points a game while allowing 106 per contest at home. Dirk Nowitzki (30) and Jason Terry (29) combined for 59 points against the Spurs.
Denver took two of three from the Mavericks last season (3-0 ATS), including a 118-105 home win as an 8½-point favorite. The Nuggets are 3-1 SU (4-0 ATS) in the last five series clashes and 6-4 ATS in the last 10. Finally, the straight-up winner is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.
Dallas is in ATS slumps of 0-6 after a straight-up win and 1-6 against Northwest Division teams, but they are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five Friday games and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against a team with a losing home record. Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last seven against Southwest Division teams and 4-0 ATS in its last four Friday contests, but otherwise the Nuggets are on ATS slides of 2-6 overall, 2-6 against Western Conference teams, 1-4 at home and 0-4 following a non-cover.
For the Mavericks, the under is on runs of 51-22 against Northwest Division teams, 6-1 overall, 8-3-1 on Fridays and 5-1 against the Western Conference. Denver has topped the total in seven straight Friday games, but the under is on runs of 9-3 overall, 20-8 against Southwest Division teams, 9-3 against Western Conference and 4-0 at home. In this rivalry, the under is 11-5 in the last 16 series clashes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Gametimepicks.com
Hot Teams
-- Hornets won three of last four games.
-- Pistons are off to the 4-0 start, covering both its road games; Iverson debuts for them here.
-- Cavaliers won three of last four games, are 2-0 vs spread at home.
-- Hawks won their first three games, allowing 84 ppg. Raptors are 3-1 to start the season.
-- Celtics won four of first five games, covered three of last four. Bucks won three of their last four games.
-- Bulls won their first two home games, by 13-10 points. Suns won the last three games, by 11-28-10 points- they're already 3-0 on the road. .
-- Jazz won their last three games, by 22-16-7 points.
-- Dallas won first two road games; visitor is 4-0 in their games.
-- Warriors covered three of last four games, won two of last three.
Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost three of first four games (1-1 at home).
-- Wizards lost first three games, by 10-8-8ot points. Knicks lost two of last three games; they lost only road tilt by 29.
-- Nets lost their last two games, allowing 109.5 ppg.
-- Pacers lost two of their first three games.
-- Miami lost its two road games, by 5-13 points. Spurs lost three of first four games, with only win in double OT at Minnesota.
-- Thunder lost three of first four games, with losses y 11-12-13 points.
-- Nuggets lost three of first four games- Billups makes his debut here.
-- Wolves lost their last three games, by 10-3-4(2ot) points. Kings lost three of their last four games.
-- Rockets lost their last two games by combined total of six points. Not only are Clippers 0-5, they haven't covered a spread yet.
Totals
-- Under is 3-0-1 in first four Charlotte games, 1-3 in Hornets' first four.
-- Knicks' last three games stayed under the total.
'- Over is 3-0-1 in Detroit's first four games, 0-3 in Nets' first three.
-- First three Atlanta games all stayed under the total.
-- Four of first five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- First four Oklahoma City games all stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Maverick games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Memphis games so far this season.
-- Three of last four Houston games went over the total.
Tips and Trends
Miami Heat at San Antonio Spurs
Heat: It has been night and day for Miami as far as the team's play at home and on the road is concerned through the first four games. The Heat have won their two home games by an average of nearly 25 points but have dropped their two road games by a combined 18 points. That first road loss at New York could have been a lot worse too if it wasn't for a 40-29 surge in the fourth quarter. This will also be the first of back-to-back games for Miami with a visit to New Orleans on deck for Saturday.
Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 6-2 in Miami's last 8 road games.
Key Injuries - F Dorell Wright (Achilles') is questionable.
G Marcus Banks (groin) is questionable.
PROJECTED SCORE: 94 (OVER - Total Play of the Day)
Spurs (-6, O/U 189): San Antonio point guard Tony Parker turned in a monster performance to help get his team a 129-125 victory at Minnesota in double overtime on Wednesday. Parker scored a career-high 55 points and also had 10 assists and seven rebounds to help the Spurs avoid an 0-4 start. “I just wanted to win so bad,” Parker said. “I was going to try to do everything I can. It’s just one of those games. Everything you do, it works.” Parker will face a unique challenge defensively in Miami rookie Mario Chalmers, who totaled nine steals in a 106-83 rout of Philadelphia on Wednesday. “I’m not going to be scared of anybody,” Chalmers said. “I’ve just got to compete with them.”
Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The UNDER is 9-3 in San Antonio's last 12 games overall.
Key Injuries - G Manu Ginobili (ankle) is OUT.
C Fabricio Oberto (irregular heartbeat) has returned.
PROJECTED SCORE: 100
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
Mavs: Dallas head coach Rick Carlisle tinkered with his lineup yet again on Tuesday, giving Jason Terry his first start of the season. That move resulted in Terry scoring a season-high 29 points in a 98-81 victory at San Antonio. “Jet (Terry) really came out,” Mavs forward Dirk Nowitzki said. “We definitely need his offense in our group. Whether he starts or is off the bench, we need his shooting and we need his scoring.” Carlisle has started Antoine Wright and Jerry Stackhouse previously in the shooting guard spot alongside Jason Kidd. Dallas has won its first two road games by an average of 13.5 points.
Road team is 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
The UNDER is 6-1 in Dallas' last 7 games overall.
Key Injuries - F Jerry Stackhouse (foot) is day-to-day.
PROJECTED SCORE: 97
Nuggets (-1, O/U 202): Denver expects to have newly-acquired point guard Chauncey Billups in the lineup after he was traded for Allen Iverson on Monday. “Chauncey will be a big part of our team,” Nuggets guard Dahntay Jones said. “The dynamic of this team will change with him.” Carmelo Anthony got back on track offensively in Wednesday's 111-101 loss at Golden State, as he totaled 28 points and eight rebounds after scoring 13 on 5-of-15 shooting in Saturday's loss to the Lakers. Anthony sat out the team's first two games due to a suspension.
Nuggets are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 9-3 in Denver's last 12 games overall.
Key Injuries - F Steven Hunter (knee) is OUT.
PROJECTED SCORE: 105 (Side Play of the Day)
NEW ORLEANS (3 - 1) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 42-17 ATS (+23.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW YORK (2 - 2) at WASHINGTON (0 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-49 ATS (-30.9 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (4 - 0) at NEW JERSEY (1 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 59-44 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 59-40 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 8-26 ATS (-20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (1 - 2) at CLEVELAND (3 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 133-82 ATS (+42.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (2 - 2) at SAN ANTONIO (1 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 35-49 ATS (-18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 293-241 ATS (+27.9 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHOENIX (4 - 1) at CHICAGO (2 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 178-221 ATS (-65.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 68-98 ATS (-39.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OKLAHOMA CITY (1 - 3) at UTAH (4 - 0)
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MINNESOTA (1 - 3) at SACRAMENTO (1 - 4)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 71-93 ATS (-31.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 52-26 ATS (+23.4 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 100-70 ATS (+23.0 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (2 - 2) at DENVER (1 - 3)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 203-157 ATS (+30.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MEMPHIS (2 - 3) at GOLDEN STATE (2 - 3) - 11/7/2008, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (3 - 2) at LA CLIPPERS (0 - 5)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 265-215 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 62-34 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
HOUSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 27-46 ATS (-23.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-40 ATS (-20.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 126-166 ATS (-56.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 63-98 ATS (-44.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS vs. CHARLOTTE
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home
NEW YORK vs. WASHINGTON
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 16 games at home
DETROIT vs. NEW JERSEY
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games at home
INDIANA vs. CLEVELAND
Indiana is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Cleveland is 7-12-2 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Indiana
MILWAUKEE vs. BOSTON
Milwaukee is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Milwaukee is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Boston
Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
TORONTO vs. ATLANTA
Toronto is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Toronto is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
MIAMI vs. SAN ANTONIO
Miami is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
PHOENIX vs. CHICAGO
Phoenix is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games when playing at home against Phoenix
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. UTAH
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
Oklahoma City is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 16-6-1 ATS in its last 23 games at home
Utah is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
MINNESOTA vs. SACRAMENTO
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Sacramento is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
DALLAS vs. DENVER
Dallas is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
HOUSTON vs. LA CLIPPERS
Houston is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Houston is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Houston
LA Clippers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Houston
MEMPHIS vs. GOLDEN STATE
Memphis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Memphis
Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
NBA RESEARCH REPORT
By IndianCowboy
New Orleans vs. Charlotte
I'm watching the Orlando vs. Philly game right now and I think to myself does any underdog cover during the weekdays anymore? lol. This entire week, the favorites have been romping over and over and over again. Such is the case right now as I watch TCU, Virginia Tech and Orlando - all favorites all covering. I'm actually on Maryland right now so hopefully they can make a game of it in the second half. As per this game, New Orleans comes off a loss to my baby Hawks. One would think Byron Scott's team comes out fired up for this game as they usually do after a loss. Of course, it blows that over 72% of the public is on them. Note, that the line opened up at -6.5 New Orleans and quickly jumped to -7.5. I lean on the Hornets here but I never taken any team that is favored by the public to a tune of 70%. New Orleans played its first under against the Hawks, previously, they had gone over in all the games. Hence, look for Hornets to continue to go over on the road it seems. Charlotte has played more and more unders at home. Look for this game to possibly go over the posted total as well just in case Charlotte shows back home with some bite after a tight ballgame with the
New York vs. Washington
It's not very often you see an 0-3 team as a 6 point favorite. New York is actually 2-2 and I'm sure even they are surprised to be .500 at this point. This team is actually ranked 11th in offense and 27th in defense currently. The Knicks have lost 3 straight covers including a 4 point spread to the Bobcats last night. This team beat Washington in overtime in February of last season. Washington is the public favorite here despite being winless on the year. Wizards have been playing better and if there was a game they bust out, it is likely this one at home as they played admirably at Detroit and at the Bucks in an OT loss. Small lean on Washington here.
Toronto vs. Atlanta
How 'bout my Baby Hawks. Yet, the Hawks aren't babies anymore as they lead the Southeast at 3-0. The Hawks are a slight 3 point favorite and the public is split on this game. The Hawks come off a big win at New Orleans really propelling the legitimacy of this team and Toronto to their credit is 3-1. They won at Philadelphia and Milwaukee and lost at home to the Pistons. The Hawks did one better winning on the road at New Orleans and Orlando. This game can go either way - remember, the Hawks beat Toronto in overtime at the end of last year. The Raptors though come off a loss so they will be fired up heading into this game. I will likely stay away as this game will go down to the wire likely.
Cleveland vs. Indiana
Dunleavy is out for this game and James is listed as probable. 61% of the public seems to take to Cleveland at home here, but that doesn't mean anything considering that 63% rode Orlando and they seem to be doing just fine up 9 at the end of the third quarter as I write this. Indiana is currently 1-2 after they lost to Phoenix at home in a game Vegas got buried as Phoenix was the heavy public favorite, this team beat Boston by 16 and fought Detroit well enough to cover the large 10 point spread. Cleveland has actually covered their last 9 of 10 games going back to last year and hammered Dallas on the road which was my POD and also took it to the visiting Bulls winning by 14 and covering the 9 point spread. Cleveland is actually ranked 7th in the league in defense. This team is 3-1 ATS thus far as well. Well, with Dunleavy being out, the edge clearly goes to Cleveland here to win in a blow. Having said that, the Pacers are one of those teams that are great at covering fairly big spreads. I can see this go either way and frankly will stay away.
Detroit vs. New Jersey
Iverson is listed probable for this game as is Vince Carter. Well, meet the new look Pistons. I actually think the trade was positive for both Denver and Detroit. For Detroit they get a scorer that can help an offense that lags at times and for the Nuggets they get that true point guard that will help the entire team finally get significantly better. Plus, they get some size with McDyess. Detroit sits at 4-0 and are favored by more than 71% of the public as they are favored by nearly 8 points here. Detroit won at Toronto and Charlotte with relative ease and NJ comes off an ugly 28 point loss to the Suns at home and losing to the Warriors at home as well. This team did win at Washington to their credit. I just can't bet on any team that is backed by the public to a tune of 71% nor can I bet on the pitiful Nets.
Phoenix vs. Chicago
At this point, why would you go against the Phoenix Suns? I mean really. Here you have a team that night in and night out is a heavy public favorite on the road or at home and seems to cover more often than not. After losing at home to New Orleans, this team has been heavy public favorites at NJ, @ Indiana and Portland at home and covered all 3 games. I'm sure Vegas was thrilled with these results. Now, this team is a 67% favorite heading on the road to Chicago. The Bulls are 2-3 but both wins come at home and all 3 losses come on the road. Hence, one can see why the low spread here at home. If anything, I lean on the Bulls here to win outright especially after the fact Phoenix comes off such a big win. But, no thanks, I will be a spectator for this game.
Memphis vs. Golden State
Golden State is really banged up for this game as Ellis is out, Maggette is doubtful and Harrington is questionable. Under normal circumstances, I would be all over Golden State in this one. After all, these 2 teams just played, and when two teams play each other immediately after just having a contest, the team that lost has a huge revenge angle and advantage. Memphis barely beat this team at home just a couple of days ago. Golden State will be fired up and ready to roll...Except for the fact, the are very banged up as no Ellis, Maggatte Doubtful and Harrington is questionable. Despite all this, I still lean on Golden State with that revenge angle. A small lean on the under as well given the injuries but too many unknowns here for me so just staying away.