Inside the Paint - Sunday
By Chris David
Gamblers looking to build their bankrolls for the pair of NFL Championships can do so with some early NBA afternoon matinees and then chase or press their bets with an evening showdown in Canada.
Let’s fill you in on all the details for each tilt and break ‘em down!
1:00 p.m. EST - L.A. Clippers (19-23 SU, 20-21 ATS) at Washington (14-28 SU, 15-24 ATS)
It’s not the prettiest matchup but gamblers still have the opportunity to make some cash when the Clippers and Wizards go head-to-head at the Verizon Center. The Clippers and Lakers were both kicked out of the Staples Center due to “Grammy Week” which ends on Sunday, Jan. 31.
Mike Dunleavy’s team started their eight-game road trip on Thursday with a 20-point (105-85) loss at Denver. The Clippers have struggled all year on the road (5-14 SU, 8-11 ATS) but they do have a chance to win here against Washington, who hasn’t been great at home (8-13 SU, 8-13 ATS).
Bettors looking at the total should note how the Clippers have watched the ‘under’ go 16-6 at Staples Center, but the ‘over’ has produced a 12-7 mark on the road. Prior to Thursday’s ‘under’ ticket in Denver, the Clips had watched the ‘over’ cash in six straight games. Make a note that the Wizards have seen the ‘under’ go 5-2 in their last seven.
Los Angeles defeated Washington 97-95 on Dec. 14 as a two-point home favorite in their first regular season meeting. The home team has won four straight in this series and the last two wins by the Wizards at home were by double digits. The ‘over’ is on a 3-1 run during this stretch.
1:05 p.m. EST – Dallas (28-15 SU, 19-24 ATS) at New York (17-25 SU, 20-21 ATS)
The Mavericks wrap up their five-game road trip on Sunday with an afternoon matinee at Madison Square Garden against the Knicks. Dallas has started the trip by going 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS, and the two losses were by double digits. The offense has been missing for Rick Carlisle’s team (90 PPG) during this strech, and that’s helped the ‘under’ go 4-0. Despite the recent run, Dallas has proven to be a legit team on the road (15-8 SU, 14-9 ATS) this season.
New York has picked things up after a slow start but it still can’t find the right tune at home (10-12 SU, 11-10 ATS). The days of running and gunning under head coach Mike D’Antonio have gone away in his second season, which can be evidenced by a 25-17 ‘under’ record.
Even though Dallas is 2-8 ATS in its last 10, the oddsmakers still made the Mavs short favorites (-3) against New York and deservingly so. They’ve dominated New York recently, winning seven straight overall and three consecutive meetings at MSG. The Mavs have covered five of the games during this stretch, and all three road victories were by double digits. The ‘under’ has gone 5-2 in the last seven.
The Knicks are 5-6 ATS as home underdogs this year.
6:05 p.m. EST - L.A. Lakers (33-10 SU, 19-22 ATS) at Toronto (22-22 SU, 21-23 ATS)
Sunday’s three-game slate ends in Canada when the Lakers and Raptors battle from Air Canada Centre. Not surprisingly, Los Angeles opened as a road favorite and even though Toronto has been a tough out at home (14-6 SU, 11-9 ATS) this season, the team has gone just 3-5 ATS as home ‘dogs. And if you look at the six losses that Toronto sustained at home, five of them came against quality opponents in the Magic (twice), Hawks, Celtics and Suns.
It’s more than fair to say that Los Angeles is on the same level with those clubs if not a step above. Phil Jackson’s team hasn’t played many games on the road (10-7 SU, 6-11 ATS) and they haven’t been kind to gamblers backing them outside the Staples Center. After losing at Cleveland (87-93) on Thursday, the Lakers bounced back on Friday with a win and cover at New York (115-105). Sunday’s game will be the third of an eight-game trip for the Purple and Gold and third game in four days, so fatigue could be a factor.
Toronto appeared to be turning the corner and finally got itself back to .500 but the team is 3-4 both SU and ATS in its last seven. The Raptors did rally past Milwaukee (101-96) on Friday but failed to cover as 6 ½-point home favorites.
The Lakers have captured four straight and seven of the previous eight meetings against the Raptors and that includes three of four in Toronto. Total players should make a note that the ‘over’ has cashed in four straight and the last two contests played in Canada saw a combined 222 points posted in each game.
Los Angeles has gone 13-2 against the Eastern Conference this year with both losses coming against the Cavs. Toronto owns a 7-7 ledger against the West.
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Dallas Mavericks vs. New York Knicks
The fans at Madison Square Garden will be treated to a game between the Dallas Mavericks and the New York Knicks when they take their seats on Sunday.
The Mavericks were defeated 92-81 by the 76ers last time out, as 3-point favorites. The teams played UNDER the posted total of 196.
Dirk Nowitzki netted 15 points and hauled down eight rebounds in the loss.
The Knicks were defeated 115-105 by the Lakers on Friday, as 6-point underdogs. That game's 220 points sailed OVER the posted total of 204.
David Lee netted a game-high 31 points with 17 rebounds for a double-double in the loss.
Team records:
Dallas: 28-15 SU, 19-24 ATS
New York: 17-25 SU, 20-22 ATS
Dallas most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Milwaukee are 7-3
After playing Philadelphia are 6-4
After a loss are 8-2
New York most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 3-7
Before playing Minnesota are 3-7
After playing LA Lakers are 0-10
After a loss are 6-4
A few trends to consider:
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing Dallas
New York is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New York's last 19 games
Next up:
Dallas home to Milwaukee, Tuesday, January 26
New York home to Minnesota, Tuesday, January 26
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Washington Wizards
The Los Angeles Clippers and the Washington Wizards will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Verizon Center.
The Clippers were defeated 105-85 by the Nuggets last time out, as 10-point underdogs. That game's 190 points went UNDER the posted total of 212.
Craig Smith finished with 21 points and six rebounds in a losing effort for the Clippers.
The Wizards were defeated 112-88 by the Heat on Friday, as 3-point underdogs. The combined score made it OVER the posted total of 192.5.
Andray Blatche had 19 points and 11 rebounds for a double-double in the loss.
Current streak:
Washington has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Los Angeles: 19-23 SU, 20-22 ATS
Washington: 14-28 SU, 17-25 ATS
Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Boston are 4-6
After playing Denver are 3-7
After a loss are 5-5
Washington most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
Before playing LA Lakers are 5-5
After playing Miami are 2-8
After a loss are 3-7
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Next up:
LA Clippers at Boston, Monday, January 25
Washington home to LA Lakers, Tuesday, January 26
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Toronto Raptors
The Los Angeles Lakers and the Toronto Raptors will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Air Canada Centre.
Kobe Bryant poured in 27 points to help the Lakers defeat the Knicks 115-105 on Friday. The Lakers covered the 6-point spread, and the 220 points sailed OVER the posted total of 204.
Pau Gasol had 20 points with eight rebounds and five assists. Andrew Bynum collected 19 points and six rebounds in the win.
The Raptors ended a two-game losing skid by defeating the Bucks 101-96 on Friday. The Raptors failed to cover the 6-point spread, and the teams played UNDER the posted total of 206.
Jarrett Jack led the Raptors with 27 points and three rebounds, while Chris Bosh added 17 points and seven rebounds.
Team records:
Los Angeles: 33-10 SU, 19-24 ATS
Toronto: 22-22 SU, 21-23 ATS
Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing Washington are 7-3
After playing New York are 4-6
After a win are 5-5
Toronto most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 8-2
Before playing Miami are 2-8
After playing Milwaukee are 5-5
After a win are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
LA Lakers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Toronto
LA Lakers are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 13 games
Next up:
LA Lakers at Washington, Tuesday, January 26
Toronto home to Miami, Wednesday, January 27
Trend Report - Sunday
By Ed Meyer
Mavericks at Knicks – The Mavericks are 9-0-1 ATS (13.2 ppg) since December 25, 2003 on the road after a road loss in which their DPA was negative. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS (11.6 ppg) since January 28, 2008 on the road when their DPS was minus 15 points or less in their previous game. The Knicks are 5-0 ATS (4.8 ppg) since April 02, 1998 at home after a game at home in which they committed at least ten fewer turnovers than in the game before.
Lakers at Raptors – The Lakers are 0-8 ATS (-13.1 ppg) since December 01, 2004 on the road after a road win in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line. The Raptors are 0-7 ATS (-11.7 ppg) since April 17, 2006 at home off a home win in which they trailed by 10+ points. The Raptors are 0-6 ATS (-5.5 ppg) since March 22, 1996 at home with at least one day of rest after a win in which their opponent shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than 25% of them.
Clippers at Wizards – The Clippers are 8-0 ATS (8.6 ppg) since December 23, 2005 on the road after a road loss in which their DPS was minus 15 points or less. The Wizards are 0-7-2 ATS (-9.1 ppg) since January 16, 1998 at home with at most one day of rest after a double digit home loss in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.