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NBA News and Notes Sunday 12/7

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(@blade)
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Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks

The Pistons lost 96-91 to the 76ers last time out, as 8-point favorites at home. That game's 187 points fell UNDER the posted total of 189.

Richard Hamilton tossed in 19 points for the Pistons, and Allen Iverson added 17 in the loss.

The Knicks lost a hard-fought 98-95 decision to the Hawks last time out, as 10.5-point underdogs. The 193 points went UNDER the posted total of 215.5.

Al Harrington tossed in a game-high 27 points, and hauled down seven boards in a losing effort.

Current streak:
New York has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Detroit: 11-7 SU, 9-9 ATS
New York: 8-11 SU, 9-10 ATS

Detroit most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Washington are 6-4
After playing Philadelphia are 8-2
After a loss are 7-3

New York most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 5-5
Before playing Chicago are 2-8
After playing Atlanta are 1-9
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing New York
Detroit is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing New York
Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Detroit
New York is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games

Next up:
Detroit at Washington, Tuesday, December 9
New York at Chicago, Tuesday, December 9

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Toronto Raptors

The Trail Blazers were clipped 93-78 by the Celtics last time out, as 8-point road underdogs. The 171 points went UNDER the posted total of 185.

Travis Outlaw and Lyle Aldridge each had 13 points in the loss.

The Raptors lost their third straight in a 114-87 defeat at the hands of the Jazz last time out, as 4.5-point underdogs. The combined score fell UNDER the posted total of 206.5.

Chris Bosh had a double-double for the Raptors, collecting 18 points and 11 rebounds.

Current streak:
Toronto has lost 3 straight games.

Team records:
Portland: 14-7 SU, 11-10 ATS
Toronto: 8-10 SU, 6-12 ATS

Portland most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 2-8
Before playing Orlando are 5-5
After playing Boston are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3

Toronto most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 3-7
Before playing Cleveland are 6-4
After playing Utah are 5-5
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Portland
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games at home

Next up:
Portland home to Orlando, Tuesday, December 9
Toronto at Cleveland, Tuesday, December 9

Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers

The Celtics improved to 19-2 with an 93-78 victory over the Trail Blazers on Friday. The Celtics covered the 8-point spread, and the 171 points went UNDER the posted total of 185.

Rajon Rondo had 16 points, eight rebounds and seven assists to lead the way.

The Pacers fell 97-73 to the Cavaliers last time out, as 11-point underdogs. The combined score fell UNDER the night's posted total of 207.

Troy Murphy shot 6-for-10 from the field with 15 points and six rebounds in the loss.

Current streak:
Boston has won 11 straight games.
Indiana has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Boston: 19-2 SU, 12-9 ATS
Indiana: 7-12 SU, 9-9-1 ATS

Boston most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Washington are 4-6
After playing Portland are 8-2
After a win are 10-0

Indiana most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Toronto are 5-5
After playing Cleveland are 5-5
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Boston
Indiana is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

Next up:
Boston at Washington, Thursday, December 11
Indiana at Toronto, Wednesday, December 10

Boston Celtics vs. Indiana Pacers

The Celtics improved to 19-2 with an 93-78 victory over the Trail Blazers on Friday. The Celtics covered the 8-point spread, and the 171 points went UNDER the posted total of 185.

Rajon Rondo had 16 points, eight rebounds and seven assists to lead the way.

The Pacers fell 97-73 to the Cavaliers last time out, as 11-point underdogs. The combined score fell UNDER the night's posted total of 207.

Troy Murphy shot 6-for-10 from the field with 15 points and six rebounds in the loss.

Current streak:
Boston has won 11 straight games.
Indiana has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Boston: 19-2 SU, 12-9 ATS
Indiana: 7-12 SU, 9-9-1 ATS

Boston most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Washington are 4-6
After playing Portland are 8-2
After a win are 10-0

Indiana most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 4-6
Before playing Toronto are 5-5
After playing Cleveland are 5-5
After a loss are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Boston
Indiana is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

Next up:
Boston at Washington, Thursday, December 11
Indiana at Toronto, Wednesday, December 10

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers

The Bucks outlasted the Bobcats on Friday, and came away with a 101-96 victory. The Bucks managed to cover the 4-point spread, and the 197 points sailed OVER the posted total of 186.

Michael Redd led the way with 25 points and five rebounds, and Richard Jefferson added 22 in the win.

The Lakers were outplayed in the fourth quarter, but managed to hang on for a 106-104 victory over the Wizards on Friday. The Lakers failed to cover the 12-point spread, and the 210 points fell UNDER the posted total of 213.5.

Andrew Bynum had 19 points with 10 rebounds for a double-double, and Kobe Bryant dropped a team-high 23 points in the win.

Current streak:
Milwaukee has won 2 straight games.
Los Angeles has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Milwaukee: 9-12 SU, 14-6-1 ATS
Los Angeles: 16-2 SU, 11-7 ATS

Milwaukee most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 3-7
Before playing Phoenix are 4-6
After playing Charlotte are 3-7
After a win are 5-5

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Sunday are 6-4
Before playing Sacramento are 9-1
After playing Washington are 5-5
After a win are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home
LA Lakers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 7 games

Next up:
Milwaukee at Phoenix, Tuesday, December 9
LA Lakers at Sacramento, Tuesday, December 9

 
Posted : December 7, 2008 8:42 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Tips and Trends

Boston Celtics at Indiana Pacers

Celtics (-7.5, O/U 201): Boston's only road loss of the season came at Indiana back on November 1st, 95-79. The Celtics lost only three games by double digits last year and bounced back in the season series by picking up a 114-96 win over the Pacers on Wednesday. They have won 11 in a row. “We had a great incentive," said Boston leading scorer Paul Pierce. Rajon Rondo led the Celtics in that game with his first career triple double, totaling 16 points, 17 assists and 13 rebounds.

Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
The UNDER is 12-4 in Boston's last 16 road games.

Key Injuries - G Tony Allen (ankle) is day-to-day.

PROJECTED SCORE: 104

Pacers: Indiana is battling through a tough stretch of the schedule, playing the NBA's three best teams four straight times over the last week. “That’s part of the NBA schedule,” Pacers forward Danny Granger said. “You’ve got to fight through a lot of it.” The Pacers stunned the Lakers 118-117 on Tuesday but have lost to Boston and Cleveland in the last two games by a combined 42 points.

Pacers are 1-8 ATS in the last 9 home meetings.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 home meetings.

Key Injuries - F Mike Dunleavy (knee) is OUT.

PROJECTED SCORE: 96

DETROIT (11 - 7) at NEW YORK (8 - 11)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 66-51 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-2 ATS (+14.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PORTLAND (14 - 7) at TORONTO (8 - 10)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BOSTON (19 - 2) at INDIANA (7 - 12)
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
INDIANA is 245-196 ATS (+29.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 79-49 ATS (+25.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-41 ATS (+14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MILWAUKEE (9 - 12) at LA LAKERS (16 - 2)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 136-177 ATS (-58.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 68-51 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-0 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DETROIT vs. NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
New York is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Detroit

PORTLAND vs. TORONTO
Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
Toronto is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Portland
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

BOSTON vs. INDIANA
Boston is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

MILWAUKEE vs. LA LAKERS
Milwaukee is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Milwaukee is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Lakers last 7 games

 
Posted : December 7, 2008 8:44 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

DUNKEL

Detroit at New York
The Pistons are just 2-4 ATS versus the Atlantic Division and run into a New York team that is 3-0 at home when the total is between 205 and 209 1/2 points. The Knicks are the underdog pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Detroit favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: New York (+7 1/2)

Game 501-502: Detroit at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 118.219; New York 116.090
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 7 1/2; 206
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Portland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 122.536; Toronto 120.878
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1 1/2; 185 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+2 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Boston at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 129.018; Indiana 119.367
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10; 206 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 7 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-7 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Milwaukee at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.019; LA Lakers 132.792
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 19; 217 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 13 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-13 1/2); Over

 
Posted : December 7, 2008 8:45 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

NBA RESEARCH REPORT
By Indiancowboy

Detroit vs. New York

Over 65% are backing Detroit so far on the road, Detroit beat this team by 14 at home and now NY look to get revenge at home, note though that the Knicks too come off a tough loss at Atlanta and I would typically lean on the dog/over here except that Detroit has played the under in 8 of their last 9 but the line has dropped 2 points since the onset of it and NY has played the over in 4 of their last 5 games at home. Small lean on NY here, no lean on the total.

Portland vs. Toronto

Another road chalk that is backed by 65% of the public here, but I'm actually a fan of Nate McMillan and Portland. This man teaches defense like no other, one of the most solid defensive coaches in the league and this team has built together one based on defense and sound offense. Note, the public slightly favors the over in this game to a tune of 56% as well. Folks, Portland is 14-7 and 7-7 on the road (7-0 at home) - that shows a lot about this team's ability to play on the road going .500 in the NBA for this young team is very impressive. Hell, going .500 in the Eastern Conference is impressive as this team has gone .500 on the road and perfect at home. Portland comes off a tough loss at Boston and note that Toronto comes off a brutal road trip where they lost to the Jazz, Lakers and Utah. Toronto's new coach makes his debut at home here, regardless, I lean on Portland the better team but Toronto does come off after a tough road trip with new coaching so they likely get up for this game - but Portland has been great bouncing back to win SU after a loss this year.

Milwaukee vs. Lakers

The Lakers have yet to lose back to back covers for quite some time and the come off an ATS loss to the Wizards on the road, having said that, the Lakers are also backed by 70% of the public and the Bucks are one of the better ATS teams in the league as they currently sit at 14-6 ATS covering 6 of their last 7, no thanks, conflicting information.

 
Posted : December 7, 2008 10:48 am
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