Boston Celtics vs. San Antonio Spurs
The Boston Celtics and the San Antonio Spurs will both be gunning for a victory on Thursday when they meet at AT&T Center.
Ray Allen dropped 27 points, as the Celtics defeated the Bobcats 108-90 on Tuesday night.
Boston covered as 4-point road favorites, while the teams played OVER the 179-point total listed by sportsbooks.
The Spurs defeated Philadelphia 97-89 as an 11.5-point favorite on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (195.5).
Tim Duncan scored a game-high 22 points for San Antonio, while Tony Parker added 16 points and eight assists.
Current streak:
Boston has won 5 straight games.
San Antonio has won 5 straight games.
Team records:
Boston: 14-4 SU, 8-10 ATS
San Antonio: 9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS
Boston most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing Oklahoma City are 5-5
After playing Charlotte are 6-4
After a win are 7-3
San Antonio most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Denver are 7-3
After playing Philadelphia are 8-2
After a win are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Boston
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Next up:
Boston at Oklahoma City, Friday, December 4
San Antonio home to Denver, Saturday, December 5
Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets
The fans at Pepsi Center will be treated to a game between the Miami Heat and the Denver Nuggets when they take their seats on Thursday.
Michael Beasley netted 27 points and hauled down eight rebounds to lead the Heat over the Trail Blazers 107-100 on Tuesday night.
Miami cashed as 7-point road underdogs, while the game played OVER the 184-point total listed by sportsbooks.
Carmelo Anthony had 25 points and seven rebounds, as the Nuggets slammed the Warriors 135-107 on Tuesday night.
Denver covered as 14-point home favorites, while the game played OVER the 233.5-point total listed by sportsbooks.
Team records:
Miami: 10-7 SU, 8-9 ATS
Denver: 13-5 SU, 10-8 ATS
Miami most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing LA Lakers are 7-3
After playing Portland are 5-5
After a win are 5-5
Denver most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 6-4
Before playing San Antonio are 5-5
After playing Golden State are 5-5
After a win are 6-4
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Next up:
Miami at LA Lakers, Friday, December 4
Denver at San Antonio, Saturday, December 5
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
The Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors will both be trying to pick up a win on Thursday when they battle at Oracle Arena.
The Rockets dominated the final quarter and pulled out a convincing 102-85 victory over the Clippers on Wednesday. The Rockets covered the 2.5-point spread, while the 187 points went UNDER the posted total of 193.
Aaron Brooks led the Rockets with 22 points, and Chase Budinger added 18 points in the win.
Anthony Morrow drained 27 points for Golden State in its 135-107 loss to Denver on Tuesday night.
Denver covered as 14-point home favorites, while the game played OVER the 233.5-point total listed by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
Houston has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Houston: 10-8 SU, 11-7 ATS
Golden State: 6-11 SU, 9-8 ATS
Houston most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Portland are 5-5
After playing LA Clippers are 6-4
After a win are 3-7
Golden State most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
Before playing Orlando are 5-5
After playing Denver are 7-3
After a loss are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing Golden State
Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Golden State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Next up:
Houston at Portland, Saturday, December 5
Golden State home to Orlando, Saturday, December 5
Boston (14-4, 8-10 ATS) at San Antonio (9-6, 8-7 ATS)
The surging Celtics go after their sixth straight win and fourth straight spread-cover when they continue a four-game road trip with a stop at the AT&T Center for a battle with the Spurs, who have also won five in a row.
Boston crushed Charlotte 108-90 as a four-point road favorite on Tuesday, topping the century mark for the sixth time in their last eight games, including the fourth time during their five-game win streak. The Celtics are averaging 107.2 points per game while shooting a blistering 51.6 percent from the field during their current five-game run. They allowed 106 ppg in the first three victories but have held the last two to 90 and 85 points. Also, Boston’s three straight spread-covers follow an 0-6 ATS slump.
Like Boston, San Antonio has ripped off five straight victories – four of them at home – by an average of 13.2 ppg (105-91.8). However, after cashing in four consecutive games, the Spurs came up short as a 12-point home chalk in their most recent contest, Sunday’s 97-89 win over the 76ers. San Antonio is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS at the AT&T Center.
These teams split their season series last year, with the road team scoring an outright upset in each game. In fact, the visitor is 5-1 SU in the last six meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last five. Boston, which has won three straight in San Antonio (all as an underdog), is on runs against the Spurs of 4-1 SU and 5-1 ATS. The underdog cashed in all six of those contests.
The Celtics are on pointspread surges of 4-1 overall, 14-5 against the Southwest Division, 14-6 in marquee Thursday matchups, 36-15-1 as an underdog, 46-19-1 as a road pup and 4-0-1 when catching less than five points. Conversely, San Antonio has failed to cover in five straight Thursday games and is 1-4 ATS in its last five versus Atlantic Division opponents and 2-6 ATS in its last eight as a home favorite of less than five points. But otherwise the Spurs are on ATS upticks of 4-1 overall and 7-3 at home.
The Celtics have topped the total in four of their last five overall, and the over is 14-5 in San Antonio’s last 19 at home and 4-1 in its last five when coming off three or more days’ rest. On the flip side, the under is on runs of 4-1 for Boston on Thursday, 5-2 for Boston against Western Conference foes and 5-2 for San Antonio overall. Lastly, three of the past four meetings in this series have gone over the posted total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
Miami (10-7, 8-9 ATS) at Denver (13-5, 10-8 ATS)
Fresh off an impressive victory in Portland, the Heat resume their four-game Western Conference road swing when they invade the Pepsi Center in hopes of sweeping the season series from the Nuggets.
Miami dropped consecutive home games over the weekend to Washington and Boston – scoring just 84 and 85 points – then went to Portland on Tuesday and found some offense, rolling to a 107-100 victory as a 6½-point road underdog. The Heat got outrebounded by the Trail Blazers 49-34 but shot 53.3 percent from the field as three players – Michael Beasley (27 points), Dwyane Wade (22) and Quentin Richardson (20) – all scored at least 20 points. Miami cashed for just the second time in its last 10 games.
Denver bounced back from Sunday’s stunning 106-100 home loss to Minnesota as a 14½-point favorite with Tuesday’s 135-107 rout of Golden State, easily covering as a 15-point home chalk. The Nuggets have won five of their last six games – scoring in triple digits in all six – while going 4-1 ATS. George Karl’s team is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS on its home floor this season, though tonight marks the end of a four-game homestand for Denver, which embarks on a four-game road trip Saturday in San Antonio.
The Nuggets won their first five games of the season, then went to Miami on Nov. 6 and finally tasted defeat, falling 96-88 as a one-point road favorite. That also ended Denver’s eight-game winning streak (6-2 ATS) in this rivalry, but the Nuggets have still won and covered the last three meetings with the Heat at the Pepsi Center, cruising by scores of 108-97, 115-89 and 123-107. The SU winner is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head-to-head battles, the host is 5-1 ATS in the last six clashes and Miami has failed to cover in four of its last five trips to the Mile High City.
In addition to their current 2-8 ATS nosedive, the Heat are in pointspread slumps of 3-10 on Thursday and 1-6 when playing after one day of rest. Denver has failed to cover in 13 of 19 against the Eastern Conference and four straight versus Southwest Division opponents, but otherwise the Nuggets are on positive ATS runs of 23-11 overall, 14-5 at home (all as a favorite), 5-1 on Thursday and 39-15-1 when favored by five to 10½ points.
Miami is on “over” streaks of 6-2 overall, 4-0 on the road (all as an underdog) and 37-15-1 against the Northwest Division, but the under is 4-1 in its last five on Thursday. Meanwhile, Denver has topped the total in 12 of 15 on Thursday and 54 of its last 81 when favored by five to 10½ points. Finally, four of the last five Pepsi Center meetings between these squads have gone over the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and OVER
Trend Report - Thursday
By MTi Sports
Heat at Nuggets - The Heat are 0-6 ATS (-5.9 ppg) since March 02, 2008 as a dog after a win in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was at least eight. The Heat are 0-5 ATS (-4.6 ppg) since February 21, 2007 on the road after a win in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers. The Heat are 0-5 ATS (-11.9 ppg) since February 10, 2008 as a dog when the OU line is at least fifteen points higher than it was last game. The Nuggets are 10-0 ATS (7.6 ppg) since December 31, 2004 as a favorite when facing a non-conference team they lost to as a favorite in their first match-up of the season. The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS (6.9 ppg) since March 07, 2002 as a home favorite after a game in which they controlled at least 60% of the available rebounds. The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS (6.6 ppg) since February 28, 2007 as a favorite when the OU line is at least twenty points lower than it was last game. The Heat are 7-0-1 OU (14.6 ppg) since January 12, 2007 on the road when the OU line is at least fifteen points higher than it was last game. The Nuggets are 8-0 OU (17.2 ppg) since March 07, 2002 at home with at least one day of rest after a game in which they controlled at least 60% of the available rebounds.
Celtics at Spurs - The Celtics are 0-9 ATS (-8.5 ppg) since February 19, 2001 as a dog with at least one day of rest after a road win in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. The Celtics are 8-0 ATS (11.3 ppg) since December 31, 2005 as a road dog after a game on the road in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four. The Celtics are 0-8-1 ATS (-7.3 ppg) since November 15, 2002 as a dog with at least one day of rest after a win in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was less than four. The Celtics are 0-8 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since February 19, 1999 as a road dog with at least one day of rest after a road win in which their DPS was at least plus 15 points. The Celtics are 0-6 ATS (-10.2 ppg) since January 12, 2008 on the road after a win in which they has more than 10 refereed turnovers. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS (-5.6 ppg) since December 17, 2007 as a home favorite after a home win in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS (6.4 ppg) since June 04, 2003 with two or more days of rest after a win in which they had at least 10 shots blocked. The Celtics are 0-9 OU (-18.0 ppg) since January 07, 2007 as a dog with at most one day of rest after a win in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them. The Celtics are 0-8 OU (-12.7 ppg) since March 18, 2000 on the road after a double digit road win in which their DPS was at least plus 15 points.
Rockets at Warriors - The Rockets are 0-9-1 ATS (-5.7 ppg) since March 02, 2005 with no rest after a game on the road in which they shot at least 50% from the field. The League is 9-0 ATS (9.7 ppg) since March 14, 2007 as a road favorite with no rest after a double digit win in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times. The Rockets are 0-8 ATS (-11.3 ppg) since January 11, 1997 on the road with no rest after a double digit road win in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line. The Rockets are 7-0 ATS (11.7 ppg) since March 01, 2001 on the road when their next game is on the road versus an opponent they beat as an underdog in their previous same-season match-up. The League is 9-0-1 ATS (5.8 ppg) since December 03, 2008 at home with at least one day of rest after a double digit road loss in which they shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than a 25% of them. The Warriors are 7-0-1 ATS (9.2 ppg) since March 14, 2002 as a home dog with at most one day of rest after a loss in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted. The Warriors are 7-0 ATS (9.5 ppg) since March 14, 2003 as a home dog when seeking revenge for a loss in which they led by double digits. The Warriors are 7-0 ATS (7.9 ppg) since December 29, 2008 as a dog when their opponent is playing in at least their third straight road game. The Rockets are 0-8 OU (-15.7 ppg) since February 21, 2001 on the road when they allowed at least ten points fewer than their season-to-date average for two straight games. The Warriors are 8-0 OU (25.2 ppg) since January 24, 2008 at home when facing a team they lost to as a favorite in their previous same-season match-up. The Warriors are 6-0 OU (27.4 ppg) since April 05, 2006 when seeking revenge for a 1-3 point loss as a favorite.