Three on Three Tip Sheet
By Josh Jacobs
No fancy introductions or comments about what we can expect from the NBA on Tuesday. Instead, we’ll keep things simple with a tip-sheet on three of the top contests for the evening. But before we dive in head first, it’s worth noting that underdogs went 6-7 straight up and a blistering 8-4-1 ATS during the weekend.
L.A. Lakers at Houston – 8:30 p.m. EST
-- While Boston (30-9 SU, 20-19 ATS) has stumbled, going 3-7 in its last 10, the L.A. Lakers (30-6 SU, 16-20 ATS) have risen to the occasion. L.A. is not only 9-1 in its last 10 but has taken six of those victories against opponents playing above .500.
-- Even better is the Lakers 6-4 ATS stint at home versus teams with a winning record plus a 3-1 ATS record on the road against teams playing above the .500 mark. That’s compared to a 4-11 overall ATS record versus teams playing below .500.
-- L.A. has dropped its last four games against the spread. It’s last two ATS defeats have come as double-digit favorites. In those same four games, the Lakers have drained an average of 112 PPG but have burnt backers by allowing 111.5 PPG. The ‘over’ is 5-1 in the last six.
-- The Rockets (24-15 SU, 18-21 ATS) are coming off a Sunday, 96-76 beatdown over the New York Knicks (13-22 SU, 18-17 ATS) by outrebounding their opponent 60 to 38. The Knicks shot just 35 percent from the field, allowing Houston to nail its third straight ‘under’. The Rockets were also unstoppable in the paint, scoring 42 of its 96 points in that area of the court.
-- The big ‘W’ against New York signaled only the third ATS win in the last 11 games. Bettors have had bettor luck to either fade Houston or play the ‘under’ which is now 7-3 in the last 10.
-- Continuing the fade alert on the Rockets is the team’s 4-6 ATS record off two days of rest followed by a 10-14 ATS report in conference games this season. However, Houston is 4-2 ATS when listed as a ‘dog from one to 5 ½-points.
-- The Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 head-to-head games against the Rockets with the ‘over’ going 6-3 in the last nine tip-offs.
Dallas at Denver – 9:00 p.m. EST
-- Dallas (22-15 SU, 15-22 ATS) has dropped two in a row with the last defeat coming in Sacramento, 102-95. This marked the fifth straight ATS loss and seventh in the last nine. A good reason for the recent poor performance, giving up 105.6 PPG in the last five for a point difference of minus-nine (96.6 PPG scored in last five).
-- The Mavericks are 1-4 SU and ATS in their last five road games. Again, the problem with Dallas in this spot is getting outscored by 8.4 PPG in these five road contest. In three of these five games, the Mavs have been outrebounded by 7.3 RPG.
-- Josh Howard (18.1 PPG, 5 RPG) missed last game with a sprained wrist. Jason Kidd has been playing through an elbow injury. Dallas is 7-5 SU without Howard in the lineup this year, but is also a damaging 3-9 ATS.
-- A loss against Detroit (93-90) snapped Denver’s (25-13 SU, 21-16-1 ATS) five-game winning streak. But the real trend to be derailed was the Nuggets’ 8-0 streak on the ‘over’. This was a total run that witnessed Denver finding the inside of the rim for 112 PPG versus giving up 107.4 PPG. Books had set totals from as low as 197 ½ to a climatic 221 points.
-- A home record of 14-5 SU and 11-7-1 ATS has verified the danger that Denver exhibits inside their own building. The Nuggets are 7-2 SU and 5-4 ATS in their last nine home stands on top of the ‘over’ going 11-4 in the last 15 games played at the Pepsi Center.
-- Denver is now 5-3 SU and ATS without Carmelo Anthony in the lineup. Anthony fractured his shooting hand on Jan. 7 and is expected to miss 3-4 weeks.
-- Sportsbetting.com has installed the Nuggets as 5 1/2-point home favorites with a total of 207 set. Denver is 3-0 ATS as a five to 5 1/2-point favorite.
Atlanta at Phoenix – 9:00 p.m. EST
-- Giving up 112 PPG in their last three has been one of several factors contributing to three straight losses for Atlanta (22-14 SU, 19-17 ATS). Adding insult to injury is Atlanta’s 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS slide in the last five. Four of the five defeats came against teams playing over .500 ball. This is unsettling to backers who witnessed the Hawks at a near perfect 10-1 ATS before the 0-5 ATS free fall commenced on Jan. 2.
-- One positive for gamblers, the ‘over’ is 7-1 in the last eight thanks to a defense responsible for giving up 105.1 PPG through this totals stretch.
-- The Hawks are 3-10 SU and 7-6 ATS in their last 13 road games. In the long run, Atlanta’s defense has been the root of problems on the road by giving up 98.1 PPG combined with an anemic offensive effort donating just 95.6 PPG.
-- While Phoenix (21-13 SU, 13-20 ATS) has struggled to return money to bettors for a 2-5 ATS performance in the last seven, the team remains eight games behind the Lakers with credit being given to a 5-1 SU run.
-- The Suns are also a solid 7-2 SU and 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games. But it’s tough to overlook the disparity between SU and ATS wins. Even with Phoenix scoring 7.2 PPG more then its opponents during the ATS slump, books have been brutal. Most spots have installed the Suns at an average 6.9 PPG favorites in the last nine.
-- Phoenix was able to blow the doors off Dallas, 128-100, covering the seven-point spread with ease but a 109-103 win over the Clippers saddled the Suns with another ATS loss. That Sunday win had Phoenix as nine-point favorites.
-- Since acquiring Jason Richardson from Charlotte, the Suns are 8-3 SU. But a 4-7 ATS record with Richardson on the squad echoes the team’s problems with covering large spreads. When installed between seven and 14-plus point favorites, Phoenix is just 2-10 ATS.
-- Early odds posted have seen most books installing the Suns as 6 ½-point home favorites with a total of 212 tacked on. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight head-to-heads.
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NBA Today
SCOREBOARD
Tuesday, Jan. 13
Los Angeles Lakers at Houston (8:30 p.m. EST). The Lakers (30-6) are the only Western Conference team with 30 wins.
STARS
Monday
— Mehmet Okur, Jazz, had a career-high 43 points and Utah defeated Indiana 120-113.
— Paul Pierce, Celtics, scored nine of his season-high 39 points in overtime in Boston’s 115-109 win over Toronto.
— Travis Outlaw, Trail Blazers, had a season-high 33 points to help Portland beat Chicago 109-95.
— Brook Lopez, Nets, scored a career-high 31 points and pulled down 13 rebounds in New Jersey’s 103-99 overtime win over Oklahoma City.
CHOKERS’ DOZEN
Washington lost for the 12th time this season after leading in the fourth quarter, coughing up a five-point edge to lose 97-91 to Milwaukee on Monday night.
BOGUT’S ADVENTURE
Center Andrew Bogut returned to Milwaukee’s starting lineup for the first time since Jan. 2, finishing with 18 points and 10 rebounds in the Bucks’ 97-91 victory over Washington. After back spasms sidelined Bogut for four games, he returned to action as a reserve against Minnesota on Saturday.
STREAKING
New York ended a three-game losing streak by beating New Orleans 101-95. … The Wizards have dropped five straight, four of those against teams under .500. … The Celtics are 4-0 this season against the Raptors.
EXTRA SPECIAL
Boston set a club record with 22 points in overtime, breaking the mark set on Jan. 2, 1963, when it outscored the San Francisco Warriors 21-6 in a 135-120 win. … The Nets improved to 5-1 overall and 2-0 at home in overtime games.
SPEAKING
“Don’t you get the feeling like we’ve seen this movie before? We’re like a writer with writer’s block. We can get the first couple of chapters written fairly efficiently and fairly well, but getting to the ending—we just can’t seem to write the correct ending.”—Washington interim coach Ed Tapscott after the Wizards lost for the 12th time this season when they had a fourth-quarter lead with Monday’s 97-91 setback against Milwaukee.
CHARLOTTE vs. DETROIT
Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
CLEVELAND vs. MEMPHIS
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
MIAMI vs. MINNESOTA
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
LA LAKERS vs. HOUSTON
LA Lakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
LA Lakers are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games on the road
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
ATLANTA vs. PHOENIX
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Phoenix is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Phoenix is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Atlanta
DALLAS vs. DENVER
Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
ORLANDO vs. SACRAMENTO
Orlando is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games
Orlando is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Sacramento is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Orlando
Sacramento is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Hot Teams
-- Charlotte is 7-6 in its last thirteen games.
-- Minnesota won six of last seven games (7-0 vs spread).
-- Cavaliers won nine of last eleven games, losing last two on the road.
-- Rockets won last three games, allowing 85.7 ppg. Lakers won three in a row, nine of last ten games (0-4 vs spread in last four).
-- Nuggets won five of their last six games.
-- Suns won five of their last six games.
-- Orlando won 17 of its last 20 games.
Cold Teams
-- Pistons lost three of their last four games.
-- Heat lost three of last four games (1-5 vs spread in last six).
-- Grizzlies lost three in row, six of last seven games.
-- Hawks lost four of their last five games (0-5 vs spread).
-- Mavericks are 2-3 in their last five games (0-5 vs spread).
-- Kings lost five of last six gams, but covered all six.
Totals
-- Seven of last eight Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Miami games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Houston games stayed under the total; five of the last seven laker games went over. .
-- Under is 9-3 in last twelve Dallas games; eight of last nine Denver tilts went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Orlando games went over the total.
Back-to Back
-- Miami is 5-2 vs spread when they play again the next night.
-- Lakers are 3-4 vs spread when they play again the next night.
-- Dallas is 3-3 vs spread when it plays again the next night.
-- Hawks are 3-6 vs spread if they play again the next night.
-- Kings are 5-3 vs spread when they play again the next night
Tuesday's best NBA bets
Covers.com
Charlotte Bobcats at Detroit Pistons (-7, 175.5)
The Bobcats have been playing some of their best basketball recently.
They have won three of their last five contests and are fresh off a road victory over the struggling Washington Wizards.
The acquisition of Raja Bell and Boris Diaw has worked out for the Bobcats. The pair combined to score 37 points in the Bobcats’ victory over the Wizards. Charlotte is 8-7 against the spread (ATS) since acquiring Bell and Diaw.
Detroit has lost two of its last three overall and suffered an embarrassing setback Saturday, falling 99-82 to the Utah Jazz.
“No excuses,” Allen Iverson told reporters. “It had nothing to do with being the last game of the [road] trip, dead legs, anything. They were just better than us and they whooped us tonight.”
Detroit is returning from a four-game road trip and could come out sluggish against the Bobcats.
The Pistons are 6-11 ATS at the Palace. Charlotte, meanwhile, is 10-6 ATS on the road.
Pick: Bobcats
Atlanta Hawks at Phoenix Suns (-6.5, 212)
Although the Hawks won’t have center Al Horford, they should still give the Suns a run for their money Tuesday.
The Hawks are just 7-10 straight up (SU) on the road but are 10-7 against the spread (ATS) in that stretch.
The Hawks have covered the number in four of their last seven against Phoenix. The Suns, meanwhile, are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 at home.
Atlanta lacked energy in Sunday’s loss to the Philadelphia 76ers but is desperate for a victory and should start strong against Phoenix.
“It’s part of the NBA," Joe Johnson told reporters. “There are going to be injuries. That’s not an excuse for why we’re losing. We’re just not playing with energy at the start of the game.”
Hawks coach Mike Woodson thinks his team has to get back to basics and start playing defense.
“I think Orlando took some starch out of us a little bit,” Woodson told reporters. “We’re not competing defensively like we have been, and that’s on me. I’ve got to get them back playing defense because that’s the only chance we have of winning.”
Luckily for the Hawks, Phoenix is just 1-5 ATS in its last six against the Eastern Conference.
Pick: Hawks
L.A. Lakers (30-6, 16-20 ATS) at Houston (24-15, 18-21 ATS)
Something has to give at the Toyota Center, where the Lakers and Rockets both look to extend three-game winning streaks.
Los Angeles held off Miami 108-105 on Sunday, but failed once again to get the cash, coming up way short as an 11-point home favorite. Los Angeles has won three in a row and nine of the last 10, but it has failed to cover in four consecutive games. In fact, the Lakers have been on a roller-coaster ride at the betting window the last six weeks, following up an 0-10 ATS slide with five straight spread-covers before going 0-4 ATS in the last four.
Houston dumped the Knicks 96-76 on Saturday, easily cashing as a 6½-point home favorite. The Rockets have rebounded from a three-game slide with three straight wins, but like Los Angeles, they’ve been a disaster against the number of late, failing to cover in eight of their last 11 overall and four of their last five at the Toyota Center.
Los Angeles blasted the Rockets 111-82 as a seven-point home chalk in the season’s first meeting on Nov. 9. Even though Houston is 4-2 (3-3 ATS) in the last six head-to-head battles, the Lakers in this rivalry are on ATS streaks of 12-5 overall and 6-2 at the Toyota Center. Also, the favorite and the home team are both 5-2 ATS in the last seven get-togethers.
The Lakers have scored at least 100 points in seven consecutive games and have been held to double digits just six times through their first 36 contests. For the season, they’re averaging 107.8 points per game (47.3 percent shooting), including 105.1 ppg on the road (46.3 percent), where Los Angeles is 10-4 on the season (6-8 ATS).
While L.A. has been putting up points with ease all season, the Rockets are in a scoring slump, reaching triple digits just once in their last seven outings and twice in their last 11. However, Houston has held nine of its last 12 opponents under 100 points and is surrendering just 93.7 ppg overall and 90.6 ppg at home, where the Rockets are 12-4 SU, but only 6-10 ATS.
The Lakers carry nothing but negative ATS trends into this game, including 1-6 on the road, 2-11 when playing on one day of rest, 1-4 on Tuesday, 4-9 against the Western Conference, 5-11 after a SU win and 6-18 after an ATS setback. Likewise, Houston is in the midst of pointspread droughts of 3-8 overall, 1-4 at home, 1-4 against the Western Conference, 1-5 after a non-cover and 2-5 when playing on two days’ rest. On the bright side, the Rockets have covered in nine of their last 13 versus teams with a winning record.
The over is 5-2 in the Lakers’ last seven overall and 7-1 in their last eight on Tuesday, but the under has been the play in four of their last five on the highway. For Houston, the under is on stretches of 6-2 overall, 20-8 at home and 4-0 after a SU win. Lastly, the over is 6-3 in the last nine meetings in this rivalry.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. LAKERS
Atlanta (22-14, 19-16-1 ATS) at Phoenix (21-13, 13-21 ATS)
The suddenly slumping Hawks look to snap a three-game losing skid when they kick off a three-game West Coast trip with a stop at US Airways Center for a battle with the resurgent Suns.
Atlanta ended 2008 by winning nine of its last 10 games, including the final six in a row, and it also finished the year on a 13-4 ATS tear. However, since flipping the calendar to 2009, the Hawks have dropped four of five, going 0-5 ATS. On Sunday, they hosted the Sixers and got clipped 109-94 as a six-point chalk. Atlanta has been betrayed by its defense lately, allowing 100 points or more in four straight games and six of the last eight.
Contrary to the Hawks, Phoenix has been rising, winning two in a row and five of its last six. On Sunday, the Suns went to Los Angeles and held off the Clippers 109-103, but fell short as a 9½-point road favorite. Despite the recent SU surge, Phoenix remains a miserable bet, going 8-19 ATS in its last 27 games, including 5-11 ATS at home. While the Suns have scored at least 101 points in six straight games and 13 of the last 14, they’ve allowed 13 of their last 16 opponents to reach triple digits.
These teams haven’t faced each other in almost a year, as Atlanta went to the desert late last January and got stomped 125-92 as a 9½-point underdog. However, the first meeting last season, the Hawks rolled to a 105-96 victory as a 5½-point home underdog. The teams have split the season series each of the last two years, the host has cashed in six of the last eight meetings and Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last seven trips to US Airways Center.
Although the Hawks have failed to cover in five straight overall, six straight after a double-digit home loss and eight of their last 10 on Tuesday, they’re still on positive pointspread runs of 6-3 on the road, 5-1 as an underdog, 6-2 as a road pup, 11-2 as an underdog of five to 10½ points and 4-1 versus the Pacific Division.
Phoenix is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 Tuesday affairs, but its ATS trends turn negative from there, including 4-10 as a favorite, 3-8 at home (all as a favorite), 2-5 when playing on one day of rest, 1-5 against the Eastern Conference, 1-4-1 against the Southeast Division and 1-5 after a SU victory.
The over is 5-1 in the last six Hawks-Suns meetings overall and 5-0 in the last five battles in Phoenix. Also, the over is on runs of 4-0 for Atlanta overall, 6-1 for Atlanta against the Pacific Division, 21-10-1 for Atlanta after a double-digit home loss, 13-5 for the Suns overall, 26-10 for the Suns against the Eastern Conference, 25-10 for the Suns versus the Southeast and 6-1 for the Suns when playing on one day of rest.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
Dallas (22-15, 15-22 ATS) at Denver (25-13, 21-16-1 ATS)
The Nuggets look to improve to 3-0 SU and ATS against Dallas this season when they host the Mavericks at the Pepsi Center in a Western Conference.
Denver saw its five-game overall winning streak (4-1 ATS) and five-game home winning streak (4-1 ATS) come to a halt in its most recent outing Friday, falling 93-90 to the Pistons as a 4½-point chalk. The Nuggets have limited consecutive opponents to 93 and 97 points after allowing 100 or more in eight straight games, but after averaging 116.8 ppg during their 5-0 overall run, they were held to their second-lowest point total of the season against Detroit.
Dallas tonight concludes a three-game road trip that has started with consecutive lopsided losses at Phoenix (128-100 as a 6½-point underdog) and Sacramento (102-95 as a 2½-point favorite). Prior to embarking on the trip, the Mavericks had won two in a row and 15 of their last 20. However, they’ve failed to cover in five consecutive games overall.
Denver has picked up momentum in this rivalry, winning the last three in a row and five of the last six, going 6-0 ATS in the process, and the Nuggets are also 6-0 ATS the last six times they’ve hosted the Mavericks. Already this season, Denver has topped Dallas 108-105 as a one-point home favorite in November and 98-88 as a 2½-point road pup a month ago. However, George Karl’s club has been an underdog four times during its 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS run against the Mavs.
Denver is 14-5 on its home floor (11-7-1 ATS), including 9-3 in its last 12 (7-5 ATS), while Dallas is just 10-9 as a visitor (11-8 ATS), including 0-3 SU and ATS in its last three on the highway.
In addition to their ATS slumps of 0-5 overall and 0-3 on the road, the Mavericks are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 against the Northwest Division, 1-5 ATS in their last six on Tuesday and 0-5 ATS in their last five when playing on one day of rest. However, they have cashed in six of their last eight as a road underdog. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are on pointspread runs of 12-4 against the Southwest Division, 21-5-1 when laying between five and 10½ points, 4-1 after a non-cover and 7-3 after a SU defeat. However, Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last five after a respite of three or more days.
The Nuggets sport “over” streaks of 8-1 overall, 4-1 at home 7-1 as a favorite, 10-4 on Tuesday and 5-1 against the Southwest Division, while the over is 14-6 in Dallas’ last 20 as a road underdog. However, the under is 12-5 in the Mavs’ last 17 overall, 54-25 in their last 79 against the Southwest Division, 42-20-1 in their last 63 when playing on one day of rest.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER
Gametimepicks.com
CHARLOTTE (14 - 24) at DETROIT (22 - 13)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND (29 - 6) at MEMPHIS (11 - 26)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI (19 - 17) at MINNESOTA (11 - 25)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 48-68 ATS (-26.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS (30 - 6) at HOUSTON (24 - 15)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (22 - 14) at PHOENIX (21 - 13)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 311-257 ATS (+28.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS (22 - 15) at DENVER (25 - 13)
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 53-68 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 206-161 ATS (+28.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO (30 - 8) at SACRAMENTO (9 - 29)
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
ORLANDO is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
ORLANDO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
ORLANDO is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE at DETROIT
CHARLOTTE: 15-7 Under playing with revenge
DETROIT: 5-2 ATS at home vs. Charlotte
CLEVELAND at MEMPHIS
CLEVELAND: 17-5 Over vs. Memphis
MEMPHIS: 8-3 ATS as home dog
MIAMI at MINNESOTA
MIAMI: 6-22 ATS off BB road games
MINNESOTA: 23-9 Over at home off SU win
LA LAKERS at HOUSTON
LA LAKERS: 2-10 ATS off BB ATS losses
HOUSTON: 8-1 Under as home underdog
ATLANTA at PHOENIX
ATLANTA: 12-4 ATS as underdog
PHOENIX: 7-15 ATS if total is 200 or higher
DALLAS at DENVER
DALLAS: 74-46 ATS Away off BB road games
DENVER: 11-2 Over off loss by 3pts or less
ORLANDO at SACRAMENTO
ORLANDO: 27-7 ATS after playing as underdog
SACRAMENTO: 19-5 Over revenging DD road loss
Tips and Trends
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
Mavs: Dallas has failed to cover five straight games, dropping two in a row straight-up as well heading into the finale of the team's three-game road trip. The Mavs played without Josh Howard in a 102-95 loss at Sacramento on Sunday after he injured his wrist in the third quarter of a 128-100 rout by Phoenix last Friday. Dirk Nowitzki scored just 15 points against the Kings and realizes he must do a better job of filling the void left by Howard. “We are obviously missing Josh, but we have to play better,” Nowitzki said. “They double team me on the post regularly, but I still have to make more than six shots. I had some great looks, but it was just a tough night shooting the ball.”
Mavs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The OVER is 16-6 in Dallas' last 22 games as an underdog.
Key Injuries - PG Jason Kidd (elbow) is questionable.
F Josh Howard (wrist) is OUT.
PROJECTED SCORE: 100
Nuggets (-5.5, O/U 207): Denver is 4-3 without star Carmelo Anthony and will be looking to avoid consecutive home losses for the first time in almost a year. The Nuggets have already beaten Dallas twice this season and own a 5-1 SU mark in the last six meetings. However, Denver has never beaten Dallas without Anthony, going 0-3 during his career when he has not played and dropping 11 straight games in the series without him on the floor dating back to 2001 (two years before his rookie season). J.R. Smith will get his first start filling in for Anthony since scoring 27 points against Philly in a 105-101 victory back on December 26th.
Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
The OVER is 8-1 in Denver's last 9 games overall.
Key Injuries - F Carmelo Anthony (hand) is OUT.
PROJECTED SCORE: 106