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NBA News and Notes Tuesday 12/8

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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Toronto Raptors

The fans at Air Canada Centre will be treated to a game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Toronto Raptors when they take their seats on Tuesday.

The Timberwolves won for just the third time this season, as they chopped down the Jazz 108-101 on Saturday. The Timberwolves won the game as 7.5-point underdogs, while the 209 points made it OVER the posted total of 197.5.

Ryan Gomes led the way with 23 points, five rebounds, and five assists.

The Raptors built up a 20 point lead after the first quarter en route to a 110-78 victory over the Bulls on Saturday. The Raptors won the game as 6-point underdogs, while the 188 points went UNDER the posted total of 205.

Chris Bosh led the Raptors with 25 points and 12 rebounds for a double-double. Marco Belinelli added 15 points in the win.

Current streak:
Toronto has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Minnesota: 3-17 SU, 8-11-1 ATS
Toronto: 9-13 SU, 10-12 ATS

Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing New Orleans are 2-8
After playing Utah are 2-8
After a win are 1-9

Toronto most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing Milwaukee are 7-3
After playing Chicago are 6-4
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 14 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Next up:
Minnesota home to New Orleans, Wednesday, December 9
Toronto at Milwaukee, Wednesday, December 9

Denver Nuggets vs. Charlotte Bobcats

The Denver Nuggets and the Charlotte Bobcats will both be trying to pick up a win on Tuesday when they battle at Time Warner Cable Arena.

Chauncey Billups went for 31 points, eight rebounds, and eight assists to lead the Nuggets past the 76ers 93-83 on Monday night.

Denver covered as 6.5-point road favorites, while the game played UNDER the 217-point total set by sportsbooks.

Current streak:
Denver has won 4 straight games.

Team records:
Denver: 16-5 SU, 13-8 ATS
Charlotte: 8-11 SU, 11-8 ATS

Denver most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Detroit are 4-6
After playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After a win are 7-3

Charlotte most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing San Antonio are 5-5
After playing Philadelphia are 4-6
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Denver is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games
Charlotte is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Next up:
Denver at Detroit, Thursday, December 10
Charlotte at San Antonio, Friday, December 11

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics

The Milwaukee Bucks and the Boston Celtics will both be trying to pick up a win on Tuesday when they battle at TD Garden.

The Bucks lost to Cleveland 101-86 as a 7-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (194).

Brandon Jennings led Milwaukee with 24 points and Hakim Warrick netted 11 points.

Seven players reached double figures as the Celtics tore apart the Thunder 105-87 on Friday. The Celtics easily covered the 4-point spread, while the 192 points made it OVER the posted total of 190.

Kevin Garnett led the way with 23 points and eight rebounds, while Paul Pierce added 21 points in that win.

Current streak:
Milwaukee has lost 3 straight games.
Boston has won 7 straight games.

Team records:
Milwaukee: 9-10 SU, 10-9 ATS
Boston: 16-4 SU, 10-10 ATS

Milwaukee most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing Toronto are 4-6
After playing Cleveland are 4-6
After a loss are 5-5

Boston most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 7-3
Before playing Washington are 5-5
After playing Oklahoma City are 6-4
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Next up:
Milwaukee home to Toronto, Wednesday, December 9
Boston at Washington, Thursday, December 10

Sacramento Kings vs. New Orleans Hornets

The Sacramento Kings and the New Orleans Hornets will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at New Orleans Arena.

The Kings lost to Miami 115-102 as a 2-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (203.5).

Tyreke Evans led Sacramento with 30 points and Donte Greene chipped in with 21 points.

Chris Paul netted 16 points and dished out 15 assists as the Hornets defeated the Timberwolves 98-89 on Friday. The Hornets failed to cover the 10-point spread, while the 187 points went UNDER the posted total of 199.5.

Devin Brown collected 19 points for the Hornets, while Emeka Okafor and David West had 17 points apiece in that win.

Current streak:
Sacramento has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Sacramento: 9-10 SU, 13-6 ATS
New Orleans: 8-11 SU, 9-10 ATS

Sacramento most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing San Antonio are 4-6
After playing Miami are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

New Orleans most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing Minnesota are 5-5
After playing Minnesota are 6-4
After a win are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 12 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Sacramento
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games

Next up:
Sacramento at San Antonio, Wednesday, December 9
New Orleans at Minnesota, Wednesday, December 9

Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Memphis Grizzlies

The Cleveland Cavaliers and the Memphis Grizzlies will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at FedExForum.

The Cavaliers defeated Milwaukee 101-86 as a 7-point favorite on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (194).

Delonte West scored 21 points for Cleveland and LeBron James added 14 points and 10 rebounds in the win.

Zach Randolph tossed in 24 points with 14 rebounds for a double-double to lead the Grizzlies to a 98-82 upset victory over the Mavericks on Friday. The Grizzlies won that game as a 6-point underdog, while the 180 points went UNDER the posted total of 204.5.

O.J. Mayo netted a game-high 25 points for the Grizzlies, while Rudy Gay chipped in with 18 points.

Current streak:
Cleveland has won 4 straight games.
Memphis has won 2 straight games.

Team records:
Cleveland: 15-5 SU, 11-9 ATS
Memphis: 8-12 SU, 9-11 ATS

Cleveland most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Houston are 9-1
After playing Milwaukee are 6-4
After a win are 8-2

Memphis most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 2-8
Before playing Oklahoma City are 2-8
After playing Dallas are 4-6
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Next up:
Cleveland at Houston, Wednesday, December 9
Memphis home to Oklahoma City, Friday, December 11

New Jersey Nets vs. Chicago Bulls

The New Jersey Nets and the Chicago Bulls will both be trying to pick up a win on Tuesday when they battle at United Center.

The Nets lost to New York 106-97 as a 4-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (205.5).

Chris Douglas-Roberts led New Jersey with 26 points and Devin Harris had 19 points.

The Bulls were defeated 110-78 by the Raptors last time out as a 6-point favorite at home. The game's 188 points went UNDER the posted total of 205.

John Salmons had 13 points and four rebounds in a losing effort for the Bulls.

Current streak:
Chicago has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
New Jersey: 1-19 SU, 6-13-1 ATS
Chicago: 7-11 SU, 5-12-1 ATS

New Jersey most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 4-6
Before playing Golden State are 5-5
After playing New York are 4-6
After a loss are 1-9

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing Atlanta are 1-9
After playing Toronto are 6-4
After a loss are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Jersey's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Jersey's last 15 games
New Jersey is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games

Next up:
New Jersey home to Golden State, Wednesday, December 9
Chicago at Atlanta, Wednesday, December 9

Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks

The Phoenix Suns and the Dallas Mavericks will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at American Airlines Center.

The Suns lost to the Lakers 108-88 as a 9.5-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (221).

Amar'e Stoudemire led the Suns with 18 points and eight rebounds, while Steve Nash delivered 12 points and 10 assists.

The Mavericks were defeated 80-75 by the Hawks last time out as a 5.5-point favorite at home. That game's combined score went UNDER the posted total of 203.5.

Dirk Nowitzki netted 32 points with nine rebounds for the Mavericks in the loss.

Current streak:
Dallas has lost 2 straight games.

Team records:
Phoenix: 15-6 SU, 12-9 ATS
Dallas: 14-7 SU, 12-9 ATS

Phoenix most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 8-2
Before playing Orlando are 6-4
After playing LA Lakers are 8-2
After a loss are 7-3

Dallas most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 9-1
Before playing Miami are 7-3
After playing Atlanta are 8-2
After a loss are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Phoenix is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
Dallas is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

Next up:
Phoenix home to Orlando, Friday, December 11
Dallas at Miami, Friday, December 11

Orlando Magic vs. Los Angeles Clippers

The Orlando Magic and the Los Angeles Clippers will both be gunning for a victory on Tuesday when they meet at STAPLES Center.

Vince Carter poured in 27 points and grabbed five boards to lead the Magic past the Warriors 126-118 on Saturday. The Magic covered the 9.5-point spread, while the combined score sailed OVER the posted total of 221.

Mickael Pietrus netted 22 points for the Magic, and Rashard Lewis chipped in with 20 in that win.

The Clippers slowed Indiana's offense down in the second half as they defeated the Pacers 88-72 on Saturday. The Clippers covered the 2.5-point spread, but the 160 points went UNDER the posted total of 201.

Marcus Camby collected a double-double in the win, tossing in 12 points along with 17 rebounds.

Current streak:
Orlando has won 5 straight games.

Team records:
Orlando: 16-4 SU, 12-8 ATS
Los Angeles: 9-11 SU, 7-13 ATS

Orlando most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 6-4
Before playing Utah are 3-7
After playing Golden State are 4-6
After a win are 8-2

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 3-7
Before playing San Antonio are 3-7
After playing Indiana are 3-7
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Orlando is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 8 games
LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of the LA Clippers last 12 games when playing at home against Orlando

Next up:
Orlando at Utah, Thursday, December 10
LA Clippers home to San Antonio, Sunday, December 13

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 7:24 am
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Posts: 318493
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Denver (16-5, 13-8 ATS) at Charlotte (8-11, 11-8 ATS)

The Nuggets continue a four-game road trip with their one and only stop of the season at Charlotte Bobcats Arena for a non-conference clash with the Bobcats.

Two days after upending the Spurs 106-99 as a four-point underdog, Denver went to Philadelphia last night and prevailed 93-83 as a seven-point road chalk. The Nuggets have won and covered four in a row and they’re 8-1 in their last nine (7-2 ATS), including 3-0 SU and ATS on the road. Prior to last night, George Karl’s offense has hit triple digits in eight straight games and is still averaging 112.6 points per game. For the season, Denver is averaging 109.8 ppg overall and 113.4 ppg in its 16 wins.

Charlotte halted a two-game slide – which included Friday’s six-point loss at then-winless New Jersey – with Saturday’s 106-105 home win over the 76ers. However, the Bobcats failed to cash as a 5½-point home favorite, their third straight non-cover which comes on the heels of a 6-1 ATS run. Charlotte had scored between 90-94 points in four consecutive games prior to Saturday’s win, and it has topped triple digits just five times all season.

The Nuggets swept the season series from the Bobcats last year – winning 88-80 as a 2½-point road chalk and 110-99 as a 10-point home favorite – and they’re 7-2 SU and ATS in the last nine meetings, all as a favorite. The home team is 7-3 SU and ATS in the 10 lifetime battles between these squads, and the SU winner has covered the spread in all 10.

Denver is on ATS runs of 36-17 overall, 5-1 against the Eastern Conference and 6-1 on Tuesday, but it has failed to cover in four of its last five against the Southeast Division. The Bobcats are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 home games, but otherwise they’re in pointspread funks of 2-5 against the Western Conference, 1-4 on Tuesday, 1-5 when playing on two days’ rest and 0-6 against the Northwest Division. Also, the underdog is 4-1 in Charlotte’s last five games.

The under is 17-7 in Denver’s last 24 road contests and 4-0 in Charlotte’s last four against the Western Conference, but the over is on runs of 4-1 for the Nuggets when playing on back-to-back nights, 6-2 for the Bobcats overall, 4-1 for the Bobcats on the road and 7-3 for the Bobcats against the Northwest Division. Also, the over is 3-1 in the last four meetings in this series.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER


Phoenix (15-6, 11-10 ATS) at Dallas (14-7, 12-9 ATS)

The suddenly slumping Suns make their first trip of the season to American Airlines Center for a battle with the Mavericks.

Phoenix won 14 of its first 17 games but has dropped three of its last four (0-4 ATS), including Sunday’s 108-88 defeat at the Lakers as a 9½-point road underdog. The Suns, who scored at least 100 points in each of their first 17 outings, have lost three straight on the road (0-3 ATS), scoring 99, 90 and 88 points in all three defeats. Phoenix also is struggling defensively, yielding 107 points or more in four straight games (112 ppg average).

Dallas enters this contest looking to snap its first two-game losing streak of the season, falling at Memphis on Friday (98-82 as a 6½-point road favorite) and Atlanta on Saturday (80-75 as a 5½-point home chalk). Prior to those two defeats, the Mavericks had topped 100 points in five of six games.

Dallas has taken control of this rivalry lately, winning two in a row and four of the last five, all SU and ATS. In last year’s two clashes at American Airlines Center, the Mavs rolled 112-97 as a four-point favorite and 140-116 as a 3½-point chalk. The host is 7-3 SU in the last 10 meetings and 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight, and the favorite is also 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight.

Although Phoenix has failed to cover in four straight overall, it is on positive pointspread streaks of 4-1 versus the Southwest Division, 7-2 when playing on one day of rest and 11-4 after a non-cover.

The Mavs jumped out to a 9-3 ATS start (4-1 ATS at home), but they’ve now failed to get the cash in six of their last nine games overall (1-4 ATS last five), including four straight at home. On the bright side, Dallas is on ATS hot streaks of 9-3 against the Pacific Division, 6-2 against teams with a winning record and 42-20-1 when playing after two days of rest.

The high-scoring Suns surprisingly carry nothing but “under” streaks, including 8-1-2 overall, 6-0-1 on the road, 4-1-1 versus the Western Conference, 4-0-1 when playing on one day of rest, 9-1-1 after a non-cover and 5-1 on Tuesday. Conversely, the over is 5-2 in Dallas’ last seven overall, 4-0 in Dallas’ last four against winning teams and 4-0 in the last four Mavericks-Suns clashes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 7:26 am
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Posts: 318493
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In-For-A-Tumble
By SportsPic

The Toronto Raptors (9-13, 10-12 ATS) off a pair of victories over Washington Wizards (109-107) and most recently Chicago Bulls (110-78) look to have perfect conditions on their side when TWolves visit. Raptors have owned Minnesota the past five season winning all ten encounters both straight-up and against-the-spread. However, despite TWolves horrendous 1-8 record on the road this season, it's 4-16 mark the past twenty on the highway these bush dogs are a profitable 13-6-1 ATS over the twenty-game stretch. Meanwhile, Raptors enter a dismal 2-8 ATS following a 25 point victory, 4-15 ATS after holding an opponent to =<90 points the previous game, 5-10 ATS the past fifteen on home hardwood laying -7.0 or more points points. Other trends of interest: TWolves are 22-6-1 ATS away against a team with a winning home record, Raptors are 4-12 ATS last sixteen against the Northwest.

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 8:00 am
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Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Trend Report - Tuesday
By Ed Meyer

Nuggets at Bobcats -
The Nuggets are 9-0 ATS (8.4 ppg) since January 22, 2007 as a favorite after a game in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line. The Nuggets are 6-0 ATS (7.8 ppg) since March 22, 2004 with no rest when their DPS was minus 15 points or less in their previous game. The Bobcats are 9-0 ATS (14.9 ppg) since March 04, 2008 off a win in which they trailed by 10+ points.

Nets at Bulls - The Nets are 0-6-1 ATS (-10.1 ppg) since January 05, 2005 as a dog after a loss in which they had at least 10 more personal fouls than their opponent. The Nets are 0-6 ATS (-5.4 ppg) since January 27, 2008 on the road after a game on the road after a loss in which they made more baskets than their opponent. The League is 8-0 ATS (14.1 ppg) since January 02, 2009 as a favorite with two or more days of rest after a loss in which they controlled 40% or less of the available rebounds. The Bulls are 0-7 ATS (-7.3 ppg) since March 07, 2005 after a loss in which they shot at least twenty three-pointers and made less than a 25% of them. The Bulls are 7-0 ATS (9.4 ppg) since April 15, 2005 as a home favorite after a double digit loss in which their DPS was minus 15 points or less.

Bucks at Celtics - The Bucks are 0-8 ATS (-7.2 ppg) since February 22, 2006 as a road dog with at most one day of rest off a home loss in which they led by 10+ points. The Bucks are 0-6 ATS (-11.2 ppg) since April 25, 1999 on the road after a game at home in which they had more turnovers than assists. The Celtics are 0-7 ATS (-5.9 ppg) since May 01, 1999 as a home favorite with at least one day of rest after a double digit road win in which they shot at least 55% from the field.

Magic at Clippers - The Magic are 0-10 ATS (-10.4 ppg) since February 01, 2008 as a favorite after a win in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line. The Clippers are 0-11 ATS (-10.5 ppg) since February 10, 1999 with two or more days of rest after a game at home in which they had more turnovers than assists. The League is 0-11-1 ATS (-7.7 ppg) since March 13, 2005 as a home dog with two or more days of rest off a win in which their leading scrorer for that game had fewer than 20 points. The Clippers are 0-9 ATS (-8.5 ppg) since December 18, 2002 as a home dog when they held their opponent to fewer than 85 points in their last game.

Cavaliers at Grizzlies - The Cavaliers are 7-0 ATS (7.2 ppg) since November 11, 2007 as a road favorite vs non-conference opponent in their first match-up of the season. The League is 0-10 ATS (-9.0 ppg) since January 16, 2009 as a home dog with two or more days of rest after a game in which less than 45% of their baskets were assisted. The Grizzlies are 0-9 ATS (-8.8 ppg) since November 20, 2000 at home after playing at home against the Mavericks. The Grizzlies are 0-8 ATS (-11.7 ppg) since November 21, 2007 after a home win in which they outshot their opponent by at least 10 percent. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS (5.9 ppg) since December 28, 2001 after a double digit win in which they were whistled for fewer than 15 personal fouls.

Kings at Hornets - The Kings are 8-0 ATS (10.1 ppg) since February 01, 2008 versus the Hornets. The Kings are 6-0 ATS (12.8 ppg) since May 03, 2005 as a dog after a double digit home loss in which they were outshot by at least 10 percent. The Kings are 0-6 ATS (-8.2 ppg) since November 29, 2008 when they allowed at least ten points more than their season-to-date average for two straight games. The Hornets are 0-8 ATS (-10.1 ppg) since February 01, 2008 versus the Kings.

Suns at Mavericks - The Suns are 10-0 ATS (11.3 ppg) since January 30, 1996 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which their DPS was minus 15 points or less. The Mavericks are 9-0 ATS (7.5 ppg) since December 19, 1996 after a loss against the Hawks.

Timberwolves at Raptors - The Timberwolves are 8-0 ATS (10.3 ppg) since December 17, 1997 as a road dog when playing an isolated non-conference opponent (vs non-conf with two conf opponents before and after). The Timberwolves are 7-0 ATS (10.8 ppg) since December 11, 2001 with two or more days of rest after a win in which they shot at least 55% from the field. The Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS (-6.2 ppg) since November 13, 2005 as a dog with two or more days of rest off a home win in which they trailed by 10+ points. The Raptors are 10-0 ATS (9.9 ppg) since December 15, 2004 versus the Timberwolves.

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 9:19 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tips and Trends

Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks

Suns: Phoenix started the season hot, but have cooled off a bit of late. The Suns are 7-6 SU and ATS. Every road game the Suns have played, if they lose the game, they've also lost ATS as well. The Suns are 15-6 SU, but have lost 3 of their past 4 games. They've also lost 4 straight games ATS. Phoenix is 5-2 ATS as an underdog this season. The Suns have the 3rd most prolific offense in the entire NBA, at 109.3 PPG. PG Steve Nash leads the NBA in assists at over 11 per game. 3 pointers are a big part of this offense, as the Suns are 2nd in the NBA in 3 pointers made at 9.9 per game. They also shoot an NBA best 43.4% from the 3 point line, with only one other team shooting above 40%. This Suns team is tired, having played 14 of their 20 games this season on the road. After scoring 100 or more points in their first 16 games, they've been held under 100 in 3 of their last 4 games.

Suns are 4-1 ATS last 5 games as a road underdog up to 5 points.
Under is 6-0-1 last 7 road games.

Key Injuries - G Leandro Barbosa (ankle) is out.
F Louis Amundson (flu) is questionable.

PROJECTED SCORE: 112

Mavericks (-4.5, O/U 215.5): Dallas is off to a good start this season as they are 14-7 SU on the season. However, they've lost their past two games, the first time this year they've lost consecutive games. The Mavericks are 4-4 ATS at home this season, but have lost 4 straight home games ATS. F Dirk Nowitzki is 6th in the NBA in scoring, at 26.7 PPG. PG Jason Kidd is the primary assist man, as he averages 8.8 APG which is 5th in the NBA. Overall, this Mavericks offense averages 101 PPG. The past 2 games however have proven to be problematic as the Mavericks have only scored 75 and 82 PTS, their lowest totals of the season. The Mavericks are 4-2 ATS at home when they are favored by single digits. Nowitzki likes playing against his buddy Steve Nash, as the Mavericks have won 3 out of the last 4 meetings between each other both SU and ATS.

Mavs are 9-3 ATS last 12 vs. NBA Pacific.
Over is 12-3 last 15 games as a favorite up to 4.5 points.

Key injuries - G Jason Kidd (shin) is probable.
F Josh Howard (ankle) is out.

PROJECTED SCORE: 110 (OVER - Total of the Day)

 
Posted : December 8, 2009 10:53 am
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