Tuesday's Tip Sheet
By Josh Jacobs
We’ll begin Tuesday’s tipper by mentioning Phoenix’s (31-24 straight up, 20-32-2 against the spread) total run. Peaking beneath the surface is a team who’s continued to rain baskets down from the sky, scoring 117.6 PPG in the last 10. Combined with giving up 108.9 PPG, total players have made big bucks as a result of the Suns hitting the ‘over’ in five straight and nine times in the last 12.
While it’s still too early to come to a solid conclusion, newly installed head coach, Alvin Gentry has been part of a Phoenix group who’s scored 140-plus points in two of his three-game coaching tenure and has seen books average a point total installed at 226.7 PPG. And let’s not forget that the Suns have averaged 134 PPG in the last two contests without star player, Amare Stoudemire. The power forward is expected to miss up to eight weeks after suffering a detached retina during a 142-119 over the Clippers last Wednesday.
Could we be catching another ‘over’ play on Tuesday? Phoenix will rendezvous with Charlotte (22-34 SU, 32-24 ATS) at home. Tip-off is expected to begin at 9:00 p.m. EST.
-- The Suns are just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 home games, just an introduction to how poorly this team is inside its own building. Phoenix is 4-4 SU in its last eight home stands. Three of the four defeats have come at the hands of teams playing above .500 ball.
-- Phoenix’s 3-1 ATS record in the last four has been polar opposite to a 6-16-2 ATS from Dec. 25 through Feb. 11. And what might we expect from the Suns going up against an opponent who’s covered five of the last seven games (2-1 ATS on the road in the last three)?
-- Charlotte’s (22-34 SU, 32-24 ATS) anemic offense has scored a skimp, 93 PPG versus giving up 92.3 PPG on defense in the last six. As a result, the ‘under’ has run into a 4-2 frequency (we’re dealing with an ‘under’ record at 31-24-1 on the season).
-- As a road underdog, the Bobcats are a strong 15-10 (60%) ATS, reinforced by a 25-17 ATS (59.5 %) record as an underdog overall this season. Coming off a 99-78 loss in Houston on Sunday (the ‘Cats failed to cover the six-point spread while the total fell ‘under’ 183), Charlotte will hit the road with a 17-12 ATS (58.6%) record off one-day of rest. One more detail to pen in is Charlotte’s 20-13 ATS tab coming off a SU loss.
-- In head-to-head action, the road team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine games. The ‘over’ is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Phoenix while the favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight get-togethers. However, if you’re thinking about banking on the Bobcats know that a 2-5-1 ATS financial fall has been crafted in the last eight head-to-head contests.
-- Minus the huge setback to Phoenix when Stoudemire (eye) left for eight weeks, Grant Hill is day-to-day after leaving last Friday’s game against Oklahoma City (left foot neuroma). But expect the veteran to step up his playing time in the power forward position.
Detroit at Miami – 7:30 p.m. EST
-- How does trading away Chauncey Billups to Denver and getting Allen Iverson in exchange sound now? Ok, while the problems extend past the Iverson deal, Detroit (27-27 SU, 20-34) is sinking deeper in the quicksand. Coming out of the weekend on an 0-6 SU and ATS free fall is poor effort all around. To put this slide in perspective, backers have been burnt (if there are any religious backers left) by the Pistons, going 6-16 ATS in the last 22.
-- When playing teams above .500, Detroit has tallied up a 7-17 ATS record on the season. Breaking this down further reveals a 2-12 ATS problem at home compared to an even 5-5 ATS record on the road (versus teams with a winning record). And then we have the record of 11-18 ATS (37.9%) after one-day of rest. The Pistons are coming off a 99-78 whooping by Cleveland on Sunday, again failing to cover the spread (as nine-point puppies).
-- For the Heat (29-26 SU, 25-28-2 ATS), even after Dwyane Wade recorded 50 points on Sunday, a 122-99 loss in Orlando puts things into perspective. A 2-5 ATS streak is not of the popular type. But let’s look at the positive entering this contest as the gambler.
-- Miami is a hot 7-2 ATS versus the Central this season, capturing its last win in this division against the Bulls on Feb. 12 by the final of 95-93. After a straight up loss the Heat are 15-10 ATS while a 15-14 ATS record after an ATS loss doesn’t do enough to support a heavy play (at least from the trend supplied).
-- This is the second meeting this month between both squads. Detroit grabbed the ‘W’ in the beginning of February, downing Miami, 93-90. The Heat were able to cover the 4 ½-point cushion, making it their sixth ATS win in the last nine meetings together. The ‘under’ has also been the play, going 7-3 in the last 10 head-to-head clashes. The Pistons are just 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
Dallas at San Antonio – 8:30 p.m. EST
-- Easily the best matchup on paper, Dallas (32-22 SU, 26-29 ATS) will make its rounds in the state of Texas when it jumps ball against San Antonio (37-17 SU, 27-25-2 ATS). Remember that it was on Friday when the Mavericks lost in Houston, 93-86 (losing ATS as four-point visiting ‘dogs).
-- A pair of trends on Dallas’ side include an 8-5 ATS record as the road underdog (although that trend is just 1-3 ATS in the last four road games as the ‘dog) and a 6-3 ATS stint off two days of rest (the Mavs are coming off a 116-95 win against Sacramento on Saturday as 13-point underdogs). But with the good comes the bad and Dallas isn’t invincible. We can’t turn our head away from the team’s 13-19 ATS performance when coming off a SU win and a 10-15 ATS record off an ATS win.
-- Since point guard, Jason Terry (19.9 PPG) left the hardwood on Feb. 7, Dallas is 3-2 SU and ATS.
-- And then we have the Manu Ginobili-less Spurs. There’s no question that San Antonio is a better team with Ginobili in the lineup (8-7 SU without the guard on the floor) but a 5-3 SU and 5-2-1 ATS record during a tough eight-game road trip continues to keep the team rolling. Expectations are that coach Gregg Popovich will begin to rest Tim Duncan in preparation for final push down the stretch of the season.
-- The Spurs are 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 games, 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS against teams in their own division and are 21-15 on the ‘under’ after a SU win. San Antonio is 7-3 SU in the last 10 with defensive numbers at a stark contrast. For example, the Spurs have allowed 102.3 PPG in the three defeats versus allowing just 91.4 PPG in the seven wins.
-- In the two meetings this season, San Antonio and Dallas have both split a game apiece with the ATS edge going to neither club at 1-1 as well. Digging a little deeper we uncover a 6-3 ATS record in favor of the Mavs in the last nine head-to-head meetings. The ‘dog is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings while Dallas continues to roll in the head-to-head department with a 16-7 ATS record in the last 23 intrastate clashes.
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NBA Today
SCOREBOARD
Tuesday, Feb. 24
Dallas at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST). The Southwest Division-leading Spurs return home for the first time in nearly three weeks to take on the rival Mavericks.
STARS
Monday
— Devin Harris, Nets, capped a 39-point night with a halfcourt 3-pointer at the final buzzer, lifting New Jersey past Philadelphia 98-96.
— Nate Robinson, Knicks, scored a season-high 41 points, including the tiebreaking layup with 26 seconds left, in New York’s 123-119 win over Indiana.
— Ray Allen and Paul Pierce, Celtics. Allen scored 26 points and Pierce added 22 in Boston’s second straight win since Kevin Garnett strained a muscle in his right knee, 114-76 over Denver.
— Chris Paul, Hornets, had 27 points and 13 assists in leading New Orleans to a 112-105 win over Sacramento.
— Zach Randolph and Eric Gordon, Clippers, each scored 27 points to lead Los Angeles to a 118-105 win over Golden State.
MILESTONE
Kevin Martin scored 24 of his 32 points in the fourth period, setting an Arco Arena record for points in a quarter. But Sacramento lost to New Orleans 112-105.
STREAKS
Atlanta lost its 15th straight game at Utah, 108-89. The Jazz have won five in a row. … A first-quarter miss by Peja Stojakovic ended his consecutive free throw streak at 36 for New Orleans. … The Nets snapped a five-game slide with a 98-96 win over Philadelphia on Devin Harris’ half-court shot at the final buzzer. The 76ers have lost four in a row.
SCORING
Nate Robinson scored 32 of his 41 points in the second half and matched Bob McAdoo’s franchise record for most points in a game by a reserve in New York’s 123-119 victory over Indiana. … Utah’s reserves scored 58 points in a 108-89 win over Atlanta. … Tyson Chandler, who was traded last week to Oklahoma City but failed the physical and was returned to the Hornets, had 15 points and 10 rebounds in a 112-105 win at Sacramento. … Eric Gordon had a career-high six 3-pointers in the Los Angeles Clippers’ 118-105 win over Golden State and has scored 21-plus points in each of his last five games.
STRONG IN DEFEAT
Indiana’s Jarrett Jack scored a season-high 33 points and Marquis Daniels matched a season best with 28 in a 123-119 defeat at New York. Troy Murphy had 19 points and 21 rebounds.
WEAK IN DEFEAT
Boston’s 114-76 victory at Denver was the Nuggets’ worst home loss since Feb. 2, 1998, when they were routed by Chicago 111-72. The 38-point margin of defeat tied for the second-biggest home loss since Denver joined the NBA in 1976.
LATE START
J.R. Giddens, the 30th pick in the draft out of New Mexico, scored his first career NBA bucket late in the fourth quarter for Boston in a 114-76 romp at Denver.
SIDELINED
The Pacers were already without top scorer Danny Granger (torn right foot tendon) and Mike Dunleavy (right knee) before they were forced to go without point guard T.J. Ford (flu) in a 123-119 loss at New York. New York was without Quentin Richardson (sore right Achilles’ tendon). … While the Celtics didn’t miss Kevin Garnett (right knee) in a 114-76 win, the Nuggets longed for their big man, Nene, who is expected to miss a week with a bruised right knee he injured Sunday night at Milwaukee. … The Clippers were without starter Al Thornton, missing his second game of the season with a right foot injury. They still won 118-105.
NO LONGER SIDELINED
Carlos Boozer returned from a three-month absence in Utah’s 108-89 rout of Atlanta. The Jazz won their fifth straight and got to use Boozer sparingly in his first game since Nov. 19, when he injured a tendon in his left quadriceps. The two-time All-Star also had knee surgery to remove cartilage in January and returned after missing 44 straight games. He finished with two points and five rebounds as the rest of the Jazz handled the scoring. … Zach Randolph, back from a two-game suspension for punching a player, was a late addition to the Clippers’ starting lineup because he had been visiting his ailing father in Indianapolis. He wound up with 27 points and 11 rebounds in a 118-105 win over the Warriors.
SPEAKING
“It’s the great thing about this game. These players are so talented, they make freakish shots. Not that it’s a rehearsed shot. I don’t know if Devin’s doing it in the gym, but the basketball gods were with us tonight.”—Nets coach Lawrence Frank after Devin Harris’ lunging 47-footer at the buzzer beat Philadelphia 98-96.
MEMPHIS vs. CLEVELAND
Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
MINNESOTA vs. TORONTO
Minnesota is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
DETROIT vs. MIAMI
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
LA LAKERS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
LA Lakers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the LA Lakers last 11 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Oklahoma City is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
ORLANDO vs. CHICAGO
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
DALLAS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Dallas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Dallas is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Dallas
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
PORTLAND vs. HOUSTON
Portland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games when playing Houston
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
CHARLOTTE vs. PHOENIX
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tips and Trends
Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs
Mavs: Dallas should be well-rested for this divisional matchup after pounding Sacramento 116-95 on Saturday. The Mavs were able to play their reserves for a majority of the second half thanks to a 70-50 halftime lead. Brandon Bass and James Singleton each enjoyed season highs with 20 and 19 points, respectively. “We just thought it was a good opportunity to let it ride with those guys,” Dallas head coach Rick Carlisle said. “They had a good rhythm. They were defending and they were scoring.”
Underdog is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
The UNDER is 9-3 in Dallas' last 12 games vs. Southwest Division.
Key Injuries - G Jason Terry (hand) is OUT.
PROJECTED SCORE: 93
Spurs (-4, O/U 190.5): San Antonio returns home for the first time this month following an eight-game road trip that lasted 19 days while the rodeo took over the AT&T Center. “Every year, we seem to make something out of it,” Spurs All-Star Tim Duncan said. “There’s no way to deny it. Every year, we come out of this road trip a better team. We find a way to bond. We find a way to do something on the road. It works for us.” San Antonio lost Manu Ginobili during the trip to an ankle injury that will sideline him another two weeks, but Roger Mason Jr. stepped up with 25 points in a 98-67 rout of Washington on Saturday to close out the trip.
Spurs are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The OVER is 7-2 in San Antonio's last 9 home games.
Key Injuries - G Manu Ginobili (ankle) is OUT.
PROJECTED SCORE: 97
Hot Teams
-- Cavaliers won, covered their last four games.
-- Bulls are 5-0 vs spread in game after their last five losses. Orlando is 9-3 in its last dozen games.
-- Lakers won four in row, 11 of last 12 games.
-- Rockets won last four games, covered last three. Portland won five of its last six games.
-- Mavericks won eight of their last eleven games. Spurs are 12-4 in last sixteen games.
-- Suns won three of their last four games.
Cold Teams
-- Grizzlies lost last four games, but covered six of last nine.
-- Timberwolves lost seven of their last eight games. Raptors lost seven of their last ten home games.
-- Pistons lost last six games, are 0-10 vs spread in last ten. Miami is 4-7 in last 11 games, 2-5 vs spread in last seven.
-- Thunder lost last five games, by 7-14-2-22-13 points.
-- Bobcats lost three of their last four games.
Totals
-- Six of last nine Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Last three Detroit games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Chicago games went over the total.
-- Over is 11-6 in Lakers' last seventeen games.
-- Three of last four Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Phoenix games went over the total.
Back-to Back
-- Memphis is 4-7 vs spread if it plays again the next night.
-- Minnesota is 6-5 vs spread on road if they play again the next night.
-- Detroit is 3-0 vs spread if playing first of two consecutive nights on the road.
-- Chicago is 5-9 vs spread if it plays again the next night.
-- Portland is 2-4-1 vs spread if it plays again the next night.
-- Dallas is 3-2 vs spread on road if it plays again the next night.
-- Charlotte is 9-5 vs spread if it plays again the next night.
MEMPHIS (15 - 40) at CLEVELAND (43 - 11)
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MEMPHIS is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MEMPHIS is 23-42 ATS (-23.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after allowing 85 points or less this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
MEMPHIS is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=91 points/game since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (18 - 37) at TORONTO (22 - 36)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 96-118 ATS (-33.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
MINNESOTA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-33 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT (27 - 27) at MIAMI (29 - 26)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in February games this season.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 58-77 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS (46 - 10) at OKLAHOMA CITY (13 - 43)
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA LAKERS are 85-71 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 45-29 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO (41 - 14) at CHICAGO (25 - 31)
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
ORLANDO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 8-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND (35 - 20) at HOUSTON (35 - 21)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS (33 - 22) at SAN ANTONIO (37 - 17)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 103-69 ATS (+27.1 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 103-74 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 201-160 ATS (+25.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 210-166 ATS (+27.4 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 164-125 ATS (+26.5 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 113-80 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE (22 - 34) at PHOENIX (31 - 24)
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 49-26 ATS (+20.4 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
PHOENIX is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 187-236 ATS (-72.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS at CLEVELAND
MEMPHIS: 7-16 ATS as road underdog
CLEVELAND: 13-5 ATS as DD favorite
MINNESOTA at TORONTO
MINNESOTA: 9-1 ATS AWAY revenging a home loss
TORONTO: 7-19 ATS after playing a home game
DETROIT at MIAMI
DETROIT: 12-4 Under as underdog
MIAMI: 10-23 ATS as a home favorite
LA LAKERS at OKLAHOMA CITY
LA LAKERS: 6-15 ATS when the total is 210 or higher
OKLAHOMA CITY: 29-17 ATS as an underdog
ORLANDO at CHICAGO
ORLANDO: 11-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3
CHICAGO: 8-18 ATS after a division game
PORTLAND at HOUSTON
PORTLAND: 10-2 ATS off a DD home win
HOUSTON: 7-18 ATS after an ATS win
DALLAS at SAN ANTONIO
DALLAS: 33-49 ATS off SU win
SAN ANTONIO: 14-7 ATS after a non-conference game
CHARLOTTE at PHOENIX
CHARLOTTE: 20-9 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
PHOENIX: 1-9 ATS revenging SU loss as favorite
Monday Research
By Indiancowboy
Charlotte vs. Phoenix
This is an intriguing game for several reasons. For starters, we will see how Phoenix responds to having no Amare for the second game of the season. Granted, the Celtics pummeled the Nuggets even more than they defeated the Suns in hindsight. Charlotte drilled Phoenix last time out 98-76 last time out. So, Phoenix does have revenge in one token, but Boris and Raja get to face their old team in Phoenix as these two gauge to see where they are at in respect to their trades. Charlotte was game against Houston until the 3rd quarter against the Rockets who put together a huge run in the 3rd quarter (and have consistently done so over the last few games as they consistently have huge 3rd quarters) and got it done over the Bobcats winning by around 20. The Suns had covered their last 3 prior to their loss against the Celtics at home and it seemed this team was really about to take off only to have their air deflated with Amare being out for the year. So, in short, you have a Bobcat team that looks to bounce-back, Phoenix looks to rebound as well, but Phoenix has revenge. If you think Charlotte will be game here, expect this to be a defensive game but if you think Phoenix will be game here, expect it to be a bit more high scoring. Of course over 70% of the public is favoring Phoenix here which is a bit worrisome for Suns backers. This could be one of those rare instances where it could go dog/under (as the Bobcats favor an under style game) and favorite/over.
Minnesota vs. Toronto
You got to give Minny a lot of credit for hanging tough against the Lakers at home and losing by just 3. This team to their credit did beat the Heat Outright on the road as well. Toronto beat this team by 8 on the road earlier this year and has actually covered the last 9 times these two teams have hooked up. Still, with Minny having revenge, on the bounce-back and Toronto off a nice win over the Knicks at home, a small lean on minny.
Detroit vs. Miami
Detroit is terrible. And frankly, I believe Miami made a mistaken in getting the poison known as Jermaine O'Neal and that showed in their blowout loss to the Magic on the road. Remember, the two previous times they had played the Magic they were actually fairly competitive while actually beating them one time at home. Detroit beat this team by 3 at home earlier this year, the Pistons come off an ugly loss to the Cavs on the road as they get embarrassed once again and Miami comes off a 20+ point loss to the Magic on the road. A small lean on the Heat here with revenge, but I don't trust either of these teams.
Orlando vs. Chicago
This is a huge revenge game for Chicago who lost by around 20 to this Magic team at home. Chicago welcomes some new additions and will see how they matchup to the Magic while the Magic will throw out Alston and see how they matchup. Chicago has not beaten this team in their 6 tries. This is also one of the biggest public plays on the board with the public hovering over the Magic on the highway. I would not be a bit surprised to see Chicago get it done here outright at home - a small lean on the over as well.
Lakers vs. OKC
The Lakers only beat this team by 7 last time at home as OKC was very competitive at the Staples Center covering the 12 point spread. The Lakers have won 9 of their last 10 SU but did not cover the spread against Minny as 9.5 chalk. OKC has played well at home covering against Denver, New Orleans and Portland so there is no reason why they cannot hang tough here imo. I'm not sure about the total, but if OKC is game, this game is likely to over. A lean on OKC to cover at home coming off a tough road trip.
Memphis vs. Cleveland
The Cavs beat this team by 15 on the road in January and look to do that once again as they are -13.5 faves. Memphis has lost 4 straight up, but has covered 6 of 9 to their credit. Cleveland has covered 4 straight and their last 4 at home as they are now 36-18 ATS at home. Of course, 70% of the public is on Cleveland, but then again, they have been all year and Cleveland just keeps on covering.
NBA Injury Report and Updates:
Minnesota: Williams is listed as probable.
Spurs: Ginobli is OUT.
Magic: Pietrus is Questionable.
Bulls: Deng is Probable.
Portland: Oden is Doubtful.
Phoenix: Stoudemire is OUT.