Wednesday's NBA Preview
By Josh Jacobs
It’s like beating a dead horse but the fact of the matter is Super Bowl XLIII is what’s taking control in the gambling world leading up to Sunday. But as my colleague Chris David explained in his most recent tip sheet, “If you’re reading this column… it’s probably safe to say that you wager on hoops everyday.”
A major trend to sweep through the league on Monday was near perfect 6-1 mark on the 'under'. Tuesday night's games will help us determine what's to come on Wednesday.
ESPN will broadcast a solo tip-off between Golden State (14-31 straight up, 20-24-1 against the spread) and Dallas (25-19 SU, 19-25 ATS) to begin the evening.
The Mavericks are coming off a four-game road stint for which they went 2-2 SU and ATS. But they shouldn’t rest just yet as the home contest on Wednesday is short lived. A two-game trip to Miami and Orlando will roll right into the beginning of February.
Sticking with the contest at hand, Dallas has surrendered 109.1 PPG in its last nine (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS). This lack of defense has pushed the club down the rankings at 16th, allowing a seasonal 99.4 PPG. The trend to emerge from allowing so many points is an ‘over’ record at 5-1 in the last six. Included was a Sunday, 124-100 loss in Boston which had the Mavs shooting just 42 percent from the field.
On the opposing bench, the Warriors have worked for a 4-3 record in their last seven after falling in five straight. But a 9-25 stretch in the last 34 can be overshadowed by a 7-3 ATS sprint in the last 10. Golden State has won four of the last five ATS games in large part to shooting 49.6 percent from the wood. Its last SU and ATS win over the Clippers came as a 10 ½-point favorite. Led by Corey Maggette (20 points, six rebounds), the Warriors drained 47 percent of its shots from beyond the arc, capturing the victory by the score of 107-92.
Golden state has coughed up 118.2 PPG in its last six losses versus giving up 105.3 PPG in the last four wins. The Warriors will now look ahead to three tough road games after finishing up a seven-game home stand. Golden State is 1-10 SU and 2-8-1 in its last 11 road games and is a disappointing 4-8 ATS away from home against teams playing over .500.
While Dallas is 3-1 in the last four head-to-head matches, the Warriors are a standout, 22-6-1 ATS in the last 29 head-to-head tip-offs.
Nuggets at Hornets – 8:00 p.m. EST
It’s been a roller coaster ride playing New Orleans (27-14 SU, 18-21-2 ATS) against the spread. For starters, the Hornets may be 4-1 in their last five but a 5-5 ATS record in the last 10 provides enough evidence of their unpredictability in returning money. Three of the five ATS losses have resulted as being the underdog on the board in road games. In-fact when books have installed New Orleans as the ‘dog this season, the team has gone 2-8 ATS.
Supporting the fade play on the Hornets is Denver’s (29-15 SU, 25-18-1 ATS) three-game ATS winning streak for which the team has outscored its opponents, 117-103.7 PPG. This offensive dominance has resulted in an 11-4 SU and 9-6 ATS run in the last 15, all aided by the Nuggets finding the hoop for 114.5 PPG. If you’re a totals player then a 10-5 ‘over’ record through the same 15 games is pertinent evidence that books will continue to tinker with total figures (the last two games have seen totals of 214 ½ and 220 ½-points respectively).
The road team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.
Philadelphia at Houston – 8:30 p.m. EST
The 76ers (21-22 SU, 21-22 ATS) are coming off a loss in New Orleans (101-86), resulting in their third straight ATS loss in a row. A 4-6 ATS slide in the last 10 road games has backers sitting on the sidelines in the hopes that a positive trend tips the scales in their favor. At least a 7-3 record on the ‘over’ in those same 10 has produced an avenue for bettors to hop on. Philly is also coming off a seven-game winning streak which ended with a loss in Dallas (95-93) on Jan. 19. And there’s no overlooking the 8-3 ATS record in the last 10 (eight of them crafted in a row).
The Rockets (28-18 SU, 21-25 ATS) are best described as damaged good (nothing new for this club). Just as Tracy McGrady and Ron Artest come back from injury, Yao Ming departs with an ailing knee. A good indication of the rough goings in Houston include averaging 20.2 assists per game this season, 22nd worst in the league. The Rockets will be coming back home after playing eight of 13 games on the road (3-5 SU and ATS during the road trip). In its last 14 home games, Houston has put the injury bug behind it, working for a 12-2 SU record. But a 7-7 ATS stint doesn’t warrant heavy support from your bank account.
The team hopes that Ming will return to the lineup on Wednesday.
The ‘Sixers dispatched of the Rockets on Jan. 6, 104-96. Philly didn’t need the three-points to cover the spread. The ‘over’ is 6-0 in the last six head-to-head meetings.
Charlotte at Portland – 10:00 p.m. EST
A 5-13 road record is no way to open analysis on a team which you might be thinking to back. But if we dig just a little deeper we’ll notice that Charlotte (18-26 SU, 26-18 ATS) is 6-1 ATS in its last seven (ending the six-game ATS streak in a 98-93 loss in Indiana). Then again, four of those six ATS victories came from playing at home. Most books have opened the Bobcats as 9 ½-point visiting ‘dogs with a total set at 180 ½. From nine to 14-plus underdogs, Charlotte is just 2-3 ATS this season. On the road versus teams with a winning record, Charlotte has been the play at 5-2 ATS.
Portland (27-17 SU, 21-22 ATS) will attempt to take its eighth win in the last 11 home games in its 11th game installed as the favorite. The Trailblazers are 6-4 ATS in their last 10. Individually, Greg Oden has created a groove for himself, scoring 17 PPG with 10.8 RPG in the last four (3-1 SU and ATS in those four). When Oden has surpassed scoring double-digit figures in the last nine, Portland has gone 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS. The ‘Blazers have also stepped up their production on defense, allowing 91 PPG in the last four games.
This is a revenge game for Portland which took an overtime ‘L’ against the Bobcats (102-97) on Jan. 17.
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Atlanta (26-18, 23-21 ATS) at New York (19-25, 25-19 ATS)
The Hawks look to rebound from Monday’s ugly loss at Miami when they head up the eastern seaboard for an Eastern Conference clash with the surging Knicks at Madison Square Garden.
One day after falling 104-99 to Phoenix as a four-point home chalk, Atlanta went to Miami and got drilled 95-79 as a three-point underdog, the first time this season the Hawks scored fewer than 83 points. Although it preceded these two losses with a three-game winning streak, Atlanta is just 5-8 SU and 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games, including 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS on the road.
New York is coming off Monday’s 104-98 victory over the Rockets as a 1½-point home underdog, improving to 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five games, including 4-0 SU and ATS at home. During this five-game run, the Knicks are averaging 107.6 ppg (47 percent shooting) and giving up 101.8 ppg (44.1 percent).
The Knicks are 13-9 SU and ATS at home, with the SU winner cashing in 20 of those 22 contests. Meanwhile, the Hawks are 9-13 (13-9 ATS) as a visitor.
Atlanta is riding a five-game winning streak against the Knicks, but New York is 5-2 ATS in the last seven clashes. In this year’s lone previous meeting, the Hawks prevailed 98-95, but the Knicks easily got the money as a 10-point underdog. The pup is 4-2 ATS in the last six battles, with the visitor grabbing the cash in each of those six contests.
The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five on Wednesday, but otherwise they carry negative pointspread trends of 4-9 overall, 2-6 against the Eastern Conference, 1-4 against the Atlantic Division, 1-4 when playing on one day of rest and 1-4 after a double-digit defeat. In addition to cashing in five straight overall and four straight at home, New York is on ATS runs of 4-0 when playing on one day of rest and 5-1 against the Southeast Division.
In this rivalry, the over is on streaks of 11-5 overall and 5-2 when playing at the Garden. Also, the over is on runs of 5-2 for Atlanta against the Eastern Conference and 20-6 for New York on Wednesday. Conversely, though, the under is on stretches of 9-4-1 for the Hawks on the road, 11-4 for the Hawks when playing on one day of rest, 5-1 for the Hawks against the Atlantic Division, 20-8 for the Knicks overall, 4-1 for the Knicks at the Garden, 12-4 for the Knicks against the East and 10-2 for the Knicks when playing on one day of rest.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW YORK
Denver (30-15, 26-18-1 ATS) at New Orleans (27-14, 18-21-2 ATS)
Two of the top teams in the Western Conference get together for the third time this season and the first time in the Big Easy as the Hornets host the streaking Nuggets.
New Orleans improved to 4-1 in its last five games (3-2 ATS) with Monday’s 101-86 victory over the 76ers as a three-point home favorite, as All-Star point guard Chris Paul (27 points, 10 rebounds, 15 assists) recorded his league-leading fifth triple-double of the season and came within three steals of a quadruple-double. The Hornets have scored more than 100 points in four straight games (103.5 ppg) after accomplishing the feat just five times in hits pervious 22 contests.
Denver’s brief two-game road trip began with last night’s 100-85 victory at Memphis, easily cashing as a 6½-point road favorite. The Nuggets have won three in a row and are 10-3 in their last 13. Also, they’re on an 8-3 ATS roll, including four straight spread-covers. George Karl’s team has scored at least 105 points in 11 of its last 15 games, topping 110 points eight times during this stretch, including in the last three games in a row.
While the Hornets are 15-5 at home, they’re just 9-10-1 ATS. With last night’s win at Memphis, the Nuggets are 12-9 SU and ATS on the highway, including 4-5 SU and ATS in the last nine.
The teams split their first two meetings this season, both in Denver and both by nearly identical scores. The Hornets took the first clash 105-101 as a one-point favorite on Feb. 27 and the Nuggets got revenge with a 105-100 win as a four-point chalk on Jan. 3. That latter triumph by Denver ended New Orleans’ 4-0 ATS run in this rivalry. The visitor has cashed in 10 of the last 14 series battles.
The Nuggets are on ATS streaks of 4-0 overall, 4-0 against the Western Conference and 13-5 against the Southwest Division. New Orleans is on pointspread runs of 37-16-1 on Wednesday, 13-3 at home against squads with a winning road record and 10-3 as a favorite of less than six points, but the Hornets have failed to cash in four of their past five against the Northwest Division.
The over is on streaks of 5-1 for Denver on the road, 4-0 for Denver on Wednesday, 6-2 for Denver against the Southwest Division, 8-2 for Denver against winning teams, 6-0 for the Hornets versus the Western Conference, 5-2 for the Hornets versus the Northwest Division, 7-3 for the Hornets against winning teams and 6-1 for the Hornets on Wednesday. However, the under is on runs of 6-2 for the Nuggets overall, 8-2 for New Orleans at home and 18-7 for New Orleans when playing on one day of rest.
Finally, the over is 3-0 in the last three meetings in this rivalry and 3-1 in the last four clashes in New Orleans.
ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and OVER
Philadelphia (21-22 SU and ATS) at Houston (28-18, 21-25 ATS)
The Rockets return home from a disappointing three-game Eastern Conference road swing, and awaiting them will be the 76ers, who are searching for their fourth consecutive upset win over Houston.
Houston dropped two of three on its trip, opening with a 107-102 loss at Indiana as a one-point favorite and concluding with Monday’s 104-98 setback at New York as a 1½-point chalk. In between, the Rockets knocked off Detroit 108-105 as a three-point underdog. Prior to the journey, Houston had won three in a row and six of its last seven, but Rick Adelman’s squad has alternated ATS wins and losses in its last 13 games.
Philadelphia has followed up a season-best seven-game winning streak by dropping two of its last three, including Monday’s 101-86 loss at New Orleans as a three-point road underdog. Also, the 76ers have failed to cover in three straight games after going 8-0 ATS in their previous eight. The SU winner is 39-4 ATS in Philly’s games this season.
The Rockets have won three in a row and five of six at the Toyota Center, but they’re just 3-6 ATS in their last nine at home. Meanwhile, Philadelphia’s loss at New Orleans on Monday ended a three-game SU and a four-game ATS run on the highway.
The 76ers swept the season series from the Rockets last year, winning 100-88 as a 5½-point home underdog and 111-107 as a nine-point road pup. Then on Jan. 6, Philadelphia pulled off its third straight upset win over Houston, 104-96 as a three-point ‘dog, a victory that jumpstarted the Sixers’ recent eight-game winning streak. In this rivalry, the underdog is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings, including six outright upsets in the last eight, and the visitor has cashed in 12 of the last 16.
Philadelphia is on ATS runs of 8-3 overall, 4-1 on the road, 6-1 as an underdog, 4-0 on Wednesday, 10-3 against the Southwest Division and 5-1 after a double-digit defeat. Houston’s pointspread streaks including 4-1 after an outright loss and 6-0 after a non-cover, but the Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 as a favorite, 2-6 ATS in their last eight when playing on one day of rest and 1-7 ATS in their last eight against losing teams.
The last six meetings in this rivalry have gone over the total. Also, the over is 8-3 in the Sixers’ last 11 road games, 7-0 in their last seven after a SU defeat, 5-1 in their last six after a non-cover, 6-0 in their last six against winning teams and 11-5 in their last 16 on Wednesday. Houston has topped the total in six straight games after a defeat, but the under is 11-2 in its last 13 on Wednesday, 5-1 in its last six against the Eastern Conference and 4-1 in its last five versus the Atlantic Division.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and OVER
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NBA Today
SCOREBOARD
Wednesday, Jan. 28
Denver at New Orleans (8 p.m. EST). The Nuggets lead the Northwest Division, despite an injury to Carmelo Anthony. Chris Paul and the Hornets are chasing San Antonio in the Southwest Division.
STARS
Tuesday
— Mo Williams, Cavaliers, had a career-high 43 points and 11 assists in Cleveland’s 117-110 victory against Sacramento.
— Mickael Pietrus, Magic, had 27 points and 10 rebounds to lead Orlando to a 135-111 victory against Indiana in his first game back after missing 12 with a broken wrist.
— Chauncey Billups, Nuggets, scored 14 consecutive points in the third quarter and finished with 29 to lead Denver to a 100-85 victory against Memphis.
FIVE ALIVE
Charlotte beat the Los Angeles Lakers 117-110 in two overtimes on Tuesday night, giving the Bobcats their fifth win in their last six games against the Lakers.
STAT
Mo Williams and LeBron James became the first teammates to have at least 23 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds in the same NBA game since Cleveland’s Butch Beard and John Johnson on Dec. 23, 1971, at Atlanta. Williams had 43 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds in Cleveland’s 117-110 win over Sacramento. James had 23 points, 15 rebounds and 11 assists.
SEE YA
Kobe Bryant fouled out for the first time this season in the final minute of the first overtime during the Lakers 117-110 loss to Charlotte on Tuesday night. Bryant scored 38 points before leaving.
IMPERFECT 10
Memphis lost its 10th straight game in Lionel Hollins’ debut as head coach, falling 100-85 Tuesday night to Denver. … Utah lost its fourth straight game, 106-100 at home to San Antonio.
PERFECT 21
Cleveland improved to 21-0 at home by beating Sacramento 117-110 Tuesday night. The Kings dropped to 0-19 against the Eastern Conference.
BENCH BLUES
San Antonio’s reserves outscores Utah’s 25-6 in the Spurs’ 106-100 victory Tuesday night.
SPEAKING
“I can’t speak for anything before I got here. But what it looks like to me is the guys aren’t in good shape and, as soon as there is a little bit of adversity, we tend to start going our own way and doing our own thing. We have to develop some discipline to stay with what we are doing and play together.”— New Memphis coach Lionel Hollins after the Grizzlies lost his first game since taking over, 100-85 to Denver on Tuesday night.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Indiana Pacers
Ramon Sessions paced Milwaukee with 18 points in its 90-83 loss to Minnesota on Monday night.
Minnesota cashed as 3-point road underdogs as the game played under the 206-point total listed by oddsmakers.
Reserve T.J. Ford dropped 23 points for Indiana in its 135-111 loss to Orlando on Tuesday night.
Orlando cashed as 10-point home favorites as the game played over the 214-point total set by sportsbooks.
Team records:
Milwaukee: 22-26 SU, 27-19-2 ATS
Indiana: 17-28 SU, 23-21-1 ATS
Milwaukee most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 3-7
Before playing Toronto are 5-5
After playing Minnesota are 7-3
After a loss are 9-1
Indiana most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Miami are 5-5
After playing Orlando are 6-4
After a loss are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 13 games at home
Indiana is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Next up:
Milwaukee at Toronto, Friday, January 30
Indiana home to Miami, Friday, January 30
Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat
Caron Butler led Washington with 28 points and six rebounds in its 103-87 loss to Phoenix on Monday night.
Phoenix covered as 4-point road favorites as the game played under the 206-point total listed by oddsmakers.
Dwyane Wade dropped 35 points, as the Heat stifled the Hawks 95-79 on Monday night.
Miami covered as 3.5-point home favorites as the teams played under the 193.5-point total posted by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
Washington has lost 3 straight games.
Miami has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Washington: 9-35 SU, 17-27 ATS
Miami: 24-19 SU, 21-21-1 ATS
Washington most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Philadelphia are 2-8
After playing Phoenix are 5-5
After a loss are 3-7
Miami most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Indiana are 4-6
After playing Atlanta are 3-7
After a win are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Miami is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Washington
Miami is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Next up:
Washington at Philadelphia, Friday, January 30
Miami at Indiana, Friday, January 30
Sacramento Kings vs. Boston Celtics
Kevin Martin led the way for Sacramento with 35 points, seven rebounds, seven assists, and four steals in its 117-110 loss to Cleveland on Tuesday night.
Cleveland couldn't cover as 14.5-point home favorites as the game played over the 203-point total listed by sportsbooks.
The Celtics defeated Dallas 124-100 as a 9-point favorite on Sunday. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (192.5).
Ray Allen, Eddie House and Kevin Garnett all scored 23 points for Boston, while Rajon Rondo added 13 points and 14 assists in the win.
Current streak:
Sacramento has lost 6 straight games.
Boston has won 8 straight games.
Team records:
Sacramento: 10-36 SU, 21-25 ATS
Boston: 37-9 SU, 26-20 ATS
Sacramento most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Chicago are 6-4
After playing Cleveland are 3-7
After a loss are 2-8
Boston most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Detroit are 8-2
After playing Dallas are 5-5
After a win are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Boston
Sacramento is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Boston
Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Boston is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home
Next up:
Sacramento home to Chicago, Friday, January 30
Boston at Detroit, Friday, January 30
Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks
Joe Johnson scored 19 points for Atlanta in its 95-79 loss to Miami on Monday night.
Miami covered as 3.5-point home favorites as the teams played under the 193.5-point total posted by sportsbooks.
Nate Robinson had 19 points and six rebounds off the bench, as the Knicks upset the Rockets 104-98 on Monday night.
New York cashed as 2.5-point home underdogs as the teams played under the 207-point total listed by oddsmakers.
Current streak:
Atlanta has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Atlanta: 26-18 SU, 23-21 ATS
New York: 19-25 SU, 25-19 ATS
Atlanta most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 3-7
Before playing New Jersey are 2-8
After playing Miami are 4-6
After a loss are 5-5
New York most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 1-9
Before playing Indiana are 5-5
After playing Houston are 3-7
After a win are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games on the road
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
New York is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Next up:
Atlanta home to New Jersey, Friday, January 30
New York at Indiana, Saturday, January 31
Toronto Raptors vs. New Jersey Nets
The Raptors defeated Sacramento 113-97 as a 9-point favorite on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (210.5).
Chris Bosh scored 31 points and grabbed eight rebounds for Toronto, while Andrea Bargnani added 24 points in the win.
Brook Lopez scored 18 points and grabbed seven rebounds for New Jersey in its 94-85 loss to Oklahoma City on Monday night.
Oklahoma City covered as 2.5-point home favorites as the game played under the 201.5-point total listed by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
Toronto has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Toronto: 18-28 SU, 19-25-2 ATS
New Jersey: 20-25 SU, 23-22 ATS
Toronto most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 8-2
Before playing Milwaukee are 6-4
After playing Sacramento are 3-7
After a win are 5-5
New Jersey most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 6-4
Before playing Atlanta are 5-5
After playing Oklahoma City are 5-5
After a loss are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Toronto's last 18 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of New Jersey's last 18 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Toronto
New Jersey is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
Next up:
Toronto home to Milwaukee, Friday, January 30
New Jersey at Atlanta, Friday, January 30
Detroit Pistons vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
The Pistons lost to Houston 108-105 as a 3-point favorite on Sunday. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (179).
Richard Hamilton led the Pistons with 27 points and Rasheed Wallace had 22 points and 11 rebounds.
Al Jefferson had 23 points to go along with 10 rebounds to lead the Timberwolves over the Bucks 90-83 on Monday night.
Minnesota cashed as 3-point road underdogs as the game played under the 206-point total listed by oddsmakers.
Current streak:
Detroit has lost 2 straight games.
Minnesota has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Detroit: 24-19 SU, 18-25 ATS
Minnesota: 16-27 SU, 22-20-1 ATS
Detroit most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Boston are 6-4
After playing Houston are 5-5
After a loss are 4-6
Minnesota most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 3-7
Before playing LA Lakers are 1-9
After playing Milwaukee are 5-5
After a win are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Next up:
Detroit home to Boston, Friday, January 30
Minnesota home to LA Lakers, Friday, January 30
Denver Nuggets vs. New Orleans Hornets
Chauncey Billups scored 29 points, as the Nuggets rolled past the Grizzlies 100-85 on Tuesday night.
Denver covered as 7-point road favorites as the game played under the 199.5-point total listed by oddsmakers.
Chris Paul had 27 points, 15 assists, 10 rebounds, and seven steals to lead the Hornets over the 76ers 101-86 on Monday night.
New Orleans cashed as 2-point home favorites as the teams played under the 194-point total set by oddsmakers.
Current streak:
Denver has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Denver: 30-15 SU, 26-18-1 ATS
New Orleans: 27-14 SU, 18-21-2 ATS
Denver most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Charlotte are 5-4
After playing Memphis are 9-1
After a win are 7-3
New Orleans most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Golden State are 6-4
After playing Philadelphia are 5-5
After a win are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
Denver is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 14 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games at home
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Next up:
Denver home to Charlotte, Friday, January 30
New Orleans home to Golden State, Friday, January 30
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
O.J. Mayo paced Memphis with 19 points in its 100-85 loss to Denver on Tuesday night.
Denver covered as 7-point road favorites as the game played under the 199.5-point total listed by oddsmakers.
Kevin Durant swished 18 points, as the Thunder defeated the Nets 94-85 on Monday night.
Oklahoma City covered as 2.5-point home favorites as the game played under the 201.5-point total listed by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
Memphis has lost 10 straight games.
Team records:
Memphis: 11-33 SU, 15-28-1 ATS
Oklahoma City: 10-35 SU, 29-16 ATS
Memphis most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 3-7
Before playing LA Lakers are 1-9
After playing Denver are 4-6
After a loss are 1-9
Oklahoma City most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 4-6
Before playing Utah are 2-8
After playing New Jersey are 5-5
After a win are 2-8
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Memphis's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Memphis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Oklahoma City is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Oklahoma City is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis
Oklahoma City is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games
Next up:
Memphis home to LA Lakers, Saturday, January 31
Oklahoma City at Utah, Friday, January 30
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Houston Rockets
Thaddeus Young led Philadelphia with 22 points in its 101-86 loss to New Orleans on Monday night.
New Orleans cashed as 2-point home favorites as the teams played under the 194-point total set by oddsmakers.
Tracy McGrady led the way for Houston with 20 points and six assists in its 104-98 loss to New York on Monday night.
New York cashed as 2.5-point home underdogs as the teams played under the 207-point total listed by oddsmakers.
Team records:
Philadelphia: 21-22 SU, 21-22 ATS
Houston: 28-18 SU, 21-25 ATS
Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 3-7
Before playing Washington are 4-6
After playing New Orleans are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6
Houston most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Golden State are 5-5
After playing New York are 9-1
After a loss are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Houston
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Next up:
Philadelphia home to Washington, Friday, January 30
Houston home to Golden State, Saturday, January 31
Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks
The Warriors defeated the Clippers 107-92 as an 11-point favorite on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (218.5).
Corey Maggette scored 20 points for Golden State and Anthony Morrow chipped in with 17 points in the win.
The Mavericks lost to Boston 124-100 as a 9-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (192.5).
Jason Terry led the Mavericks with 27 points, while Dirk Nowitzki and Josh Howard each netted 18 points.
Team records:
Golden State: 14-31 SU, 21-24 ATS
Dallas: 25-19 SU, 19-25 ATS
Golden State most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing New Orleans are 3-7
After playing LA Clippers are 2-8
After a win are 3-7
Dallas most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Miami are 7-3
After playing Boston are 5-5
After a loss are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Golden State is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State
Next up:
Golden State at New Orleans, Friday, January 30
Dallas at Miami, Saturday, January 31
Charlotte Bobcats vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Boris Diaw had 23 points, nine rebounds, and nine assists, as the Bobcats upset the Lakers 117-110 in double overtime on Tuesday night.
Charlotte cashed as 12-point road underdogs as the game played over the 195-point total listed by sportsbooks.
Brandon Roy dropped 33 points, as the Trail Blazers hammered the Clippers 113-88 on Monday night.
Portland won as 9.5-point road favorites as the game played over the 188.5-point total set by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
Portland has won 2 straight games.
Team records:
Charlotte: 19-26 SU, 28-17 ATS
Portland: 27-17 SU, 22-22 ATS
Charlotte most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Denver are 0-9
After playing LA Lakers are 5-3
After a win are 5-5
Portland most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
Before playing Utah are 5-5
After playing LA Clippers are 7-3
After a win are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Portland
Charlotte is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games at home
Portland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Next up:
Charlotte at Denver, Friday, January 30
Portland home to Utah, Saturday, January 31
Chicago Bulls vs. Los Angeles Clippers
The Bulls lost to Minnesota 109-108 in overtime as a 3-point underdog on Sunday. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (207).
Ben Gordon led the Bulls with 23 points and Luol Deng had 22 points and eight rebounds.
Al Thornton netted 23 points for Los Angeles in its 113-88 loss to Portland on Monday night.
Portland won as 9.5-point road favorites as the game played over the 188.5-point total set by sportsbooks.
Current streak:
Chicago has lost 5 straight games.
Los Angeles has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Chicago: 18-27 SU, 19-26 ATS
Los Angeles: 10-34 SU, 19-25 ATS
Chicago most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
Before playing Sacramento are 4-6
After playing Minnesota are 5-5
After a loss are 3-7
Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 3-7
Before playing Cleveland are 5-5
After playing Portland are 4-6
After a loss are 2-8
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the LA Clippers last 14 games
LA Clippers are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games when playing Chicago
LA Clippers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
Next up:
Chicago at Sacramento, Friday, January 30
LA Clippers at Cleveland, Friday, January 30
MILWAUKEE (22 - 26) at INDIANA (17 - 27)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 7-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO (10 - 35) at BOSTON (37 - 9)
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
SACRAMENTO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BOSTON is 93-60 ATS (+27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 44-28 ATS (+13.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 48-24 ATS (+21.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON (9 - 35) at MIAMI (24 - 19)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 111-147 ATS (-50.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-70 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 61-87 ATS (-34.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO (18 - 28) at NEW JERSEY (20 - 25)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 55-69 ATS (-20.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 9-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 9-8 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA (26 - 18) at NEW YORK (19 - 25)
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 205 and 209.5 points this season.
ATLANTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DENVER (29 - 15) at NEW ORLEANS (27 - 14)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS (11 - 32) at OKLAHOMA CITY (10 - 35)
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
MEMPHIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games this season.
MEMPHIS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in January games this season.
MEMPHIS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT (24 - 19) at MINNESOTA (16 - 27)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 68-50 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA (21 - 22) at HOUSTON (28 - 18)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE (14 - 31) at DALLAS (25 - 19)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 10-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE (18 - 26) at PORTLAND (27 - 17)
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO (18 - 27) at LA CLIPPERS (10 - 34)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE vs. INDIANA
Milwaukee is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Milwaukee is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 13 games at home
ATLANTA vs. NEW YORK
Atlanta is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
Atlanta is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games on the road
New York is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
New York is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Atlanta
SACRAMENTO vs. BOSTON
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Sacramento is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
TORONTO vs. NEW JERSEY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
Toronto is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
New Jersey is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
New Jersey is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
Washington is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Miami
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
DENVER vs. NEW ORLEANS
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
DETROIT vs. MINNESOTA
Detroit is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
MEMPHIS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
PHILADELPHIA vs. HOUSTON
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
GOLDEN STATE vs. DALLAS
Golden State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Golden State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
CHARLOTTE vs. PORTLAND
Charlotte is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Charlotte is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Portland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Portland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
CHICAGO vs. LA CLIPPERS
Chicago is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing Chicago
LA Clippers are 13-4 SU in their last 17 games when playing Chicago
Hot Teams
-- Pacers won their last five home games (3-1-1 vs spread). Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in game after its last eleven losses (8-3 vs spread).
-- Miami won five of its last seven games.
-- Raptors won their last two games, by 20-16 points.
-- Knicks won four of their last five games (5-0 vs spread).
-- Nuggets won six of their last seven games (5-1 vs spread in last six). Hornets won four of their last five games.
-- Minnesota is NBA-best 10-2 in January.
-- Oklahoma City is 17-5 vs spread in its last 22 games.
-- Rockets are 4-1 vs spread in game after their last five losses. Philly is 8-2 in last ten games, 1-2 in last three.
-- Warriors are 3-2 in last five games; they covered seven of last ten.
-- Portland won seven of its last ten games.
-- Bobcats are 6-0-1 vs spread in their last seven games.
Cold Teams
-- Kings lost their last six games (2-4 vs spread).
-- Wizards lost ten of last twelve games (2-9 vs spread).
-- Nets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Hawks lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Pistons lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Mavericks lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Bulls lost their last five games (1-4 vs spread). Clippers lost sixteen of their last eighteen games (5-3 vs spread last eight at home).
Totals
-- Four of last five Indiana games stayed under the total; over is 10-4 in last fourteen Milwaukee games.
-- Four of last five Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten Miami games went over the total.
-- Four of last five New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 12-3 in Knicks' last fifteen games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Denver games.
-- Nine of last twelve Detroit games stayed under the total; over is 13-5 in Minnesota's last 18 games. .
-- Five of last six Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over the total.
-- Last three Maverick games all went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Portland home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Chicago games went over the total.
Back-to Back
-- Pacers are 4-6 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Kings are 6-2 vs spread on road if they played the night before.
-- Nuggets are 2-4 vs spread on road if they played the night before.
-- Grizzlies are 2-7 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Bobcats are 5-7 vs spread if they played the night before.
Wednesday Research
By Indiancowboy
Toronto vs. NJ
These two teams despise each other. The series this year has gone like this:
12/15/08 TOR 87 - NJ 94 (NJ wins on the road Outright).
12/12/08 NJ 79 - TOR 101 (Toronto wins on the road Outright).
11/21/08 TOR 127 - NJ 129 (OT) (NJ wins on the road Outright).
Well, there seems to be a pattern here. The team with the revenge - which conveniently ends up being the team on the road, has won outright. Such is the case here with the Raptors with that revenge today. Toronto comes off a big win over Sacramento at home, they are playing great basketball, they have that revenge over Jersey today. It does worry me a bit that Jersey comes off a revenge of a loss of their own, but, 1-6 SU over their last 7 and 2-5 ATS during that stretch as well. I wouldn't be surprised to see the trend continue as Toronto gets their revenge today.
Sacramento vs. Boston
16 points - is that all? lol. Sacramento folks is not a bad team - when healthy. When they have Kevin Martin, this team has defeated the likes of GS on the road (which not even Boston, the Haws could do and the Cavs nearly lost and was the first game back with Ellis). Sacramento also defeated Dallas at home and recently lost by 7 to the Cavs. But, why would one wager against the Celtics? This is the same team that beat Dallas by 24, Phoenix by 17, Miami by 15 (which not even Orlando could win SU there) and Orlando by 10 on the road. The Celtics seem to be on a mission here and have covered 6 in a row. I want nothing to do with this game.
Washington vs. Miami
Miami is 24-19 on the year and they will make the playoffs this year it seems. After all, with the Bucks losing Redd, it seems even more likely they make the playoffs this year. The Bulls have an opening, let's see if they take it - but that is for another analysis. Miami has beaten Washington twice this year so Wash will get up for this game. Washington first loss by 20 on the road ad then 7 at home earlier this season. Miami comes off defeating the Magic and the Hawks and over 60% of the public likes them here - but again, Wash does have double-revenge and come off an ugly 16 point loss at home so they will look to bounce-back here. no thanks.
OKC vs. Memphis
Look, I understand tha OKC is laying 7 here, but keep in mind that they are 29-16 ATS. They come off a huge win over the Nets and they have been playing dominating basketball with their new coaching. Memphis beat this team by 6 points earlier this year so they do have revenge. How 60% of the public still wants to wager on a Memphis team that has lost their last 10 covers is beyond me.
01/27/09 DEN L 85-100 L 6.5
01/24/09 NJ L 88-99 L 1
01/23/09 @NY L 88-108 L 5.5
01/21/09 @CHAR L 86-101 L
01/19/09 DET L 79-87 L 4
01/16/09 UTA L 91-101 L 4.5
01/13/09 CLE L 87-102 L 8.5
01/09/09 @TOR L 82-103 L 5.5
01/07/09 @NJ L 89-100 L 4.5
01/06/09 MIN L 87-94 L -4
You have an OKC team that has covered their last 7 of 9 and are 5-4 SU in fact. I can see OKC getting revenge as they are playing great basketball right now and Memphis simply continues to struggle.
Atlanta vs. New York
NY comes off a big win over Houston. The Hawks beat this team by 3 earlier this season at home. Keep in mind that NY was a 10 point underdog in that game. Hawks come off an ugly effort in Miami - but Miami did have revenge in that game. Of course, the Hawks are looking to bounce-back but the Knicks have revenge - just like the revenge they had against the Rockets when they got beat in Houston only to defeat them at home. Altanta typically does well on bounce-backs, they have lost 2 in a row however and I wouldn't be surprised to see NY take the cake once again as they have covered their last 5.
Detroit vs. Minnesota
I would love to take Minny here as they are the better team right now. But, the Pistons have to step up or will at least attempt to here. The Twolves are by far on the best ATS run in the league currently with the Cavs being the only exception. But, as for ATS runs over the last 15 games, without a doubt, there is no one that comes close to the Twolves. Also, remember, the Bucks had revenge against the Twolves as well at home and Minnesota got it done over them relatively easily as well. So, there you have it, you can take the Pistons with revenge, or the hot Twolves at home who are rolling right now.
Denver vs. New Orleans
Keep in mind that this is a revenge game for New Orleans. They lost on the road to Denver by a few points last time out 100-105. In fact, they were losing to the Sixers badly until they pulled it together and came back strong in the second half. Yes, New Orleans does have revenge, but once again, this team has no Tyson and West. Denver has covered their last 4 straight and 5 of 6. Tough to go either way imo.
Charlotte vs. Portland
These two teams have history as Charlotte beat this team in OT earlier at home and they come off a big Outright win over the Lakers (which I'm glad to have cashed in on as my POD yesterday). As per Portland, they come off a big win themselves at home over the Kings and I can see them looking to get revenge on Charlotte. But, bear in mind that Charlotte is not the same Charlotte team and not likely to lay over as they have covered a series of games and this game could be competitive. Either way, Portland does have revenge and Charlotte on a back to back, so I can respect that and stay away.
Philadelphia vs. Houston
Pick your poison. You have a Philly team that in all due honesty should have won at New Orleans if they didn't lose their bearings in the second half as the line was even set for an outright win for them. But, this team collapsed. They will look to bounce-back here but Houston too comes off a tough loss to NY on the road and are not in a good mood. Philly beat this team by 8 earlier this year so Houston will be ready for this game. I have no line on this game so it is tough to gauge the ATS standpoint, but either way, I don't want to go against either team that comes off a loss - or Houston that has revenge.
Dallas vs. Golden State
I wanted to take Dallas after that ugly loss to Boston on national television by 20+ points. But, GS has been playing well and remember, they have Ellis back in the lineup. Ellis, Jackson, Maggatte, Pietrus, Eze - with all these guys back, this team is deep and dynamic. Remember, their young guys that were getting minutes became seasoned with all these injuries such as C.J. Wilson and others. So, I can see this either way - in fact, although there is no line, if GS is getting considerable points here, they are a sound play which also likely leads this game to go over with my active dog/over theory.