NBA Nuggets vs. Kings Picks & Predictions for Tuesday, March 5, 2013
By ATSSportsline.com
SACRAMENTO, CA (ATS Consultants) – In search of their 16th home victory, the Kings will host the Nuggets tonight at 10:00PM Et from the Sleep Train Arena.
ODDS: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv have installed the Nuggets as 4.5-point favorites versus the Kings, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 224.5 points. Denver is 39-22 overall, while Los Angeles is 21-40.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Nuggets opened as 7-point favorites but the spread has dropped to 4.5 at most online sport books. The total, meanwhile, opened at 220 and has climbed to either 223.5, 224, 224.5, or 225 depending on what book you view.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 81% of NBA public bettors currently favor the Nuggets. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers.
NBA FREE PICK: Take Denver. According to latest NBA trends, Denver is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win, 25-9 ATS in their last 34 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Tuesday games and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 0 days rest. Sacramento is 5-11 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference, 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing on 1 days rest, 1-5-1 ATS last 7 in series and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Denver (39-22 ATS, 36-24-1 ATS, 37-24 O/U) is rolling in the right direction with five straight wins including a 104-88 win over Atlanta on Monday night at home, giving 9.5. Sacramento (21-40 SU, 26-33-2 ATS, 36-23-2 O/U) beat Charlotte at home on Sunday, 119-83 and have now won two of three after losing six straight games. The Kings can run but won't be able to keep up with the Nuggets, who average 105.5 points per game. Sacramento score 98.5 points per game and they allow 104.9 points (worst in the league. Denver has struggled at times on the road this year but have won the last two on the road, including one at Portland by two. Point guard Ty Lawson has averaged 26.4 points in Denver's last five road games. Lawson has helped the Nuggets average 110.4 points per game in the last five. In their last meeting on Jan. 26, Denver put up a season-high 71 points in the first half.
2013 NBA FREE PICK: DENVER NUGGETS -4.5
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