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NBA Playoff Trends Saturday 5/23

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(@blade)
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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets outscored the Lakers in the final quarter Thursday night and came away with a 106-103 victory in Game 2 as they evened the series at a game apiece.

The Nuggets won that game as a 5.5-point underdog, while the combined 209 points went UNDER the posted total of 212.5.

Carmelo Anthony led the Nuggets with a game-high 34 points and nine rebounds. Chauncey Billups chipped in with 27 points in the win.

Kobe Bryant led the Lakers with 32 points and five rebounds.

Team records:
Los Angeles: 65-17 SU, 42-39-1 ATS
Denver: 54-28 SU, 45-36-1 ATS

Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 6-4
Before playing Denver are 10-0
After playing Denver are 6-4
After a loss are 9-1

Denver most recently:
When playing on Saturday are 5-5
Before playing LA Lakers are 6-4
After playing LA Lakers are 5-5
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the LA Lakers last 9 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games when playing Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Denver is 11-0-1 ATS in its last 12 games

Next up:
LA Lakers at Denver, Monday, May 25

 
Posted : May 23, 2009 6:14 am
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LA LAKERS (74 - 22) at DENVER (63 - 31)
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
DENVER is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
DENVER is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 23-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DENVER is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA LAKERS are 105-91 ATS (+4.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 55-39 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 55-39 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 11-6 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 12-5 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : May 23, 2009 6:14 am
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LA LAKERS vs. DENVER
LA Lakers are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
LA Lakers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

 
Posted : May 23, 2009 6:14 am
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Western Conference Finals

LA Lakers at Denver

LA Lakers:
13-23 ATS if total is 210 or higher
26-43 ATS off BB ATS losses

Denver:
20-5 ATS if road dog last game
10-0 ATS after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100pts or less

 
Posted : May 23, 2009 6:15 am
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NBA Playoffs

Kleiza played college basketball at Missouri with son of Denver owner Kroenke; he contributed 16 points, eight boards in Game 2 win that was a lot like Game 1 loss, except for the final score. Nuggets were -12 in the 5:59 that Anthony sat out in Game 2; he has to rest now and then, so it is important that someone (Martin? Carter?) step up and be scorer when Carmelo sits. Denver is 9-3 in playoffs, with all three losses by a hoop. Denver got to foul line more than Lakers in both games at Staples. Odd.So far in four games in this round, total margin of victory is 7 points.

 
Posted : May 23, 2009 6:15 am
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