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NBA Playoff Trends Saturday 5/9

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DENVER vs. DALLAS
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Denver is 4-19 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

CLEVELAND vs. ATLANTA
Cleveland is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games at home
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

 
Posted : May 9, 2009 6:13 am
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Western Conference Playoffs - Round Two

Game Three
Denver Leads, 2-0
Denver at Dallas, 5:05 ET

Denver:
7-0 ATS in playoffs
10-3 ATS vs. Dallas

Dallas:
27-15 Under off an Over
18-7 Under playing with double revenge

Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round Two

Game Three
Cleveland Leads, 2-0
Cleveland at Atlanta, 8:05 ET

Cleveland:
9-0 ATS off four straight DD wins
18-1 ATS after leading L3 games by 5+ at halftime

Atlanta:
19-4 Under revenging DD loss
16-28 ATS off DD loss

 
Posted : May 9, 2009 6:15 am
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DENVER (60 - 29) at DALLAS (54 - 35)
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
DENVER is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 10-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 9-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

CLEVELAND (72 - 16) at ATLANTA (51 - 40)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
ATLANTA is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 10-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : May 9, 2009 8:19 am
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Tips and Trends

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks

Nuggets: In going 6-1 this postseason, Denver has won by margins of 12 points to 58. The Nuggets are 6-0 against the Mavericks this season. They have won twice in Dallas, including that lone home loss by the Mavs the last three months. Chauncey Billups said he expects a more conservative approach, as in fewer risk-reward plays because part of the risk is giving up easy baskets that would fire up the crowd. Carmelo Anthony said the lessons from Game 3 against New Orleans should help, too. "I just think the intensity and the energy that we started off that game with, and then we kind of let up, kind of got relaxed, kind of got complacent," he said. "I think we've learned from that mistake."

The Nuggets are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
The Nuggets are 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 100

Mavericks (-4, O/U 209.5): In both games, Dallas led early and got close with about a quarter left. The difference has been Denver pulling away and Dallas unable to stop it. Mavs coach Rick Carlisle and staff have had 3 days to come up with some new strategies and some backups in case those don't work. And there's the twin comforts of being home (where Dallas is 17-1 since mid-February) and being out of Denver's high altitude. Dirk Nowitzki has spent the days since Game 2 dealing with the arrest of a woman who was living at his house and the fallout from it, including constant media attention.

The Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Dallas.
The Mavericks are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games following an ATS loss.

Key Injuries - F Josh Howard (ankle) is QUESTIONABLE

PROJECTED SCORE: 104 (UNDER - Total Play of the Day)

 
Posted : May 9, 2009 10:34 am
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