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NBA Playoff Trends Tuesday 5/26

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(@blade)
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Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic

The Magic defeated Cleveland 99-89 as a 1.5-point home favorite in Game 3 on Sunday. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (189).

Dwight Howard scored 24 points and grabbed nine rebounds for Orlando and Hedo Turkoglu had 13 points, 10 rebounds, and seven assists.

LeBron James scored a game-high 41 points to go along with seven rebounds and nine assists for Cleveland, while Mo Williams had 15 points in the loss.

Team records:
Cleveland: 66-16 SU, 49-33 ATS
Orlando: 59-23 SU, 49-32-1 ATS

Cleveland most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 5-5
Before playing Orlando are 5-5
After playing Orlando are 7-3
After a loss are 8-2

Orlando most recently:
When playing on Tuesday are 8-2
Before playing Cleveland are 6-4
After playing Cleveland are 6-4
After a win are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Next up:
Orlando at Cleveland, Thursday, May 28

 
Posted : May 26, 2009 7:41 am
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CLEVELAND (75 - 18) at ORLANDO (69 - 29)
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 42-33 ATS (+5.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
ORLANDO is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 12-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 9-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : May 26, 2009 7:42 am
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CLEVELAND vs. ORLANDO
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

 
Posted : May 26, 2009 7:42 am
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NBA Playoffs

Does Magic have Lebron's number? In only Cleveland win this series, James was still -7 (Cavs were +8 in 5:28 he was off floor). Orlando was down 16 in Game 1, rallied to win by a point; they were down 23 in Game 2, lost by one, then throttled Cleveland by 10 in Game 3, holding Cavs to 37% from floor. Magic got to foul line 51 times in Game 3, as FTs increase as series go on, which is typical. Orlando is 5-2 at home in playoffs, with two losses by combined total of three points.

 
Posted : May 26, 2009 7:42 am
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Tips and Trends

Cleveland Cavaliers at Orlando Magic

Cavaliers (-1.5, O/U 187.5): "They deserve respect," Mo Williams said. "They are a good team. But we are the best team in basketball. I don't feel that they've had to adjust to us one time in the series." LeBron James is averaging 41.7 points in the series, but Williams (32.1%), Zydrunas Ilgauskas (38.2%) and Delonte West (41.9%) are not shooting up to their standards. "It's going to be tough," James said. "I know they can play a lot better. They know they can play a lot better. I don't want to put pressure on those guys. They've just got to come out and do it. We just got to knock shots down."

The Cavaliers are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.
The Cavaliers are 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 97 (Side Play of the Day)

Magic: The Magic brushed off Mo Williams' boast that the Cavs would win the series. "We just got to go out there and play," Dwight Howard said. "We can't worry about what other guys are saying. It's disrespectful when everybody's counting us and Denver out trying to win a championship," said Howard, who made the Cavs pay for fouling him by making 14 of 19 free throws in Game 3. "It's like, forget the Magic, forget Denver. They want to see LeBron and Kobe go at it. So that is disrespectful. The only way you get respect is by going out there and taking it. My mind-set is making people respect us."

The Under is 11-2 in the Magic's last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Magic are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 91

 
Posted : May 26, 2009 9:21 am
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Eastern Conference Finals

Cleveland at Orlando

Cleveland:
13-1 ATS off a road loss
14-3 ATS after 1+ consecutive losses

Orlando:
11-2 UNDER off 4+ consecutive ATS wins
31-15 Under as home favorite

 
Posted : May 26, 2009 10:26 am
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