Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets
Dirk Nowitzki went for 44 points and 13 rebounds to lift the Mavericks past the Nuggets 119-117 in Game 4 on Monday night and stave off elimination.
Dallas covered as 1-point home favorites as the game played over the 209.5-point total listed by oddsmakers.
Josh Howard had 21 points and 11 boards for the Mavericks, who now trail the best-of-seven series 3-1.
Carmelo Anthony led the way for Denver with 41 points, 11 rebounds, and five steals, while Chauncey Billups added 24 points and seven assists for the Nuggets.
Team records:
Dallas: 50-32 SU, 40-42 ATS
Denver: 54-28 SU, 45-36-1 ATS
Dallas most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 5-5
After playing Denver are 4-6
After a win are 6-4
Denver most recently:
When playing on Wednesday are 7-3
After playing Dallas are 7-3
After a loss are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Denver is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games
DALLAS (55 - 36) at DENVER (61 - 30)
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
DENVER is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points this season.
DENVER is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games this season.
DENVER is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
DENVER is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when leading in a playoff series this season.
DENVER is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DENVER is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DENVER is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 216-174 ATS (+24.6 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 12-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 10-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS vs. DENVER
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Dallas at Denver
Dallas:
1-6 ATS at Denver
9-1 Under Away after allowing 100+ pts BB games
Denver:
10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points
19-10 ATS playing with revenge
NBA Playoffs
Denver is 7-2 so far in playoffs, with six wins by 12+ points. Nuggets are 7-1 vs Dallas this year, wiinning three games in this series by 14-12-1 point- Mavericks stayed alive with 119-117 win, after being down 10 at half, so last two games in series were decided by total of three points. Denver's Kleiza was +17 in 20:24 in losing cause in Game 4. In the last three series games, a total of 246 foul shots were taken. Lot of hostility in series after Cuban called Kenyon Martin a thug. Cuban isn't expected to be at this game.
Tips and Trends
Dallas Mavericks at Denver Nuggets
Mavericks: Mavericks owner Mark Cuban apologized for yelling at Kenyon Martin's mother, Lydia Moore. But his apology was brushed aside by the Nuggets because it contained an offer that they could all sit in his suite with his own family "when the series comes back to Dallas." The Mavericks took Tuesday off. No NBA team has ever recovered from a 3-0 deficit to win a playoff series and no team has beaten Denver at the Pepsi Center since March 11. "The pressure is on them to win the series," Jason Kidd said. "We don't have any pressure." Dallas has lost all four meetings in Denver this season.
The Mavericks are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
The Over is 8-2 in the Mavericks' last 10 playoff games as an underdog.
Key Injuries - NONE
PROJECTED SCORE: 100
Nuggets (-8.5, O/U 213.5): "I think all of us are kind of angry about ... the treatment we got in Dallas," Nuggets coach George Karl said Tuesday. "And we want our home crowd to be with us and ... we want to show them that we owe them a game." Chauncey Billups acknowledged the Nuggets were distracted due to what was happening in the stands. The Nuggets missed Chris Andersen as Dirk Nowitzki scored 44 points and pulled down 13 rebounds. Without the "Birdman" swatting away passes and making things tough on Nowitzki in the paint, Dallas outrebounded the Nuggets 50-34 and Denver managed just seven second-chance points.
The Nuggets are 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
The Nuggets are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.
Key Injuries - F Chris Andersen (illness) is PROBABLE.
PROJECTED SCORE: 113 (Side Play of the Day)