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NBA Trends April 28

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(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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NBA LONG SHEET

TORONTO (42 - 44) at ORLANDO (55 - 31)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
ORLANDO is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games this season.
ORLANDO is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
ORLANDO is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 10-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-6 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

BOSTON (68 - 17) at ATLANTA (38 - 47)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-6 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LA LAKERS (60 - 25) at DENVER (50 - 35)

Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 50-34 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
LA LAKERS are 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games this season.
LA LAKERS are 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
LA LAKERS are 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
LA LAKERS are 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 33-11 ATS (+20.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA LAKERS are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DENVER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 11-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 9-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 
Posted : April 28, 2008 7:12 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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NBA SHORT SHEET

Eastern Conference
Opening Round
Game Five
Orlando Leads, 3-1
Orlando at Toronto, 7:35 ET

Toronto:
1-8 ATS off BB Unders
5-16 ATS off DD Home loss

Orlando:
18-5 ATS after playing game as an underdog
14-5 ATS off BB road games

Eastern Conference
Opening Round
Game Four
Boston Leads, 2-1
Boston at Atlanta, 8:00 ET

Boston:
24-9 ATS Away off SU loss
27-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Atlanta:
18-27 ATS as an underdog
20-8 Over at home vs. Atlantic Division

Western Conference
Opening Round
Game Four
LA Lakers Lead, 3-0
LA Lakers at Denver, 10:30 ET

LA Lakers:
14-1 ATS Away if total is 210 or higher
11-0 Over if attempting to close out a playoff series

Denver:
10-2 Over at home off BB ATS losses
2-11 ATS vs. LA Lakers

 
Posted : April 28, 2008 7:13 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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NBA Games

Toronto tries to stay alive by winning in arena where they lost first two games in series by 1-14 points; Orlando made 11-29 in Game 4 from arc, after being combined 15-58 in Games 2-3- they were 13-29 in Game 1. Bosh went nuts in Game 4, but none of his teammates scored more than 12 points. Raptors were 2-15 from arc in Game 4, after being 32-83 in first three games.

Hawks got on board with 102-93 win Saturday, getting 27 from Josh Smith; they made 10-18 from the arc in Game 3, after being 3 for 19 from arc in first two games combined. Hawks shot 38% in both losses, improved to 47% Saturday. Celtics scored just 37 points in second half of Game 3, after averaging 51.2 in first five halves of series.

It would be nice if Denver would at least make Lakers break a sweat in this series; they lost first three games by 14-15-18 pts, allowing 128-122-102 points (117.3 ppg). It came out yesterday that George Karl is returning to Nuggets next year, not sure if that helps or hurts. At this point, it can't get worse for them. If Nuggets have an ounce of pride, Game 4 will be a dogfight.

 
Posted : April 28, 2008 7:13 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
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Trend Sheet

7:30 PM TORONTO vs. ORLANDO
Toronto is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Orlando
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

8:00 PM BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

10:30 PM LA LAKERS vs. DENVER
LA Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Denver
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

 
Posted : April 28, 2008 7:13 am
(@mvbski)
Posts: 43756
Illustrious Member
Topic starter
 

Tips and Trends

Toronto Raptors at Orlando Magic

Raptors: Coach Sam Mitchell said his team has to win one game at a time: ?There?s nothing brilliant I can say except that we have to focus.? Toronto lost Game 2 by just a basket in Orlando and Chris Bosh said ?It?s not over. We have to show up and we have to play.? The Magic shot 11-for-29 from beyond the arc to win Game 4, while the Raptors were just 2-for-15 in what was the determining factor in the outcome. Toronto has covered the point spread just once this season (Game 2) against the Magic in Orlando.

Raptors are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 98

Magic (-7.5, O/U 203): The Magic are one victory away from advancing into the second round of the NBA playoffs for the first time since 1996. However, they aren?t celebrating just yet. The uneasiness is because history has not been kind to the Magic in the playoffs. They held a 3-1 over the Detroit Pistons in 2003 when they lost the final three games of the series, and the last playoff success they had was in 1996 - during the Shaquille O?Neal/Penny Hardaway era. Orlando is 27-16 at home this season while going 24-16-3 ATS.

Magic are 12-5-2 ATS in their last 19 home games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 105

Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks

Celtics (-9, O/U 190): Game 3 was even at the half, and it remained that way when Kevin Garnett hit two free throws with 6:31 left in the third quarter. But the Hawks finished that period with a 16-6 run and never trailed again. The Celtics fell away from their team concepts when things got tough. ?That?s just not our character,? said coach Doc Rivers. ?We haven?t done it.? Boston is 9-2 SU and ATS after a loss this season to an Eastern Conference opponent.

Celtics are 48-20-1 ATS in their last 69 road games.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 100

Hawks: The Hawks waited until Game 3 to put together a concerted and aggressive effort, and the Celtics did not respond to it well. Josh Smith had 27 points and Joe Johnson added 23 as Atlanta moved to within 2-1 in the first-round series with a fairly comfortable win Saturday night at home. "We're not satisfied," said Johnson, ?We have another one to get.? The Hawks pushed their home mark to 26-16, but Game 3 was just their second cover on the season against the Celtics and first victory.

Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 90

Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets

Lakers (-4.5, O/U 227.5): The Lakers discouraged the Denver Nuggets with a Saturday domination at the Pepsi Center to take a 3-0 lead in their first-round series. ?We made them take a lot of tough shots,? said Lakers center Pau Gasol, who had 14 points and three blocks. ?We played good defense even though we gave up a lot of offensive rebounds.? The Lakers are 7-0 ATS against the Nuggets in the last 7 meetings, and are now also 8-0 when holding their opposition to 89 or fewer points.

Lakers are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 road games.

Key Injuries - F Ronny Turiaf (7 ppg; throat) is probable to play, but in limited mins.

PROJECTED SCORE: 118 (Side Play of the Day)

Nuggets: In the waning moments of Saturday?s game, the song, ?You Dropped a Bomb on Me? blared out of the loudspeakers at the Pepsi Center. It was appropriate since the Los Angeles Lakers had just dropped a bomb on the Nuggets? season. ?We quit,? said Nuggets forward Carmelo Anthony. ?Everybody. From the coaches to the players, we quit.? The Nuggets have dropped the 3 games of this series by an average margin of 16 points. Allen Iverson was reportedly upset at being benched for the final 10:49 of Saturday?s game as well. Denver hasn?t covered a game against Los Angels since April of 2007.

Nuggets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against the Pacific.

Key Injuries - NONE

PROJECTED SCORE: 109

 
Posted : April 28, 2008 7:14 am
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